Analysis of Claims: Descriptive and Inferential Analytics
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This report provides a detailed analysis of claims with descriptive and inferential analytics. It includes tables, figures, and statistical tests to support the findings. The report covers the relationship between speciality of physician involved, severity of the claim, and the average amount of insurance claim.
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Running head: DATA ANALYSIS Descriptive and Inferential Analytics Name of the Student: Name of the University: Author’s Note:
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3DATA ANALYSIS To: You From: Edmond Kendrick Subject: Analysis of Claims As per earlier discussion, I have cleaned and simplified the undertaken dataset to eight variables for your convenience. The cleaned dataset contains information about 200 randomly selected claims promised this year. Introduction: The case study of United Health Group that is the America’s most vibrant provider of health insurance displays that medical malpractice is developing in USA health-centres. The previous research on a huge amount of data refers that almost 2.4% of annual health-care spending is being wasted due to medical malpractices. Another study indicated that in the time span 1991 to 2005, 7.4% of the licensed physicians were claiming malpractice in USA. Such type of trend is a major concern for common people and patients. The data under consideration in this research report justifies the ground situation of medical malpractices. The analysis may display the numbers of successful malpractice claims that is recently contributing the high premiums for medical insurance due to malpractice. 1. Descriptive Statistics: The descriptive or summary statistics of Claim payment amount of 200 samples refers that the average amount of the claim payment is $73457.49. The lowest amount of claim payment is $1547and the highest amount of claim payment is $228724.8 with the range of amount of claim payment $227177.8. There is 95% probability where an observation of claiming amount lies in the interval of $(73457.49±4486.92) or ($77944.41, $68970.58) (Stone, Sidel and Bloomquist 2008). 2. Estimation: 2.a) Firstly, to find the average age of claimants, we observe that-
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4DATA ANALYSIS The average age of the insurance claimants is 44.49 years. The interval lower limit of 95% confidence interval is (44.49-2.4669) years or 42.02 years. The interval upper limit of 95% confidence interval is (44.49+2.4669) years or 46.96 years. Therefore, it is 95% probable that the average age of all the claimants lie in the limit of 42.02 years and 46.96 years.That means 95% of the estimated ages of total claimants lie in the range of 42.02 years and 46.96 years. 2. b) The number of claimants who do not have insurance is 18 among 200 samples. Here number of samples is 200 and the amount of successes is 18. The proportion of the claimants who do not have insurance is 0.09. The upper confidence interval of the proportion of claimants who does not have insurance is found to be 5.03%. The upper confidence interval of the proportion of claimants who does not have insurance is found to be 12.97%.Therefore, 95% probability of the estimated proportion of claimants who do not have insurance lies in the range of 5.03% and 12.97% (Montgomery, Runger and Hubele 2009). Answer 3. 3.a) We construct the basic assertion (H0), where the average paid claim amount is greater than or equal to $77,500. The alternative assertion (H1), the average of paid claim amount is less than $77,500. For the 200 observed claimants, the average of the paid claim amount is $73457.49. Therefore, with 95% probability, the basic assertion is failed to accept (Lehmann and Romano 2006). Therefore, it could be interpreted that the mean of paid claiming amount is below $77,500.At 5% level of significance, there is there is no evidence that the average paid claim amount is greater than or equal to the proposed amount of industry. 3. b) A study reported that 3 out of 4 claims (75%) are either “MILD” or “MEDIUM” severity conditions.Outof200people,thenumberofinsuranceclaimantsof“MILD”and “MEDIUM” severity is 154. The proportion is calculated as 0.77. To find the proportions, the basic assertion is set that- among every type of severity, the proportion of severity conditions of “MILD” and “MEDIUM” is less than or equal to 75%. Alternative assertion is assumed as
