1BANK FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT Abstract The objective of the paper is to delve into the aspects of risk management through covering the process of effective examination upon the financial performance of the considered two banks which are HSBC bank and Lloyd bank. Quantitative analysis is being executed upon the obtained financial data from 2011 till 2017 for the two banks and the respective results are interpreted and compared. The involved ratios that were being undertaken for conducting the financialratioanalysisaretheefficiencyratio,profitabilityratio,liquidityratio,share performance, management capacity and capital structure of the two banking firms. Descriptive statistical analysis was then implemented to rank the financial performance of the firms followed by revealing the existing banking scenario in terms of its overall stability and measure of dispersion from the performance expected. The major finding reflected that both of the banks performed substantially well though relative variability was been found in their financial operation and way of asset utilization. Keywords:HSBC, Lloyd Bank, Financial Ratios Analysis, Performance Measurement
2BANK FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT Table of Contents Abstract............................................................................................................................................1 Introduction......................................................................................................................................3 Background Information..................................................................................................................3 Research Objective..........................................................................................................................4 Research Methodology....................................................................................................................4 Literature Review............................................................................................................................4 Financial Ratio Analysis..................................................................................................................5 Liquidity Analysis......................................................................................................................6 Profitability Ratios.......................................................................................................................8 Management Capacity Ratios....................................................................................................10 Capital Structure Ratios.............................................................................................................12 Growth Ratios............................................................................................................................14 Conclusion.....................................................................................................................................16 References......................................................................................................................................17
3BANK FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT Introduction It is important to understand the existing state of financial health of the banks based on which a bank undertakes its future actions. The financial reports helps to track the financial statements of HSBC and Lloyds bank based on which the financial standings of the firms from 2011 till 2017 is being assessed (Schürmann. 2016).The purpose of risk management in case of these banks is to detect the core issues related to financial problems before they takes place in order to handle the uncertainties that exists in the industry and invoke a strategic approach that will mitigate adverse impacts yet will be able to optimize the objectives of the firms. Financial ratios help the banks to examine the state of efficiency, liquidity as well as gaps in financial performance of the banks and in segments where it can improve its functionality. The study delves into these issues in case of Lloyds & HSBC bank followed by interpreting their financial ratios and revealing about the degree of sophistication required for practicing effective risk management in those banks. Background Information Being a multinational company HSBC bank is the 7thlargest banking and financial service group that was established in 1865 in British Hong Kong. After that the company expanded its business worldwide and currently have its presence in 73 countries. With more than 6100officesanditsglobalheadquarterinLondon,HSBCencompassesnearby216000 shareholders possessing 228687 employees. The bank have a market capitalization of 182 billion US dollars by 2017 followed by having a total number of assets of $ 2.521 trillion, total equity of 190.24 billion US dollars. The operating income of the company is close to $ 14.792 billion and the net income is of $ 11.879 billion by 2017.HSBC is involved in retail banking, mortgage loans, insurance, wealth management, private banking, investment as well as corporate banking
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4BANK FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT and has a customer base of 51 million worldwide. Lloyd bank on the other hand is headquartered in London, and is among the big four clearing banks involved in retail and commercial banking. The firm provides insurance services and by 2016 possessed an employee strength of 45856 and Lloyd bank was having an operating income of 17.5 billion, followed by net income of 16.6 billion and average income earning banking assets of 436 billion. Research Objective The objective of the research encompasses the aspect of determining the financial ratios of HSBC and Lloyd banks based on which their financial development and ability to manage financial risksfor the period 2011-2017 are examined followed by a comparison between the two banks. Research Methodology The methodology of the research is done through descriptive research design and maintaining a deductive research approach. The data of 2011-2017 are gathered from the annual reports of the respective companies and the financial information thus obtained are further being analyzed through quantitative measurements. Literature Review According toYan et al. (2017), financial positioning is quite dependent upon the variations that are being taking place within the ability of the banking firms to mitigate risks associated with their business. Adaptive analysis of the pass trends of the financial ratios can provide a predictive measures that needs to be undertaken for reducing the financial risks involved. The paper clearly put forth that beside operational risk, reputational risk, the banks
5BANK FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT faces liquidity risks to cover up its liabilities with its assets as well as market risks which are nothing but systematic risks in the business. In accordance withBlack et al. (2016), it assessed the performance of banks financially and depicted that financial ratios are effective estimators of the responsive of firms to understand its performance overtime. Measurement of the financial health based on the profitability ratios andefficiencyratiosgavethatthereexiststatisticallysignificantdifferencebetweenthe performance levels of the banking firms. Curi and Murgia (2018), investigated upon the influential factors that renders impact in the long run upon the financial health of the banking sectors. Among them the wealth management, liquidity positions, asset quality, earning ability measurements are found to be important parameters that determine financial health of the banks. Adelopo (2017), examined the financial anomalies of private and public banks and how financial ratios helps to understand them.It was been reflected in the paper that the joint ventures made by public and private banks are capable of strongly assessing the risk mitigation ability of the banks by measurement of financial ratios. It was also revealed by the paper that ranking the capital adequacy, return on assets, etc. renders adequate information about the existing capital utilization and repayment ability of the banks of their debts. Financial Ratio Analysis The financial ratio analysis are done in order to understand the relationship between various factors that boosts a firs ability to manage risks as well as ensure its success based on the measurement of its past performance from the perspective of the investor as well as the bank.
