This document provides an overview of National Income Accounting, including its definition, calculation methods (Product Method, Income Method, Expenditure Method), and the importance of GDP. It also discusses the limitations and challenges of measuring national income.
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1 |P a g e Amity University Noida, Uttar Pradesh Amity International Business School PSDA Managerial Economics Topic: National Income Accounting Submitted By: Arjun Kaul A-15 Manvi Thakur A-53 Swasti Jain A-51 Yash Singhal A-19 MBA-IB (Sec. B) Submitted To:Dr. Kshamta Chauhan Ma’am
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2 |P a g e ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS One of the pleasant aspects of preparing a project report is the opportunity to thank those who have contributed to make this project possible. We are extremely thankful to Dr. Kshamta Chauhan For giving us this project. Her active interest and insight has helped us to formulate, redefine and implement our approach to the project. Thank You
3 |P a g e PREFACE As part of our MBA IB curriculum and to gain knowledge in the field of management, we are required to make a report on "National Income Accounting.” The Basic Objective behind doing this project report is to gain a better understanding of various concepts of Macro-economics. In this project report we have included the different topics covered in National Income Accounting like its types, their differences, advantages and disadvantages and methods to calculate it. We have also included the concept of circular flow of income. Through this project we came to know about the importance of teamwork and the role of devotion towards work.
4 |P a g e INDEX ParticularsPage No. Introduction5 Methods To Calculate National Income6 Gross Domestic Product (GDP)9 Net Domestic Product (NDP)13 Gross National Product (GNP)14 Net National Product (NNP)17 Gross National Income (GNI)19 National Income as Good Indicator for Economic Health 20 National Income as Bad Indicator for Economic Health 21 Types of Income22 Circular Flow of Income25 Importance of National Income Analysis27 Challenges of National Income Analysis28 Limitations in Measuring National Income29 Inter-Relationship Among Different Concepts of NI30 Summary31
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5 |P a g e INTRODUCTION National income is an uncertain term which is used interchangeably with national dividend, national output and national expenditure. On this basis, national income has been defined in a number of ways. In common parlance, national income means the total value of goods and services produced annually in a country. In other words, the total amount of income accruing to a country from economic activities in a year’s time is known as national income. It includes payments made to all resources in the form of wages, interest, rent and profits. The progress of a country can be determined by the growth of the national income of the country. Net national income encompasses the income of households, businesses, and the government. Net national income is defined as gross domestic product plus net receipts of wages, salaries and property income from abroad, minus the depreciation of fixed capital assets (dwellings, buildings, machinery, transport equipment and physical infrastructure) through wear and tear and obsolescence. The Marshallian Definition: According to Marshall:“The labour and capital of a country acting on its natural resources produce annually a certain net aggregate of commodities, material and immaterial including services of all kinds. …This is the true net annual income or revenue of the country or national dividend.”In this definition, the word ‘net’ refers to deductions from the gross national income in respect of depreciation and wearing out of machines. And to this, must be added income from abroad. The Pigouvian Definition: Marshall’s follower, A.C. Pigou, has in his definition of national income included that income which can be measured in terms of money. In the words of Pigou,“National income is that part of objective income of the community, including of course income derived from abroad which can be measured in money.” The aggregate economic performance of a nation is calculated with the help of National income data. The basic purpose of national income is to throw light on aggregate output and income and provide a basis for the government to formulate their policy, programmes, to maximize the national welfare of the people. Central Statistical organisation calculates the national income in India.
6 |P a g e METHODS OF CALCULATION The Product or Value-Added Method : In product method we calculate the aggregate annual value of goods and services produced (if a year is the unit of time). The term that is used to denote the net contribution made by a firm is called its value added. We have seen that the raw materials that a firm buys from another firm which are completely used up in the process of production are called ‘intermediate goods. Therefore, the value added of a firm is, value of production of the firm – value of intermediate goods used by the firm. The value added of a firm is distributed among its four factors of production, namely, labour, capital, entrepreneurship and land. Therefore wages, interest, profits and rents paid out by the firm must add up to the value added of the firm. Value added is a flow variable. This is also known as the Value-Added Method to GDP or GDP at Factor Cost by Industry of Origin. The following items are included in India in this agriculture and allied services; mining; manufacturing, construction, electricity, gas and water supply; transport, communication and trade; banking and insurance, real estates and ownership of dwellings and business services; and public administration and defence and other services (or government services). In other words, it is the sum of Gross Value Added. Steps of the Value-Added Method 1.Identifying and classifying production units: The first step is to recognize every production unit and then categorise them into three sectors, primary, secondary and tertiary. 2.Calculate GDP at market price: To arrive at this figure, first add Gross Value Added at Market Price (GVAMP) of every sector and the total sum will represent the Gross Domestic Product at Market Price (GDPMP). Therefore, GVAMP=GDPMP. 3.Calculate Domestic Income: To calculate the domestic income or Net Domestic Product at Factor Cost (NDPFC), net direct taxes and depreciation should be subtracted from GDPMP. The product method formula applicable here is NDPFC=GDPMP – depreciation - net direct taxes. 4.Add Net Factor Income from Abroad (NFIA) to NDPFC: Finally, NFIA is added with NDPFC to get the final figure of national income. Therefore, National Income at Factor Cost (NNPFC) = NDPFC + NFIA.