5DATA ANALYSIS amongeverytypeofseverity,theproportionofseverityconditionsof“MILD”and “MEDIUM” is greater than 75%. With 95% evidence, the basic assertion is accepted.Therefore, it could be inferred that with respect to all the severity conditions, the proportion of insurance claimants of “MILD” and “MEDIUM” severity is at least 75%. The conclusion of such inference has enough evidence about the fact. 3.c) Now, our investigation is on the basis of finding the significant difference in the proportion of “MILD” and “MEDIUM” claims according to the gender of the patients. The difference in proportion of “MILD” or “MEDIUM” claims by female patients compared to the male patients is calculated. It is observed that the count of insurance claimants whose severity conditions are either “MILD” or “MEDIUM” is 154. Among those people, 60 claimants are males and 94 claimants are females. The proportions of males and females in the total claimants are 38.96%and61.04%respectively.Accordingtothe95%probability,theequalityof proportions of frequencies of males and females is rejected. Therefore, it could be stated that the difference of proportions is prominent as per inference (Wolpert 1996).It could be observed that the proportions of “MILD” and “MEDIUM” severity according to the genders of the insurance claimant are unequal. Therefore, gender has an effect in it. 3.d) According to the standard of industry, it is hypothecated that the payment amounts of the samples are associated to private attorney of the claimants represented the claimants. Particularly, the average claim amount for the private attorney is greater than the average claim when no private attorney is involved. The average payment amount of the claimants who has private attorney is $80501.07.The average payment amount of the claimants who has non-private attorney is $58140.51. According to the null assertion the difference of the average payment amount of private attorney and the average payment amount related to non-private attorney is assumed 0. The
6DATA ANALYSIS alternative assertion about the average payment amount of private attorney is unequal to the average payment amount related to non-private attorney. The null hypothesis of equality of payment amounts is rejected with 95% possibility(Abbott 2017). The proposition of the higher average paid claim amount of private attorney with respect to absence of private attorney is accepted at 5% level of significance.Therefore, there is sufficient evidence that average payment amount of the claimants who has private attorney is greater than the payment amount who has non-private attorney. The data completely supports the proposition. 3. e) The industry stakeholders consider that private attorney representation is greater in case of “SEVERE” claims than for claims in case of “MEDIUM” severity. The validity of the statement is measured with the help of testing of hypothesis. The basic assertion is assumed as the proportion of private attorney for “SEVERE” severity is equal to the claims with a “MEDIUM”severity.Thealternativeassertionisassumedasthedifferencebetween proportion of private attorney for “SEVERE” claims and claims with “MEDIUM” severity is unequal to 0. The total number of private attorney is 129. The number of private attorney representation for “MEDIUM” severity claimsis 93. The number of privateattorney representation for “SEVERE” severity claims is 36. According to the private attorney representation, the proportions of these two severities are 78.26% and 72.66% respectively. The basic assertion is accepted at 5% level of significance. It could be concluded that the proportions of claims in case of private attorney in “SEVERE” condition is equal to the proportionsofclaimsincaseofnon-privateattorneyin“MEDIUM”condition.The proposition is found to be absolutely valid. Hence, the assertion that the number of private attorney is higher for “SEVERE” claims than for claims with “MEDIUM” severity is invalid. Answer 4.
