12008 ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL CRISIS Executive Summary The objective of the paper is to analyze the implications of the financial and economic crisis 2008. The sources of the paper are move and book. ‘Inside Job’ is the considerate movie to discuss the topic of the interest. Along with that, chapter 12 ‘International Financial Crisis’ is considered to develop the current paper. The paper attains to find out the implications of the macroeconomic factors during recession.
22008 ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL CRISIS Table of Contents Introduction......................................................................................................................................4 Discussion........................................................................................................................................4 Conclusion.......................................................................................................................................4 Reference list...................................................................................................................................4
32008 ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL CRISIS Introduction After a decade of the Asian Crisis, the financial crisis 2008 occurred in 2008. The global economic emergency 2008 is possibly deeper crisis than the previous Asian crisis. The crisis 2008 is considered as the combined effect of both the investment bank and housing sector. During the 1980s, more banks were converted into publicized engaging more risky banking activities. Investors were hardly concerned about the return on their investment in terms of loan repayment and mortgage valuation. Investment banks used to approve the loan amount without considering the credit history of the borrowers. Investment banks were connected through the securitization food chain.In this system, the borrower did not need to bear the entire burden of the loan. Lehman Brothers, the giant investment bank of the USA, declared bankruptcy of more than $610 billion during 2008. Apart from that, AIG, the largest USA insurance company got collapsed due to the loss of $100 billion (approximately). Failure of these two large financial organizations re recognized as key influencing factors for the global financial crisis 2008. Discussion The global economy was gradually plunged into the financial emergency due to the ineffectiveness of the deregulation policy. The initial phase of the crisis is termed as subprime crisis as to relate the unproductive housing loans of the USA housing market. At the initial stage of the deregulation policy, the borrowers were allowed to sell the mortgage to the investment banks and henceforth, the borrowers were not worried about the refund of the borrowed amount. Moreover, the investment banks were also not concerned about the repayment as the mortgage was transferred to the foreign investors. The mortgaged-backed-asset aggravates the wealth generation program of the banking sector. As a consequence of that, the financial debt got
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42008 ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL CRISIS doubled. Due to dearth of refinancing activity, loan structure breaks down. Many borrowers have been marked as incapable of paying the loan to the financial institutes. Many aspiring buyers fail to purchase house because of inaccessibility to home loan. This brings downsize impact on the demand of the housing market. From the beginning of 1980s and the late of the 1990s, non-bank institutes, consumer credit firms and other insurance firms are started counting under the formal banking sector. The expansion of the financial markets not only raises the revenue amount also raises the risk factors for the entire economy. The core objective of the formal monetary entities is to sell the homes not emphasizing on the profit amount. This strategy is recognized as securitization. This strategy is applied for home loan, consumer credit loan, car loan and other variety of debts. This policy allows the customer to get a fixed earning in return to the fixed borrowing amount. Under securitized policy, foreign government, foreign insurance company or any other virtual financial institution will be able to purchase share of the company. The deregulated monetary policy leveraged the banking institutes with more financial power. Therefore, both demand and supply of the loan experienced a robust growth in the late 1990s. The availability of the loan was reported to get increased by two to three times as compared to the previous decade. The huge amount of loan availability raises the demand of the customers. In this context, the robust growth in the housing market in terms of both supply and demand can be mentioned. This caused housing price bubble in the USA during 2008. The average housing price was effectively doubled. This triggers a great challenge to the real estate sector. Meanwhile, the continuous rise in the housing price made people incapable of buying or renting a house. The falling demand for the housing market resulted in the downsize impact on the employment level. A number people lost their jobs on the face of the evolving emergency crisis.
