The Adoption of Additive Manufacturing Technology in Sweden
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This paper analyzes the adoption of Additive Manufacturing (AM) technologies in Sweden. The authors investigate two questions. Firstly, what are the current applications of AM in Sweden (e.g. Rapid Prototyping (RP), production)? Secondly, what are the factors that can explain the variation in AM adoption among the users?
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8Babak Kianian et al. / Procedia CIRP40 ( 2016 ) 7 – 12 developmentprocessesbyimprovingproductquality, reducing cost (less assembly and tooling etc.), and reducing time to market etc. The use of AM to fabricate production parts has also shown a continuous increase since 2003. In 2003 it was valued at 3.9% of the total global product-service revenues from AM, while this value increased to 42.6% in 2014.Besidesthis,theglobalmarketgrowthinthepart production segment was 66% in 2014 to an estimated $1.748 billion [3]. International approaches to AM are significantly different to that of Sweden. Governments in many countries (e.g. USA, New Zealand, Australia, UK, Germany, Singapore and China) are heavily investing in AM as a production technology. One of the biggest challenges currently facing Swedish industry is a lack of the ability to adopt AM technologies and to deploy them to their full potential beyond just prototyping [4]. Currently Sweden lies behind its neighbours Germany, the United Kingdom, France, and Belgium in its AM adoption rates and is thus lagging behind on its capacity to innovate and keep up with similar industries in other countries [3,4]. International competitors in many sectors are continuously investing in AM, and the authors of this paper thus believe that Sweden needs to strategically reduce the current gap on thelackofknowledgeandimplementationofAM.The authors also believe that the ‘Swedish Agenda for Research and Innovation Within AM and 3D Printing’, which was recently coordinated by Umeå University in Sweden is a great start to that path. According to the agenda, Swedish industry hasadoptedandutilizedAMcomparativelylittlebeyond prototyping,andtheinfrastructurelevelinSwedish universitiesarewellbelowtherestoftheEuropeand worldwide [4]. The above-mentioned agenda is quite general; particularly concerningwhySweden is lagging behind in adoption of AM and also what factors can explain and predict the plausible move beyond using AM solely in rapid prototyping. This can be a problem from the perspective of users and policy makers in Sweden, because the agenda provides little insight onhow toreducethegapbetweenSwedenandotheradvanced countries.Thispaper,therefore,aimstoprovideamore detailedperspectiveregardingthecurrentstatusofAM adoption and utilization in Sweden through investigating two questions. Firstly, what are the current applications of AM in Sweden (e.g. rapid prototyping, production)? And secondly, what are the factors that can explain the variation in AM applications among the users? The rest of the paper is as follows: Section 2 provides a literature review of AM state of art in particular related to AM applications, AM technology types and raw materials. Section 3 first introduces the research design (e.g. data collection method), and then specifies the method (empirical strategy), which is regression analysis. Section 4 provides the results in two sequences: description of analyses and empirical result. Section 5 first provides a discussion on the results, and then concludes and points out suggestions for future research. 2.Literature Review This section provides a review of literature in order to identify the additive manufacturing (AM) technology types, raw materials types, and AM application areas worldwide and in Sweden. Innovationinproductiontechnologyisviewedasa powerful competitive weapon, which, if an industry adopts and implements it strategically, can bring about many other competitive advantages (e.g. superior quality, shorter delivery cycles, lower inventories, shorter new product development cycles) [6]. Utilizing innovation in production technologies, such as AM, can cause improvements in market share. There are a few cases of research and research and development (R&D), which propose that the management of the adoption and implementation of innovative production technologies is a distinctive area of study in research [7]. For example, in recent years the emergence of enterprise resource planning systems (ERP) and radio-frequency identification technology (RFID)hascreatedextensiveinvestigationandresearch articles on their implementation