7 |P a g e The Income Method : The sum of final expenditures in the economy must be equal to the incomes received by all the factors of production taken together (final expenditure is the spending on final goods, it does not include spending on intermediate goods). This follows from the simple idea that the revenues earned by all the firms put together must be distributed among the factors of production as salaries, wages, profits, interest earnings and rents. This method we add net income payments received by all citizens of a country in a particular year. Net incomes that result to all the factor of production like net rents, wages, interest, and profits are all added together, but income received in the form of transfer payments are omitted. Apart from that, self-employed individuals like doctors, CAs, advocates, etc. employ their own capital and labour. Thus, their income is regarded as mixed-income. Therefore, in the income method, the national income is measured in terms of these factor payments. Thus, it is also known as ‘factor payment method.’ Income Method Formula National Income (NNPFC) = Net Domestic Product at Factor Cost (NDPFC) + Net Factor Income from Abroad Here NDPFC = Compensation of Employees + Operating Surplus + Mixed-Income Here Operating Surplus = Rent + Interest + Profit Steps of Income Method 1.The first step in calculating national income via income method is toidentify and segregate the units of production. They are classified into three categories, primary, secondary and tertiary. 2.The next step of the income method of national income is to classify factor payments in different categories like wages, rent, interest, profit and mixed-income. Otherwise, they can be classified into compensation to employees, operating surplus and mixed-income. After classifying, estimate the number of such payments made by enterprises. 3.Summing up all factor incomes of every sector will present the domestic income figure (NDPFC). NDPFC = Compensation of Employees + Operating Surplus + Mixed-Income 4.The last step to reach the final National Income figure is to estimate Net Factor Income from Abroad (NFIA) with NDPFC. National Income (NNPFC) = Net Domestic Product at Factor Cost (NDPFC) + Net Factor Income from Abroad (NFIA)
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8 |P a g e The Expenditure Method : An alternative way to calculate the GDP is by looking at the demand side of the products. This method is referred to as the expenditure method.This method considers consumption, investments, net export, and government expenditure to calculate a nation’s annual GDP. Expenditure method of national income can be considered as the most common way to calculate GDP as it includes both public and private sector expenses incurred within a nation’s borders. However, this system can only be used to calculate nominal GDP, which is not adjusted for inflation. There are primarily four different types of aggregated expenses that are utilised to determine GDP. These are – 1.Investments made by businesses. 2.Government expenses on goods and services. 3.Household consumption. 4.Net export (total exports minus the value of imported goods and services). GDP = C + I + G + (X – M) Here, C is consumer spending on different goods and services, I represents investments made by businesses, and on capital goods, G represents government’s spending on goods and services provided to the public, X is exports, and M is imports. Precautions Considered While Using Expenditure Method of National Income 1.Any expenses on account of intermediate goods cannot be considered to determine a nation’s income as these expenses are already included in the value of final goods produced. Otherwise, it will lead to double-counting of a single expenditure, thus inflating national income inaccurately. 2.Any transfer payment should not be included under the expenditure formula as these payments do not add any value to a nation’s economy. 3.Purchase of any second-hand goods is not included in the total expenditure method as these do not affect the total value of goods and services produced. However, any brokerage paid on the purchase of such goods or services has to be included in the calculation. 4.Procurement of assets such as shares, bonds, debentures, etc. is also not included in the calculation as these represent changes in ownership instead of changes in goods and services’ values. Contrarily, any brokerage earned on the trading of shares will be considered as a productive service.
9 |P a g e GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is a measure of commercial value that produces final goods and services in a particular time period. GDP per capita (also called GDP per person) measures a country’s standard of living. Each country draws up and brings out its GDP data regularly. A country with a higher rate of GDP is regarded as well off in economic perspectives than a country with a lower rate. GDP Calculation in Economics The subject of Economics, to a large extent, includes the study of the way goods and services are produced, distributed and consumed. In Economics, a purchaser of goods and services can be classified into three main categories - •Households •Businesses •Government GDP is calculated through an expenditure avenue which means adding up those expenditures made by those three groups of purchasers. If you want to know how GDP is calculated in simpler forms, please follow the formula that is mentioned below - GDP = Consumption + Investment + Government Spending + Net Exports Importance of GDP GDP qualifies policymakers and central banks to analyse whether the economy is contracting or developing. It also indicates any signs of recession or uncontrolled inflation. GDP differs because of the following reasons - •When the economy is flourishing, GDP is rising, and then it needs to be controlled by implementing “tighter monetary policy” to get hold of the inflation. •Similarly, if interest rates rise, companies and consumers reduce spending, and the economy holds back. •The ongoing process leads companies to cut out employees and hence affects consumer confidence and demand.
