This research paper discusses the impact of oil and gas on the economy of Guyana. It explores the potential for growth, challenges, and opportunities for the country. The paper also highlights the importance of effective management of oil revenues for sustainable development.
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1ACCOUNTING FINANCIAL ANALYSIS REPORT Table of Contents Introduction................................................................................................................................2 Literature Review.......................................................................................................................2 Oil and Gas Industry of Guyana.............................................................................................2 Oil and Gas Impacts Guyana Economy.................................................................................4 Concerns of Oil and Gas of Guyana......................................................................................8 Curse or Blessing...................................................................................................................9 Research Objective...................................................................................................................10 Research Design.......................................................................................................................10 Conclusion................................................................................................................................10 Reference..................................................................................................................................12
2ACCOUNTING FINANCIAL ANALYSIS REPORT Introduction Guyana is the country situated on northern main land of the South America. Guyana has gained immenseattention around the world after the announcement of the discovery of more than the ninety meters of the higher quality, reservoirs of the oil-bearingsandstone that is about200 km off to its coastline. The activity of the exploration of the oil and gas by the Guyana has been the sources of the tension by the neighboring countries. The offshore of the country has able for attracting various companies since 1940s, who have completed much of the geographical surveyance of area as well as drilling of the number of the wells. The ExxonMobil, which is the American multinational oil and the gas corporation, has found out oil,from the coast of Guyana, around the year 2015. It has been believed that reserves were big. They has believed that after flowing of the oil in the year 2020, the country Guyana would be reaping almost billions immediately and as per them around 750,000 barrels of the oil per day would be produced from the year 2025. This discovery of highest quality of the reservoirs of the oil-bearing sandstone could be used by the country as the base for boosting the economy of the country (Nowak 2018). Hence, under this research paper, discussion would be done on the impact of the oil and gas on the economy of Guyana. Literature Review Oil and Gas Industry of Guyana The oil and gas industry of Guyana is still considered to be in its infancy stage. The subsidiary of ExxonMobil, Esso exploration and production has started exploration of the offshore territory of the country. In the year 2015, this company becomes first company, who has discovered significant reserves of hydrocarbons with the help of Liza-1 and in Stabroek blocks. The country has now estimated recoverable of the resources of approx. billions boe at the Stabroek. The domestic sector of offshore has gained immense attention from that of the
3ACCOUNTING FINANCIAL ANALYSIS REPORT international players, since the first discovery of the hydrocarbons. Apart from Stabroek, Guyana, have additional seven blocks in the phases of the exploration as well as development that includes; Kaieteur and Canje, which are also operated by the Esso; Corentyne and Demerara by the CGX Energy as well as Roraima by Anadarko, Kanuku by the Repsol and Orinduik by the Tullow oil (Nathan 2017). The standard setting bodies of the country is planning for allowing the authorities for clearly defining the policy as well as implementing the mechanism that needed for properly governingtheindustryaswellensuringthegrowthsustainability.Theinternational institutions such as IM and World Bank have taken step for providing greater support for establishing the strong frameworks of regulatory (Namazi and Mohammadi 2018). Moreover, in 2018, department of energy was established by the ministry of presidency of Guyana by transferringofportfolioofhydrocarbonsfromministryofthenaturalresources.The developments are covered in the Oil & gas Year Guyana 2019. The business intelligence platform of Guyana, TOGYIN has the features that provide the profile of the companies as well as institutions who are active in the oil and gas industry of the country as well as providing the access to all of the coveragesand the content, which includes the interviews of the key players and leaders of the industry (Nafey 2014). After drilling of the eight gushing discovery of the wells offshore, the potential of the company has been increased for generating the amount of approx. $20 billion in the revenue of oil by end of next decade, which is roughly equivalent to much larger Colombia revenues. If every planning goes well then the poorest countries in the South America will be becoming wealthiest. However, there exist certain obstacles. The countries, which discovers oil they often wastes the opportunities they have because the resources generally blends seamlessly with the corruptions (Mohan, Strobl and Watson 2016). Moreover, the country, which is having weak political institutions such as Guyana are quite vulnerable. There exist enormous
