Table of Contents INTRODUCTION...........................................................................................................................3 1. EVALUATION OF FINANCIAL ANALYSIS..........................................................................3 Profitability ratio analysis..........................................................................................................3 Limitations of Financial ratios...................................................................................................8 2. INVESTMENT APPRAISAL.....................................................................................................8 Net present value (NPV):............................................................................................................9 Internal rate of return (IRR):.......................................................................................................9 3.1 Rationale of selecting the target company..........................................................................11 3.2 Synergistic gains over the acquisition.................................................................................12 3.3 Valve and financing of the proposed deal of acquisition....................................................12 3.4 Potential impact on performance regarding acquisition.....................................................12 3.5 Acquisition risk assesses and challenges...........................................................................12 CONCLUSION..............................................................................................................................13 REFERENCES..............................................................................................................................14
INTRODUCTION A case study is evaluation of facts and figures related to a specific phenomenon, case or a company. This assessment can be numerical or theoretical with use and application of various tools and techniques to determine different aspects related with performance, state and position in industry, implication of case and others. In the present report a case study is presented over AstraZeneca Plc which is British-Swedish multinational pharmaceutical and biopharmaceutical organization established in 1913. The organisation have gained success in past few years and acquiring business and firms from long, since 1939. The report includes evaluation of financial performance of company through its ratio analysis and comparing it with one of its competitors. Along with this, investment appraisal techniques are also explained in detail with their critical discussion. For the last section of the report the potential of a target company are presented which AstraZeneca is planning to acquire. 1. EVALUATION OF FINANCIAL ANALYSIS Profitability ratio analysis Gross profit ratio-It refers to the ratio that reveals the profit earned by the company after making adjustment regarding the cost of goods sold from the sales. It depicts the relationship in between the net sales and the gross profit of the organization. It helps in assessing the operational efficiency of business (Linares-Mustaros,Coenders and Vives-Mestres,2018). It is calculated by dividing the gross profit with that of the Net sales. Higher the gross profit ratio, better is the performance of the companies. Year / companiesAstraZenecaJohnson&Johnson 201477.60%69.40% 201581.20%69.30% 201682.10%69.80% 201780.80%66.80% 201877.70%66.80% Interpretation- The above table reflects that the gross profit ratio of AstraZeneca is higher than Johnson&Johnson over the last five years. This indicates that the former company is efficiency performing its operations by making optimum use of the resources. It also reflects that after making the cost relating to the sale of the goods, the gross profit of AstraZeneca is better 3
and showing an increasing trend which in turn shows that the company is performing with full efficiency in comparison with its competitor. Liquidity ratio analysis Current ratio-It is referred as the most useful liquidity ratio that measures the ability of an enterprise in paying off its short term liabilities. It tells about the liquidity position of the company and in making the analysis regarding the use of the current assets made by an entity in order to satisfy their current debt or the payables (Chen and et.al., 2018). It is computed by dividing the short term assets with the current liabilities. Greater the current ratio, depicts a better liquidity position od the company. An ideal quick ratio is stated as 2:1. Year / companiesAstraZenecaJohnson&Johnson 20140.962.36 20151.082.17 20160.872.47 20170.81.41 20180.951.47 Interpretation- From the above evaluation it has been interpreted that AstraZeneca has to adopt corrective measures for making the effective use of its current assets because the resultant current ratio of this company is