10 |P a g e GDP as an Economic Welfare Since GDP estimates both the economy’s total income and expenditure on goods and services, one may have a question is GDP a good measure of economic welfare or not. Well, GDP cannot be considered as a perfect measure of economic well-being. For instance, if everyone in the economy suddenly starts working every day of the week rather than enjoying leisure periods on holidays. There will be more production of goods and services and hence would rise. Despite the rise of GDP, the loss from reduced leisure can lead to poor quality of products and thus would negate the gain from producing and consuming a greater quantity of goods and services. Therefore, GDP and welfare may not always go hand in hand. It can be a fair assessment of economic well-being but not all purposes. More GDP does not necessarily mean an increase in happiness. But more GDP does mean the measurement of the production of goods and services. GDP for Economists and Investors Economists examine constructive GDP growth between different time periods to have an idea of how much an economy is prospering. Investors also take notice because a notable change in GDP can have a significant impact on the stock market. If a company faces lower earnings, then it can lead to lower stock prices. Understanding of GDP Price Deflator The GDP price deflator mainly shows the effect of price changes on GDP by initiating a base year and comparing current prices to prices in the base year. It explains the price level changes, hikes within the economy, and keeps tracking of the prices paid by the businesses, government and consumers. Are you finding a problem in understanding GDP price deflator?? If yes, then please follow the formula provided below - GDP Price Deflator = (Nominal GDP/ Real GDP) × 100 For example, GDP Deflator in 1997-98 = 1426-7th- crores/1049.2th. crores at 1993-94 prices = 135.9 It shows that at constant prices (1993-94), GDP in 1997-98 increased by 135.9% due to inflation (or rise in prices) from Rs. 1049.2 thousand crores in 1993-94 to Rs. 1426.7 thousand crores in 1997-98.
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11 |P a g e What is Nominal GDP? Nominal Gross Domestic Product or nominal GDP is the Value of GDP calculated as per the current market prices. So, nominal meaning it will contain all the changes in market prices owing to inflation and depletion for the current year. So, it represents the current market value of goods and commodities produced in a specific time. What is Real GDP? Unlike nominal GDP of India, real GDP is an inflation-adjusted calculation of GDP. It is the estimate of the total value of all goods and commodities produced in a year which are accounted for inflation. To calculate this, one needs to consider the prices of a selected base year. One needs to first calculate the change in GDP because of inflation and divide out the inflation for every year. Therefore, it is concluded that even if the change in prices doesn't lead to a change in output, then the nominal GDP would show change. Nominal GDP vs Real GDP Nominal GDP is also known as unadjusted GDP and is the measure of value of all end-products manufactured in a nation in a specific period. Here, the market value changes depending upon the change in quantity of production and change in respective prices of those goods and commodities. Real Gross Domestic Product or real GDP explains the change in price because of inflation. Therefore, it can be concluded that the inflation adjusted nominal GDP and real GDP are the same. Therefore, in a given financial year, if the price of production changes with the change in period, while the output remains unchanged, then the value of real GDP will remain the same. In an ideal scenario wherein, there won't be any inflation/ deflation in a given period, the value of nominal GDP and real GDP will remain the same. Besides, it is easier to analyse or measure the real GDP than that of nominal GDP. Now the general price level of the year for which real GDP is to be calculated is related to the base year on the basis of the following formula which is called the deflator index: Real GDP = GDP for the Current Year x Base Year (=100)/Current Year Index Suppose 1990-91 is the base year and GDP for 1999-2000 is Rs. 6,00,000 crores and the price index for this year is 300. Thus, Real GDP for 1999-2000 = Rs. 6,00,000 x 100/300 = Rs. 2,00,000 crores.
12 |P a g e GDP at Market Price Gross domestic product at market prices aims to measure the wealth created by all private and public agents in a national territory during a given period. The most key aggregate of national accounts, it represents the end result of the production activity of resident producing units. There are three ways of measuring GDP at market prices: 1.the production approach, as the sum of added values of all activities which produce goods and services, plus taxes and minus subsidies on products; 2.the expenditure approach, as the sum of all final expenditures made in either consuming the final output of the economy, or in adding to wealth, plus exports and minus imports of goods and services; 3.the income approach, as the sum of all incomes earned in the process of producing goods and services (payment of salaries, gross operating margin and mixed income) plus taxes on production and imports and minus subsidies. The Expenditure Method is most commonly used for calculating GDP at market Price. GDP at Market Price: C+ I + G +X -M GDP at Factor Cost 1.Land -Rentto be paid for the owner of land you hired or the office building you occupy. 2.Labour - got to pay the boys theirwages and salaries,else they would leave you alone with your factory! 3.Capital -intereston capital is desired on the amount you invested. 4.Entrepreneur - hey, don't you want to take home theprofits!? The Sum of these factor payments is GDP at factor cost for you as a producer. When you add the GDP at FC contributed by all producers in a country, you get the real GDP FC of the country. Now factor cost is the sum of expenditure incurred by you to produce the goods. When u sell that good in the market, you got to pay the Taxes and you ought to get Subsidies from Govt. So, these taxes and subsidies determine the Factor Cost. So, GDPat Factor Cost = GDP at Market Price – Indirect Taxes + Subsidies.