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4ACCOUNTING FINANCIAL ANALYSIS REPORT challenges, which should not be underestimated. The companies of Guyana are seeking for training the training of the workers in the safety as well as basic operations of oil. The country needs for overcoming skepticism, corruptions, entitlements as well as nepotism. Moreover, in the recent years, there has been lot of shake of the stock prices because of the disappointingproductionsaswellasdepletingthereserves.Therehasbeenheavily investment in the Canadian Oil sands as well as in the natural resources by Exxon, when there were higher prices (Mistryet al. 2014) Oil and Gas Impacts Guyana Economy The economy of Guyana is the fastest growing economy in Caribbean. As the energy analysts has founded that Guyana would lead the world in the discoveries of offshore crude oil, since the year 2015. The country is on its blink of the major expansion of their oil & gas sector for the world-class scale with the first oil to be expected in the year 2020. The exploration of it has resulted in unprecedented rate of the success that is above 80 percent have able for confirming the estimated gross recoverable resources that is over and above five billion barrels of the oil equivalents as on December 2018. Guyana hosts the wider array of the international companies of oil that ranges from the supermajors to the junior players (Laing 2015). The investments that are projected over the life of initial planned development by private operators have developed around twenty percent of the total gross recoverable resources that amounts to $19.4 billion. The revenue has been expected from the export is at $54 per barrel from the initial projects alone would be approx. $72.8 billion and the revenue of government around $45.4 billion that is over projects life. The total revenue of the government was $0.9 billion, during 2017. Therefore, discoveries sizes helps in presenting the historic opportunities for Guyana for leveraging the revenue that are generated from the productions of oil into the inclusive growth as well as sustainable growth (Khadan and Baxter 2018).
5ACCOUNTING FINANCIAL ANALYSIS REPORT The main impacts of the economy on the sector of oil on Guyana is expected for taking place by the revenues of the oil helps in offering the opportunity for expanding the investment of public in the both human as well as physical capital and lifting of the key constraints for the inclusive growth. The appraisal of US $20million loan is provided to Guyana for building of the capacity in the oil and gas (Wenner, Bollers and Hosein 2018). The financial institution in this respect has said that the sector of oil and gas are expected for impacting the economy by the demand of the sector for the services and the infrastructure, creation of job, potential provisions of the cheaper as well as cleaner electricity, if the newly found natural resources of gas would be able for replacing costly, heavy as well as well as highly polluting highly fuel oil in the generation of power (Holland 2018). The country could be able for maximizing the benefits from the revenue of the oil as well as avoiding the pitfalls, which are associated with the petroleum generated windfalls, which have been the major areas of the concerns and the focuses for the government and the civil society, right since the discovery of the oil in 2015 (Trevisanut 2014). The prediction of the World Bank regarding the economic growth rate is expected to be higher than ever before, there is expectation that growth would accelerate from 2.1 % to $.8% in the year 2017-2018, from run up to start up. Moreover, the growth of GDP is projected for growing rapidly as the new fields of the oil would be coming into the production and the GNP would exclude transfers abroad. This would be accelerating at the lower rate but it would remain sustainable over the time (Hilson and Laing 2017). However, the economy of the country is threatened by the conflicts over the fiscal terms with the companies of oil, loss of the competitiveness from non-oil sector, inflation as well as currency over-appreciation, temptations for introducing the subsidiaries of the wastefulenergy.Moreover,localpopulationofthecountryconfrontstheunrealistic expectations of the sudden wealth, damage of environment as well as influx of the outsiders.
