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Analysis of Australian Banking Industry and Two Banks: NAB and Westpac

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The report present analysis of Australian banking Industry and analysis of two banks within this industry. Australian banking industry is one of the largest portions of the country’s financial systems. The industry is dominated by four main financial institutions; the National Australian Bank, the Westpac Banking Corporation, Commonwealth Bank as well as the ANZ. In this case, two banks were analyzed; that is, Westpac Banking Corp and National Australian Bank. Based on the top-down analysis, Australian economic growth is entering its mature phase. Based on the bottom-up analysis, it was found out that Westpac and NAB have had sound improvement in its financial performance over the last few years. Therefore it is recommendable that potential investors should invest their cash in shares and stocks of NAB and Westpac.

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Principals of Financial Markets Assignment 1
PRINCIPALS OF FINANCIAL MARKETS ASSIGNMENT
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Principals of Financial Markets Assignment 2
Executive Summary
The report present analysis of Australian banking Industry and analysis of two banks within
this industry. Australian banking industry is one of the largest portions of the country’s
financial systems. The industry is dominated by four main financial institutions; the National
Australian Bank, the Westpac Banking Corporation, Commonwealth Bank as well as the
ANZ. In this case, two banks were analyzed; that is, Westpac Banking Corp and National
Australian Bank. Westpac is the Australian financial and banking-service provider whose
headquarter is in Sydney and amongst the big four financial institutions operating in
Australia. On the other hand, NAB is amongst the big four Australian banks in terms of
customers, earnings and market capitalization.
Based on the top-down analysis, top-down analysis, Australian economic growth is entering
its mature phase. This is based on the fact that the country macroeconomic aspects seem to be
moving in favorable position. Further, based on the top-down analysis, it was found out that
Westpac and NAB have had sound improvement in its financial performance over the last
few years. This is due to the fact that Westpac and NAB net profit margin, EPS, ROE and the
ROA should strong and improved financial performance due to the high value in these ratios.
Therefore it is recommendable that potential investors should invest their cash in shares and
stocks of NAB and Westpac.
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Principals of Financial Markets Assignment 3
Introduction
Australian Banking Industry is the most profitable and competitive sector. Besides,
Australian banking industry is one of the largest portions of the country’s financial systems.
The industry comprises of around 147 authorized deposit-taking firms that collectively hold
about 55% of assets in the Australian financial firms (Investing.com 2018). The industry has
a strong regulatory systems and is dominated by four main financial institutions; the National
Australian Bank, the Westpac Banking Corporation, Commonwealth Bank as well as the
ANZ. In this case, two banks would be analyzed; that is Westpac Banking Corp and National
Australian Bank. Westpac Banking Corp also referred to as Westpac is the Australian
financial and banking-service provider whose headquarter is in Sydney (Investing.com 2018).
In fact, it is amongst the big four financial institutions operating in Australia. The bank has
approximately 14 million clients and has employed around 40,000 individuals. It core
business include business banking, consumer banking, BT financial group, ATM alliance,
banking alliance for the women as well as pacific banking among others. In other words,
Westpac is the largest financial institution in Australian and largest financial banks within
New Zealand. The institution offers a wide range of financial and banking services in
Australia that include retail banking, institutional banking as well as wealth management
services. Having been established in the year 1817, Westpac has been the first financial
institution established within Australia. The bank has increased in strength and currently the
bank has market cap of over $69.5 billion and the total assets of over $618.3 billion
(Investing.com 2018).
On the other hand, NAB is amongst the big four Australian banks in terms of customers,
earnings and market capitalization. It was ranked twenty first largest financial institutions
across the world in terms of market cap and forty one largest financial institutions across the
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Principals of Financial Markets Assignment 4
globe in term of total assets. The bank operates 4,412 ATM across Asia, New Zealand and
Australia service around 12.7 million clients (Investing.com 2018).
Top Down analysis of Australian Overall Economic Environment
The top-down approach begins with analysis of the macroeconomic aspects, then performing
more particular industry and company analysis and only after one perform fundamental
analysis of the particular organization. Basically, the top-down approach looks at overall
view of an economy and analyses details of the smaller gears. In essence, investors using the
top-down approach start with analysis of the overall economy and then examine trends within
the economies which they think would have best chances (Wirsch 2014). This is usually the
opposite of the bottom-up analysis that focuses more on key performance and fundamental
indicators. With this considerations, the top-down analysis of the economic environment in
which the two firms operates would entail analysis of Australian GDP growth rate, its
inflation rate, the $AUD exchange rate, the business cycle as well as interest rates.