6BANK FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT Liquidity Analysis Table1: Lloyd Liquidity Ratios Liquidity Ratios 201 7 201 6 201 5 201 4 201 3 201 2 201 1 Me an Med ian Stand ard Devi ation Coeffi cient of Variat ion Current Ratios 1.1 55 1.1 75 1.1 58 1.1 41 1.1 83 1.2 93 1.4 75 1.2 26 1.17 52 0.121 2 9.89% Shareholder's equity to total assets 0.0 536 0.0 526 0.0 511 0.0 507 0.0 460 0.0 476 0.0 473 0.0 50 0.05 07 0.002 9 5.81% Liquidity ratios provides measurement regarding the financial metrics that determines the ability of the debtors to pay off the existing obligations. However, in the way, raising of external capital will not be permitted. The valuation of loans to total assets is closer to the mean of 0.64 which suggests that the bank possess less ability to cover up its short term liabilities with its liquid assets. However, the loan to customer deposits suggest about the loans that went out from the bank towards their customers and the amount that came back to the bank from the customers as deposits. This valuation shows that the mean is 1.175 which is not got as it reflects that fact that the amount of loan that are being given out from the bank to its customers are higher than the amount of deposits that returned back from the customers to the bank. The shareholders
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7BANK FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT equity to total assets on the other hand suggests that the mean of the residual claim that the shareholders have upon the amount of assets is 0.0507 which not good. Table2: HSBC Liquidity Ratios Liquidity Ratio 2017 201 6 201 5 201 4 201 3 201 2 201 1 Me an Me dian Sta nda rd Dev iati on Co effi cie nt of Va riat ion Current Ratio 0.6890 03168 0.66 915 077 0.68 158 912 3 0.72 250 620 1 0.65 377 095 4 0.70 354 548 7 0.65 437 922 8 0.68 199 213 3 0.68 158 912 3 0.02 542 656 7 3.7 3% Shareholder' sequityto total assets 0.0754 43012 0.07 384 717 2 0.07 821 033 4 0.07 229 952 6 0.06 808 287 1 0.06 508 431 8 0.26 551 489 7 0.09 978 316 1 0.07 384 717 2 0.07 321 404 9 73. 37 % The valuation of loans to total assets is closer to the mean of 0.40 which suggests that the bank possess less ability to cover up its short term liabilities with its liquid assets. In fact HSBC’s ability to pay back its short term obligation is lower than that of Lloyd bank. This
8BANK FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT incorporates a significant amount of risk which is necessary to be taken care of by not storing case or non-cash assets rather by allowing for more loan opportunities for utilizing the market value of the bank’s assets.However, the loan to customer deposits suggest about the loans that went out from the bank towards their customers and the amount that came back to the bank from the customers as deposits. This valuation shows that the mean is 0.68 which is well as it reflects that fact that the amount of loan that are being given out from the bank to its customers are close to the amount of deposits that returned back from the customers to the bank.The shareholders equity to total assets on the other hand suggests that the mean of the residual claim that the shareholders have upon the amount of assets is 0.0997. Notably the measure of dispersion suggest that the variations in the HSBC bank is credible more than that of Lloyd bank. Profitability Ratios Table3: Lloyd Profitability Ratios Profitability Ratios 20 17 20 16 20 15 20 14 20 13 20 12 20 11 M ea n Me dia n Standard Deviatio n Coefficient of Variation Returnon Shareholder's Equity % 8.1 4 % 5.8 4 % 2.3 1 % 3.4 6 % - 2.0 6% - 3.1 5% - 5.9 1% 1.5 7 % 2.3 1% 0.0510326.06% Return on Total Assets % 3.6 7 % 2.0 0 % 2.1 0 % 1.2 7 % 1.6 5% 4.1 5% 4.1 0% 3.0 1 % 2.1 0% 0.012240.74%