in academia and industries. The results of this are the creation of many process models and frameworks to assist decision makers and managers to implement those new innovations successfully. However, the research and practice of AM as a production technology has stayed relatively behind in its exploitation level [8]. BesidestheUmeåAgenda,whichisaddressedinthe introduction, there are relatively few scholars investigating current AM state of art or practice in Sweden. For example, Kianian et al 2015, share the same opinion as the agenda, concerning the level of adoption and deployment of AM in Sweden, and they also provide a few examples as exceptions to the lack of AM utilization in Sweden, which are excellent examples of personalized high-tech manufacturing [9]. The AM applications worldwide are well summarized by figure 1 below and, as noted earlier in the introduction, AM is havinganincreasingroleinmanyindustries,andAM capabilities now cover a wide ranges of applications. The authors categorize AM applications for this paper’s analysis intofivecategoriesinlinewiththeWohler’sreport classification in figure 1. Figure 1. AM applications worldwide. Source: Wohler’s Associates, Inc. The five categories are Rapid Prototyping (RP) including general prototyping applications, and patterns for prototyping
9Babak Kianian et al. / Procedia CIRP40 ( 2016 ) 7 – 12 tooling,patternformetalcastings,fitandassembly; Production:includingfunctionalpartsandtooling components;Management:includingvisualaidsand presentation models; Research & Development and Education (R&D and Edu) Including fundamental science and research workinAM;andRapidPrototyping&Productionand Management (RP & PROD and MNG) including all the AM applications used by a single user (see table 1 in section 3.2). There are many approaches to classifying AM processes, like categorizing them according to a baseline technology such as whether the process utilizes UV lasers, extrusion technology, printer technology, etc. [10,11]. Another way is to classify AM processes together based on the type of raw materials (e.g. polymers, metals, ceramics) the system uses [12]. As Gibson et al 2010 argued it is more appropriate to use more than one classification method, as there are some issues with relying merely on one AM process classification [13]. One of the issues, according to Gibson et al 2010, is that some of the AM processes with similar fabricated parts are placed in separate categories, and that some processes gather in the same categories in an odd way. There are some attempts to addresstheseclassificationproblemsthroughsuchasthe classificationmethodproposedbyPham1998,which categorizesAMprocessesbasedonbothatechnology baselines and raw material types [13,14]. This paper’s authors carefullyconsidertheseAMprocessesclassification approaches,andthenproposesixcategoriesforAM technology types, and four categories for AM material types. These classifications are shown in table 1 (Variable names and descriptions) in section 3.2 (empirical strategy). The authors in this paper classify the Swedish AM users’ size class in line with the European Union’s definition [15]. Thus, the three categories of small firms (employment range 1-15), Medium firms (employment 16-100), and large firms (employmentrangeof101andmore)areidentifiedas explanatory variables (see table 1 in section 3.2). 3. Method 3.1 Research Design Thispaperisbasedonaquantitativeresearch methodology. The data comes from a survey of 55 Swedish usersofAM(e.g.companies,universitiesandresearch institutes), which was carried out by 3dp.se between 2013- 2014 [16]. The authors of this paper also add data from 15 additionalusers,whichhavenotbeenconsideredinthe survey. Therefore, a total sample of 70 users is obtained. The authors conduct regression analysis as an analytical tool in this paper. Regression analysis is a statistical process for estimating the relationships among variables [17]. 