This report conducts a financial analysis of John Lewis, a recognized chain of department stores in the UK, to provide recommendations for potential investors. The analysis includes profitability, efficiency, liquidity, and leverage position of the company.
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1 Financial Analysis in Business ACC336
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2 Executive Summary John Lewis is a recognized chain of department stores operating across the UK offering diverse range of products through both offline and online challenges to its target customers. The report as such has conducted financial analysis of the company to provide recommendations for a potential investor. The financial analysis has been conducted with the use of ratio analysis technique which has analyzed profitability, efficiency, liquidity and leverage position of the company. It has been depicted through the financial ratio analysis that the company has good future growth prospects on account of its strong financial performance.
3 Contents Executive Summary.........................................................................................................................2 Introduction......................................................................................................................................4 General Information of Company....................................................................................................4 Brief History................................................................................................................................4 Market Position and Information about its competitors...............................................................4 Swot Analysis...........................................................................................................................4 Porte five forces Analysis.........................................................................................................5 Comparison of John Lewis performance with its competitor......................................................6 Key aspects of the company performance through using ratio analysis as an important tool.........7 Profitability Ratio.........................................................................................................................7 Liquidity Ratios..........................................................................................................................10 Asset management ratio or efficiency ratio...............................................................................12 Gearing Ratio or Leverage Ratio...............................................................................................13 Conclusion & Recommendation....................................................................................................15 References......................................................................................................................................17 Appendix........................................................................................................................................19
4 Introduction The present report is developed for undertaking financial analysis of a selected UK public listed company in order to provide support to potential investors for taking accurate investment decisions having very little knowledge. In this context, it has specifically provided a general description of the company including details about its market performance and key competitors. This is followed by conducting an analysis of the financial performance of the company through the use of ratio analysis technique. Lastly, it provides an overall summary of the key findings generated from the report for facilitating the investment taking decisions of a potential investor. General Information of Company Brief History John Lewis and Partners is an established chain of department stores operating within the UK. The chain of department stores of the company is owned by John Lewis Partnership and at present known to operate about 51 stores across England, Scotland and Wales. It has been established within the year 1929 and since then has achieved a distinctive position in the competitive retail market of the UK. The company operates within the retail sector of the UK and is regarded to be the third largest company by sales within the retail sector of the country. The company deals in with retailing large number of products such as clothing, watches, jewelry, electrical, cosmetics, furniture and financial services (John Lewis & Partners, 2019). Market Position and Information about its competitors John Lewis has achieved a dominant position within the retail market of the UK has also outperformed the market within the year 2017 by enhancing its sales by about 2.8%. The sales growth is mainly driven by the online platform that accounts for about 22% of the overall merchandise sales. It has achieved sales growth mainly in the sectors such as Fashion, Home, Electricals and Home Technology and thus reported higher profits. It has achieved distinctive competitive advantage within the retail sector on account of its product quality, value and product innovation (Voinea, 2016). The SWOT and Porter five force analysis of the company is carried out as follows to gain an insight into its current market position:
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5 Swot Analysis FactorsAnalysis Strengths It has achieved a position of one of the major upper market retail stores across the UK. It provides wide range of fashion products through both online and offline stores. Weakness The price of the products offered by the company is higher as compared with the other supermarket and grocery stores. Opportunities The improved lifestyles and purchasing power of consumers is driving more sales revenue of the company Threats Intense competition from other supermarkets and grocery stores can negatively impact the growth potential of the company (John Lewis SWOT Analysis, Competitors & USP, 2019) Porte five forces Analysis Market ForcesAnalysis Threat of New EntrantsFairly Low: Due to high original capital investment required for developing infrastructure and gaining benefit from the economies of scale Bargaining Power of SuppliersFairly High: The restrictions in the supply of raw materials and concerns regarding the global supply chain is leading to increasing their bargaining power Bargaining Power of Buyers Extremely High: There are large number of suppliers within the market and thus customers have variety of choices to access the products Threat of Rivalry High: There are large number of supermarket and grocery stores operating within the retail
6 sector of the UK and thus making level of competition too high Threat of Substitutes Low: The threat of substitutes is very low in terms of specific retail product requirements by the customers (Bäder, 2016) Comparison of John Lewis performance with its competitor The major competitors of John Lewis are Mark & Spencer and Tesco. There are many other competitors but Tesco and Mark & Spencer are two most important competitors of John Lewis. In this section key performance indicators of all the three companies has been compared and graph has been prepared for the same. Company Name Revenue (In Billions) Group Profit before exceptional items and tax (in Millions) Stores John Lewis (Group)£10.00 £ 370.00400 Mark& Spencer£10.60 £ 613.801010 Tesco£49.90 £ 1,280.006809 (John Lewis, 2017; Tesco, 2017 and Mark & Spencer, 2017)
