The given report is about the financial analysis of AG Barr plc and Britvic plc. The performance of both companies has been analyzed using various financial ratios such as price-earning ratio. It has been observed that both companies have performed well and can potentially merge to achieve sustainable development.
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Table of Contents EXECUTIVE SUMMARY.............................................................................................................1 INTRODUCTION...........................................................................................................................1 PART A...........................................................................................................................................1 PART B............................................................................................................................................6 Performance of two company's..................................................................................................6 CASE B1: Grahams Inc:...........................................................................................................12 A. Cash inflows and outflows:..................................................................................................12 B. Calculate Payback period, Net present value and internal rate of return:............................12 CONCLUSION..............................................................................................................................13 REFERENCES.............................................................................................................................14
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Analysis of the financial activities in a firm makes a perfect interpretation so that the investors can take their decisions about the investment. This report is divided into two parts. One part is mandatory and other part is totally related to the cash inflows and outflows and net present value of the firm. This report likewise covers various financial ratios which are calculated on the basis of thefinancial performance of the both Britvic plc and Barr group plc. Their P/E ratio is also calculated under this. INTRODUCTION This report is totally based no the financial performance of the Britvic plc and Barr group plc and their main aim is to make certain decisions so that they can come to final conclusion and able to make decisions in an effective manner.Under this report, price earnings and other investment ratios are used so that strategy director could build their own decisions in an effective manner. In addition to this, they are also planning to merge or takeover with their competitors after analysing their competitors’ performance. PART A Explanation of price earnings ratio:Price earnings ratio is used for valuing of stock price. This is mostly applied for valuing stocks. This is complicated one for evaluating the stock price of a company. This could be highly informative in few situations, while at the other times, this interpret nothing. As an outcome, investors usually misinterpret this term and place more value in it than is warranted (Ahmed and Duellman, 2013). Price to earnings ratio is applied to interpret how expensive or cheap the stock of a share. This is a tool which can be used to forecast an adequate value of the stock value. For calculating this,, the current stock prices of a company’s share is adopted and divide it to its earning per share. However price to earning can be calculated by way of under mentioned method: Many of the time, P/E ratio is measured by using earning per share from the previous four quarters. It is also recognised as the trailing P/E. although, such method for calculating P/E, does not render the perfect reflection of the organisation growth potential. 1
Price earnings ratio is also calculated by implementing EPS for the subsequent four quarters. This is also recognised as the forward leading PE. This method demonstrates effective growth potential. Trailing P/E depends on the actual earnings and, henceforth this is more effective and adequate. Irrespective of fixed return, share price of the company will fluctuate. As an outcome forward P/E helps to investors for evaluating performance of a company. IMPORTANCE OF P/E RATIO: P/E ratio helps the company to evaluate the previous performance and also tells how to growth in future with the help of their previous performance. Usually, it takes into the account of following factors: 1.Previous Performance:If organizations have sound track record, then it would have more price- earnings ratio as compared to those companies how have erratic performance (Jacobs, 2012). 2.Potential Growth:It is crucial component incorporate in to the price-earnings ratio. In an industry, those companies which are having higher P/E ratio reflect high growth potential in the market. 