1ANNOTATED BIBLIOGRAPHY Introduction The respective assignment helps in the identification of the issues which can occur while making and managingthe process of decision-makingin the uncertainkind of business environments. The rational decisions are the major aspect which should be implemented while managing in the uncertainty situations. As commented byPerkovic and Orquin (2018), the decision-making can be described as process of reducing the high level of uncertainty regarding the solution options through gaining sufficient kind of knowledge of the different options for allowing reasonable selection from among them (Julmi, 2018). Uncertaintyis reduced, but it should never be eliminated.There are three major conditions which are faced by the managers while making the important and rational decisions which include: Risk, Uncertainty as well as Certainty. However, the state of uncertainty exists when the higher officials or the managers does not have any idea regarding the available alternatives or consequences of the actions which have been taken (Mahmoud, Weiss & Habib, 2016). As stated in the economic theory, the uncertainty has the detrimental effect on the economic related activities through providing agents incentive for postponing the investments or the employment related decisions until the uncertainty in business is resolved successfully (Lacatus, 2018). In the respective assignment, the three main articles have been chosen on the broad topic which is the Rational Decision-Making in the uncertain business environment. Moreover, the articleswillbeshowcasingtheaspectswhichshouldbefollowedinunderstandingthe effectiveness of the rational decision-making criteria in the business environment which is uncertain. In addition, the strengths, weaknesses as well as the overall aim of the research article will be analyzed through the same.
2ANNOTATED BIBLIOGRAPHY ReferenceTuckett, D., & Nikolic, M. (2017). The role of conviction and narrative in decision-making under radical uncertainty. Theory & psychology, 27(4), 501-523. (DOI- https://doi.org/10.1177/0959354317713158) Typeofthe Article Research Article Aim/PurposeThe main aim and purpose of the respective article is related to the fact that when the decisions are made under uncertainty, the managers or the others does not have idea regarding the probability of the occurrence each time. MethodThe methodology which has been used in the article is qualitative case studies approach wherein the different theories and models have been applied for making the audiences understand the importance of rational decision making in uncertain business scenario. FindingsWith the help of conviction narrative theory, it helps in broadening the decision-making theory for analyzing and understanding the subjectivity for coping up with the assumptions on failure of the decision-making models. SignificanceThe main significance of the research article is the Conviction Narrative Theory which has worked as the framework and it has focused on how narrative as well as emotion tries in combining for allowing the actors to select as well as deliberate actions which will be producing the outcomes which will be efficient in maintaining the effectiveness in the process of managing decision-making. In addition, the action which has been taken in the radical uncertainty can fail or succeed. Wherein, the process is highly successful, it will be allowing the action to be readied as well. StrengthsInthearticle,theauthorshavebeencapableenoughinmakingthe audiences understand the twomental states whichare integratedand divided wherein narratives can be formed and used for managing the decisions systematically in uncertainty and there should not be any kind of loophole in maintaining the same. WeaknessOn the other hand, the weakness which has been found in the article is related to the fact that the author has given entire focus on one single model of decision-making which will be applicable. However, there are different other models which can be impacting the effectiveness of the firm.
3ANNOTATED BIBLIOGRAPHY ReferenceEttore Bolisani, Constantin Bratianu, (2017) "Knowledge strategy planning: an integrated approach to manage uncertainty, turbulence, and dynamics", Journal of Knowledge Management, Vol. 21 Issue: 2, pp.233-253, (doi: 10.1108/ JKM-02-2016-0071) Typeofthe Article Research Aim/PurposeThe main aim and purpose of the article is to understand the impact of the uncertainty has high level of ineffectiveness showcased on the knowledge sharing along with planning. MethodExtensive Survey and re-elaboration of the paper are the two major designs or methodology which have been applied for understanding the viewpoints of the different individuals on the concept of the strategic thinking and knowledge surveys that will be suitable in making the right decisions through addressing the complexity or uncertainty by breaking them down. FindingsFrom the article, it has been found that the study helps in providing the critical understanding on the progress of the integrated approach which is helpful in showcasing the fact that planning is the continuous effort of learning along with adaption of the opportunities along with needs which has been emerged in a dynamic manner from daily practices. SignificanceThe major significance of the respective study is the fact that knowledge related strategy along with the planning are highly essential during the process of decision-making at the time of turbulence and issues. Through making the rational choice, it is being aided by the different structured techniques, computers as well as mathematics. It is considered to be the growing capability of the different employees for analyzing along with accessing the entire information which will be capable of improving the guidance which is based on the different facts successfully. The rational ignorance helps in taking the similar approach which focuses on looking at cost of gathering proper information which will be capable of generating suitable guidelines. StrengthsIn the entire literature, the main strength is that the article is devoted towards the knowledge strategy planning. The integration of the rational thinking along with dynamic learning are the two major aspects which helps in managing the uncertainty in business scenario. WeaknessThe weakness is related to the fact that the surveys which have been conducted was not related to one another and it created chaos.