52008 ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL CRISIS Around 15 million people end up with below poverty line. The economic disparity reached a new high level widening the income gap between the poor and wealthier section. Wealth was reported to get concentrated only by a few numbers of people. This led to the fall in the real wage level which reduced the dissolved income of the customers. As a result of that, the USA economy experienced a severe downfall in terms of the structural development and wealth generation program. As far as the Federal statistics is concerned, the enrollment to the education sector encountered with a record fall in this emergency situation. Improvement of the human capital got collapsed facing this crisis period. Due to lack of improvement in the efficiency level, the labor union could not able to hike the labor wage.This resulted in the deterioration in the per capita income of the people in the USA. Meanwhile, the increasing financial integration among different countries, such as, Spain, Ireland and other European countries triggers played a catalyst role towards this financial crisis. In this way, the economic emergency spread from one country to another country.Gradually, the financial crisis of the USA occupied the whole international economy. Most importantly, the trade partners of the USA received a regressive impact from this overwhelming economic emergency. A number of banks have suffered from the monetary loss due to unsuccessful loan repaymentcases.Meanwhile,thiscrisisextendstothebankingsector.Anumberof Multinational Financial Organizations receive detrimental effects, which in turn, makes the USA crisis into the global concern. According to the author, there are three factors responsible for the international emergency. First, international finance market is not as technically advanced as the USA’s finance market. The new innovative financial procedures are introduced during the 1960 and 1970s. Second, More integrated form of the financial market creates open capital market introducing flexible exchange rate in the financial market. Therefore, it provides more flexibility
62008 ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL CRISIS to currency flow across the economies. A fluctuation of on currency can easily give impact on other currency. In this regard, high saving rate is observed in the financial sector reducing the investment level in the economy. The relatively high saving rate of the Chinese economy is virtually not important for the improvement of the international economy. The cumulative of the high saving rate inevitable declines the investment rate unto the international economy. Third, the notion of deregulation captures the progressive idea of the economists, regulators and politicians. It intensifies the risk factors for the financial organizations. Banks are compelled to approve loan without approving the potential background of the customers. This raises the failure cases of loan repayment. Afterthegreatdepression,financialsectorhasbeenworkingonthetechnical improvementtoenhancetheintegrationprogramacrossdifferenttypesoffinancial organizations. During 2008, Collateral Debt Obligation (CDO) was introduced to support the deregulation process. In this way, borrowers sell their mortgage to investment while taking banking loan. The sold mortgage was then transferred to the investment banks. Hereafter, borrowers were no longer responsible for the refund. This encouraged the investors to take loan for the home, education, car and other property. With the advancement of the computer application, most of the employees were not accustomed with the advanced technical method. Therefore, the employees were failed to evaluate the credit history of the borrowers. Along with that, investment banks were assigned with the ranks by the American credit rating agency. All these credit rating agencies were not so much efficient in terms of interpreting the rank analysis of the financial organizations. For this reason, many investment banks caught under bankruptcy even after recorded a significant improvement in the corporate profit. The Wall Street exhibited an attractive performance just before the economic crisis 2008. A continuous negligence towards
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72008 ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL CRISIS the financial stability marked as the core reason behind this declining performance of the finance sector. The comparative analysis on the current account deficit of different countries from 2000 to 2007 differentiates asserts that most of the developed countries, like, the USA, Spain, the UK and Italy suffered from considerable deficit amount. In 2007, the highest deficit amount was incurred by the USA among Spain, Britain, Australia and Italy. Not only for 2007, had the deficit of the USA also kept at high from 2000 to 2007. On the contrary, China, Germany, Japan, Saudi Arabia and Russia registered a surplus value over 2000- 2007. The current account deficit for the Chinese economy was recorded of $371.8 billion in 2007 and average of $973.8 billion from 2000 to 2007. According to the economists, the excessive restrain on the sovereign wealth fund played as a catalyst role for this crisis. The consumers along with the private entities focused on the increasing saving. Customers preferred to save instead of making expenses on the goods and services. This growing saving tendency lowered the investment level, which in turn, hampered the wealth accumulation program of the financial sector. China was able to generate this impressive growth as it rigorously tried to balance the counterparts of the budget deficit condition. Conclusion The paper concludes that deregulation policy of the financial sector led the USA economy to the crisis situation. A number of banks and insurance companies were reported as loan defaulters during 2008. The inappropriate action of the credit rating agency influenced the investors in a wrong way. In this regard, the USA financial authority claimed that CDO did a great mistake while ranking the investment banks in the USA economy. As a consequence of that, banks got affected by the sub-prime mortgage lending activity. Consecutively, this crisis
82008 ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL CRISIS expandedtoothercountriesalsoincludingSpain,GermanyandAustralia.Significant macroeconomic indicators, such as, employment and interest rate deteriorated to an extreme level. Due to lack of risk-adjusted programs, the financial crisis became a great concern for the international economy.