This project analyzes the performance of Tesco, Sainsbury's and Morrisons in the UK supermarket retail industry using PESTE analysis, Porter's Five Forces and SWOT analysis. It also includes financial and non-financial ratio analysis.
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Acc 4003 Interim Project
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THE ACCOUNTING AND FINANCE PROJECT 2017/18 Common Academic Framework 1
Accounting & Finance Front Project Sheet NB. This sheet must be attached to any submission of Accounting & Finance field module coursework. No assignment will be accepted without it. Student Name: Student ID: Title of Module:Accounting and Finance Project 2017-8 Module Code:ACC4003 STD/IL Title of Coursework: Module Leader:Tambu Mangezi Dissertation Supervisor: Hand In Date: Checklist before submission 1.Have you read, understood and acted in accordance with the referencing guidelines set out in the appropriate Accounting & Finance Module Guide. 2.Where you have quoted directly from or where you have paraphrased the work of others, have you acknowledged and appropriately referenced the source of your quotation in the body of the text? 3.Have you placed all direct quotations in inverted commas? 4.Haveyoulistedandcorrectlycitedallyoursourcesinyourreferencelistand bibliography? Declaration by the candidate named above 1.I confirm that this is my own work (or, in the case of a group assignment, the work of my group) and that, although I may have consulted others in the course of assembling materialforthework,thefinishedarticlehasbeencompletedwithouthelpor 2
participation of any other person (other than, in group assignments, other members of the same group). 2.The work contains no material drawn from unattributed sources. Student Signature (Type in)________________________ 3
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Table of Contents Checklist before submission................................................................................................................2 Declaration by the candidate named above......................................................................................3 1.1 Introduction and rationale..................................................................................................................5 2.1 Research question, aim, and objectives.........................................................................................5 3.1 PESTE Analysis.................................................................................................................................6 3.2 Political factor..................................................................................................................................6 3.2 Economic factor..............................................................................................................................6 3.3 Sociological factor..........................................................................................................................7 3.4Technological factor........................................................................................................................7 4.1 Porter’s Five Forces...........................................................................................................................8 4.2 Rivalry between competitors.........................................................................................................8 4.3 Threat of entry................................................................................................................................8 4.4 Threat of substitutes......................................................................................................................9 4.5 Bargaining power of buyers..........................................................................................................9 4.6 Bargaining power of suppliers....................................................................................................10 5.1 SWOT analysis.................................................................................................................................10 5.2 Tesco SWOT................................................................................................................................10 5.3 Sainsbury’s SWOT.......................................................................................................................11 5.4 Morrison SWOT............................................................................................................................12 6.1 Selection and Justification of financial ratios................................................................................12 6.2 Selection and Justification of non- financial ratios.......................................................................13 7.1 Timetable to complete the work.....................................................................................................14 8.1 Conclusion.........................................................................................................................................15 References..............................................................................................................................................16 Appendix 1-Financial ratio.....................................................................................................................18 Appendix 2 - Non financial ratios..........................................................................................................19 4