6ACCOUNTING FINANCIAL ANALYSIS REPORT These are certain issues, which is salient particularly for Guyana. Some of the Guyanese worries that valuable work of the services of the oil as well as contracting, which is the way for developing the domestic skills as well as economy that is supplied mostly by the Trinidad andTobagothatisoneofthemostprominentnameintheindustryofpetroleum (FUJIKAWA 2014). The large resources of the gas are found in combination of the oil, which have also been used responsibly. The Guyana is considered to be most fortunate for having the contrasting instance, which is in next door of Venezuela regarding how the oil sector that is mismanaged helps in ruining the country as well as Trinidad in which the most positive role has been played by the petroleum for country. The international goodwill as well as help would be ensuring that their oil is considered to be the bonus not only for the economy of the world but for the people (Fry and Delgado 2018). As the result, the government of Guyana is setting for implementing the new laws that would enable for boosting the economy, tackling the poverty as well as meeting the targets of the sustainable developments. It is with the help of Commonwealth, Guyana government is striving for drafting the new regulations of the petroleum, which would be helpful in maximizing the benefits of Liza oil fields that was discovered in the off coast of Guyana in the year 2015. This would be also helpful in meeting of the sustainable developmental goals that are agreed by the countries of United States. The economy of Guyana would be highly benefitted by billions of dollars as well as helping for meeting the goals of the sustainable development that are agreed by the countries of United Nations (Drewry, Shandro and Winkler 2017). The government of Guyana, with the help of commonwealth would be drafting the upstream policy of petroleum that is in addition to the redrafting of the Petroleum Exploration and Production act of Guyana. It has played central role top help for designing the Sovereign wealth fund of the country. These funds are considered as vital step for Guyana for effectively managing the oil revenues. The oil revenue of the Guyana helps fundamentally
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7ACCOUNTING FINANCIAL ANALYSIS REPORT for transforming the economy as well as enabling for meeting the key goals of sustainable developments. The country is working closely with government for drafting new legislation for establishing the Sovereign wealth fund. The implementation of the Sovereign wealth fund contributes towards economic stabilizations, maintaining the economic competitiveness as well as fairly transferring the petroleum wealth across the generations.Guyana government has supported their effort for writing the draft legislations that would help in establishing the Sovereign Wealth Fund. There is commitment of the commonwealth for further assisting government for ensuring effective regulations of petroleum industry as well as that of the revenues of the oil, which are managed wisely for benefit of the current as well as future generations of the Guyana (Sinclair and Jayawardena 2018). The production of oil would begin from 2020 that is year of country’s next elections. The current administrator has come to the power on the platform of the changes as well as promises for investing in the green economy. The framework of strategy in relation to the economic potential of the oil has outlined the ambitious aims for reducing the dependence of Guyana on the fossil fuel and achieving close to renewable energy of 100 percent usage by the year 2025 (Connelly and Sam 2018). The profit of Guyana oil as well as royalty from just Liza Phase 1 and Phase 2 at the price of oil of approx. $50 per barrel could rise up to approx. $3 billion per barrel after the end of five years and amount of $25billion over life of the projects. The windfall of this magnitude is quite important for the country because government has struggled a lot for funding the education as well as healthcare. In the country, much of the population is not having the access for paving the roads, reliable electricity as well as modern hospitals (Shah and Niles 2016). The development pace of the prospects of the deep water is impressive, as it would help in eradicating all the issues of the country. The pouring of the funding into the country has made Guyana with the fastest growing in Caribbean. There has been long-
8ACCOUNTING FINANCIAL ANALYSIS REPORT running political battle that has diverted the attention from critical needs, for instance development of the framework of revenue management as well as plans for overhauling the infrastructure of the nation, system of education as well as network of healthcare (Colley and Strutt 2015). Concerns of Oil and Gas of Guyana The likelihood of the oil spilling reaching to the coasts of Guyana might be small but the Environment Protection Agency of the country has noted that the spill at Liza would be affecting the marine resources that are found near the well that includes sea turtles as well as other marines’ mammals. The quality of air, water, marine fish as well as seabirds would also be impacted.The existence of the drilling of oil is having great worry for Guyana that is especially in respect of recent spill of oil at the nearest neighbor Caribbean, Trinidad (Clegg 2014). The government is more concerned for the potential impact on endangered sea turtles, which breed as well as live along the north-west costal region of Guyana.In this respect, the company ExxonMobil has made their agreement for a mapping out the coastal mangroves as well as studying the areas of turtle, bird and fish routes of mitigations for setting the priorities in case when cleanup is required. The other benefit given by the company is for building the pipeline of natural gases to shore, which would replace heavy burning of fuel oil for power plants as well as lowering of the costs to the businesses as well as consumers (Canterbury 2016). Therefore, it requires having more funding towards environmental protection agency as well as raising of awareness, concerns as well as building of the capacity among people living along coastline. There have been great concerns of environment about the potential impacts on the fishing for livelihood, managements of emissions as well as waste streams. In this respect, the applications for joining the initiatives of extractive industries transparency have been recently approved (Bynoe 2014). The organization usually publishes what they pay
