1 BANK MANAGEMENT 1. This year, financial service sector is facing a stimulating period such as “Westpac Banking Corporation”. With the lesser growth of economy and historically lower interest rates the operating environment has also become more tough. The bank has continuously faced uncertainity around APRA’s capital requirements (Authority, 2017), impending for additional controlling activities, and low earning interest rates and higher acquiescence costs. Recently the Reserve Bank of Australia has cut official interest rates of 0.5 percent by a quarter, as to defend the Australian economy from the financial outbreak of the coronavirus outburst. In the reduction case of the RBA’s first cash rate Westpac was the first of the major banks to react since October. The bank has announced that passing the cut in full to debtors. TheeconomicviewpointforAustraliaremainsperplexingtomakesofterglobal environment. It is anticipated that the Interest rates are expected o remain very small. The RBA has concentrated the cash rate from 1.5% to 0.75% over the year. It is expected in early 2020 that a further rate amended to 0.5%. At this level of rate there would be a limited options for RBA to changed further if the economy goes down. At this low levels of interst rates, there will be a important stress on margins. There are several deposits that are fundamentally at a floor beyond which they can not be repriced down. Additionally Invested capital earnings and liquidity are increasinglylowersincethefinancialcollectionrollsovertomuchlesserinterestrates (tradingeconomics.com, 2020). Concerning about the lending environment, the bank significantly challenged on the impact of lowering the interest rate and it will create a demand forfalling in a substantiality in
2 BANK MANAGEMENT lending. Credit quality persisted comprehensive over the year, a reasonable deterioration in delinquencies on the “housing loans” with 0.88% of loan balances more than 90 days due. It mostly replecates a some increases in tension and slowdown in housing income in ceratian parts of the country, it increases the time to take for peopleto clear their loans when they require to sell. It is remain very low at just 0.08% of the impaired assets to total exposure, while lending business, “impaired assets to total exposure” was rise just 3 basis points to 0.62% over the last 6 months. The bank has fully funded with the new deposite of the customer. 2. The “Reserve Bank of Australia” reduced the cash rate by 25 basis point to a new record low of 0.25% in the next alternative move as to peer all over the world to alleviate the coronavirus effect. Elaborately it can be said that they will not raise the target of cash rate until development is being achieved towards full occupation and remains assured that the inflation will be within 2% to 3% target. In that concern the policy makers wish to launch a 3 year funding capability for the system in banking with AUD of 90 billion.
3 BANK MANAGEMENT Australian interest rate has been predicted to be 0.25 percent at the end of the quarter. On the basis on several macro model and analysis it is to estimated that “interest rate of Australia” stand at 25% in 12 months period. Whereas in the longrun, the Australian interest rate is being expected to trend around 0.50 percent in 2021and 0.75 percent in 2022, as per the economic models.
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4 BANK MANAGEMENT 3.Interest rate risk analysis As per the banking book “Interest rate risk” (English, Van den Heuvel & Zakrajšek, 2018)is the risk to “interest income” arising from a divergence among the period of assets and liabilities that will arise the standard course of business. Since the Reserve Bank of Australia smashed the cash rate by 25 basis point. Not increasing the cash rate target as per the board, until the progress is not going towards the “full employment” and remains constatnt that the inflation will be 2-3%. It will have an instant impact of changes in interest rate on the Net Interest Margin (Busch & Memmel, 2015). There will be a larger impact in regards to interest rates changing is on the bank’s net-worth as the economic value of a “bank’s assets, liabilities and off balance sheet” position got exaggerated. Credit risk In this organization the maximum credit risk (Bluhm, Overbeck & Wagner, 2016) exposure is representated by the carrying amount of monetary assets of the on balance sheet. Described as below: Trading securities and financial assets measured at FVIS 45% -economic institution 44%- parent entity Derivative financial instruments 72%- both the financial institution and parent company 78%- held in Australia by the group
5 BANK MANAGEMENT In relation to the credit risk, if credit rating were lower from the current level the groups costsof borrowing and capability may be adversely exaggerated, a downgraded credit rating may compel the organizations to provide the higher interest rate on the currently paid and wholesale borrowings. 4.Comparison of interest rate risk and credit risk position As the above table suggests that in 2019, “Interest rate risk and Credit risk” is high compare to the previous year. 5.Recommendation Thissegmentdescribes,somewayouttomitigatetherisk(Abbasetal,2015),the recommendations are: For the regulatory capital purposes: The exposures backed by the financial collateral, either by cash or government or semi- governement securities.
6 BANK MANAGEMENT Exposures can be alleviated by the qualified assurances, stand by “letters of credit” or the similar mechanisms. Protection in credit earned via credit default swaps.
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7 BANK MANAGEMENT Reference Authority, A. P. R. (2017). To: All authorised deposit-taking institutions (ADIs), general insurers, life companies, Level 2 Heads and potential Level 3 Heads Implementing the non-capital components of the framework for supervision of conglomerate groups.APRA. Australia Interest Rate | 1990-2020 Data | 2021-2022 Forecast | Calendar | Historical . (2020). Retrieved 2 April 2020, from https://tradingeconomics.com/australia/interest-rate English, W. B., Van den Heuvel, S. J., & Zakrajšek, E. (2018). Interest rate risk and bank equity valuations.Journal of Monetary Economics,98, 80-97. Busch, R., & Memmel, C. (2015). Banks' net interest margin and the level of interest rates. Bluhm, C., Overbeck, L., & Wagner, C. (2016).Introduction to credit risk modeling. Crc Press. Abbas, A., Amjath-Babu, T. S., Kächele, H., & Müller, K. (2015). Non-structural flood risk mitigation under developing country conditions: an analysis on the determinants of willingness to pay for flood insurance in rural Pakistan.Natural Hazards,75(3), 2119- 2135.