Portfolio 1: Champion Co. Task (i) Annual after-tax cash flow Champion Co. Annual forecasted cash flow For three years DescriptionYear 0 £’000 Year1 £’000 Year 2 £’000 Year 3 £’000 Revenue2,4002,4002,400 Variable costs(1,500)(1,500)(1,500) Fixed costs(355)(355)(355) Rent-paid in advance(80)(80)(80) Net operating cash flow(80)465465545 Tax (30%)24(139.5)(139.5)(163.5) Initial investment& Scrap value of machine (1,200) Capital allowance9067.522.5 Working capital(350)(60)(50)460 Total cash flows(1,606)355.53431,464 Discount factor 11%10.9010.8120.731 Present value(1,606)320.306278.5161,070.184 NPV63.006 3
Workings Revenue= 60,000unit x £40 each = 2,400 Variable cost= 60,000 units x £25 each= 1,500 W1: Relevant fixed costs Fixed costs£’000 Total annual fixed costs715 Bank interest(86) Head office overheads(74) Depreciation (straight method)(200) Relevant fixed costs355 Depreciation: (1,200-600)/3=200 W2: Capital allowance Capital allowance£’000 Tax savings (30%) Year 1: 1,200 x 25%=30090090 Year 2: 900 x 25=22567567.5 Year 3: 600-675= (75)(75)22.5 Scrap value600 W3: Fixed costs Fixed costs£000 Fixed costs of the project715 Bank interest(86) Head office overheads(74) Depreciation(200) Relevant fixed costs355 4
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Net Present value Net Present value is an investment appraisal technique which compares current cash inflow with current cash outflow. Basically, this appraisal technique is based on time value of money. Net present value of the equipment has been calculated below: Net Present Value = Sum of present value of net cash inflow – Initial Capital Investment (Chandra, 2018).As NPV is positive, this equipment can be procured. Sensitivityofannualsalesunit=Presentvalueofaftertax-taxcontribution=(40-25) x60,000units=900,000x0.70x2.44=1,537.2 Sensitivity margin= ((NPV/PV of after -tax contribution) x100=63.006/1,537.2 x100=4.09% Sensitivityofsalesproceedoftheequipment=PVofaftersalesproceed= 600,000x0.7x0.731=307,020 Sensitivity to sales proceed = 63,006/307,020x100=20.52% Comments If the annual sales decreases from this quantity, then the company can not gain positive cash flow from this equipment. Here if we assume that the entity can not able to manage to sell 60,000 quantity per annum rather it can sale 50,000. Then the entire cash flow and Net present value will be changed. On the other hand, the company has assumed that it can gain 50% of the cost of the equipment after three years but in real life it is quite difficult because after usage an equipment’s capability of producing more products decreases. And due to this, there is high chance that the company will not be able to sell at 50% of the cost value. Assume, the company can sell the equipment at 300,000and it can sell 50,000 quantity annually. Then NPV will become, From the above hypothetical calculation, it is clear that if the company can not manage to sell the budgeted quantity, then the net present value will become negative. This may also impact the cash flow during the useful life of the equipment. 5
Task (ii) As per the given value of Champion, the company will incur negative cash flow at the first year because at this year, the company will have to purchase the equipment, and this will engage 1.2 million amounts of money. And in the third year, the company will be incurring highest amount of cash flow because in that year the company is assuming that it can recover the scrap value and investment in working capital. But after analysing the hypothetical values of scrap value and Sales amount, it can be concluded that the company should analysis the market again based on real data value. Otherwise, there is high chance of getting negative cash flow and negative net present value. Task (iii) Risk describes a situation where there is a half chance of being successful on the other hand uncertainty refers to the condition of the situation where an investor is not sure about the outcome. Normally these two terms are interrelated but first one describes about a situation and the second describes about the condition of the situation. For example, Investor is investing in a project but the project risky. And the reason of risk is that the investor is not sure about whether he will get outcome from the project. This insecurity is uncertainty. Methods to incorporate risk or uncertainty are: 1. Certainty Equivalent Method: In this method, cash flows are adjusted with reflective project risk. 2. Risk-adjusted discount rate method: Under this method, differential project risk is considered by changing the discount rate of the project’s average rate of return. Portfolio 2: Claudia Co. Task (a) Cash Conversion cycle is basically a metric which provides the minimum time to the company within which the company can convert its investment in working capital into cash. Here working capital means inventory, accounts receivables, accrued revenue etc. There are some key points of Cash conversion cycle: It expresses the length of time within which a company will recover its investment in the working capital. 6
This metric considers the time which is required by a company to sell its inventory. Also, the time is required to collect cash from trade receivables, and the time within which the company can pay the bill without incurring any penalties. Cash Conversion cycle is not same for all types of business rather it differs from industry to industry. Cash Conversion cycle is important in determining the requirement for working capital. Because it provides the basis of assuming the required working capital. Through the days determined, a company can easily make plan whether to continue current strategy or the strategy needs to be changed. Task (b) To determine the cash conversion cycle, a company is required to calculate following ratios: 1. Days Inventory Outstanding (DIO). 2. Days Sales Outstanding (DSO). 3. Days Payable Outstanding (DPO). Cash Conversion Cycle: Figure1: CCC (Higgins and Reimers, 2019) Cash Conversion Cycle of the Company: 1. Days Inventory Outstanding (2020) = Inventory Costofgoodssold 365 (Higgins and Reimers, 2019) = Inventory Costofgoodssold 365 = 22 122.5 365 = 65.55 7