9BANK FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT The profitability analysis suggests that in case of Lloyd bank the return that are being obtained based on the investments that are being made by the shareholders of the firm was negative from 2011 till the end of 2013. However the company have recovered from that poor financial health and from 2014 till 2017 the return that the shareholders of the bank have obtained has monotonically increased. After 2015 though it faced a slight downfall yet it recovered effectively in 2016 ensuring a return on shareholder’s equity of 5.84 which is almost 2 and half times as compared to previous its year’s financial performance. Apart from that, the return on total asset has a mean of 3.01 %. Table4: HSBC Profitability Ratios Profitability Ratios 201 7 201 6 201 5 201 4 201 3 201 2 201 1 Mea n Med ian Stan dard Devi atio n Coe ffici ent of Var iati on Returnon Ordinary Shareholder's Equity % 0.06 243 889 6 0.01 887 412 5 0.07 642 847 7 0.07 353 308 9 0.09 345 843 5 0.08 373 332 5 0.10 738 929 8 0.07 369 366 4 0.07 642 847 7 0.02 818 449 1 38. 25 % Return on Total Assets % 0.00 471 057 0.00 145 095 0.00 626 479 0.00 558 246 0.00 666 337 0.00 569 499 0.03 078 127 0.00 873 549 0.00 569 499 0.00 987 307 113 .02 %
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10BANK FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT 8659796391 The profitability analysis suggests that in case of HSBC bank, the company have a moderate performance over its profitability yet the variation is low in its profitability. It has a mean of 0.073 which is moderate. Apart from that, the return on total asset has a mean of 0.08 % which is not at all good and the coefficient of variation is very high. Management Capacity Ratios Table5: Lloyd Management Capacity Ratios Managem ent Capacity Ratios 201 7 201 6 201 5 201 4 201 3 201 2 201 1 Me an Me dian Standa rd Deviat ion Coeffici entof Variatio n Loansto total assets % 0.59 444 237 2 0.59 704 228 3 0.60 058 287 7 0.59 664 801 3 0.61 627 215 1 0.59 695 398 4 0.62 924 786 7 0.60 445 565 0.59 881 258 0.0131 76621 2.18% investment tototal assets -00 0.00 53 0.00 57 0.00 58 0.00 67 0.00 39 0.00 53 0.0030 7 78.30% From the valuations of loans cleared with respect to the total assets of the bank the standard deviation and mean values are 0.013 and 0.605 respectively.The value suggests that less amount of loans are utilized or managed directly from the assets and this incorporates the
11BANK FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT fact that from the perspective of risk less amount of risk is associated with the financial aspects of the bank as the values are low. The lower value of it indicates lower risk. However, the investment to total assets suggest that the assets that are being utilized to generate earnings is low as its mean value is close to 0.0039 and moreover the standard deviation is low. The coefficient of variation suggests that the degree of variation is 78 %. Table6: HSBC Management Capacity Ratios Management Capacity Ratios 201 7 201 6 201 5 201 4 201 3 201 2 201 1 Mea n Med ian Stan dard Devi atio n Coe ffici ent of Var iati on Loanstototal assets % 0.41 770 525 6 0.39 984 656 8 0.42 116 177 6 0.41 258 604 8 0.41 632 445 1 0.40 112 971 5 0.38 692 946 9 0.40 795 475 5 0.41 258 604 8 0.01 235 168 6 3.0 3% Netinterest incometo interestincome ratios 0.68 797 460 6 0.70 290 470 1 0.68 937 676 2 0.68 109 115 9 0.69 422 956 7 0.66 438 573 6 0.64 537 735 1 0.68 076 284 0.68 797 460 6 0.01 965 652 6 2.8 9% investmentto total assets 0.15 428 0.18 391 0.17 801 0.15 772 0.15 944 0.15 639 0.07 021 0.15 142 0.15 772 0.03 762 24. 85