1.1 Introduction and rationale Three companies named as Tesco, Sainsbury’s and Morrisons dominate the supermarket retail chain in UK. After the economic recession, there was increase in food prices as well as tightened belts where the supermarket retail industry was shaken by the British consumers search for value. According to sources, these three supermarket retail giants have lost market share in the first three months for the year 2016 August. The retail industry in UK recently is having global presence as they now have proper knowledge about the demand that is needed in this competitive market and how to bring regulatory changes at the time of explaining the level of transparency. The retail industry in UK is now been incorporating new and improved services in the market and able to provide services that meet the need of the customers. The feature of retail sector in UK has the ability to render different types of retail products and services to their consumers and developing supermarket chains. Forthisstudy,supermarketretailchaininUKhasbeenselectedbecausethesethree companies are giving stiff competition to one other and making strategy to retain their position in this competitive world. Justification for selecting retail sector for this study In this study, retail sector had been selected because it is noted that the consumers are facing difficulty as there is rapid transition and frequent changes in tastes and preferences with passage of time. It is even noted that different products and services had been evolved and this is the reason why tastes and preferences of consumers are changing at a rapid pace. Because of these factors, retail sector is selected for understanding the kind of products needed by the customers and what is this business look like with the help of business model that are 5
implemented by different retail chains for retaining their customers as well as enhancing the competitive edge. In addition, companies operating in retail sector in UK face stiff competition with one another and they had to deal with tough challenges with respect to maintain their customer base along with innovation in services so that there is improvement in return to investment. Tesco Plc Tesco Plc is one of the British multinational retail corporation and grocery merchandise retailer that is headquartered in United Kingdom. This retail company occupies the third position in the retail industry in terms of profits and ninth position in terms of revenues generated globally. This supermarket chain has their presence in more than 12 countries and leads the grocery market in the UK. Morrison’s Plc Morrison’s Plc occupies fourth position after Tesco in terms of profits earned during a year and headquartered in United Kingdom. This supermarket retail company was established in the year 1899 and still been working efficiently in countries such as UK, Wales and Scotland. Sainsbury’s Plc Sainsbury’s occupies the second position in the supermarket retail industry and enjoys a market share of 16.9%. This retail company was headquartered in UK and established in the year 1869. 2.1Research question, aim, and objectives Research Questions 1.How external and internal environmental factors influence the performance in the industry. Research Aim 6
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The main aim of this study is to highlight the external as well as internal environmental factors that influence the performance in the food retail industry. Research Objectives 1.To identify internal and external factors that affect supermarket retail industry in the United Kingdom 2.To highlight how supermarket retail chain industry perform in recent years and which company performs best or worst by using financial tools 3.To find out how far non-financial factors can be helpful in understanding the best performing and worst performing company by using tools 4.To highlight financial factors by using ratio analysis tool and then justify on which retail company perform best or worst based on the results 3.1 PESTE Analysis The PEST analysis is a technique, used to define the political, economic, sociological and technological factors that influence the performance of the specific industry (Wall, 2015). 3.2 Political factor The political element of the framework mainly deals with the fact on how political regimes work within Australian economy and how far it affect the performance of supermarket retail chain industry. In addition, the legislations are one of the vital political success factors that widely influence the supermarket industry in the UK. Recently, government had come up with new legislation that has impact on supermarket retail in UK. One of such legislation is known as Grocery Codes Adjudicator 2013 that had been established by the government to control the interactionbetweensupermarketsaswellassuppliersintheUK.Itisnotedthatlarge supermarketsdonotinvolveinmisusingtheirpoweroversuppliers.Therefore,theUK government is planning for introducing legislation by curbing price to retain in the competitive global marketplace. The political environment widely affects supermarkets and this further influences the social as well as economic environment. In addition, the political environment has important influence on 7
