Brexit and Its Impact on UK International Businesses
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This essay evaluates the potential effects of Brexit on UK international businesses. It discusses the declining value of currency, lower growth rate, and sectors vulnerable to Brexit. It also highlights the changes in the political and legal environment of the UK affecting the future of businesses.
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Running Head: ECONOMIC ASSIGNMENT Economic Assignment Name of the Student Name of the University Author note
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1ECONOMIC ASSIGNMENTReferencesReferences As the name suggests, Brexit refers to the event of Britain’s from European Union. In a referendum held in June, 2016, voting arrangement was conducted to decide whether to sustain UK membership in EU or not. Majority (51.9%) was against continuation of UK membership in confirming Britain’s exit from EU. UK regions that are voted to exit EU bear a greater economic consequences than any other regions of Europe (bbc.com 2018). The Brexit not only interrupts trend in UK’s economic performance but also has consequences for regulation, politics and cultural environment. The changes brought by Brexit on internal and external environment have impacted operation of domestic and international businesses. The uncertainty about UK’s position in the international market changes the outlook for international businesses. The instability of UK economy has led to a instability is pound value, trade and regulatory barriers for cross border movement of people, goods or services and a more complex legal and regulatory structure. Earlier UK businesses would enjoy the benefit of EU membership in several ways. These benefits now have ceased to flow in UK. There are some optimistic view of Brexit as well suggesting that legal the short run loss from Britain’s exit from EU can be overcome by a strong performances of the economy in the long run. The changes in external environment of UK businesses is critical to discuss. A clear understandingisneededregardingimplicationforeconomic,political,legalandcultural environment on international businesses.Among many of the factors influencing external business environment economic factors are the major one. Economic factor affecting business operation are interest rates, taxes, exchange rates and overall economic growth rate. UK is recognized as having one of the highest GDP in world (Koch 2016). This provides UK businesses a greater economic support. The stable economic condition helps to attract foreign investment in the economy. The economic factors though relate to the economy on a broader
2ECONOMIC ASSIGNMENTReferencesReferences scale these however have profound implication for internal functioning of each and every companies. Brexis has posed a sudden recessionary pressure for UK economy. The growth of UK economy was contracted to 0.6% at the end of June, 2017. At the immediate next month of Brexit the economic growth was as low as 0.2% (independent.co.uk 2018). Figure 1: Actual and forecasted growth rate of UK (Source:independent.co.uk 2018) Before Brexit, UK experienced a recorded high employment of 74% and lowest level of unemployment of 4.9% with a healthy economic growth rate 2.2%. The economic contraction after Brexit has dragged the value of pound down in relation to trading partners of UK. Pound recorded a depreciation both against dollar and Euro. The implication of depreciated currency is on the price of the goods traded. UK now has to a higher price of imported items (reuters.com 2018). This apart from raisin domestic price level has imposed additional cost burden on businesses using imported inputs or operating outside UK. The international businesses now have to make a higher payment for factor input paid in terms of their domestic currency. The
3ECONOMIC ASSIGNMENTReferencesReferences depreciated currency and the resulted high import cost reduces business profitability. The weak growth rate along with weak currency reduces the business confidence of UK. This reduces the business investment. The Bank of England has expressed a lower expectation about future potential business investment. Figure 2: Movement of currency value after Brexit (Source: One primary reason for unwillingness of UK to leave EU is the benefits derived from the EU single market access. The EU single market access comes with our freedoms namely movement of goods, services, people and capital. The idea of single market is to promote free trade throughout by formation of committee called European Economic Community. By this free trade agreement all the original sixteen members of EU were required to abolish any form of interventionist policy like that of tariff or import tax (ft.com 2018).Besides, the member countries also agree to set a common external tariff. Germany, Italy, France and other nation levy same amount of import tariff for goods imported outside the European Economic Committee.