Australian economic growth is entering its mature phase. Two years down the line the
country’s economy was in its prime. The economic growth was around 4%, which was
attributed by the rising house prices, population growth, the burgeoning construction as well
as the strong terms of the trade (Focus Economics 2018). Nonetheless, the economic or
business cycle is over the hill, the drivers of the demand are currently mixed. Housing market
has also cooled and the consumer outlay has slowed. Though there is positives since terms of
trades within the country is strong and the government expenditures are also stimulatory
(Amaded 2018). The mixture shows that the business cycle within the country would age
gracefully instead of expiring suddenly.
The GDP is the commonly employed indicator of an investment climate in a given country. It
is usually the best benchmark in comparing a good number of countries. In fact, it is a good

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Principals of Financial Markets Assignment 5
measure of the country’s economic growth that is why a good number of the investors utilize
it. In this case, Australia is experiencing middling GDP growth rate and its economy is
experiencing pains and aches on supply side as the capacity constrains begins to bite. For
instance, organizations are having hectic time finding employees (Trading Economics 2018).
Consequently, there is a probability that wage would growth and the non-tradables inflations
is slowly picking-up. Nonetheless, the low inflation rate has been the main feature of current
economic cycle. The chief aspects driving the low inflation rate are still in existence and there
is high probability that inflation would remain lower compared to RBNZ (Daily FX 2018).
The GDP is said to have grown to around 2.6 % in the year 2016, which is the fastest in over
a decade, though it slowed to around 2.2% over the year 2017. Nonetheless, the country GDP
is projected to accelerate by end of this year to around 2.9%. The dynamic growth in
Australian GDP is attributed by increase in the demand for the raw commodities from the less
developed nations since early 2000s that resulted in strong rise in the global commodity
prices and in turn dynamic growth in the country GDP (Trading Economics 2018).
Australia inflation rate is said to move from 2.8% in 2013 to as low as 1.7 in the year 2015.
This rate continued to decrease to as low as 1.5 in 2016 but is reported to have increased
slightly to 1.9 (Trading Economics 2018). To be more specific, inflation rate for the country
was around 2.1% in second quarter and remained close to lower bound of between 2 and 3%
range by July and by August. Nonetheless, the RBA projects the inflation rate to be below
around 2% by September as a result of one-off decrease in some of the administered prices
(RBA 2018). Reserve Bank of Australia is said to leave cash rate or interest rate unchanged at
all-time low of around 1.5% where it used to be two years down the line. This move is said to
be in line with the market expectations.
Bottom-Up Analysis of NAB and Westpac Current Financial Position
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Principals of Financial Markets Assignment 6
This approach mostly centres on analysis of the individuals stock. In essence, under
bottom-up analysis, investors focus on a particular firm instead of industry in which the
firm operates or on whole economy (Liedl & Weg 2011). In this case, the bottom-up
analysis of the two banks would entail financial ratio analysis of the banks as well as
their financial statement analysis.
Financial Ratio Analysis
Financial ratio analysis has been one of the techniques in examining financial
performance of the two banks. According to Kent (2014) ratio analysis is significant in
forecasting future success of any firm. In this case, the most acceptable ratios to be used
in evaluating Westpac and NAB financial position include profitability ratio such as net
margin, the ROE, EPS, ROA and P/E ratio and the solvency ratios including debt to
equity ratio. Ratio analysis would be used in revealing strength and weakness of the two
banks (Liedl & Weg 2011). Through ratio analysis of NAB and Westpac, this report
examines the weakness and strength of these firms and reveals extent the banks have
been capable to offer some values to their shareholders.
Net Margin
Based on the analysis, NAB net margin in the year 2017 was 31.23%. This value was slightly
lower compared to the industry value of 34.79% (Investing.com 2018). Nonetheless, despite
the fact that NAB net margin is lower than the industry value, the value is relatively high and
positive meaning that the company has been profitable enough. The net margin for Westpac
on the other hand in 2017 was 36.88% compared to 34.55%. The high net margin by Westpac
is a good sign that the company has profitable in its operations.
ROA
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Principals of Financial Markets Assignment 7
Based on the analysis, it is evident that NAB ROA in the financial year 2017 was 0.78%. The
value is almost as per with the industry value. This means that NAB has been effective in
utilizing its assets to generate income. On the other hand, Westpac ROA in the year 2017 was
0.97% which was higher than the industry value of 0.92% (Investing.com 2018). The high
ROA for Westpac is a clear sign that the company has been efficient enough in utilizing its
assets to generate some income.