someoftheeconomicpolicieslikegovernmentspendingaswellastaxationwithinthe Australian economy. Political factors influence social as well as economic factors that affect supermarkets. 3.2 Economic factor Critical success factors Unemployment Figure: Unemployment rate (Source:Ons.gov.uk 2017) Figure: Decade of pay and prices (Source:BBC News 2017) 8
The above diagram shows earnings figures from 2007 to 2017. The employment picture remains strong with a new record of high employment rate as well as another fall in the rate of unemployment. Real earnings continue to decline. It is noted that pay rise improved by 2.1% as compared with consensus prediction of 2%. Inflation Figure: Sales at food stores rose by 1.5% (2017) (Source:Partington 2017) Clothing and footwear retailers badly hit in the month of July amid volatile trends as stated by Office for National Statistics. The consumers are taking approach that is more cautious at the time of shopping when there was higher inflation rate above the level of earnings eats into their spending power. 3.3 Sociological factor Critical success factor UK population 9
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Figure: Grocery sales hit more than three year high as consumer demand proves robust (Source:Josie Cox 2017) The overall grocery market increases by 3.7% for initial 12 weeks that is worth 1 billion Euros for getting access to additional sales to the sector. In addition, the grocery sales in the UK at faster pace for the beginning year 2017 despite indications showed in higher inflation rates. The data is based upon spending habits of 30,000 demographically representative households in and across Britain. Figure: UK Grocery market share (2013) (Source:Gov.uk 2017) 10
Figure: UK trend in food prices in real terms (1996 to 2015) (Source:Gov.uk 2017) 3.4Technological factor Critical success factor Online shopping Figure: Online sales grew by 19% in April and e-grocery sales by 17% (Source:Rigby 2017) It is noted that e-commerce sales increases by 19% and online grocery increases 17.6%. In addition, ecommerce sales growth of 13.9% 4.1 Porter’ Five Forces Porter’s five forces do the analyses of the industry’s competitor’s review. 11
4.2 Rivalry between competitors The rivalry among industry players can be affected by the increasing innovation, downstream pressure, upstream pressure, increasing advertisement and improvement of the products. As pertheupstreamsectormajorlythreegroupsarethecompetitorsofthefoodindustry. Theproliferation of retail formats being to capture the huge retail market for food and other groceries. It represents the supermarket revolution, which implies the diverse set of market rivals. The global industry classification standards (GICS) are known as the most significant competitor in the food industry. They are known to control the industry like energy, material, healthcare, financial and IT (Steele, 2009). 4.3 Threat of entry Threat of potential new entrants in the supermarket retail chain is limited. For past 5 years, the grocery market has been transformed into the supermarket-dominated business. The threat of entry in food retail industry refers to the threat posed by new entrants to the existing competitors in the industry. A profitable industry would hence attract more competitors who are looking to achieve profits. Competitiveness of the food retail industry by using Michael Porter's model, the threat of the entry is very much profitability. The development of food industry will determine the intensity and nature of competition in the retail food industry. The threat of entry in services or products may look in a different appearance for a customer's satisfaction. If the food retail industry is considered, the threat would only be those companies which are launching healthier and more cost-effective food items(Hamilton and Webster, 2015). Thus the organizations in the foodindustrylikeMorrison,TescoandSainsburymustconcentratetheireffortsonthe production of quality food items that project healthier lifestyles and pocket-friendly too. The threat of entry is more in case of the companies for whom the barriers of entry are low or are less powerful, which is marked by higher cost of the food items, unclean industry environment, and unhealthy food. 12