3.2. Empirical Strategy The main aim of this paper, as noted earlier, is twofold: First, the paper describes and maps the various applications of AMthatareactuallychosenandutilizedbytheusers (companies and research institutions), and second, the paper analyzes the determinants of such choices. The first part of the aim is descriptive in nature and the authors will explain this part in Section 4.1. The second part of the aim is analytical in nature and regression analysis is used as the analytical tool. Regression analysis is commonly utilized in social science andmedicinetoanalyzetheeffectofsomepotential explanatory factors on the phenomenon of interest [17]. The phenomenonofinterestinthisstudyisthechoiceof applicationofAMbyusers.Theauthorsemploya multinomiallogitmodelinordertoinvestigatethe determinants of various AM applications choices by users. Formally speaking, the probability that userichooses AM applicationjis given by: Whereis the vector of explanatory variables,are a set ofunknownparameterspereachexplanatoryvariable, capturingtheeffectofeachexplanatoryvariablesonthe probabilities of choosing each AM applications, andjis the AM applications that users decide to choose. Starting from the vector, it is composed of several explanatory variables, which,asdiscussedintheliteraturereviewsection,are expected to have significant (positive or negative) effect on the choice of AM application. Specifically, these explanatory variables are as follows: the AM technology types that the users deploy, raw material types, amount of AM machine investments, size (number of employees) of the user, and the location of the user (for the exact definitions, see Table 1). As noted,are unknown parameters but they can be estimated through a procedure called maximum likelihood estimation, which is the output of regression analysis. And finally, ”j” can be coded in two ways. First, in a dichotomous way, i.e. it gets valuej=0 when useridecides to use AM only and exclusively for the rapid prototyping (RP) purposes, and it gets valuej=1 when useridecides to use AM not exclusively for RP. Second, in an extend version, whilej=0 is still the same as dichotomous way,j=1 can be expanded as follows: (the new)j=1 is when firms decide to still have the AM for RPpurposesbutalsoutilizeAMforproductionand management purposes,j=2 is when firms decide to use AM only in Production,j=3 is when firms decide to use AM only formanagementpurposes(e.g.visualaids,presentation models), and finallyj=4 is when firms decide to use AM only in research & development and education. This implies that in theregressionanalysis,therewillbetwoalternative dependentvariables.Bothofthemaremeasuringthe phenomenon of interest, i.e. application of AM among users, butjustintwodifferentways.Moreover,ineitherof dichotomous or extended version, thej=0 is considered to be the “base” category (choice). This means the result of the estimation for each j should be interpreted with reference to this base category. It should be noted that, multinomial logit
10Babak Kianian et al. / Procedia CIRP40 ( 2016 ) 7 – 12 modelisvalidiftheassumptionofindependencefor irrelevant alternatives (IIA) is not violated. Table 1-Variable names and descriptions Variable namesDescription Application of AM Rapid Prototyping (RP)Gets value 1 if user only uses AM in RP, 0 otherwise RP & PROD & MNGGets value 1 if user only uses AM in RP plus production as well as management, 0 otherwise Production (PROD)Gets value 1 if user only uses AM in production, 0 otherwise Management(MNG)Gets value 1 if user only uses AM in Management, 0 otherwise R&D and EDUGets value 1 if user only uses AM in education & Research, 0 otherwise Technology Type* FDM (base)Gets value 1 if user has FDM technology in their AM, 0 otherwise Polyjet (ColorJet printing) Gets value 1 if user has Polyjet technology in their AM, 0 otherwise SLAGets value 1 if user has SLA technology in their AM, 0 otherwise SLSGets value 1 if user has SLS technology in their AM, 0 otherwise Multiple AM Technologies Gets value 1 if user has Multiple Technologies in their AM, 0 otherwise Other AM Technologies Material Type Polymers (base)Gets value 1 if user has polymer as the material in their AM, 0 otherwise MetalsGets value 1 if user has Metals as the material in their AM, 0 otherwise Multiple MaterialsGets value 1 if user has multiple materials in their AM, 0 otherwise Others Machine investments** The amount of investment in 3-D machines ranges from 1 to 5 Size class Small firms (base)Employment range of 1-15 Medium firmsEmployment range of 16-100 Large firmsEmployment range of 101 and more LocationGets value one if the firms is located in ne of Sweden’s Metropolitan areas (Stockholm, Gothenburg, Malmö) * FDM (Fused Deposition Modeling), SLA (Stereolithography), SLS (Selective Laser Sintering), Multiple Technologies (When a firm decides to engage in various combinations of the following technologies simultaneously: Laminated Object Manufacturing - LOM, Electron Beam Melting - EBM, Plaster Based 3D Printing - PP, Multi-jet Printing - MJP, Digital Light Projection/Processing - DLP, Scan, Spin and Selectively Photocure - 3SP, Direct Metal Laser Sintering - DMLS), Others (When a firm decides to engage in only one of the above technologies) ** Scale 1 to 5 corresponds to following