Running head: A SIMPLE APPROXIMATE Q1 An Analysis of Simple Approximation of Tobin’s Q Zarin Tasnim Chowdhury Army Institute of Business Administration
A SIMPLE APPROXIMATE Q2 Abstract This research paper discusses the simple approximation of Tobins Q on DSE listed financial institution named City Bank Limited. Tobins q ratio is a measure of a firms assets relative to its market value. The main objective of this paper is to find out whether the market value of City Bank is overrated or underrated. To conduct the analysis, the paper gives brief review of Tobin’s q / approximate q, uses financial statement of City Bank from year 2015 to 2019 for the computational process of simple approximate q, interpreting the situation of the bank from theoutcomes,providesgraphicalrepresentationforbetterunderstandingandfinally concluded the paper by mentioning findings from thisresearch.
Introduction Tobin’s q is the ratio of market value of a company’s assets to the replacement value of those assets.Tobin’sqmeasuresthewealthgeneratedbyacompanyforitsshareholders.It compares how much more a company is worth when compared to the book value of its assets. The Q ratio was popularized by Novel Laureate James Tobin and invented in 1966 by Nicholas Kaldor. The main objective of this ratio is to find out whether the market value of a firm is undervalued(lessthan1),overvalued(above1)orfairlyvalued(equalto1). (XPLAIND,2010) (ADAM HAYES,2021) There are two computational process one is Tobin’s q and another one is simple approximate q. Both of these processes generate similar outcomes. However, the second process is much simplercomparedtofirstoneandaverypopular“short-cut”techniqueforthecalculation. The formula requires only basic financial and accounting information’s. (Pruitt,1994) Although,Tobin’sqisveryusefulandpopularmethodintermsoffindingoutthemarket value of a company by estimating the stocks fair value and also can be practically used by market participants to make crucial decisions but it has some criticisms like any other techniques. Some criticism or limitations of this technique – Exact replacement cost for all other assets may not be available as a secondary market for used equipment’s may not be always available for all theassets. It cannot be used to base investment decisions with regards to purchase/sale of equity shares. Valuation of tangible assets are not easy to value. So sometimes the ratio also fails to predict accurate market value of a company. (Finance Management,2021)
Computational process of approximate q of City Bank Year 2015: Market Value of Equity (MVE) = Numbers of outstanding share* Market price per share = (875.8*20.4) in BDT millions = 17,866 in BDT millions Current assets = Total assets - fixed assets = (2, 14,840- 8,136) in BDT millions = 2, 06, 704 in BDT millions Debt = Total liabilities – Current assets = (1, 89,331- 2, 06,704) in BDT millions = - 17,373 in BDT millions Approximate q =MVE+Preferred stock+ Debt Total assets = 17,866+0−17,373 2,14,840 = 0.002 Year 2016: Market Value of Equity (MVE) = Numbers of outstanding share* Market price per share = (875.8*27.2) in BDT millions = 23,822 in BDT millions Current assets = Total assets - fixed assets = (2, 59,424- 8,085) in BDT millions = 2, 51,339 in BDT millions Debt = Total liabilities – Current assets = (2, 34,123 – 2, 51,339) in BDT millions
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