lower than its competitor called as Johnson&Johnson. The current ratio of Johnson&Johnson is good as it is close to the ideal ratio which means that they are making effective use of their short term assets against meeting their current obligation. Thus, the liquidity position of AstraZeneca is poor over its rivalry. Solvency ratio analysis Debt-equity ratio-It is the type of the gearing ratio which states the leverage position of the company by showing the evaluation in relation to the capital that is been contributed by the investors or the creditors and the owners funds present within the organization. It helps in measuring the debt financing of an enterprise against its shareholders funds. This ratio reflects ability of the shareholders in covering their outstanding debts at the time of the business downturn (Barnes, 2015). This ratio is calculated by dividing the long term debts with the total equities. Lower the ratio, better is the position of an entity in terms of their financial leverage. 4
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Year / companiesAstraZenecaJohnson&Johnson 20140.430.22 20150.760.18 20160.980.32 20171.040.51 20181.390.46 Interpretation- By summing up the above table it has been highlighted that debt-to- equity ratio of Johnson&Johnson is lower than AstraZeneca over the five years. This means that leverage position of AstraZeneca is not sound as its long term borrowing or the debts are more than its rivalry which in turn reflects that it has high financial burden in respect of its interest expenses. Investment ratios Earnings per share-It is stated as the proportion of an enterprise profits which is been allocated towards each of the outstanding shares from its common stock (Chalamandaris and Vlachogiannakis,2018). It is been computed by evaluating the difference in between the net income and the preference dividend paid and thereafter dividing it by the average outstanding number of shares. Higher the EPS, indicates better profitability and wealth maximisation for the organization. Year / companiesAstraZenecaJohnson&Johnson 20140.495.7 20151.115.48 20161.385.93 20171.190.47 20180.855.61 Interpretation- The assessment in the above table states that overall the investment position of Johnson&Johnson is better as its EPS is of a greater value than AstraZeneca. Thus, AstraZeneca has to seek for corrective measures like increasing the profit margins so that its EPS increases and could attain competitive edge against its competitor. Working note- Ratio analysis of AstraZeneca ParticularsFormul 5
a Profitability ratio analysis 20142015201620172018 Gross profit2025320062188761814717154 Net sales2609524708230022246522090 GP ratio Gross profit / sales * 10077.60%81.20%82.10%80.80%77.70% Liquidity ratio analysis 20142015201620172018 Current assets1669716007132621315015591 Current liabilities1733014869152561638316292 Current ratio Curren t assets / current liabiliti es0.961.080.870.80.95 Solvency ratio analysis 20142015201620172018 Long-term debt833714109144951556017359 Shareholder's equity1962718490148541496012468 Debt-equity ratio Long- term debt / shareho lders’ equity0.430.760.981.041.39 Investment ratios 20142015201620172018 Earnings per share (Net income0.491.111.381.190.85 6
- preferre d dividen d) / Number of shares outstand ing Ratio analysis of Johnson&Johnson Particular sFormula Profitabili ty ratio analysis 20142015201620172018 Gross profit5158548538502055109654490 Sales revenue7433170074718907645081581 GP ratio Gross profit / sales * 10069.40%69.30%69.80%66.80%66.80% Liquidity ratio analysis 20142015201620172018 Current assets5931160210650324308846033 Current liabilities2508527747262873053731230 Current ratio Current assets / current liabilities2.362.172.471.411.47 Solvency ratio analysis 20142015201620172018 Long-term1512212857224423067527684 7
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debt Shareholde r's equity6975271150704186016059752 Debt- equity ratio Long-term debt / shareholders’ equity0.220.180.320.510.46 Investmen t ratios 20142015201620172018 Earnings per share (Net income - preferred dividend) / Number of shares outstanding5.75.485.930.475.61 Limitations of Financial ratios In accordance with theGabric,(2018)it has been stated that for making the financial analysis, most of the companies uses ratios as a measure butit contains various limitations. Lewellen, (2016)viewed that, Financial ratios does not counts the size of an entity at the time of making the evaluation of the performance and the position of the firm.Horrigan,(2015)also identified that it does not considers contingent liability which is been counted as one of the major external factor that affects the financial state of the company in the long-run. Financial ratios are not useful in case of making the industry based comparison as the operations of different industries differs and this in turn cannot be compared. Ratio analysis is made on the basis of the historical figures and predicts that same will be happen in the future which is very vague estimation. Financial ratios also not takes into account the effect of the inflation as it does not adjust for any of the changes that happens due to the increase in the price level. 2. INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Investment appraisal's most common technique includes net present value, pay back period and internal rate of return and average rate of return for eventuating a capital investment and its potential of bring adaption. 8
