1ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT Table of Contents Answer 1....................................................................................................................................2 Answer 2....................................................................................................................................4 References................................................................................................................................10
2ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT Answer 1 The overall health and performance of the economy of a country at a point of time can be assessed to a considerable extent by observing the trends which prevail in the different macroeconomic indicators of the country, which primarily include the GDP growth of the country, unemployment rate, rate of inflation, exchange rate and others. The rate of inflation shows the dynamics of the overall price levels in the country at a point of time, which is one of the eminent macroeconomic indicators of immense significance (Gandolfo, 2013). This is because an extremely high level of price can affect the wellbeing of the consumers in the economy by reducing their purchasing power, while a low-price level can lead to loss of productivity in general and an overall stagnation in the country. On the other hand, the unemployment rate is another significant economic indicator in the country as it shows the dynamics and employment scenario as well as the overall health of the labour market of the country. This in turn, shows the well being of the workers in terms of economic abundance, purchasing power and overall standard of living (Mankiw, 2014). Keepingthisintoconsideration,thedynamicsintheinflationrateandthe unemployment rate, for the period of 2001 to 2016, of one of the most significant economies inthecontemporaryglobaleconomicscenario,theeconomyofAustraliaandtheir relationship (if any) can be shown as follows:
3ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT Figure 1: Inflation Rate, Unemployment Rate and their relationship for Australia (2002-2016) (Source: Abs.gov.au, 2018) From the above figure, showing the relationship between the unemployment rate and the inflation rate in Australia within the period (2001-2016), it is evident that the two concerned variables have a roughly negative relationship, as high inflation rate can be seen to be related with low level of unemployment and vice versa. This can also be theoretically supported with the help of the concept of Phillip’s Curve (Johnson, 2017). Phillip’s Curve Theory The theory of Phillip’s curve, in the conceptual framework of economics asserts that there usually exists an inverse relationship between the inflation rate and the rate of unemployment in a country at a point of time, which is shown by a negatively sloped curve, which is known as Phillip’s Curve:
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4ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT Figure 2: Phillip’s Curve and relationship between inflation and unemployment (Source: Coibion & Gorodnichenko, 2015) The primary notion behind this inverse relationship is that with the increase in the employment, that is with the decrease in the unemployment of a country, the amount of economic abundance among the existing population increases, which in turn increases their purchasing power and aggregate demand in the country, which in turn pushes the price up, thereby increasing the level of inflation in the country, which is seen to be occurring in case of Australia in the period of 2001-2016 (Coibion & Gorodnichenko, 2015). Answer 2 The productivity and overall demand supply dynamics in a country can be observed and analysed with the help of the aggregate demand and aggregate supply of model of macroeconomics, which in turn helps in determining the Real GDP as well as the overall price levels existing in the country. The Aggregate Demand of a country is composed of the following components:
5ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT AD = C+G+I+NX, where C is the consumption expenditure in the country, I is the private investment expenditure, G is the spending of the government and NX is the Net Exports (Exports-Imports) in the country. The Aggregate Supply, on the other hand, of a country is shown by the total production of goods and services which is denoted by Y, in general. Changes in Real GDP and price levels of Australia due to the following: i. Tariff by India on exports of Chickpeas by Australia The aggregate demand of a country is positively related with the exports of the country as with increase in exports, the income inflow increases in the economy, which in turn increases the purchasing power of the people in the country and their aggregate demand and vice versa. In this context, the imposition of 30% tariff by India on the chickpeas exported by Australia to India, will decrease the volume of exports, the effects of which can be seen as follows: Figure 3: Effects of a fall in the exports of Australia (Source: As created by the author)
6ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT As is evident from the above figure, the fall in exports decreases the aggregate demand in the country, which in turn reduces both the average price levels as well as the Real GDP (denoted by Q) in the country. ii. Increase in demand for wine of Australia in China The increase in the demand for Australian wine in China implies an increase in the volume of exports, which in turn implies increase in the aggregate demand, the effects of which are shown as follows: Figure 4: Effects of increase in exports of Australian wine (Source: As created by the author) The increase in the aggregate demand in the country from D0 to D1, leads to increase in the price levels (From P0 to P1) in the country as well as to an increase in the Real GDP (from Q0 to Q1) in the country.
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7ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT iii. Increase in the expenditure of Australian government for generating more electric power capacity The increase in the expenditure of the government being a positive component of the AD Model, is expected to increase the aggregate demand in the country, which can be seen to have the following implications: Figure 5: Effects of increase in the expenditures of the Australian government (Source: As created by the author) The increase in the aggregate demand leads to the increase of both the Real GDP and the average price levels in the country (Rao, 2016). iv. Fall in imported oil’s price The fall in the import expenditures usually increase the net export value, thereby increasing the economic abundance and aggregate demand in the economy. Thus, the fall in the price of oil imported by Australia is expected to increase the aggregate demand in the
8ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT country. Again, oil being one of the primary components of production, the fall in the price is expected to increase the supply also: Figure 6: Effects of fall in oil import price in Australia (Source: As created by the author) The final impact on price is dependent on the magnitude of increase in supply and demand, but in general the real GDP is expected to increase. v. Increase in immigration The increase in immigration in Australia is expected to increase the labour supply in the country, which in turn is expected to decrease the cost of labour resources, thereby decreasing the cost of production and increasing the aggregate supply in the country, the impacts of which are as follows:
9ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT Figure 7: Effects of increase in immigration (Source: As created by the author) Due to the increase in the aggregate supply, as shown in the above figure, the price levels fall and the real GDP of the country increases (GalÃ, 2013).
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10ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT References Abs.gov.au.(2018).1345.0-KeyEconomicIndicators,2018.Retrievedfrom http://www.abs.gov.au/AUSSTATS/abs@.nsf/mf/1345.0?opendocument#Prices Abs.gov.au. (2018). 6401.0 - Consumer Price Index, Australia, Mar 2018. Retrieved from http://www.abs.gov.au/AUSSTATS/abs@.nsf/DetailsPage/6401.0Mar%202018? OpenDocument Coibion, O., & Gorodnichenko, Y. (2015). Is the Phillips curve alive and well after all? Inflationexpectationsandthemissingdisinflation.AmericanEconomicJournal: Macroeconomics,7(1), 197-232. GalÃ, J. (2013). Notes for a new guide to Keynes (I): wages, aggregate demand, and employment.Journal of the European Economic Association,11(5), 973-1003. Gandolfo, G. (2013).International Economics II: International Monetary Theory and Open- Economy Macroeconomics. Springer Science & Business Media. Johnson, H. G. (2017).Macroeconomics and monetary theory. Routledge. Mankiw, N. G. (2014).Principles of macroeconomics. Cengage Learning. Rao,B.B.(Ed.).(2016).Aggregatedemandandsupply:Acritiqueoforthodox macroeconomic modelling. Springer.