ROE
NAB ROE by September 2017 was 11.73%. The value is lower than the industry value of
15.5%. Despite the fact that the value is lower than industry value, it can be indicated that the
company has been utilizing its shareholders’ equity effectively in generating income. On the
other hand, Westpac ROE in the year 2017 was 14.56% slightly below the industry value of
15.5% (Investing.com 2018). Besides, the positive value in Westpac ROE is a clear sign that
the company has been utilizing its shareholders’ equity effective in generating some income.
EPS
NAP EPS ratio in the year 2017 was 2.28. This ratio was slightly lower compared to industry
value of around 3.62. In spite of the value being slightly lower, it can be stated that NAB is
able to generate higher earnings for every share invested in (Investing.com 2018). On the
other hand, Westpac EPS for the year 2017 was 2.38 compared to industry value of 3.62. This
value shows that Westpac has been paying relatively high amount of earnings per share over
the period.
P/E ratio
From the analysis, NAB P/E ratio in the year 2017 was 12.98%. This value was relatively
higher compared to the industry value of 12.3% meaning that NAB has been able to generate

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Principals of Financial Markets Assignment 8
positive earnings for its shareholders. On the other hand, Westpac P/E ratio in 2017 was
12.05% compared to 12.3% (Investing.com 2018).
Debt to equity
NAB debt to equity by 2017 was 2.64 compared to 2.68 industry value. This value shows that
NAB has been relying heavily on debt financing than equity financing over the year. On the
other hand, Westpac debt to equity in the year 2017 was 3.07 which was slightly higher than
the industry value of 2.68 (Investing.com 2018). This shows that Westpac has been relying
heavily on debt finance rather than equity finance.
Dividend Yield
NAB dividend yield by 2017 was 6.98% in comparison to 6.39% industry value. This implies
that NAB has been paying its shareholders significantly high amount of dividends which is so
encouraging to even the potential investors (Investing.com 2018). On the other hand,
Westpac dividend yield in the year 2017 was 6.63% compared to 6.39% industry value. This
value shows that Westpac has been operating efficiently and has been more aggressive in
paying high amount of dividends far much better than what has been set by the industry.
Financial Statement Analysis
Based on NAB income statement, it is evident that net interest income for the bank increased
from 12,930 in 2016 to 13,182 in 2017 (Investing.com 2018). The total interest income after
the loan loss was 12,117 in 2016 but has increased in 2017 to 12,358. Further, net income
before the taxes decreased from 8,978 in 2016 to around 8,661 in 2017. Moreover, the net
income after the taxes decreased from 6,425 in 2016 to approximate 6,181 in 2017. On the
other hand, based on NAB balance sheet, it is evident that total assets for NAB increased over
the last two years moving from 776,710 in 2016 to 788,325 in 2017 (Investing.com 2018).
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Principals of Financial Markets Assignment 9
On the other hand, total liabilities for the bank increased from 725,418 in 2016 to 737,019 in
2017. Despite the increase in total liabilities, it is evident that the total liabilities for the past
two years was relatively lower than its total assets meaning that the company had more
assets; hence, did not relying heavily on debt in financing its assets. Further, total equity for
NAB increased with a slight margin moving from 51,292 in 2016 to 51,306 in the year 2017
(Investing.com 2018).
On the other hand, based on Westpac income statement, it can be stated that is net interest
income increased from 15,148 in 2016 to 15,516 in the year 2017 (Investing.com 2018). Net
income before taxes also experienced a significant increase over the year from 10,644 in
2016 to about 11,515 in 2017. Similarly, its net income after tax increased from 7,460 in
2016 to around 7,997 in 2017. Based on Westpac balance sheet, it is evident that the bank
total assets increased from 851,875 in 2016 to around 871,855 in 2017 (Investing.com 2018).
On the other hand, its total liabilities increased from 790,587 in 2016 to around 809,240 in
the year 2017. The total liabilities for the last two years were relatively lower than the total
assets meaning that Westpac had enough assets in running its operations. Its total equity
increased from 61,288 in 2016 to 62,615 in the year 2017.
Based on the above analysis, it can be stated that Westpac Banking Corporation is doing
relatively better than NAB. This is based on the fact that Westpac had significantly higher net
income compared to NAB. Furthermore, Westpac had significantly higher profitability ratios
compared to its counterpart NAB.
Summary and Recommendations
In conclusion, Australian banking Industry is the most profitable and competitive sector.