7 Revenue (In Billion)Group Profit before expectional items and tax (in Million) Stores £- £1,000.00 £2,000.00 £3,000.00 £4,000.00 £5,000.00 £6,000.00 £7,000.00 Performance Measurement Key aspects of the company performance through using ratio analysis as an important tool Ratio analysis is performance measurement tool that measures performance of the company in the current period and also compares it previous year performance. The ratio analysis of John Lewis has been performed for last four years, so that its performance can be evaluated and recommendation can be provided to the company. The four categories of ratios used to evaluate the performance of John Lewis are profitability, liquidity, efficiency or asset management and solvency ratios. John Lewis has been legally established as partnership firm where all its equity shares are held by John Lewis Trust which is controlled by company management. It means company has limited market presence as it is not publically traded on stock exchange. Profitability Ratio Profitability ratios aims to evaluate the company’s ability to generate income in regards to sales, equity and capital employed. All the profitability ratios use some metrics to evaluate ability to earn income on such metrics. For example, net profit ratio measures percentage of net profit earned on total sales (Bragg, 2010) Net profit ratio
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8 This ratio is most important profitability ratio that measures ability of company to earn net profit after tax on total amount of sales. It is expressed in term of percentage. Net profit after sales refers to each sales dollar left after meeting all expenses including taxes and operating expenses (Tracy, 2012). Formula: Net Profit after tax/Net Sales 2017201620152014 0.00% 0.50% 1.00% 1.50% 2.00% 2.50% 3.00% 3.50% 4.00%3.53% 2.29% 1.48% 1.13% Net profit ratio Percenatage The above bar graph represents the percentage of net profit earned by John Lewis over last four years. The increasing trend in net profit ratio indicates that company is on right path and it has potential to provide higher percentage of net profit in future years. There was sharp increase in year 2017 that reflects management ability to turn most of its inventory into sales and control the expenses (John Lewis, 2017 and John Lewis, 2015). Return on Equity Return on equity measures the amount of net income that has been returned to the equity shareholders. It indicates percentage of net profit earned on the total amount of shareholder’s equity company keep on their balance sheet (Feldman and Libman, 2011). This ratio is very important from the investor’s point of point of view as they seek to calculate return they receive from investment they have made in company. Formula: Net profit/Shareholder’s Equity
9 2017201620152014 0.00% 2.00% 4.00% 6.00% 8.00% 10.00% 12.00% 14.00% 16.00% 18.00% Return on equity Percentage The abovebar graph showsthatduringthe lastfour yearsthereturn on equity shareholders has been increased from 5.70% in year 2014 to 17.20% in year 2017 that reflects strong profitability position of the company. John Lewis has able to maximise the shareholder’s return and it is also expected the profit of the company will increase in future period (John Lewis, 2017 and John Lewis, 2015). Return on Capital Employed This ratio is very important form the management point of view as it measures the return that business has achieved from the total amount of capital employed by them. Capital employed means sources of funds used to finance the assets of the company and it includes equity capital, reserves, and long term debt finance. This ratio uses earnings before interest and tax as the profit to calculate the return earned by the company on their capital employed (Bragg, 2010). Formula: Earnings before interest and tax/Capital Employed
10 2017201620152014 0.00% 2.00% 4.00% 6.00% 8.00% 10.00% 12.00%10.33% 8.55% 10.82%11.09% Return on Capital Employed Percentage Every company wants to maximise its return on capital employed as it is very important factor that decides the margin return company earns through its operations and also help in taking the capital investment decisions. John Lewis has earned stable return on capital employed with maximum return earned in year 2014. Return on capital employed of 10.33% in year 2017 reflects strong profitability position of John Lewis and it is expected that it will improve in future years looking at performance of the company in current year (John Lewis, 2017 and John Lewis, 2015). Liquidity Ratios Liquidity ratios measure the ability of company to pay its short term liabilities through use of short term assets. It means liquidity analysis provides information about the short term solvency position of the company. This analysis helps to figure out working capital requirements of the company in next accounting cycle. Current Ratio Current ratio calculates times the current assets company have in relation to current liabilities. Ideal current ratio of the company is 2:1 as there is requirement of working capital to run the business properly. Formula: Current Assets/Current Liabilities
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11 2017201620152014 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 Current Ratio Times Current ratio of John Lewis has been improved in last four years but it is not enough to meet the working capital requirements of the company. Level of current assets had been very low as compare to current liabilities (John Lewis, 2017 and John Lewis, 2015). Quick Ratio The quick ratio depicts the ability of a company to meet its short-term financial obligations from the most liquid asset base that can be easily transferred to cash such as accounts receivable, marketable securities and other such asset base. Formula: Quick Assets/Current Liabilities 2017201620152014 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 Acid Test Ratio Times
12 The quick ratio of the company has improved significantly over the selected financial period 2014-2017 from 0.34 to 0.55. This depicts that the ability of company to meet its short- term financial obligations from the asset base has been strengthened during the past few years.However, the ratio for the company over the selected financial period is less than 1 which means that there is liquidity risk present within the company that can negatively impacts its future growth prospects(John Lewis, 2017 and John Lewis, 2015). Asset management ratio or efficiency ratio The ratios are used for analyzing the ability of a company to manage its asset base and realize sales. It has been analyzed fro the company through calculation of the following ratios: Inventory turnover ratio The ratio is used for depicting the effectiveness of a company to manage its inventory base and is calculated by the use of following formula: Inventory turnover ratio=Cost of goods sold/Average inventory 2017201620152014 10.20 10.40 10.60 10.80 11.00 11.20 11.40 10.62 10.71 11.33 10.85 Inventory turnover ratio Times The inventory turnover ratio of the company has remained almost static during the financial year 2014-2017 which depicts that it has not gained any improvisation to convert its inventory level into sales. The ratio has increased from the year 2014-2015 but has been gradually reduced from the year 2015-2017. However, it has maintained a good inventory turnover ratio over the selected financial period depicting it is able to effectively realize sales from the inventory base (Baker and Powell, 2009).