3.Risk (Leverage):P/E ratio is more reliable on the capital structure of the company. Leverage means debt taken on by the company. It effects on the earnings and share price of the company in different ways, that’s includes the leveraging of earnings growth rate, effects of tax on the company and have bankruptcy risk, and this could also impact the financial performance of the company. Henceforth, lower leverage reflects the higher P/E ratio of an organization.as an outcome, more capital intensive sector gets lower price- earnings than low capital intensive sector. 4.Corporate Governance:An organization which are having sound or effective corporate governance policy they also have higher price-earnings ratio for instance, Infosys has historically great corporate governance that’s why it have higher P/E than its peer group. 5.Dividend Pay-out:Usually, high and constant dividend paying organization have higher P/E ratio as it demonstrate the basic strength of the organization and firm commitment to reward its shareholder (Carraher and Van Auken, 2013). 2
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6.Economic Cycle:This influences those industries which have lower P/E’s and this does not affect defensive sector. Implementing P/E multiple to value a company: The initial step to analysis P/E ratio is like to search those companies which operate in a similar field in which the company intend to exist. However, this is not an easy task to search a perfect match, but by using certain parameters it can happen, these parameters like industry, geography, goods and services, etc. Once the comparable organization found by the financial analyst, the further step is to arrange the corporate earnings throughout the peer group. Earnings reflect an accounting data which comprises non-cash items and also covers non-recurring income, this could like-wise adversely effected by the administration in a company. Henceforth there is a strong need to monitor at the corporate earnings and arrange accordingly. Afterarrangingearnings,thereisneedtocomparevariousfundamentalfactors throughout the peer group then P/E ratio of these companies could achieve. After calculating P/E ratio of one company then it would be easy to measure industry price-earnings ratio by taking average of various companies within the industry. Final step is to compare firm’s P/E with sector average: If a firm have higher P/E to the industry average this reflects that industry is assuming great return over future times. On the other hands, if a firm has low P/E ratio to the industry then it doesn’t sound undervalued always (Henderson and et. al., 2015). Instead of that market assumes that firm is headed for trouble in forth coming time. If the company share price has downward and trading at lowest P/E, then there is need to investigate the finding and make appropriate action by the management. In an organization with higher P/E ratio would need to survive according to market expectation, by way of enhancing its earnings. Henceforth, if any company’s share is trading in market, then there is a need to analysis this kind of company’s performance. 3
In the given case study, AG Barr plc. and Britvic plc. operate in beverages and non- alcoholic industry and AG Barr plc. have 20.4 P/E ratios which is more than the Britvic plc. This means that AG Barr plc. investors anticipates higher growth rate in nearer future. While on the other hand Britvic plc. Have 17.8 P/E ratios which reflect the company is under performing to its rival. The difference between Britvic plc. and AG Barr plc. is 2.6. which is occurred due to profit. Which reflects the negative sign for the Britvic group plc. however there is a strong need to have detailed investigation about the financial performance of both of the companies and the industry as well so that they can reach to the final outcome and make some merger and acquisition strategy as well. There are certain tools that can be used by the financial analysts before going to draw a valid conclusion in an effective manner. For analysing the performance of the company, there is a need to use various key investment ratio before going to invest in the intended company. Various investment ratios are earning per share, dividend yield, debt to equity ratio and others. However this is rightly said that the ratio analysis is the most important tool for investment decisions. This is not only assist in measuring how the firm is performing but also this is also makes convenient for the investors as well for comparing organisations in the similar industry. Some of the ratios are mentioned hereunder: Price to book value:This is the ratio which is used to compare a firm’s market price to its book value. Company book value is the amount which would stay if the firm liquidates its assets and repays all its liabilities. Price of book value shares of the organisations with huge tangible assets on their balance sheets (Zadek, Evans and Pruzan, 2013). If a P/BV ratio is less than one which indicates that the stock is undervalued i.e. value of the assets on the company’s books is more than the value the market is assigning to the company. It shows that a company’s fundamental value and is very useful to give value to those assets of the company which are usually liquid in form. For example, banks and financial institutions. Debt-Equity Ratio:This ratio indicates that how much a company is leveraged i.e., in a business of a company how much debt is involved and also tells promoters’ capital (equity) involvement in a business. In other words, it can be said that this ratio indicates the relative proportion of entity’s equity and debt used to finance an entity’s assets. This 4