Besides, Australian banking industry is one of the largest portions of the country’s financial
systems. Westpac is the Australian financial and banking-service provider whose headquarter
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Principals of Financial Markets Assignment 10
is in Sydney. In fact, it is amongst the big four financial institutions operating in Australia.
On the other hand, NAB is amongst the big four Australian banks in terms of customers,
earnings and market capitalization. It was ranked twenty first largest financial institutions
across the world in terms of market cap and forty one largest financial institutions across the
globe in term of total assets. Further, based on the top-down analysis, top-down analysis, it
can be concluded that Australian economic growth is entering its mature phase. This is based
on the fact that the country macroeconomic aspects seem to be moving in favorable position.
For instance, Australia is experiencing middling GDP growth rate of around 2.6 % in the year
2016, which is the fastest in over a decade, though it slowed to around 2.2% over the year
2017. Nonetheless, the country GDP is projected to accelerate by end of this year to around
2.9%. Based on the top-down analysis, it can be concluded that Westpac and NAB have had
sound improvement in its financial performance over the last few years. This is due to the
fact that Westpac and NAB net profit margin, EPS, ROE and the ROA should strong and
improved financial performance due to the high value in these ratios. In spite of the low
current assets in the year 2017, it can be concluded that the two banks were able to meet both
their medium, long and short-term debt obligations.
Recommendations
Based on the above analysis, the paper recommends that potential investors and existing one
should opt to invest in shares and stocks of NAB and Westpac. In fact, given that Westpac
and NAB are performing better financially, it would be noble for any potential investor to
invest their cash in these banks since there is a highly probability that they would get higher
returns at the end. Basically, based on the fact that Westpac and NAB are paying high
dividends to its shareholders, there is need for existing shareholders to invest more on this
company by purchasing more shares. By doing so, they are more likely to enjoy high returns

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Principals of Financial Markets Assignment 11
in their investments in future.
REFERENCES
Amaded, K (2018), Where Are We in the Current Business Cycle?: Viewed at:
https://www.thebalance.com/where-are-we-in-the-current-business-cycle-3305593 (Accessed
18th September 2018).
Daily FX (2018), Forex market news and analysis: AUD/USD: Viewed at:
https://www.dailyfx.com/aud-usd (Accessed 18th September 2018)
Focus Economics (2018), Australia Economic Outlook: Viewed at: https://www.focus-
economics.com/country-indicator/australia/gdp-usd-bn (Accessed 18th September 2018)
Investing.com (2018), National Australia Bank Ltd (NAB): Viewed from:
https://www.investing.com/equities/national-australia-bank-limited-ratios (Accessed at 18th
September 2018)
Investing.com (2018), National Australia Bank Ltd (NAB): Viewed from:
https://www.investing.com/equities/westpac-banking-corporation-income-statement
(Accessed at 18th September 2018)
Investing.com (2018), National Australia Bank Ltd (NAB): Viewed from:
https://www.investing.com/equities/westpac-banking-corporation-balance-sheet (Accessed at
18th September 2018)
Investing.com (2018), Westpac Banking Corporation: Viewed from:
https://www.investing.com/equities/westpac-banking-corporation-ratios (Accessed at 18th
September 2018)
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Principals of Financial Markets Assignment 12
Investing.com (2018), Westpac Banking Corporation: Viewed from:
https://www.investing.com/equities/national-australia-bank-limited-balance-sheet (Accessed
at 18th September 2018)
Investing.com (2018), Westpac Banking Corporation: Viewed from:
https://www.investing.com/equities/national-australia-bank-limited-income-statement
(Accessed at 18th September 2018)
Kent, C (2014). The Business Cycle in Australia; Viewed at:
https://www.rba.gov.au/speeches/2014/sp-ag-131114.html (Accessed 18th September 2018).
Liedl, C & Weg, B (2011), ‘Top-down vs. Bottom-up,’ Does a top-down approach bear
more advantages than a bottom-up approach within the implementation process of housing
security projects.
RBA (2018), Interest rate decisions 2018: Viewed at: https://www.rba.gov.au/monetary-
policy/int-rate-decisions/2018/ (Accessed 18th September 2018)
Trading Economics (2018), Australia GDP growth rate: Viewed at:
https://tradingeconomics.com/australia/gdp-growth (Accessed 18th September 2018)
Trading Economics (2018), Australia inflation rate: Viewed at:
https://tradingeconomics.com/australia/inflation-cpi (Accessed 18th September 2018)
Wirsch, A (2014) Analysis of a top-down bottom-up data analysis framework and software
architecture design (Doctoral dissertation, Massachusetts Institute of Technology).
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