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4.4 Threat of substitutes Substitutes do not entirely replace existing products but it is noted that this industry companies need to introduce new technology or reducing costs of producing the same product. It is the availability of the product that consumers can purchase instead of the actual industry product. In the competitive environment, the profitability is more in the substitute products than the real industrial product. In the evolution of food industry the issues and trends affecting the different foodservice supply chain including the food manufacturers and distributors. The threats of the substitutes are the substitute products are cheaper than the industry product. The customer switching costs are low, the quality of the substitute products are more or less equal to the quality of the industry product, and the performance of the substitute products are equal or superior to the performance or workability of the actual industry product(Morrison and Morrison, 2011). 4.5 Bargaining power of buyers Having powerful buyers can reduce the rate or chances of potential profit. The bargaining buyersincreasethecompetitionforthefoodorthebeverageindustry'soperation.The concentrated buyer's group can stimulate the rate of selling. Due to the innovation, adaptation, earlyandlatemajorityandtheexcessivenessofthetraditionalismprovideathreator competition to the suppliers. The personality or the type of buyers highly affects the business operation (Hill and Hult, 2017). The consumer interest in food retail industry conducts for price, quality and range services through the negotiation of terms. In general, the bargaining powers of buyers in the food industry are the ability to obtain lower prices which are seen as beneficial. 4.6 Bargaining power of suppliers The supply function is a very important criterion in food retail industry, as the efficient execution of the production operations depends on the power of the suppliers to supply the appropriate products on a timely basis. Among the several determinants of the competitive ability of 13
business, the bargaining power of the suppliers is a very important part. The bargaining power determines how much control the supplier has over the potential to increase its prices which would help in lowering the profitability of the business(Guy, 2010). There are some new approaches to determine the market for limited applications in retailing of the retail food industry. It is emerging only in the food marketing system for applying Porter's five forces and thereby it is regressed against a concentration variable under the retail food industry.The number of suppliers available is also considered. The presence of a multitude of suppliers in the food industry would thus be profitable to the companies like Morrison and Tesco (Peng, 2017). 5.1 SWOT analysis 5.2 Tesco SWOT Strengths The global operation of Tesco includes the online shopping, joint ventures, and local requirements (Tesco plc. 2017) It offers the value of money, a wide rangeofproductsandsensitive management too. Theyareknowntoutilizeinnovative businessmethodslikeTescoMetro, Tesco express. Opportunity Expansionintodigitalentertainment through 80% of the investment. Theoverseasexpansionofgrocery retailmarketisalsoprovidingan opportunity for this company. Online shopping offers the customers a great flexibility to meet their demands. Weakness Diversityintofoods,books,and financial services are the weakness of this company. Threats ThetakeoverofAsdabytheWalk- mart. Presence of latest global competitors. 14
Investment in new web technology and IT industry. 5.3 Sainsbury’s SWOT Strengths Theloyaltyfromthecustomers (Sainsburys.com. 2017) The offering of Diverse, interesting new products. The low customer of employee ratio. Opportunity Rapid growth in the worldwide market. Utilizationofthenectardatabaseto identify potential customers. Growing number of the customer with interesting demands. Weakness Deficiencyofexperienceinthenew industry. Findingandretainingskilledand efficient employees. Threats Highly competitive industry. Several natural disasters. 5.4 Morrison SWOT Strength Largeportfolioofproduct (Morrisons.com. 2017) Having a huge amount of stores and more than 130,000 employees Havingpropersupplychainand distribution channels. Opportunity Therapidgrowthofdemandsof organic products. Worldwide business expansion Rising customer’s demands in private level. WeaknessThreats 15
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Limited geographic area. Suffering from the recalling of product.Competitor’smarketsharesare increasing. Increasingcostdemandsofthe employees. 6.1 Selection and Justification of financial ratios Financial ratio helps to provide a clear and brief idea about the financial position of the company. The financial ratio analyzed for the three chosen companies are profitability ratio, financialandleverageratioandlastlyefficiencyratio.Theratioanalyzedforthegiven companies are profitability ratio which consists of tax rate, net profit margin, asset turnover, return on asset, equity and invested capital along with interest coverage ratio. From the analysis of the three company’s profitability ratio, it is evident that the company Tesco profit margin is greater than the Sainsbury and Morrison. The other financial ratio which helps to throw light on the company key business risk which is determined by analyzing the financial ratio which consists of current ratio, quick ratio, financial leverage and debt/equity ratio. The financial ratio analysis of the three companies which reflect the financial and liquidity aspect indicates the Morrison companies are susceptible to solvency and liquidity risk as the current ratio and quick ratio of the company is below one which reflects that the company is unable to meet their short-term and current obligation with the available liquid as well as capital assets(Berk and DeMarzo, 2017). From the analysis of this ratio of three companies Tesco Plc considered to be a prominent and earning satisfactory amount of revenue for the given fiscal year when compared with Sainsbury and Morrison which eventually made Tesco Plc free from solvency and liquidity risk. 16