ratio is the key financial ratio for the company and is also used to judge the standard of a company’s financial positioning (Taipaleenmäki and Ikäheimo, 2013). It is also measure of an organization ability to repay its liability. When measuring the health of a company, it is important to pay attention to the debt-equity ratio. If the ratio is moving upward, the company is being financed by creditors rather than from its own financial sources which may be more dangerous. Lenders and investors usually prefer low debt-equity ratio because their interests are better and well protected in the event of a business of the company in a decline stage. Thus, a company which have high debt-equity ratios may not be able to attract more and more investors and additional lending of capital from outside from the investors. Operating Profit Margin Ratio:This ratio shows that how much a profit a company makes after paying for variable costs of manufacturing a product like wages, raw materials, etc. It is also expressed as a proportionate of sales and then indicates the efficiency of a company controlling costs and expenses associated with particular business operations which is conducted by the company. Furthermore, it is the return achieved from the standard operations and does not included one or unique time transactions of an organization. This term is used to show operating profit margin ratios this include the following: Operating margin Operating income margin Return on sales Operating profit margin It is also used to measure a company’s pricing strategy regarding their product and service which they are provided in the competitive market and operating efficiency. While doing analysis of a company, one must see whether its Operating Profit Margin ratio has been rising over a period of time (DRURY, 2013). The investors should also do comparison Operating Profit Margin ratio of other companies in the same industry. Earnings per Share:It is an important tool for financial measure, which shows the profitability of a company. It is calculated by dividing the company’s net income after tax with its total number of shares outstanding. It is a tool that investors who participates in the market use suddenly to gauge the profitability of a company before buying its shares. 5
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The higher the earnings per share of a company, the better are its profitability. While calculating this ratio, it is advisable to use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over a period of time. It is calculated in two ways: 1.Net income after tax/total number of outstanding shares. 2.Weighted earnings per share: net income after tax-total dividends/total number of outstanding shares. For investors who are primarily interested in steady source of income, the EPS ratio can tell him that a company has increasing its existing dividend. This ratio is important and crucial tools for investors, it should not be looked at in isolation. Earnings per share of a company should always be considered in relation to other companies in order to make a more informed and prudent investment decision. Investors can use the dividend yield formula to help analyse their return on investment in stocks. ď‚·Dividend Yield Ratio:Dividend yield ratio is the financial ratio that measures the quantum of dividend paid out to the shareholders relative to the market value per share. It calculated by dividing per share and multiplying the result by 100. A company which have higher dividend yield pays a substantial share of its profits in the form of dividends. Dividend yield of a company is always compared with the average of the industry to which the company belonged (Brigham and Houston, 2012). Companies which distribute their profits as dividend to their shareholders, while retaining the remaining portion to reinvest in the business. Dividends are paid out to the shareholders of a company. Companies with high dividend yield normally do not keep a substantial portion of profits as retained earnings. PART B Performance of two company's Barr(AG) plcCompanySectorMarket PER (E)r20.6522.7616.89 Dividend Yield (E)%2.442.614.09 Price Earning Growthr3.032.61.26 6