12BANK FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT 680 9 561 503 6 402 3 376 5 556 4 661 8 820 4 402 3 611 2 % From the valuations of loans cleared with respect to the total assets of the bank the standard deviation and mean values are 0.013 and 0.407 respectively. The value represents that it is almost same as in the case of Lloyd bank.This incorporates the fact that from the perspective of risk less amount of risk is associated with the financial aspects of the bank as the values are low. The lower value of is associated with less amount of risk in case of both banks. However, coefficient of variation suggests that the amount of relative variability is high in case of HSBC bank as compared to that of the Lloyd bank. Notably, the investment to total assets suggest that the assets that are being utilized to generate earnings is low as its mean value is close to 0.15 and the standard deviation is low. The coefficient of variation suggests that the degree of variation is 24.85 %. Capital Structure Ratios Table7: Lloyd Capital Structure Ratio Capital structure Ratios 20 17 20 16 20 15 20 14 20 13 20 12 20 11 Me an Me dia n Standard Deviatio n Coefficient of Variation Totalliabilities tototalassets % 94 % 94 % 94 % 94 % 95 % 95 % 95 % 95 % 94 % 0.006281 349 0.66% Totalliabilities15151616201919171612.22995912.63%
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15BANK FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT The growth ratios suggests that over time the firm has passed through several upheavals and downfalls for which the coefficient of variation is high. The standard deviation value suggest that the dispersion is high within a period of 1 year, 3 year or 5 year period though on a decade basis that deviation form mean is moderate financially. Growth Ratios 20 17 201 6 20 15 20 14 20 13 201 2 201 1 Mean Medi an Standard Deviatio n Coeffic ientof Variati on Revenue % Yearover Year 4.3 3 - 13.1 8 - 4.6 6 - 2.9 6 3.1 1 - 12.0 3 4.3 1 - 3.01142 857 -2.96 7.44341 6394 - 247.17 % 3-Year Average - 4.7 7 - 7.04 - 1.5 6 - 4.1 6 - 1.8 3 - 2.31 - 3.5 6 - 3.60428 571 -3.56 1.93546 5983 - 53.70% 5-Year Average - 2.8 8 - 6.14 - 2.6 3 - 1.3 8 - 4.0 4-3.8 3.3 1 - 2.50857 143 -2.88 2.95754 6441 - 117.90 % 10-Year Average - 3.3 4 - 1.53 1.1 7 3.5 8 6.1 4 10.4 2 12. 02 4.06571 4286 3.58 5.81274 4209 142.97 %
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16BANK FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT In case of HSBC bank the same scenario is observed that over time the firm has passed through several fluctuations from mean value or expected value. The standard deviation value suggest that the dispersion is moderate within a period of 1 year, 3 year, 5 years or 10 years. However, the coefficient of variation shows that the relative variability in case of HSBC bank is greater as compared to Lloyd bank. Conclusion It can be concluded from the analysis that both of the bank have performed well over time. However the ability to cover up the risks associated with its liabilities in case of HSBC is high as compared to that of Lloyd bank. Maybe this is due to the bank’s extensive presence in global sphere as compared to the other one. However, the Lloyd bank has executed a more profitable business as compared to HSBC over the period of 2011 to 2017. However, the relative variability of HSBC is higher than that of Lloyd bank. Apartfrom that the financial ratios suggest that the risk mitigation ability is high in case of HSBC bank as compared to that of the Lloyd bank for which it have performed batter over the period irrespective of the fact that Lloyd bank possess a better liquidity ratio than HSBC. Apart from these aspect, both the banks has performed well over the period of 2011-2017.
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