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7DATA ANALYSIS 4. a) You were also interested to find the relationship between the speciality of physician involved, severity of the claim and the average amount of insurance claim. You regard that the percentage of claims in “SEVERE” severity is greater for Orthopaedic surgeon and lesser than other specialists. The basic assertion assumed that the difference between the percentage of Orthopaedic surgeon and the other specialists in the “SEVERE” severity is 0. The alternative assertion assumed that the percentage of Orthopaedic surgeon is lower than other specialists in the “SEVERE” severity. It is observed that the 46 patients claim “SEVERE” severity. Among them, 8 patients get treatment from Orthopaedic surgeons and 38 patients get treatment from other types of specialists. The proportions are calculated as 17.39% and 82.61% respectively. Here the basic assertion is rejected at 5% level of significance.Therefore, the assertion of the equal percentages of “SEVERE” severity that claims insurance under treatment of an Orthopaedic surgeon and other specialists is accepted.The alternative hypothesis of claims of insurance from the claimants under Orthopaedic surgeon is lower than the claims about other types of specialists is accepted. 4.b) You also consider that the average claim amount for “SEVERE” severity is higher when an Orthopaedic surgeon is taken under consideration rather than other specialists. The basic assertion is that the differences of average claim amount for “SEVERE” condition for Orthopaedic surgeon and the average claim amount for “SEVERE” condition for the other specialists is 0. The alternative assertion is that the difference of average claim amount for “SEVERE” condition for Orthopaedic surgeon and the average claim amount for “SEVERE” condition for the other specialists is unequal to 0. The number of claimants in “SEVERE” severity is 46. Out of them, 8 claimants were under supervision of Orthopaedic surgeon and 38 patients were under supervision of other types of specialists. The average claiming amount of 8 patients is $118944.27.The average claiming amount of 38 patients is$108466.41.
8DATA ANALYSIS The basic assertion is accepted here. Hence, the hypothesis of the average claim amount for “SEVERE” claims is equal for the speciality criterion of both Orthopaedic surgeon and other specialisationswith 95% possibility.Hence, the average claim amount for “SEVERE” severity is not higher for the involvement of Orthopaedic surgeon than other specialisations. I look forward to your response. Sincerely, Edmond Kendrick Chief Data Scientist – United Health Group.
9DATA ANALYSIS References: Abbott, M. L. (2017). Independent Sample T Test. Chan, I.S. and Zhang, Z., 1999. Test‐based exact confidence intervals for the difference of two binomial proportions.Biometrics,55(4), pp.1202-1209. Gilbert, R., Widom, C.S., Browne, K., Fergusson, D., Webb, E. and Janson, S., 2009. Burden and consequences of child maltreatment in high-income countries.The lancet,373(9657), pp.68-81. Lehmann, E.L. and Romano, J.P., 2006.Testing statistical hypotheses. Springer Science & Business Media. Lowry, R., 2014. Concepts and applications of inferential statistics. Montgomery, D.C., Runger, G.C. and Hubele, N.F., 2009.Engineering statistics. John Wiley & Sons. Stone, H., Sidel, J.L. and Bloomquist, J., 2008. Quantitative descriptive analysis.Descriptive Sensory Analysis in Practice, pp.53-69. Wolpert, R.L., 1996. Testing simple hypotheses. InData Analysis and Information Systems (pp. 289-297). Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg.
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13DATA ANALYSIS Figure3 0.77 0.23 Proportions of "MILD or MEDIUM" and "SEVERE" MILD or MEDIUMSEVERE Table6
14DATA ANALYSIS Figure4
15DATA ANALYSIS 39% 61% The gender wise claimants in "MILD" of "MEDIUM" severity Number of Males in Severity "MEDIUM" or "MILD" Number of Females in Severity "MEDIUM" or "MILD" Table7.1
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18DATA ANALYSIS $- $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000 $80,000 $90,000$80,501 $58,141 Amounts of average claim for Private and Non-private attorney Amount of average claim for Private attorney Amount of average claim for Non-private attorney Average claiming amounts Table8
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23DATA ANALYSIS Count of Severe condition when "Orthopaedic surgeons" is the specialty Count of Severe condition when the specialty is except "Othopaedic surgeons" Count of Severe condition 0 10 20 30 40 50 -10% 10% 30% 50% 70% 90% 110% Distribution of "SEVERE" according to the surgeons FrequenciesPercentages Table 10.2
24DATA ANALYSIS Figure8
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25DATA ANALYSIS Average claim of Orthopaedic surgeon in SEVERE severityAverage claim of other specialists in SEVERE severity $102,000 $104,000 $106,000 $108,000 $110,000 $112,000 $114,000 $116,000 $118,000 $120,000$118,944 $108,466 Average claim amount of surgeons in "SEVERE" severity SEVERE severity Average claim amount