(E) Return on Capital Employed%29.9833.8717.2 Operating Margin%13.2228.742.23 EPS Growth (E)%6.818.958.66 EV/EBITDAx17.8916.3912.37 Net Gearing%-5.2377.51115.89 Net Tangible Asset Value Per Sharep64.25-0.81.71 Price to Tangible Book Valuex10.43-25.83-0.36 Price/Cash Flowx15.9524.6815.44 Price/Salesx3.016.083.49 Valuation20132014201520162017 Fiscal Year Ends26/01/13 26/01/ 1425/01/15 30/01/1 6 28/01/1 7 Net Tangible Asset Value Per Sharep47.5168.5563.9861.4364.25 Profitabili ty Operating Margin%14.0114.7116.1116.3213.22 Profit Margin%13.9714.5516.0216.3213.19 ROE%17.4417.1418.0616.3711.65 ROCE%34.1734.7835.7636.529.98 Financial Health%19.561.33-6.666.33-5.23 7
(E) Return on Capital Employed%25.5333.8717.2 Operating Margin%10.1828.742.23 EPS Growth (E)%20.798.958.66 EV/EBITDAx12.1216.3912.37 Net Gearing%173.8677.51115.89 Net Tangible Asset Value Per Sharep-43.86-0.81.71 Price to Tangible Book Valuex-18.19-25.83-0.36 Price/Cash Flowx11.7924.6815.44 Price/Salesx1.366.083.49 Valuation20132014201520162017 Fiscal Year Ends29/09/13 28/09/ 1427/09/1502/10/1601/10/17 Net Tangible Asset Value Per Sharep-112.65-87.61-35.73-52.08-43.86 Profitability Operating Margin%11.0811.9213.2312.1110.18 Profit Margin%9.0410.0611.3810.648.94 ROE%108.5190.0343.1831.5927.31 ROCE%43.7241.0331.8323.8925.53 Financial Health Net Gearing%1148.66 518.0 5158.5204.24173.86 9
Gross Gearing%1378.48 691.3 4271.62277.51198.17 Dividend Coverx2.22.222.111.871.69 Interest Coverx5.446.347.677.777.53 Quick Ratior0.740.991.190.780.69 Current Ratior0.921.181.370.930.93 Growth DPS Growth%-0.567.312.576.627.75 Norm EPS Growth%59.458.267.17-5.26-2.62 Reported EPS Growth%12.9543.0813.813.88-1.39 Cash Flow Cash Flow Per Sharep47.3749.858.4542.9167.68 CAPEX PSp14.3523.3122.9343.3149.05 From the above two statements, it has been found that performance of the company's is determine by using ratio analysis from during January month. Profit earning ratio of Barr Plc is from its soft drink sale is about 20.65. While Britvic plc is having 14.82 per cent of market share in total profitability. It is essential for the managers to identify correct data about company so that positive outcomes can be generated during reporting of statements. It is more effective in decision-making. Recent financial information and position of AG Barr plc is more attractive and effective as compare to Britvic plc. The production of soft drink is more higher then another company with the available resources. 10
ParticularBARR PLCBRITVIC PLC Gross profit121 m817m Operating profit43m163m Net income34m112m EPS0.870.31 The above information is collected from income statement of two company's. It is clearly shown that gross profit of Britvic plc is more healthy as compare to Barr plc. Likewise, operating and net income generated during that time is also more effective for Britive plc rather than Barr plc. But earning per share is much more effective for Barr with 0.87 as compare to Britive which is just 0.31. Liquidity position of Barr plc is determine by analysing its current ratios and quick ratio. The current ratio of Barr is more effective, because they are having sufficient amount of cash to meet out its debts and control its expenses. In 2017, it was 1.41:1 and 0.93 for Britvic plc. Quick ratio is also more attractive for Barr with 1.11 and it is under control for another with 0.78. Overall results is more sufficient enough to make vital investment decision under Barr company. As the performance is more healthy as compare to other one (Bodie, Kane and Marcus, 2014). Profitability ratios of Barr company is analyse through using ROE and Interest coverage ratio. Itmeans that 19.67% of total ROE is incur by the company. Whereas, 46.47 is the total ROE for Britvic company during the month of October. With the interest of 7.75 times they are getting return for there total sales of soft drink. While, Barr plc is getting 432 times return from there total selling of products. Cash-flows analysis: It is termed as total inflows incur by company during an accounting year. Performance of both the company in accordance with cash generation is determine by evaluating various activities those are performed at that time. ActivitiesBARRPLC(incurrentyear 2017) BRITVICPLC(inLastyear 2016) Operating49m133m Investing-12m-155m 11
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Financing-33m-14m Cash at the beginning6m240m Cash at the end10m206m Free cash-flows36m11m From the above cash-flows statements which is computed from collecting information from various activities are shown clearly. It indicate that total cash-flows at the beginning of the year for Barr plc is 6m and it is much more higher with 240m for Britvic plc. Whereas, closing cash-flows recorded was about 10m and 206m respectively for both the company's. The total free cash-flows was maximum for Barr plc to make further investment in there particular segments. While, only 11m is received by Britvic plc for last year (Renz, 2016). The performance of the Barr plc is more effective as compare to another one so it is important for the external users and investors to make there investment proposal in Barr plc. As, it is more at growing stage in terms of profitability and cash availability. CASE B1: Grahams Inc: A. Cash inflows and outflows: CASH BUDGET year 1year2year3year4year5 Cash at beginningnil11420000228400003426000045680000 Cash sales1820000018200000182000001820000018200000 Total cash inflow1820000029620000410400005246000063880000 12