13 |P a g e NET DOMESTIC PRODUCT (NDP) Net domestic product accounts for capital that has been consumed over the year in the form of housing, vehicle, or machinery deterioration. The depreciation accounted for is often referred to ascapital consumption allowanceand represents the amount of capital that would be needed to replace those depreciated assets. The portion ofinvestmentspending that is used to replace worn out and obsolete equipment — depreciation — while essential for maintaining the level of output, does not increase the economy’s capacities in any way. If GDP were to grow simply as a result of the fact that more money was being spent to maintain the capital stock because of increased depreciation, it would not mean that anyone had been made better off. Because of this some economists view NDP as a better measure of social and economic wellbeing than GDP. Machinery that is put to regular use may need parts replaced regularly until the entire piece of equipment is no longer usable. While that may take many years, barring unexpected damage or defects, there is a cycle of equipment failure and replacement. Part of the machinery in a factory’s production line may need to be replaced while another set of similar machines continues to function within the same factory. The acquisition of the replacement machinery would be factored into the depreciation aspect of the NPI. This differs from an expansion of factory operations—for example, the opening of a new site, adding to the total number of factories. The acquisition of new machines for the new factory would represent a gain because the demand was driven by the need to increase the scope of the operations, rather than serve as a replacement. This would mean the purchased machine would qualify as a gain for the NDP. The construction of new homes on previously unused real estate can also represent a gain for the NDP if the residences are not intended to replace defunct or demolished property.For example, in many urban areas, efforts may be made to re-purpose underutilized real estate that has fallen into disrepair. Instead of expanding the sprawl of the city, older buildings might be torn down and replaced by new construction intended to fill the same use as the predecessor building. Such an example would qualify as depreciation and replacement. By contrast, if a new housing community is developed, the construction of residences would be contributory to NDP. FORMULA 1.NDPat Market Price = GDP at Market Price – Depreciation 2.NDP at Factor Cost = NDP at Market Price – Indirect Taxes + Subsidies
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14 |P a g e GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT (GNP) The gross national product or GNP is the aggregated value of all the goods and services which are produced by the country’s residents within a particular financial year. GNP categorically excludes the income which is generated by foreigners who are only residing within the territory of the country. GNP includes four types of final goods and services: 1.Consumers’ goods and services to satisfy the immediate wants of the people; 2.Gross private domestic investment in capital goods consisting of fixed capital formation, residential construction and inventories of finished and unfinished goods; 3.Goods and services produced by the government; and 4.Net exports of goods and services, i.e., the difference between value of exports and imports of goods and services, known as net income from abroad. In this concept of GNP, there are certain factors that have to be taken into consideration: First, GNP is the measure of money, in which all kinds of goods and services produced in a country during one year are measured in terms of money at current prices and then added together. But in this manner, due to an increase or decrease in the prices, the GNP shows a rise or decline, which may not be real. To guard against erring on this account, a particular year (say for instance 1990-91) when prices be normal, is taken as the base year and the GNP is adjusted in accordance with the index number for that year. This will be known as GNP at 1990-91 prices or at constant prices. Second, in estimating GNP of the economy, the market price of only the final products should be taken into account. Many of the products pass through a number of stages before they are ultimately purchased by consumers. If those products were counted at every stage, they would be included many a time in the national product. Consequently, the GNP would increase too much. To avoid double counting, therefore, only the final products, and not the intermediary goods should be taken into account. Third, goods and services rendered free of charge are not included in the GNP, because it is not possible to have a correct estimate of their market price. For example, the bringing up of a child by the mother, imparting instructions to his son by a teacher, recitals to his friends by a musician, etc.
15 |P a g e Fourth, the transactions which do not arise from the produce of current year or which do not contribute in any way to production, are not included in the GNP. The sale and purchase of old goods, and of shares, bonds and assets of existing companies are not included in GNP because these do not make any addition to the national product, and the goods are simply transferred. Likewise, the payments received under social security, e.g., unemployment insurance allowance, old age pension, and interest on public loans are also not included in GNP, because the recipients do not provide any service in lieu of them. But the depreciation of machines, plants and other capital goods is not deducted from GNP. Fifth, the profits earned or losses incurred on account of changes in capital assets as a result of fluctuations in market prices are not included in the GNP if they are not responsible for current production or economic activity. For example, if the price of a house or a piece of land increases due to inflation, the profit earned by selling it will not be a part of GNP. But if, during the current year, a portion of a house is constructed anew, the increase in the value of the house (after subtracting the cost of the newly constructed portion) will be included in the GNP. Similarly, variations in the value of assets, that can be ascertained beforehand and are insured against flood or fire, are not included in the GNP. Sixth, the income earned through illegal activities is not included in the GNP. Although the goods sold in the black market are priced and fulfill the needs of the people, but as they are not useful from the social point of view, the income received from their sale and purchase is always excluded from the GNP. There are two main reasons for this. One, it is not known whether these things were produced during the current year or the preceding years. Two, many of these goods are foreign made and smuggled and hence not included in the GNP. FORMULA 1.GNP at Market Prices = GDP at Market Price + Net Income from Abroad. Net Income earned from abroad: This is the difference between the value of exports of goods and services and the value of iimports of goods and services. If this difference is positive, then it is added to the GNP and iif it is negative it is deducted from the GNP. 2.GNP at Factor Cost = GNP at Market Price – Indirect Taxes + Subsidies.