ranges in thousand kroners: 1 (5 to 15), 2 (16 - 100), 3(100 to 250), 4(250 to 1000), 5 (over 1 million SEK) 4. Analysis 4.1 Description In order to have a better understanding of how users in SwedenactuallyuseAM,thissectionprovidessome descriptivestatistics.Table2reportsthenumberof observations,mean,standarddeviation,minimum,and maximum values for each variables. Table 2- Descriptive Statistics VariablesObservationsMeanStd. Dev.MinMax APP*70.6571429.478091401 FDM70.3714286.486675501 Polyjet70.0857143.28196301 SLA70.0571429.233791301 SLS70.0428571.203997301 Multiple AM Technologies70.3571429.482617101 Other AM Technologies70.0857143.28196301 Polymer70.7714286.422944401 Metal70.0571429.233791301 Multiple Materials70.1571429.366563101 Other Materials703.21.49975815 Small Firms70.5857143.49615501 Medium Firms70.2142857.413288601 Large Firms70.2.402888101 Location70.4142857.49615501 * APP is the dichotomous version of the dependent variable. Looking at APP (our dichotomous dependent variable), it is interesting to note that about 65% of users are using AM not exclusively for rapid prototyping (RP), but either using AMforRPtogetherwithotherapplications(suchasin production)orexclusivelyinotherapplications.Further looking at the data reveals that the majority of these 65% users have not given up applying AM in their RP, rather they areusingAMinRPtogetherwithproductionand management(about41%),whileonly6%areusingAM exclusivelyintheirproduction,4%exclusivelyfor management purposes (e.g. visual aids, presentation models) and about 14% for education and research purposes. When it comes to technology types, as expected, Fused Deposition Modeling (FDM) is the most popular type with 37% of users exclusivelyadoptingthistechnology.Whatisperhaps surprisingisthatusing“multipletechnologies”isalmost equally as popular as FDM, i.e. about 36% of users. When it comes to material types, the dominance is for polymer with about77%ofusersusingpolymerrawmaterials.An interesting observation is about the size of the users, which adopt and utilize AM technologies. About 58% of the users are small organizations (1 to 15 employees) and the medium and large size organizations are about 20% each. 4.2. Empirical Results The author conducts regression analysis in order to have a properunderstandingregardingtheeffectofexplanatory variables on the phenomenon of interest. As discussed in Section3.2,amultinomialregressionmodelisusedto estimate the effect of each potential explanatory variable on each choice of AM application that users choose. Table 3 reports the estimation results. Table 3- Determinants of Applications of Additive Manufacturing for users Explanatory Variables Other departments than only DP (1) Other departments than only DP (2) DP plus PROD & MNG (2.1) Only PROD (2.2) Only MNG (2.3) Only EDU (2.4) Polyjet0.123 (0.618) 0.065 (1.127) 34.920 (22,453) -20.766 (17,616) -18.209 (12,115) SLA0.717 (0.741) 0.952 (1.333) 37.952 (10,828) -18.285 (64,521) 47.720 (50,091) SLS0.088 (0.912) -19.445 (17,658) 141.822 (44,234) -21.904 (32,996) 1.344 (2.285) Multiple AM Technologies 1.581** (0.617) 2.416* (1.448) 74.710 (14,232) -0.396 (3.253) 2.842 (2.066) Other AM Technologies 1.437 (1.187) 15.695 (2,966) 124.999 (19,268) 1.073 (4,113) 32.518 (5,171) Metals-0.716-16.163-63.017-0.60217.860
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11Babak Kianian et al. / Procedia CIRP40 ( 2016 ) 7 – 12 (1.143)(2,966)(3.630)(4,113)(3,762) Multiple Materials -0.208 (0.644) -1.168 (1.513) -1.434 (7,443) -18.451 (10,404) 0.335 (1.564) Machine Investments 0.004 (0.167) 0.424 (0.385) -35.175 (5,982) 2.185 (1.479) -1.448* (0.795) Small Firms0.580 (0.573) 2.817** (1.419) 64.220 (19,227) 21.291 (5,184) -70.491 (27,416) Medium Firms0.499 (0.569) 1.812 (1.400) 63.531 (23,870) 22.047 (5,184) -1.195 (1.618) Location0.062 (0.366) 0.403 (0.709) 2.053 (10,440) 3.489 (2.877) -0.830 (1.238) Observations7070 Notes: The Table reports the estimated parameters in Equation 1 (with standard errors in the parenthesis. The signs * and ** means the estimated parameters are statistically significant at 90% and 95% level respectively. The reference category for both model (1) and (2) are “using AM only in DP”. Model (1) is based on logit estimation (as a specific case of Multinomial estimation) and Model (2) is based on Multinomial estimation. Table 3 shows the determinants of applications of additive manufacturing(AM)invariousdepartmentswithinthe seventy user firms in Sweden. Model (1) is based on logit estimation (a specific case of multinomial model) and model (2) is based on multinomial estimation. The results in model (1)showsthatifafirmdecidestousemultipleAM technologies(asopposedtouseonlyfuseddeposition modeling), then the firm tends to significantly use the AM in not only rapid prototyping, but also other departments. In model(2),theauthorsfurtherbreakdownsuch“other departments” into its components, as follows: (i) in rapid prototypingplusproductionandmanagement (simultaneously),(ii)onlyinproduction,(iii)onlyin management, and (iv) only in R&D and education. These four breakdowns corresponds to models (2.1), (2.2), (2.3), and to (2.4) respectively in Table 3. It turns out that the observed significant effect of multiple AM technologies is associated with “simultaneously” using the multiple AM technologies in rapid prototyping, production and management departments. UsingmultipleAMtechnologiesdoesnotaffectthe probability of using AM exclusively in any of management, production,orR&Dandeducation(relativetousingthe multiple AM technologies in rapid prototyping only). 5. Discussion and Conclusion This section provides a discussion based on the results of the empirical analyses, which are provided above in section 4. Thesectionthenconcludesandsuggestssomeresearch opportunities as future work. The main findings of this paper are as follows. (i) There is a variation among users’ choice of AM application and the majority of users are expanding their AM applications beyond rapid prototyping. (ii) There are two factors that positively affectthedecisionoffirmstoexpandclassicalrapid prototyping and incorporate production and management as well. These two factors are using multiple AM technologies and being small sized companies. 5.1.SwedishIndustryTrendsinAdditiveManufacturing Utilization Beyond Prototyping AM capabilities are used in various applications and play importantrolesinmanyindustriesworldwide(Wohler’s Report2014).Swedenliesbehinditsneighbors(e.g. Germany, the United Kingdom, France, and Belgium) in its AM adoption rates and thus is lagging behind on its capacity toinnovateandkeepupwithsimilarindustriesinother countries [4]. This also means that Sweden is underutilizing its chance to capture the sustainable benefits of utilizing AM asadisruptivetechnologyleadingtoamorecircular economy. Despite all of these facts, the result of this paper shows that the majority of the Swedish AM users (65%) are expandingAMcapabilitiesbeyondjustrapidprototyping (RP) in order to take advantage of AM full potential and hopefullyreaptherewardsofamoresustainable manufacturing process. This outcome can be considered as a milestone and indicates that Swedish AM users are starting to acknowledge that, as Sweden’s international competitors in many sectors are continuously investing in AM, if Sweden wantstoincreaseitsglobalcompetitiveness,itneedsto investigate means to redress its lack of ability to adopt AM technologies and to deploy them to their full potential beyond just prototyping. 5.2. Factors Affecting Swedish Industry’s Decision to Expand Beyond Rapid Prototyping There are two factors that positively affect the decision of Swedish users to expand classical rapid prototyping (RP) and incorporatealsoAMproductionandmanagement applications.ThesetwofactorsareusingmultipleAM technologies and being small sized companies. When it comes totheformerfactor(technologytypes),fuseddeposition modeling (FDM), as expected, is the most popular type as 37% of users exclusively adopting this technology. What is perhaps surprising is that using “multiple technologies” is almost equally as popular as FDM, i.e. about 36% of users. When it comes to the latter factor, an interesting observation is related to the size of companies which adopt and utilize AM technologies. About 58% of the users are small organizations (1to15employees)whilethemediumandlargesize organizations are at about 20% each. 5.2.1. Multiple AM Technologies AM includes a range of technologies that offer advantages overtraditionalmanufacturing.Untilrecentlythese technologies were unable to produce components of the same strengthandqualityasconventionallymanufactured components. However, some of the latest technologies have advanced to the point where it is now possible, for certain types of components, to produce fully functional production components, in a fraction of the time needed by conventional methods, particularly if one includes tooling/setup times [1,3]. In addition to these technological advancements, there are some AM patents, which have been expired recently, and others that will be expiring in next few years. These facts foster the access to many AM technologies types, as both the technologies’costreducesandupgradingprocesscycles shorten.