Cash outflow Direct material20800002080000208000020800002080000 Direct labour18200001820000182000018200001820000 Fixed overhead13000001300000130000013000001300000 Variable overhead780000780000780000780000780000 Deprecation800000800000800000800000800000 Total Cash Outflow67800006780000678000067800006780000 Net inflow1142000022840000342600004568000057100000 From the above mentioned cash budget report, this is observed that in the initial year cash at beginning is nil and the net inflow is calculated as 11420000 in the year first which raised in the year in the year second and it comes to 22840000 in the year second. In the year 3rd, the net cash inflows is calculated as 34260000. which subsequently increases in the year 4thand 5thyear and reach to 57100000. henceforth, this can be observed that the company have great inflows by implementing these strategy. B. Calculate Payback period, Net present value and internal rate of return: YEAR012345 Total sales-40000001820000018200000182000001820000018200000 Direct material20800002080000208000020800002080000 Direct labour18200001820000182000018200001820000 Depreciation800000800000800000800000800000 Fixed overheads13000001300000130000013000001300000 Variable costs780000780000780000780000780000 Total cost67800006780000678000067800006780000 PBT1142000011420000114200001142000011420000 Tax@30%34260003426000342600034260003426000 13
PAT79940007994000799400079940007994000 Cash inflows87940008794000879400087940008794000 PV@12%1 0.8928571 429 0.7971938 776 0.7117802 478 0.6355180 784 0.5674268 557 PV 7851785.7 1428571 7010522.9 5918367 6259395.4 9927114 5588745.9 8149208 4989951.7 6918936 31700401. 923422 NPV 27700401. 923422 IRR185.00% From the above calculation, the present value of the cash outflow isÂŁ4million and on the basis of this, five year inflow is calculated in order to know the net present value, internal rate of return and payback period so that they could get to know about whether the project is viable or not. But, this has been observed that the net present value of the project is calculated in a positive manner. Henceforth, there is a need to adopt this. Apart form this, Internal rate of return is calculated as 185%. The payback period of specific mentioned project is less than 1 year. CONCLUSION From the above mentioned report, this is observed that the AG Bar plc and Britvic plc has performed well and they can merge to each other so that they would able to make sustainable development.Underthisreport,thishasbeenobservedthatthebyanalysingfinancial statements, financial analyst can make effective strategy. Under this report, Price earning ratio are used in order to inter prate in an effective manner so that the Britvic plc can come to the final conclusion. By way of ratios, performance of the both britvic plc and AG Barr plc can analyse in an effective manner. 14
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REFERENCES Books and Journals: Renz, D.O., 2016. The Jossey-Bass handbook of nonprofit leadership and management. John Wiley & Sons. Bodie, Z., Kane, A. and Marcus, A.J., 2014. Investments, 10e. McGraw-Hill Education. Brigham, E.F. and Houston, J.F., 2012. Fundamentals of financial management. Cengage Learning. DRURY, C.M., 2013. Management and cost accounting. Springer. Taipaleenmäki, J. and Ikäheimo, S., 2013. On the convergence of management accounting and financialaccounting–theroleofinformationtechnologyinaccountingchange. International Journal of Accounting Information Systems, 14(4), pp.321-348. Finkler, S.A., Smith, D.L., Calabrese, T.D. and Purtell, R.M., 2016. Financial management for public, health, and not-for-profit organizations. CQ Press. Zadek, S., Evans, R. and Pruzan, P., 2013. Building corporate accountability: Emerging practice in social and ethical accounting and auditing. Routledge. Henderson, S., Peirson, G., Herbohn, K. and Howieson, B., 2015. Issues in financial accounting. Pearson Higher Education AU. Carraher, S. and Van Auken, H., 2013. The use of financial statements for decision making by small firms. Journal of Small Business & Entrepreneurship, 26(3), pp.323-336. Jacobs, K., 2012. Making sense of social practice: theoretical pluralism in public sector accounting research. Financial Accountability & Management, 28(1), pp.1-25. Ahmed, A.S. and Duellman, S., 2013. Managerial overconfidence and accounting conservatism. Journal of Accounting Research, 51(1), pp.1-30. Czarniawska, B., 2012. New plots are badly needed in finance: accounting for the financial crisis of 2007-2010. Accounting, Auditing & Accountability Journal, 25(5), pp.756-775. Online FinancialManagement-Meaning,ObjectivesandFunctions.2017.Available through<http://www.managementstudyguide.com/financial-goal.htm>. 15