16 |P a g e GNP v. GDP The GDP and GNP differences can be understood from the following points. ParametersGNPGDP Concept The gross national product amounts to the valuation of such services and goods produced by a citizen of a country without any constraint on geographical boundaries. It is computed within a particular financial year. The gross domestic product amounts to the valuation of such services and goods which are produced within the geographical confines of a country. It is computed within a particular financial year. Purpose Gross national product is for measuring all production by the country’s nationals Gross domestic product is only for measuring the domestic production within the geographical boundaries of a country. Focus The production made by the country’s citizens irrespective of the boundary The production made only on the domestic front of a country What it seeks to measure Measurement of the contribution of its citizens towards its economy Measurement of the strength of the economy of a country Measuring productivity Production is measured on an international scale Production is measured only on a domestic scale Exclusion Services and goods which are produced by foreigners residing within the country is excluded in the gross national product Services and goods which are produced outside the domestic economy of a country is excluded in the gross domestic product
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17 |P a g e NET NATIONAL PRODUCT (NNP) NNP is often examined on an annual basis as a way to measure a nation's success in continuing minimum production standards. It can be a useful method to keep track of aneconomyas it takesintoaccountallitscitizens,regardlessofwheretheymaketheirmoney,and acknowledges the fact thatcapitalmust be spent to keep production standards high. This NNP takes into account the depreciation factor, and what is depreciation? Depreciation is nothing but the wear and tear of the fixed assets. While in the context of NNP it also refers to the capital used to maintain the existing stock. NNP is the total value of all the final goods and services that are produced by the factors of production of a country in a specified time chalking out or minus the depreciation amount. Next, we should know that for calculating NNP, the economists take into consideration two very prior factors that areindirect taxes and subsidies. The market price of any product comes with taxes, this tax amount goes to the government. Thus, while calculating the NNP, economists are required to deduct the taxes. Also, the government provides subsidies to encourage the production of certain goods and services. This being the case, we are required to add these subsidies while calculating the NNP. The NNP after considering the taxes and subsidies is called the NNP at the factor cost or the national income. The relationship between a nation's GNP and NNP is similar to the relationship between itsGross Domestic Product(GDP) andNet Domestic Product(NDP). Special Considerations Environmental Economics NNP has particular usefulness for the field of environmental economics. NNP is a model associated with the depletionof natural resources, and it can be used to determine whether certain activities are sustainable within a particular environment. Foreign-Made Products As previously mentioned, NNP also factors in the value of goods and services produced overseas. That means that the activities of U.S. manufacturers in Asia, for example, count toward the U.S.' NNP. That is not the case for GDP and NDP, which limit their interpretation of the economy to the geographical borders of the country.
18 |P a g e Use in economics Although the net national product is a key identity in national accounting, its use in economics research is generally superseded by the use of the gross domestic or national product as a measure of national income, a preference which has been historically a contentious topic (see e.g., Boulding (1948) and Burk (1948)). Nonetheless, the net national product has been the subject of research on its role as a dynamic welfare indicator as well as a means of reconciling forward and backward views on capital wherein NNP(t) corresponds to the interest on accumulated capital. Furthermore, the net national product has featured prominently as a measure in environmental economics such as within models accounting for the depletion of natural and environmental resources or as an indicator of sustainability. Recording Depreciation It is divided into two categories: physical capital and human capital. Physical capital and human capital depreciate in different ways. Physical capital experiences depreciation based on physical wear and tear, while human capital experiences depreciation based on workforce turnover—when staff leave, companies must spend more of their resources on training and finding new talent. FORMULA 1.NNP at Market Price = GNP at Market Price – Depreciation Or NNP at Market Price = NDP at Market Price + Net Factor Income from Abroad 2.NNP at Factor Cost = NNP at Market Price – Indirect taxes + Subsidies Or NNP at Factor Cost = NDP at Factor Cost + Net Factor Income from Abroad
19 |P a g e GROSS NATIONAL INCOME (GNI) Gross National Income (GNI) is the total amount of money earned by a nation's people and businesses. It is used to measure and track a nation's wealth from year to year. The number includes the nation's gross domestic product (GDP) plus the income it receives from overseas sources. The more widely known term GDP is an estimate of the total value of all goods and services produced within a nation for a set period, usually a year. GNI is an alternative to gross domestic product (GDP) as a means of measuring and tracking a nation's wealth and is considered a more accurate indicator for some nations. To convert a nation’s GDP to GNI, three terms need to be added to the former: 1.Foreign income paid to resident employees 2.Foreign income paid to residential property owners and investors 3.Net taxes minus subsidies receivable on production and imports. GDP vs. GNI vs. GNP Of the three measures, GNP is the least used, possibly because it might be deceptive. For instance, if a nation's wealthiest citizens routinely move their money offshore, counting that money would inflate the nation's apparent wealth. In fact, GNI may now be the most accurate reflection of national wealth given today's mobile population and global commerce. •GDP is the total market value of all finished goods and services produced within a country in a set time period. •GNI is the total income received by the country from its residents and businesses regardless of whether they are located in the country or abroad. •GNP includes the income of all of a country's residents and businesses whether it flows back to the country or is spent abroad. It also adds subsidies and taxes from foreign sources. How Is GNI Calculated? To calculate GNI, compensation paid to resident employees by foreign firms and income from overseas property owned by residents is added to GDP, while compensation paid by resident firms to overseas employees and income generated by foreign owners of domestic property is subtracted. Product and import taxes that are not already accounted for in GDP are also added to GNI, while subsidies are subtracted.