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= 66 days. Days Inventory Outstanding (2019) = Inventory Costofgoodssold 365 = Inventory Costofgoodssold 365 = 9.5 80.3 365 = 43 days. Here, in the year 2019, DIO was less than that of the year 2020. Working: Average Inventory = (Inventory of 2020 + Inventory of 2019)/2 = (22+9.5)/2 = 15.75 million. Cost of goods sold: 20192020 Revenue89131 Gross Profit8.78.5 Cost of Goods Sold80.3122.5 2. Days Sales Outstanding (2020) = TradeReceivables Revenue 365 (Fabozzi and Peterson, 2018) = 21million 131million 365 = 58.51 days. Days Sales Outstanding (2019) = TradeReceivables Revenue 365 = 10.08million 89million 365 8
= 44.29 days. Here, in the year 2019, DSO was less than that of the year 2020. Working: Average Trade Receivables = (Trade Receivables at 2020 + Trade Receivables at 2019)/2 = (21+10.8)/2 = 15.9 million. 3. Days Payable Outstanding (2020) = TradePayables Costofgoodssold 365 (Van Horne James, 2016) = 20.5 122.5 365 = 61.08 Days. Days Payable Outstanding (2019) = TradePayables Costofgoodssold 365 =8.2 80.3 365 = 37.27 Days. Here, in the year 2019, DPO was less than that of the year 2020. Cash Conversion Cycle (2020) = 66+59-61=64 days. Cash Conversion Cycle (2019) = 43+44-37=50 days TheCash Conversion Cycleis more than one month in both the years and it is below average of the industry. The company need to reduce the days in trade receivables unless it will be difficult for the company to operate day to day operation. Task (c) Year20192020 Current Ratio1.65 times1.27 times Quick Ratio0.89 times0.63 times Sales/Net working capital11 times14 times Turnover increase47% Non-current assets increase12% Inventory increase131% Receivable increase94% 9
Payable increase150% Overdraft increase212% Current Ratio: 2019: 20.5/12.4=1.65 2020: 43/33.6=1.27 Quick Ratio= (current assets-inventory)/current liabilities 2019: (20.5-9.5)/12.4=0.89 2020: (43-22)/33.6=0.63 Sales/Net working capital 2019: 89/ (20.5-12.4) =10.98 2020:131/ (43-33.6) = 13.93 Turnover increase:[(131/89) – 1x100] Non-current assets increase:[(40.8/36.4)-1x100] Inventory increase:[(22/9.5)-1x100] Receivable increase: [(21/10.8)-1x100] Payable increase:[(20.5/8.2)-1x100] Overdraft increase:[(13.1/4.2)-1x100] Overtrading means buying excessive and selling excessive stocks either by broker or investor. From the given table, it can be understood that there is huge change in equity between 2019 and 2020. In the year 2020, 26.90 million equity and liabilities have been raised by the company. And this is reasoning the company as incurred 7 million profit where operating profit was 8.5 million. The company has incurred higher finance cost due to overtrading. Task (d) Different Strategies to financing Working Capital: 1. A company can take advance from its customers. 2. It can negotiate with its trade payables to increase the credit period. 3. To finance the working capital the company can take bank overdraft. 4. Nowadays, several commercial banks are giving short term loan to the companies to finance their working capital. 10
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Task (e) Overtrading is a common incident in case of rapidly growing companies. To avoid overtrading, Claudia can follow following strategies: 1. Can take lease or can purchase fixed assets on hire price. 2. Can bring more capital to the company. 3. They need to cut the unnecessary costs. 4. They need to be very cost effective and cost efficiency. Portfolio 3: Alliance Co Task (i) Current Market Value of Bond: I × [1−1 (1+Kd)n Kd +MV (1+Kd)n] (Brigham and Houston, 2021) Here, I = 20 Million * 8% = 1.60 Million. Kd = 10% - (0.10*30%) = 7%. n = 6 years MV = 20 million 1.6 × [1−1 (1+0.07)6 0.07 +20 (1+0.07)6] = 7.62 + 13.33 = 20.96 Million. Task (b): Current weighted Average Cost: AmountWeight Share capital20.0018% Reserves60.0055% Bond A20.0018% Bank Loan10.009% 110.00100% 11
WACC = 0.15*18% + 0.15*55% + 0.07*9% + 0.04*9% = 12%. Here, Cost of Equity = 15%. Cost of equity = Cost of reserve = 15%. Cost of bond A = (0.10 – 0.10*30%) = 7% Cost of bank Loan = LIBOR + 1% = 3% + 1% = 4%. Task (c) In the prior section, weighted average cost of capital of the company has already been calculated. It seems that the cost of capital is not so high, but it can be compared with rate of return. Suppose the rate of return is 16%, then the company’s cost capital is effective that the company has managed to earn higher than the cost of capital. If the company raises more debt than the cost of capital will be increased, and it will increase the finance cost. Though in the market, there is a prediction of increasing the interest rate by 4%. Due to this increases the finance cost will also be increased and in spite of having higher operating profit the company may incur low profit after tax. 12
References Brigham, E.F. and Houston, J.F., 2021.Fundamentalsof financialmanagement. Cengage Learning. Chandra, P., 2018.Financial management. Tata McGraw-Hill Education. Fabozzi, F.J. and Peterson, P.P., 2018.Financial management and analysis(Vol. 132). John Wiley & Sons. Higgins, R.C. and Reimers, M., 2019.Analysis for financial management(No. s 53). Chicago: Irwin. Van Horne James, C., 2016.Financial Management & Policy, 12/E. Pearson Education India. 13