13 Total asset turnover ratio The ratio measures the ability of a company to realize sales from the use of its asset and is calculated with the use of following formula: Total asset turnover ratio=Net Sales/Average total assets 2017201620152014 1.54 1.56 1.58 1.60 1.62 1.64 1.66 1.68 1.70 1.72 Total asset turnover ratio Times The total asset turnover ratio of the company has also remained static during the financial period from 2014-2017. The ratio has depicted an increasing trend from the year 2014-2015 but then has relatively declined from the year 2015-2017. This means that it is not able to enhance the realization of sales from the use of its asset base. However, it has maintained a satisfactory ratio over the selected financial period which means that it is able to effectively manage its asset base and realize revenue from it (Baker and Powell, 2009). Gearing Ratio or Leverage Ratio The ratios are used for depicting the financial debt acquired by the company for carrying out its operational activities. The leverage position of the company has been assessed through the use of the following ratios: Debt to equity ratio The ration is used for depicting the relative proportion of debt and equity used by the company in its capital structure. The formula used for its calculation is depicted as follows: Debt to Equity Ratio=Debt/Equity
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14 2017201620152014 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 Debt to equity ratio The ratio has depicted an overall decreased trend from the year 2014-2017 for the company. It has initially recorded an increase from the year 2014-2015 but has been gradually reduced during the subsequent year time-period that is from 2015 to 2017 (John Lewis, 2017 and John Lewis, 2015). This means that the company is able to reduce the proportion of debt in its capital structure as compared to equity. However, the ratio is higher for the overall selected financial period which means that it is utilizing higher proportion of debt as compared to equity in its capital structure. This can pose a risk from the investor point of view by increasing the financial risk of not effectively meeting the debt obligations in future context (Baker and Powell, 2009). Interest coverage ratio The ratio depicts the ability of a company to meet its interest’s obligations on its outstanding debt payments. The formula used for calculation is as follows: Interest converge ratio=Earnings before interest and tax/Interest expenses
15 2017201620152014 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 Interest coverage ratio The ratio has depicted an increasing trend from the financial year 2014-2017 and thus it can be said that the ability of the company to meet its interest’s expenses have been improved. This can be regarded as good from the investor’s point of view as there is less financial risk of not meeting the interest’s expenses for the debt payment (Gibson, 2008). Conclusion & Recommendation It can be summarized from the overall discussion held within the report that John Lewis is one of the most recognizable brands within the retail sector of the UK. The financial analysis of the company carried out in the report has presented some key findings to be considered by a potential investor. The company profitability is on increase since the year 2014-2017 as depicted from the results of return on equity and return on capital employed ratios. This is largely due to increase in the online sales of the company that has facilitated it to reach international delivery and thereby enhancing its customer base and sales revenue. It has also maintained strong asset management efficiency as depicted by its inventory turnover and asset turnover ratio. The ratios calculated are higher depicting that the company is able to effectively realize sales from the use of its inventory ad asset base. However, the company should enhance its effectiveness of asset management as it has remained static during the selected financial period of 2014-2017. The analysis of the leverage position of the company has revealed that it is incorporating higher use of debt in its capital structure. The company, though, has relatively reduced the proportion of debt in the capital structure as revealed from the calculation of debt-equity ratio. The results of the interest coverage ratio has depicted that it is able to effectively meet its interest obligations as the ratio has depicted an increasing trend during the selected financial period.