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20 |P a g e NATIONAL INCOME AS GOOD INDICATOR FOR ECONOMIC HEALTH Generally, economic development is a process of change over a long period of time. Though there are several criteria or principles to measure the economic development, yet none provides a satisfactory and universally acceptable index of economic development. 1.A larger real national income is normally a pre-requisite for an increase in real per capita income and hence, a rising national income can be taken as a token of economic development. 2.The increase in per capita income is a good measure of economic development. In the advanced countries, per capita income has been on continuous increases because the growth rate of national income is greater than the growth rate of population. This has raised the economic lot of the people. In underdeveloped countries, there is very less capacity to produce per head. So, as the capacity to produce goes up these economies proceed towards economic development. 3.When the purchasing power of money goes up, even then there is an increase in the level of economic welfare. The purchasing power of money can go up when with the increase in national income there is also increase in the prices of goods. That means economic welfare can increase if price stability is ensured. 4.Standard of living and not rise in per capita income or national income should be consideredanindicatorofeconomicdevelopment.Theveryobjectiveof development is to provide better life to its people through improvement or upliftment of the standard of living. In other words, it refers to increase in average consumption level of the individual.
21 |P a g e NATIONAL INCOME AS BAD INDICATOR FOR ECONOMIC HEALTH 1.For one, GDP by definition is an aggregate measure that includes the value of goods and services produced in an economy over a certain period of time. There is no scope for the positive or negative effects created in the process of production and development. 2.Environmental degradation is a significant externality that the measure of GDP has failed to reflect. The production of more goods adds to an economy’s GDP irrespective of the environmental damage suffered because of it. 3.In the underdeveloped countries where per capita income is regarded as a measure of economic development, with the increase in per capita income of these countries, there is also increase in unemployment, poverty and income inequalities. This cannot be regarded as development. 4.It is difficult to determine proper deflators to eliminate the effects of price changes in an underdeveloped country. 5.It is also complicated when average income is rising but unemployment exists due to the rapid growth of population, thus, such a situation is not consistent with the development. 6.It cannot definitely be said that economic welfare has increased if the national and even the per capita income may be rising unless the distribution of income is equitable. 7.Another aspect of modern economies that makes GDP anachronistic is its disproportionate focus on what is produced. Today’s societies are increasingly driven by the growing service economy – from the grocery shopping on Amazon to the cabs booked on Uber.
22 |P a g e TYPES OF INCOME Domestic Income: Income generated (or earned) by factors of production within the country from its own re- sources is called domestic income or domestic product. Domestic income includes: 1.Wages and salaries, 2.Rents, including imputed house rents, 3.Interest, 4.Dividends, 5.Undistributed corporate profits, including surpluses of public undertakings, 6.Mixed incomes consisting of profits of unincorporated firms, self-employed persons, partnerships, etc., and 7.Direct taxes. Since domestic income does not include income earned from abroad, it can also be shown as: Domestic Income = National Income – Net Income earned from abroad. Thus, the difference between national income and domestic income is the net income earned from abroad. If we add net income from abroad to domestic income, we get national income, i.e.,National Income = Domestic Income + Net income earned from abroad. Private Income: Private income is income obtained by private individuals or firms from any source, productive or otherwise, and the retained income of corporations. It can be arrived at from NNP at Factor Cost by making certain additions and deductions. The additions include transfer payments such as pensions, unemployment allowances, and sickness and other social security benefits, gifts and remittances from abroad, windfall gains from lotteries or from horse racing, and interest on public debt. The deductions include income from government departments as well as surpluses from public undertakings, and employees’ contribution to social security schemes like provident funds, life insurance, etc.
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23 |P a g e Private Income = National Income (or NNP at Factor Cost) + Transfer Payments + Interest on Public Debt – Social Security – Profits and Surpluses of Public Undertakings. Personal Income: Personal income is the total income received by individuals of a country from all sources before payment of direct taxes in one year. Personal income is never equal to the national income, because the former includes the transfer payments whereas they are not included in national income. Personal income is derived from national income by deducting undistributed corporate profits, profit taxes, and employees’ contributions to social security schemes. These three components are excluded from national income because they do reach individuals. But business and government transfer payments, and transfer payments from abroad in the form of gifts and remittances, windfall gains, and interest on public debt which are a source of income for individuals are added to national income. Personal Income = National Income – Undistributed Corporate Profits – Profit Taxes – Social Security Contribution + Transfer Payments + Interest on Public Debt. Disposable Income: Disposable income or personal disposable income means the actual income which can be spent on consumption by individuals and families. The whole of the personal income cannot be spent on consumption, because it is the income that accrues before direct taxes have actually been paid. Therefore, in order to obtain disposable income, direct taxes are deducted from personal income. Disposable Income=Personal Income – Direct Taxes. But the whole of disposable income is not spent on consumption and a part of it is saved. Therefore, disposable income is divided into consumption expenditure and savings. Disposable Income = Consumption Expenditure + Savings.