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4ANNOTATED BIBLIOGRAPHY ReferenceLaine, I., & Galkina, T. (2017). The interplay of effectuation and causation indecisionmaking:RussianSMEsunderinstitutionaluncertainty. International Entrepreneurship and Management Journal, 13(3), 905-941. (DOI 10.1007/s11365-016-0423-6) Typeofthe Article Research Aim/PurposeThe main aim and purpose of the article is to understand the interplay of the effectuation as well as causation in the entire process of decision-making prospects. It is based on the case study of the different SMEs in Russia under the institutional uncertainty. MethodThe data collection method which was being used in the article is the usage of the surveys wherein the sustained access to the data was being achieved through the usage of the close social ties which includes friends and family. The main aspect behind the same was the trust which is gained from informants along with willingness to share their stories in an effective manner. FindingsThe findings which have been analyzed in the respective article is related to the fact that there is high level of intensity of the different decision-making logic and it varies from one another. The effectuation and causation are the two main elements which needs to be implemented in process of making the different decisions in the environment which is turbulent in nature. The multiple case study helps in revealing the fact that survival effectiveness are the two key elements which should be effective in understanding the scenario. SignificanceThe rational andeffective decision-making patterns are needed to be followedwhichhasbeenshowninthecasestudythatfocuseson understanding the changes in perceptions of the different employees and institutional uncertainty. In the different SMEs in Russian economy have faced high level of turbulence in managing the different kinds of activities in the process and due to the same, it impacted the growth of the prospects of the business scenario which influenced the effectiveness of the company negatively in comparison to the other competitors. StrengthsThe strengths of the article are the fact that the surveys have been capable of making the audiences in understanding the fact that all the international SMEs can face such difficulties in the uncertain business environment and due to the same, the rational decision-making approach will be remaining the same as well.
5ANNOTATED BIBLIOGRAPHY WeaknessOn the other hand, the major weakness which has been seen in the article is that the author has tried to base his thinking mainly on the different surveys which have been conducted for the SMEs in Russia. However, the case can be different in case of other companies present in the other countries and the situation can be demanding other kinds of approaches which has not been mentioned.
6ANNOTATED BIBLIOGRAPHY Conclusion Therefore, from the analysis of the three articles on the rational decision-making in the uncertain business environment is the most intelligent aspect which should be followed as it will be impacting the effectiveness of the company properly. The choice to decide rationally helps in supporting the decision-maker through making the full utilization of the knowledge which is involved with the entire choice that is specific and open. It is highly important while making the high value decisions which can be benefitted from the assistance of the tools, processes along with knowledge related to experts. In addition, the three articles vary from one another, however, the theme is similar in three cases and it follows the similar kinds of theories and models in making the audiences understand the same. Rational Decision-Making is considered to be one of the most famous steps which needs to be followed by the business officials for making choice between the different alternatives. The process of the rational decision-making mainly favors the proper logic, analysis and objectivity that enhances the growth of the company and making analysis of the same is essential in nature. However, there are few limitations of the rational decision-making in the context of managing the decisions in the uncertain business environment that will be capable of managing the scenario in a more effective manner. Defining of the problem, identifying the criteria for developing the decisions are the two major approaches which will be capable of gaining appropriateness in improving the scenario during the time of turbulence. Evaluation of the alternatives are the key elements which needs to be implemented by the companies while making decisions in the turbulence phase as it will be providing them with the brief overview on the different alternatives which are available and it can be used by them for generating the successful outcomes. The effectiveness and causation are the two elements which needs to be implemented in the rational and irrational decision-making process for gaining effectiveness in the process.
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7ANNOTATED BIBLIOGRAPHY References and Bibliography Abubakar, A. M., Elrehail, H., Alatailat, M. A., & Elçi, A. (2019). Knowledge management, decision-makingstyleandorganizationalperformance.JournalofInnovation& Knowledge,4(2), 104-114. Chen, W. J., & Zou, Y. (2017). Rational Decision Making Models with Incomplete Information Based on Interval-valued Fuzzy Soft Sets.Journal of Computers,28(1), 193-207. Cook, C., & Gonzales, H. (2016). Australian individual decision styles, intuitive and rational decision making in business.International Proceeding of Economics Development and Research,86, 93-100. Djulbegovic, B., Elqayam, S., & Dale, W. (2018). Rational decision making in medicine: implications for overuse and underuse.Journal of evaluation in clinical practice,24(3), 655-665. EttoreBolisani, Constantin Bratianu,(2017) "Knowledge strategyplanning: an integrated approach to manage uncertainty, turbulence, and dynamics", Journal of Knowledge Management, Vol. 21 Issue: 2, pp.233-253, (doi: 10.1108/ JKM-02-2016-0071) Gati, I., Levin, N., & Landman-Tal, S. (2019). Decision-making models and career guidance. InInternational handbook of career guidance(pp. 115-145). Springer, Cham. Hales, J., Matsumura, E. M., Moser, D. V., & Payne, R. (2016). Becoming sustainable: A rationaldecisionbasedonsoundinformationandeffectiveprocesses?.Journalof Management Accounting Research,28(2), 13-28.
8ANNOTATED BIBLIOGRAPHY Jarrahi, M. H. (2018). Artificial intelligence and the future of work: Human-AI symbiosis in organizational decision making.Business Horizons,61(4), 577-586. Julmi, C. (2019). When rational decision-making becomes irrational: a critical assessment and re-conceptualization of intuition effectiveness.Business Research,12(1), 291-314. Lacatus, M. L. (2018). Rational and irrational processes in decision making: An economic perspective.Mental Health: Global Challenges Journal,1(1), 51-57. Laine, I., & Galkina, T. (2017). The interplay of effectuation and causation in decision making: RussianSMEsunderinstitutionaluncertainty.InternationalEntrepreneurshipand Management Journal, 13(3), 905-941. (DOI 10.1007/s11365-016-0423-6) Mahmoud, M. S., Weiss, A., & Habib, K. N. (2016). Myopic choice or rational decision making? Aninvestigationintomodechoicepreferencestructuresincompetitivemodal arrangements in a multimodal urban area, the City of Toronto.Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering,43(5), 420-428. Perkovic, S., & Orquin, J. L. (2018). Implicit statistical learning in real-world environments leads to ecologically rational decision making.Psychological Science,29(1), 34-44. Tuckett, D., & Nikolic, M. (2017). The role of conviction and narrative in decision-making under radicaluncertainty.Theory&psychology,27(4),501-523.(DOI- https://doi.org/10.1177/0959354317713158)