Finally, analysis of the efficiency of the company is determined by the key ratio which includes days' sales outstanding, days inventory, payable period, cash conversion cycle, inventory, receivables, fixed asset and asset turnover. The efficiency ratio helps to throw light on the ability of the company to manage and control its resource which eventually helps the company to earn more revenue with minimum utilization of the available resource. From the analysis of the key ratio of the three chosen companies it is evident from the financial ratio that the company Tesco is performing better and considerate in managing and controlling their resources effectively and efficiently as the receivable turnover ratio and asset turnover ratio is decreased and increased respectivelywhichshowthatthecompanybaddebtislesswhencomparedwithother companies(Parrino, 2015). 6.2 Selection and Justification of non- financial ratios The non-financial ratio is considered to be any quantitative aspect that is not measured in terms of monetary termsis considered to be a non-financial ratio. The non-financial ratio in the given reports are customers, staffs and investors are analyzed for the three companies.Tesco Plc andothertwocompaniesprimarilyfocusonthecustomersatisfactionandrespecttheir shoppingtimeandhencefocustoimprovetheshoppingexperienceoftheirrespective customer(Rahman, 2015). The staffs are considering being vital for the overall growth of the company, and hence the proper functioning of the company also depends on the company performance. The three companies focus on the staff safe and healthy working environment that included rewards and other key fringe benefits such as bonus schemes and other competitive advantages with profit.Tesco, Sainsbury and Morrison all the three companies focus on a robust strategy which eventually helps the business and another key figure to be reported in fair and transparent ways. 17
7.1 Timetable to complete the work The plan for project completion Is shown in the table below. Project SectionStartFinishMeeting with tutor after stage completion Introduction and rational 12/12/1715/12/17 Detailed and critical PESTLE and analysis 15/12/1729/12/17 Industry Competition analysis 29/12/1710/1/18 Ratio Analysis10/1/1820/1/18 SWOT analysis21/1/1831/1/18 Overall ranking31/1/1810/2/18 Recommendations31/1/1810/2/18 Critical reflection10/2/1815/2/18 Conclusion15/2/1820/2/18 Completion20/2/1827/2/18 Presentation27/2/185/3/18 Draft Submission27/2/185/3/18 Review points from tutor 5/3/1815/3/18 Complete5/3/1815/3/1817/3/18 18
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8.1 Conclusion In conclusion, the external and internal report outlines the analysis of the factors that will answer the project question (Peng. 2013). The PESTLE analysisand the five-step determination process of competitor nature, threats and opportunities have been discussed here. The critical success factors for the environment are analyzed to influence the competitive nature of the chosen industry and companies. The financial and non-financial ratios are chosen, justified and calculated for the comparison of the chosen companies. Strength, weakness, opportunity and threats will be determined and evaluated by SWOT analysis. 19
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Josie Cox, Z. (2017).Grocery sales in the UK have grown at their fastest rate in more than three years.[online]TheIndependent.Availableat: http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/grocery-sales-three-year-high-uk-consumer- demand-robut-supermarkets-retail-a7714741.html [Accessed 8 Dec. 2017]. Morrison,J.andMorrison,J.(2011).Theglobalbusinessenvironment.Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire: Palgrave Macmillan. Morrisons.com. 2017.Morrisons | Online Shopping | Food, Drink & More To Your Door. [online] Available at: http://www.morrisons.com [Accessed 4 Dec. 2017]. Ons.gov.uk. (2017).Unemployment rate (aged 16 and over, seasonally adjusted) - Office for NationalStatistics.[online]Availableat: https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peoplenotinwork/unemployment/ timeseries/mgsx/lms [Accessed 8 Dec. 2017]. Parrino, R. (2015).Corporate Finance. Singapore: John Wiley & Sons. Partington, R. (2017).Rising inflation leads to sales falls in all UK retail sectors apart from food.[online]theGuardian.Availableat: https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/aug/17/uk-retail-sales-growth-forecasts-food-june- ons [Accessed 8 Dec. 2017]. Peng, M. (2017).Global business. Australia: Cengage Learning. Peng. (2013).Global Business.Cengage Learning. Pinnock, A. (2010).Business studies. Claremont [Cape Town]: The Answer. Pinnock, A. (2012).Business studies. Claremont [Cape Town]: The Answer. Rahman, N. (2015).Corporate Finance. North Ryde: McGraw-Hill Australia. 21
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