24 |P a g e If disposable income is to be deduced from national income, we deduct indirect taxes plus subsidies, direct taxes on persons and on business, social security payments, undistributed corporate profits or business savings from it and add transfer payments and net income from abroad to it. Disposable Income = National Income – Business Savings – Indirect Taxes + Subsidies – Direct Taxes on Persons – Direct Taxes on Business – Social Security Payments + Transfer Payments + Net Income from abroad. Real Income: Real income is national income expressed in terms of a general level of prices of a particular year taken as base. National income is the value of goods and services produced, as expressed in terms of money at current prices. But it does not indicate the real state of the economy. It is possible that the net national product of goods and services this year might have been less than that of the last year, but owing to an increase in prices, the NNP might be higher this year. For this purpose, the following formula is employed: Real NNP = NNP for the Current Year x Base Year Index (=100)/Current Year Index Suppose 1990-91 is the base year and the national income for 1999-2000 is Rs. 20,000 crores and the index number for this year is 250. Hence, Real National Income for 1999-2000 will be = 20,000 x 100/250 = Rs. 8,000 crores. This is also known as NI at constant prices. Per Capita Income: The average income of the people of a country in a particular year is called Per Capita Income for that year. This concept also refers to the measurement of income at current prices and at constant prices. For instance, in order to find out the per capita income at current prices, the national income of a country is divided by the population of the country in that year. Per Capita Income = National income /Population Similarly, for the purpose of arriving at the Real Per Capita Income, this very formula is used. Real Per Capita Income = Real national income /Population
25 |P a g e CIRCULAR FLOW OF INCOME Both inflow and expenditure are integral parts of any functional economy. They tend to come in handy for analysing the performance of an economy and further helps to formulate effective strategies for different economic sectors. It must also be noted that the circular flow of money creates a link between consumers and producers and helps create functional market networks. What is Circular Flow of Income? The circular flow of income can be explained as a functional economic model which represents how money flows through the different sectors in an economy. It depicts how produced goods and services; income and expenditure tend to flow in an economy. One can explain the circular flow of income and expenditure with three types of economy, namely – two-sector economy, three-sector economy and four-sector economy. Typically, there are 3 phases of the circular flow of income in a simple economy or closed economy – I.Production Phase: It is primarily concerned with income generation. II.Income Phase: It includes movement of factor income like rent, wage, interest and profits from production firms to household. III.Expenditure Phase: In this phase, the income generated through factors of production is spent mostly on goods and services which are produced by firms. Notably,thereareseveralfactorsofproductionandconsumptionlike,labour,capital, enterprise, rent, wage, interest and profit, which tend to affect the circular flow of money. Also, there are different types of the circular flow of economic activity one should become aware of. Types of Circular Flow of Income Generally, they are of 4 types – 1.Real Flow: It indicates the movement of factor services from households in an economy to its business units. It also shows the movement of goods and services from business units to households of an economy. 2.Money Flow: It indicates the movement of money from different economic sectors in terms of factor payments for availing factor services. 3.Injections: In practice, money is introduced into an economy for firms and household borrowing from financial institutions. 4.Leakages: Typically, indicates the withdrawal of money from the flow.
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26 |P a g e Circular Flow of Income: In a Two-Sector Economy Notably, it is a hypothetical concept, where the economy comprises only two sectors, namely, households and business firms. In such a setup, the households serve as a source of factors, and they generate income by providing factor services to business firms. On the other hand, business firms serve as a provider of goods and services generate income by supplying the same to households within the economy. In simple words, the circular flow of income in a two-sector economy can be defined as the flow of money and receipt of goods, service and factor services between business firms and household sectors. Take a look at this diagram below to understand the functioning circular flow of income in a two-sector economy effectively. Here, the outer flow indicates the monetary flow, while the inner flow indicates the real flow of income. In turn, it indicates that the expenses incurred by the household sector emerge as an income source for the business firms and vice versa. Hence, it can be said that, Moneyreceivedbyproducers=Householdearnings=Households’expenseson consumptions. However, such a model is based on some assumptions to make it more practical. Such assumptions which as follow – a.There are 2 sectors in the economy, i.e., business firms and households. b.The economic activities are free from government intervention. c.It is a closed economy, where business firms do not participate in import and export.
27 |P a g e IMPORTANCE OF NATIONAL INCOME ANALYSIS 1.For the Economy: The national income data are of great importance for the economy of a country. These days the national income data are regarded as accounts of the economy, which are known as social accounts. These refer to net national income and net national expenditure, which ultimately equal each other. 2.National Policies: The national income data form the basis of national policies such as employment policy, because these figures enable us to know the direction in which the industrial output, investment and savings, etc. change, and proper measures can be adopted to bring the economy to the right path. 3.Economic Planning: In the present age of planning, the national data are of great importance. For economic planning, it is essential that the data pertaining to a country’s gross income, output, saving and consumption from different sources should be available. Without these, planning is not possible. 4.Research: The national income data are also made use of by the research scholars of economics. They make use of the various data of the country’s inputs, outputs, income, saving, consumption, investment, employment, etc., which are obtained from social accounts. 5.Per Capita Income: The national income data are significant for a country’s per capita income which reflects the economic welfare of the country. The higher the per capita income, the higher the economic welfare and vice versa. 6.Distribution of Income: The national income statistics enable us to know about the distribution of income in the country. From the data pertaining to wages, rent, interest and profits, we learn of the disparities in the incomes of different sections of the society. Similarly, the regional distribution of income is revealed. It is only on the basis of these that the government can adopt measures to remove the inequalities in income distribution and to restore regional equilibrium. With a view to removing these personal and regional disequilibria, the decisions to levy more taxes and increase public expenditure also rest on national income statistics.