9ACCOUNTING FINANCIAL ANALYSIS REPORT and the government publishes what they receive from the exploitations of the natural resources. However, Guyana is expected for publicly disclosing the contracts as well as agreementswith thecompaniesunder the requirementsof EITI(ExtractiveIndustries Transparency Initiatives). These move speeds up for the creation of the special department within the ministry of the natural resources that just focusses on the oil and gas. The efforts are taken for empowering the Petroleum Commissions of Guyana. It will be empowered by its own governing act and it will be regulating the sector of petroleum in Guyana (Brisboiset al.2018). Curse or Blessing The government of Guyana has scored relatively poor on the measurement of the public corruption as well as transparency, which makes more prone to resourcebeing cursed than the robust democracy, for instance in producing of the oil, the government of Guyana is indebted heavily. Therefore, overspending the shares of the revenue of ExxonMobil could be tempting. The curses of revenue are dangerous spiral of the political corruption as well as economic mismanagement, which has driven frequently the nations that is rich in commodity (Bøe and Jordal 2016). The higher revenue from the oil reduces the requirement for collecting the taxes from the citizens. It creates the effect of no representations without the taxation in which the government uses the real or the anticipated economic windfalls for the fund social programs, which placate the citizens. This helps in reducing the popular demand foraswellasthewillingnesstothegovernmentforprovidingactualdemocratic representation. The corruption blooms as the elected leaders uses the oil income as the part of their political slush fund as well as votes that are bought rather than being earned. As the result, the governments that are funded by the oil become less accountable to the citizens (Al- Risheq 2016).
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10ACCOUNTING FINANCIAL ANALYSIS REPORT The curses of resources are not inevitable in the Guyana. There are several resources rich countries such as Canada, Norway, Malaysia, Chile and Botswana who have avoided all the economic as well as political chaos. The trick for this to use the revenues of the commodity in the sustainable as well as in the responsible as well as sustainable manner and protecting the existing industries as the backdrop to volatility of the market of oil. The country has joined already various international coalitions for offering requirements of voluntary guidance as well as transparency for helping the countries managing soundly the commodity wealth (Ali and Schena 2018). Research Objective The research is based on answering the questions relating to the fact that what are the impacts of the oil and gas on the economy of the Guyana, what are the challenges faced by the Guyana economy and whether it is advantageous and disadvantageous for the company? This research paper aims for gaining the insights from answering these questions. Research Design The research design of this research paper is based on the deductive approach. The research type selected in the research paper is descriptive. The strategy that has been selected in the context of research is to collect the data from various sources for gaining good insights about the topic to reach at the apt conclusion. For the research purpose, secondary data has been selected that includes researches from relevant articles, websites and books. Lastly, the qualitative techniques are used in this research paper. Conclusion Therefore, it can be concluded from the analysis that Guyana is facing great turning point in the development of its economy. It has been found that major portion of the revenue of the country would be coming from the oil and gas profits. It has been found that Guyana is
11ACCOUNTING FINANCIAL ANALYSIS REPORT having tremendous challenges as well as opportunities and the government is making effort for responding to it in their best possible ability with the prudent measures. Further, it has been analyzed that government should make an effort or strong regulation relating to economic, environmental as well as social deployment. Moreover, it has been analyzed that there are certain problems that are faced by the government such as risks of the corruption, patronage as well as nepotism, vulnerability and over-spending for falls in the prices of oils, lacking of the capability and weakening of the democracy for managing the operations of oil and collections of tax. In addition, it has been found that Sovereign Wealth Fund as well as Green State Development Strategy would help in allowing the country for prospering as the state having oil rich feature. Lastly, it can be said for the optimistic outlook for the Guyana that the newest industries of Guyana as well as the dollars, which follows would be attracting the great minds, bring out the new opportunities for the development of the skills as well as boosting the other activities of the economy.
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