16 The company has also shown larger improvement in its liquidity position as revealed from the financial results of the current and quick ratio. Both the ratios have shown larger increase over the selected financial period of 2014-2017 depicting that its ability to meet the financial obligations from its asset base has been improved. However, the ratios are less than 1 and therefore it is necessary that the company should improve its asset base so as to reduce the risk of not meeting its financial obligations. As such, it is recommended to a potential investor that although the company has good profitability and efficiency position yet it is necessary that the future financial performance of the company must be considered for analyzing its leverage and liquidity risk. This is essential to gain an analysis of the elements of financial risk of the company that could negatively impact its future growth prospects.
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17 References Bäder, M. 2016.Strategic Analysis of the John Lewis Partnership plc. GRIN Verlag. Baker, K. and Powell, G. 2009.Understanding Financial Management: A Practical Guide. USA: John Wiley & Sons. Bragg, S. 2010.Business Ratios and Formulas: A Comprehensive Guide. US: John Wiley & Sons. Bragg, S. 2010.Business Ratios and Formulas: A Comprehensive Guide. USA: John Wiley & Sons. Feldman, M. and Libman, L. 2011.Crash Course in Accounting and Financial Statement Analysis. USA: John Wiley & Sons. Gibson, C. 2008.Financial Reporting and Analysis: Using Financial Accounting Information. Australia: Cengage Learning. JohnLewis&Partners.2019.[Online].Availableat: https://www.johnlewispartnership.co.uk/about/who-we-are/our-history.html[Accessedon:29 March 2019]. JohnLewisSWOTAnalysis,Competitors&USP.2019.[Online].Availableat: https://www.mbaskool.com/brandguide/lifestyle-and-retail/9226-john-lewis.html[Accessedon: 29 March 2019]. John Lewis. 2015. Annual Report. [Online]. Available at: https://www.johnlewispartnership.co.uk/content/dam/cws/pdfs/financials/annual-reports/john- lewis-partnership-plc-annual-report-2015.pdf[Accessed on: 29 March 2019]. John Lewis. 2017. Annual Report. [Online]. Available at: https://www.johnlewispartnership.co.uk/content/dam/cws/pdfs/financials/annual-reports/jlp- annual-report-and-accounts-2017.pdf[Accessed on: 29 March 2019]. Mark&Spencer.2017.AnnualReport.[Online].Availableat: https://corporate.marksandspencer.com/documents/reports-results-and-publications/plan-a- reports/plan-a-report-2017.pdf[Accessed on: 29 March 2019].
18 Tesco. 2017. Annual Report. [Online]. Available at: https://www.tescoplc.com/media/392373/68336_tesco_ar_digital_interactive_250417.pdf [Accessed on: 29 March 2019]. Tracy, A. 2012.Ratio Analysis Fundamentals: How 17 Financial Ratios Can Allow You to Analyse Any Business on the Planet. Australia: RatioAnalysis.net. Voinea, A. 2016. John Lewis reports profit fall in spite of market share increase. [Online]. Available at:https://www.thenews.coop/103448/sector/retail/john-lewis-boosts-sales-increasing- market-share/[Accessed on: 29 March 2019].
19 Appendix Financial Data of John Lewis for last four years Particulars2017201620152014 Amount in £ million Current Assets£1,627.60£ 1,534.70£ 1,173.30£ 1,139.50 Current liabilities£1,834.20£ 1,848.70£ 1,694.90£ 1,705.60 Quick Assets£999.80£912.80£592.60£585.50 Inventory£627.80£621.90£580.70£554.00 Net Profit£353.50£223.20£143.50£101.60 Revenue£ 10,026.20£ 9,748.80£ 9,701.00£ 9,027.80 Operating Profit or EBIT£649.40£531.40£450.20£423.60 Shareholder's Equity£2,055.40£ 2,065.10£ 1,518.80£ 1,781.70 Non-current liabilities£4,230.70£ 4,146.60£ 2,641.70£ 2,036.70 Average Inventory£624.85£601.30£567.35£554.00 Cost of Goods sold£6,633.10£ 6,442.10£ 6,426.90£ 6,008.90 Total Assets£6,286.10£ 6,211.70£ 5,855.40£ 5,524.00 Average total assets£6,248.90£ 6,033.55£ 5,689.70£ 5,524.00 Total liabilities£4,230.70£ 4,146.60£ 4,336.60£ 3,742.30 Interest Expenses£109.70£100.80£102.50£97.50 Financial Ratios of John Lewis Particulars2017201620152014 Profitability Ratios Net profit ratio3.53%2.29%1.48%1.13% Return on equity17.20%10.81%9.45%5.70% Return on Capital Employed10.33%8.55%10.82%11.09% Liquidity Ratios Current Ratio0.890.830.690.67 Acid Test Ratio0.550.490.350.34 Asset Management or efficiency ratios Inventory turnover ratio10.6210.7111.3310.85 Total asset turnover ratio1.601.621.711.63 Gearing Ratio/Leverage Ratio Debt to equity ratio2.062.012.862.10 Interest coverage ratio5.925.274.394.34