28 |P a g e CHALLENGES OF NATIONAL INCOME ANALYSIS 1.Intermediate and Final Goods: The greatest difficulty in estimating national income by product method is the failure to distinguish properly between intermediate and final goods. There is always the possibility of including a good or service more than once, whereas only final goods are included in national income estimates. This leads to the problem of double counting which leads to the overestimation of national income. 2.Depreciation: Depreciation is deducted from GNP in order to arrive at NNP. Thus, depreciation lowers the national income. But the problem is of estimating the current depreciated value of, say, a machine, whose expected life is supposed to be thirty years. Firms calculate the depreciation value on the original cost of machines for their expected life. This does not solve the problem because the prices of machines change almost every year. 3.Price Changes: National income by product method is measured by the value of final goods and services at current market prices. But prices do not remain stable. They rise or fall. When the price level rises, the national income also rises though the national production might have fallen. On the contrary, with the fall in the price level the national income also falls, though the national production might have increased. So, price changes do not adequately measure national income. To solve this problem, economists calculate the real national income at a constant price level by the consumer price index. 4.Illegal Activities: Income earned through illegal activities like gambling, smuggling, illicit extraction of wine, etc. is not included in national income. Such activities have value and satisfy the wants of the people but they are not considered productive from the point of view of society. But in countries like Nepal and Monaco where gambling is legalized, it is included in national income. Similarly, horse-racing is a legal activity in England and is included in national income.
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29 |P a g e LIMITATIONS OF NATIONAL INCOME ANALYSIS 1.Non-Monetized Output and Its Transactions: In the estimation of national income or output, only those goods and services which are exchanged against money are normally included. But in an under-developed country like India, a huge portion of our total output is still either being consumed at home or being bartered away by the producers in exchange of other goods and services leading to the non-inclusion of huge non-monetized output in the national income estimates of the country. 2.Non-Availability of Information about Petty Income: The national incomes estimate in India is also facing another problem of non-availability of information about the income of small producers and household enterprises. In India a very large number of producers are still carrying on production at a family level or are running household enterprises on a very small scale. 3.Lack of Differentiation in Economic Functions: In India the occupational classification is incomplete and thus there is lack of differentiation in economic functions. As National Income Statistics are collected by industrial origin thus classification of producers and workers into various occupational categories is very much essential. 4.Unreported Illegal Income: In India the parallel economy is fully operational as hidden or subterranean economy. Thus, there is huge unreported illegal income earned by those people engaged into those parallel economy which is not included in the national income estimates of our country. 5.Lack of Reliable Statistical Data: The most important difficulty facing the national income estimation in India is the non- availability of reliable statistical information. In India national income data are collected by untrained and semiliterate persons like gram sevaks and thus the statistics are mostly unreliable.
30 |P a g e INTER-RELATIONSHIP AMONG D/F CONCEPTS OF NATIONAL INCOME 1.Gross Domestic Product (GDP) = GNP – Net Income from abroad. 2.GNP at market Prices = GNP at Factor cost + Indirect Taxes – Subsidies 3.NNP at Market Prices = GNP at Market Prices – Depreciation or Capital Consumption Allowance 4.Net Domestic Product (NDP) = NNP at Market Prices – Net Factor at Market Prices Income from abroad 5.NNP at Factor Cost or National Income or National Product = NNP at Market Prices – Indirect Taxes + Subsidies 6.NDP at Factor Cost or Domestic = National Income – Net Factor Income or Domestic Product Income from abroad 7.Private Income = NNP at Factor Cost + Government and Business Transfer Payments + Current Transfers from abroad in the form of Gifts and Remittances + Windfall Gains + Net Factor Income from abroad + Interest on Public Debt and Consumer Interest – Social Security Contribution – Income from Government Departments and property – Profits and Surpluses of Public Corporations (or Undertakings 8.Income from Domestic Product = NDP at Factor Cost – Income from accruing to Private Sector Domestic Product accruing to Government Departments – Saving of Non- Departmental Enterprises. 9.Personal Income = Private Income – Saving of Private Corporate Sector (or Undistributed Corporate Profits) – Corporation Tax (or Profit Taxes) 10.Personal Disposable Income or = Personal Income – Direct Taxes Disposable Income paid by Households (or Direct Personal Taxes) and Miscellaneous Fees, Fines, etc. OR = National Income at Factor Cost + Transfer Payments + Net Income from abroad – Corporate Tax – undistributed Corporate Profits – Social Security payments – Direct Personal Taxes – Indirect Taxes + Subsidies.
31 |P a g e SUMMARY At a very fundamental level, the macroeconomy (it refers to the economy that we study in macroeconomics) can be seen as working in a circular way. The firms employ inputs supplied by households and produce goods and services to be sold to households. Households get the remuneration from the firms for the services rendered by them and buy goods and services produced by the firms. So, we can calculate the aggregate value of goods and services produced in the economy by any of the three methods: 1.Measuring the aggregate value of factor payments(income method) 2.Measuring the aggregate value of goods and services produced by the firms(product method) 3.Measuringtheaggregatevalueofspendingreceivedbythefirms (expenditure method). In the product method, to avoid double counting, we need to deduct the value of intermediate goods and take into account only the aggregate value of final goods and services. We derive the formulae for calculating the aggregate income of an economy by each of these methods. We also take note that goods can also be bought for making investments and these add to the productive capacity of the investing firms. There may be different categories of aggregate income depending on whom these are accruing to. We have pointed out the difference between GDP, GNP, NNP at market price, NNP at factor cost, PI and PDI. Since prices of goods and services may vary, we have discussed how to calculate the three important price indices (GDP deflator, CPI, WPI). Finally, we have noted that it may be incorrect to treat GDP as an index of the welfare of the country.