Net present value (NPV): NPV is the most important and significant techniques of investment appraisal for checking the feasibility of a project. This is due to the fact that there is consideration of present value of the inflow form a project. This means in this method the future incomes are considered at level of present value with use of discounting factor to establish the fact that what was the value of this income if it was earned in present times. However, there are certain issues related with NPV method which includes non consideration of any income after the investment period. Also, this techniques do not take the value of asset at the end of investment period. For the manufacturing product this is the best method I order to determine the level of profit generation by a machine and the time take to recover the initial cost of investment. But as far as commercial project of real estate this does not provide much of assistance as there is rise and fall in the prices of material, rent and other factors related with it. Internal rate of return (IRR): The internal rate of return is another method of discounted cash flow techniques for evaluation of a capital investment by a company(Internal Rate of Return – IRR,2019). Generally, an IRR between 12-15% is considered to be good which is the rate of return generated by the project on which investment is supposed to be done. IRR is used commonly to assess the profit generating capacity of a project. However, it can give misleading results as it does not account for the size f the project when comparison of two project is done. IRR presents the annualised rate of earning's over an investment but it only compares the cash floes of the project at existing cost excluding the factor of project duration, future cost and size of the project. Application of investment appraisal techniques: Project A ParticularDetails Initial cost of purchasing a machine£30 m Expected life5 years Cash inflow each year£ 5M Discounted Rate of return15.00% 9
TimeCash flowDF (15%)Present value 0-301.000-30 150.8704.35 250.7563.78 350.6583.29 450.5722.86 550.4972.49 NPV= Cash inflow -cash outflow-18.33 IRR= NPV/-18.07% Project B ParticularDetails Initial cost of purchasing a machine£30 m Expected life4 years Cash inflow each year£ 8M Discounted Rate of return20.00% 10
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TimeCash flow 0-30 113 213 313 413 513 NPV= Cash inflow - cash outflow= 33.65 IRR= cash inflow /cash outflows= 26.31% Potential implication of the investment: To of the machines are given A and B which same initial investment of£30m. It can be seen that through the life of project B is less but the inflow are high for 4 years. The NPV I of this project is positive while for project A it can be seen that project life is more but inflows are less and still the NPV is negative. Hence this gives an answer to select a project B for investment purpose in machine. The above calculation present the fact that NPV and IRR methods assist the organisation in selection of a project correctly.3. POTENTIAL ACQUISITION The organisation AstraZeneca Plc is planing to acquires another small pharmaceutical organisation Bial which is operating in UK which have its headquarter in Portugal. The company was founded in 1924 and is a large company in Portugal with selling connection in Europe, America, Africa and Asia. Though the operations are extended but it only have 950 employees, so it is a small company decided to be acquired by AstraZeneca Plc. 3.1 Rationale of selecting the target company Bial is an organization which deals in same products as AstraZeneca Plc and its operations re limited to Portugal only so it is likely cause lesser cost which can be arranged from profits, cash reserves and borrowings form banks and other financial institution. Bial is deals under the drug and health care industry and have a long existence of 95 years which with limited number of extension and employee which makes its operations not too widened (Geary, 2015). Moreover, on the organization the European investment Bank have signed a EUR45 million for researching in UK regarding discovering, developing and providing therapeutic solution in 11