12Babak Kianian et al. / Procedia CIRP40 ( 2016 ) 7 – 12 5.2.2. Small Sized Companies Small enterprises and medium-sized firms are classified by theirsize,balancesheetorturnover.InSweden,all enterprises that have less than 250 employees are identified as medium size enterprises and those who have less than 50 employees are identified as small enterprises [15]. Small and medium-sizedenterprises(SMEs)representtheprominent portion of economic activities in Sweden, as about 99% of all type of enterprises are SMEs in Sweden. Based on the result of this paper (as described in section 4 and 5.2 above), SMEs show to be the main driver of additive manufacturing (AM) adoption and utilization in Swedish industry. This is the result of the evidence in this study that the combination of small size users(58%)andthemediumsizeusers(20%)arethe dominants AM users in Sweden (78%), as they show AM implementationbeyondrapidprototyping.Theauthors believethatoneofthemainreasonsbehindthisSMEs behavior is that AM removes existing performance trade-offs intwoelementalways.Firstly,AMdecreasestheinitial capital needed to fulfill economies of scale. Secondly, AMs flexibility reduces the capital needed to fulfill economies of scope[18].Areductionintheinitialcapitalrequiredis extremely beneficial to SMEs, as it enables them to try their ideas with lower risk. This increased use of AM will lead to an increased competitiveness for SMEs in a global market, where innovation cycles are becoming faster and the demand for a decreased time-to-market is high. By the use of AM, the SMEs are able to shorten their innovation processes and are able to create added value for their products and services. Since the use of AM will enable the companies to manage the completechainoftheproduct,frominnovationto manufacturing, all in-house, it will empower the possibility to maintain the manufacturing jobs in Sweden, for customized parts or parts in short series, this will help the SMEs to be able to compete in an international market [9,16]. This is a particularly important factor as according to Swedish Agency forEconomicandRegionalGrowth(Nutek)thereisan increase in Swedish SMEs internationalization. One of every four Swedish SMEs is internationalized [19]. During the analysis in this study care is taken in order to point out the reasons for which the explanatory variables are distinguished; and to also point out variables (e.g. multiple technologies, small firms), which may be common features to AM applications and implementations, all in order to provide a source for a potentially more generic solution. It is essential to acknowledge the nature of this case study and the number of observations presented in this work. The scenario under investigation is limited to 70 AM users (e.g. companies,universities,researchinstitutes)inSweden comingfromvariousbackgrounds.However,thereare currentlynostatisticsavailableonthetotalnumberof companies that use AM in Sweden. The authors expect that the effect and significance of this work outcome will be determinedbythescenariounderstudy.Thereforefuture worksmaylooktoextendthenumberofobservations regardingtheusersofAMinSweden.Anotherresearch opportunitywillbecomparingthevariousvariables determining the AM applications and its implementations in different countries (e.g. Scandinavian countries). Acknowledgement The authors would like to express their sincere thanks to MattiasKristianssonof3dp.seforhiscooperationwith providing the initial descriptive result of the survey, which was conducted by 3dp.se, and also his continuous support of this work. 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