nervous, cardiology and allergen immunotherapy fields(Bial Sells Allergic Immunotherapy Business,2019). So this makes it a potential business for the AstraZeneca Plc to acquire. The company Bial have received this Rand D funds in 2015 which means it is nit under research so if good prises are offered they are likely to start their business here in short time and lesser investments. A friendly takeover is much more feasible for Bial rather than a hostile takeover as it is owned by a single person who is CEO of the company, Antonio Portela. 3.2 Synergistic gains over the acquisition The synergies are expected to be many with acquisition of Bial by AstraZeneca Plc where the total values of both the organisation combined will be increased with an extension in there area of operations and market share beyond national territories and reputation of both the business.With the exiting funding or the research and development available to Bial it can be used by AstraZeneca Plc for extended research and offer new services and products around the globe. Bial have its selling connection in 4 continents and combined with its present operations can gran a significant area of markets in major nations. 3.3 Valve and financing of the proposed deal of acquisition With a net income of $23.94 for 2018 it can be seen that with international operation also the earning of the organisation is not too much and also financial information of Bial is limited. The turnover of the company in 2018 was $223milion. The company is at a profits earning position form past 5 years but the profits levels are too low. The liquidity position of company is not too good as the cash and cash equivalents of the company are not good and current liabilities are also high and organisation not where near the standard ratio of 2:1. This means AstraZeneca Plc very well among its competitors. 3.4 Potential impact on performance regarding acquisition Due to the lower level of profits of BialAstraZeneca Plc must concentrate over having sufficient funds for next two three years for debt payments for these period for both the companies(Descampsand et.al., 2016). It must inform the investor that for this time dividends will be little as with acquisition the company can spread its wings to extended market. 3.5 Acquisition risk assesses and challenges There is an association of the potential risk also of a general downturn in the London demand of certain drugs and ben on them due to 12
economic Brexit a legal impositions.Some of the drugs which are in high demand are ben by government for consumption and sell due to side effects of such drugs so the R and D done for therapeutic treatment can also be get ben or imposed with different legal requirements. CONCLUSION To conclude the above report it can be stated that the gross profits and debt equity ratio of AstraZeneca Plc are better as compared toJohnson&Johnson but current ratio and earning er share of Johnson&Johnson is better. This means that company tough earning good profits unable to pay good returns to its shareholder stating a week control over expenses and a poor liquidity position. It have been articulated that NPV and IRR two of the discounting method techniques which assist an organisation in selection of a project for capital investments. Moreover, it have been interpreted that with acquiring a small pharmaceutical company Bial, can extent is operation and get operations and enhance the value of both organisations. 13
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REFERENCES Books and journals Barnes, P., 2015. The analysis and use of financial ratios: A review article.Journal of Business Finance & Accounting.14(4).pp.449-461. Chalamandaris, G. and Vlachogiannakis, N. E., 2018. Are financial ratios relevant for trading credit risk? Evidence from the CDS market.Annals of Operations Research.266(1-2). pp.395-440. Chen, C.W. and et.al., 2018. Financial statement comparability and the efficiency of acquisition decisions.Contemporary Accounting Research.35(1). pp.164-202. Descamps, Sand et.al., 2016. When relative allocation depends on total resource acquisition: implication for the analysis of trade‐offs.Journal of evolutionary biology.29(9). pp.1860- 1866. Gabric, D., 2018. Determination of Accounting Manipulations in the Financial Statements Using AccrualBasedInvestmentRatios.EconomicReview:JournalofEconomicsand Business.16(1). pp.71-81. Geary, D. C., 2015. Evolution of paternal investment.The handbook of evolutionary psychology, pp.1-18. Horrigan,J.O.,2015.Thedeterminationoflong-termcreditstandingwithfinancial ratios.Journal of Accounting Research.pp.44-62. Lewellen,J.,2016.Predictingreturnswithfinancialratios.JournalofFinancial Economics.74(2). pp.209-235. Linares-Mustaros, S., Coenders, G. and Vives-Mestres, M., 2018. Financial performance and distressprofiles.Fromclassificationaccordingtofinancialratiostocompositional classification.Advances in Accounting.40.pp.1-10. Online BialSellsAllergicImmunotherapyBusiness.2019.[online].Availablethrough :<https://www.biospace.com/article/releases/bial-sells-allergic-immunotherapy- business-/>. 14