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4ECONOMIC ASSIGNMENTReferencesReferences Any goods and services from EU member nations thus comes into EU facing the lowest tax and then distributed in the common EU market with no need to pay any extra tax. The free trade agreement of EEC along with the common external tariff is known as custom unions. The free trade and single market access provides several economic benefits. When people have access to a wider market then consumers enjoy the choice of having the desired goods at the least possible price. Business firms in the nation are consumers as well. With friendly relation with different member countries the international businesses can make a profitable deal with non-UK based companies (Kierzenkowskiet al.2016). The free movement of capital and labor also benefit international companies to have a steady supply of required capital and labor. In the post Brexit period, UK companies faces difficulties in trade negotiation. The service sector is the most important sector of the UK economy making 80% of the economy. UK trade deals outside EU exclude services. The service deals are mostly made within EU members and are subject to free movement of people and need common regulation (Dhingraet al. 2016). The non-tariff barriers after Brexit could impose additional cost to business. The EU membership thus provides UK businesses considerable benefits from custom union of UK and single market access. Losing custom union membership and single market access have an estimated additional cost of £36bn to the UK economy (Brakman, Garretsen and Kohl 2018). The services sector has the most vulnerability towards the Brexit shocks. The financial services are severely affected from Brexit. The sector has accounted an estimated job loss of 10,500 in the post Brexit period. Some of the major financial institution are considering relocation from UK. Financial group including Daiwa, Citigroup and Morgan Stanly have announced their relocation decision.The financial sector provides a major support to the UK economy (Cumming and Zahra 2016). Weakness of the financial sector interrupt the flow of
5ECONOMIC ASSIGNMENTReferencesReferences fund to the UK business sectors. The expected credit crunch thus inhibit business long run business growth. London is considered as a technical capital of EU. Brexit also disrupts UK’s position as a technical hub. The UK based companies have lost their right to serve their European clients anymore. Apart from financial service sector, the creative serve industry has accounted a drag following Brexit. In the creative service industry the important sub sectors are fashion, film, design and videos (Obstfeld 2016). EU trade agreement previously support UK businesses by allowing a low cost of transport, fast cross border service delivery and other associated benefits. Automotive industry is another sector vulnerable to the impact of Brexit. The association of Motor Manufactures and Trader has estimated to have an additional cost of £4.5 billion on tariff. The association clearly indicates that Brexit would lead to a permanent damage to the automotive sector. The UK car manufacturers are facing a disastrous situation with additional tariff burden. Like financial groups, any car manufacturers are planning to shift their operation outside UK. Toyota had declared that Brexit might force the company to shift some of its production to some other European nations. Like automobile the global construction and manufacturing sector are exposed to a great loss especially when Brexit limit free movement of laborers (Barnardet al.2017). Seven of the largest trade bodies of construction sector claimed that they are facing a cliff edge in the post Brexit era. The sectors has an urgent need of government intervention to implement a grace period of two years to the European citizen to stabilize the industry status. The construction businesses have already suffered from loss of workers who are leaving to seek jobs on other states of the continent. Approximately 200,000 construction jobs will be lost following loss of UK access to European market. The loss of
6ECONOMIC ASSIGNMENTReferencesReferences construction workers hamper many ongoing infrastructure projects worth billions of pounds (Guerrina and Masselot 2018). Businesses in food and beverage industry have forced to contract their operation due to weak status of the economy. The businesses shrinks their product size by a process called shrinkflation.This describes a situation in which price remain constant as size of the product’s proportion get smaller and smaller. Figure 3: Quarterly sales in UK retail business (Source:bankofengland.co.uk 2018) The announcement of Brexit referendum has posed a threat to the business leader doing business in pharmaceutical sector. There is a potential uncertainty regarding the regulation of concerned sector in the post brexit period. The adverse impact on trading and manufacturing sector in turn influences UK international businesses. As discussed the major manufacturing sectoraffectedfromBrexitarefoodandbeverages,pharmaceutical,capitalgoodsand professional services. The contribution of pharmaceutical and chemical sector has recorded as 9.9% in the UK economy. Among total manufacturing export of Automobile industry 35% are
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7ECONOMIC ASSIGNMENTReferencesReferences exported to member countries of EU (Baylis, Smith and Owens 2017). After Brexit, the free transaction of goods and services are no longer applicable for UK. The weak international position of UK affect the position if UK international businesses as well. The loss of access to EU single market, disruption in the capital flow hamper business operation of UK based companies worldwide. This is not the complete story. UK’s separation from EU might have beneficial impact on the UK economy. Previously, UK was restricted to build any bilateral trade relation with nations outside EU. After Brxit, UK has the freedom to build relation with nations depending on mutually beneficial relation. The international businesses in UK now can extend their business operation to non-member countries of EU (Griffith, Steinberg and Zysman 2017). Being free from EU’s stringent regulation, the businesses in UK enjoys greater economic and political freedom to do business in different nations. The double taxation rule of EU previously restricts variousbusinessoperation.ThefreedomgainedfromBrexitmayhelpUKinternational businesses to operate with a greater flexibility. Besides economic environment, international business operation depend on the political environment. Brexit being mainly a political event huge impact on UK political environment. Law regulating employment, tariff and trade rules, corporate tax and other law affecting businesses likely to be change in the post Brexit period The political parties of UK need to shifts their attention to take care of the entire economy after Bexit. The political uncertainty has an adverse effect on business investment. Recently, the president of US has announced withdrawal from Transpacific Partnership and disputes over Free Trade Agreement has questioned EU and US relation creating a room for UK to strengthen UK-US relation (Loset al. 2017). The UK businesses then can have new opportunity to regions in US.
8ECONOMIC ASSIGNMENTReferencesReferences The legal and cultural environment of UK have accounted several changes affecting businesses. Reform has been made in migration law. The single market access and custom union regulation allows free movement of labor among EU member states (Arnoldet al.2017). UK now no longer is bound to allow immigration from EU nations. This reduces the burden from UK firms to hire additional immigrants. The essay has made a critical evaluation on potential effect of Brexit on UK international businesses. The declining value of currency and a lower growth rate hurts business confidence in UK.Automotive, chemical, pharmaceutical, food and drink, professional and financial sectors are some sectors that are vulnerable to Brexit. In addition to economic environment. Brexit marks some major changes in political and legal environment of UK affecting future of the business. Brexit however offers UK freedom from stringent regulatory rules of EU. This in the long run has potentiality to strengthen UK’s position globally.
9ECONOMIC ASSIGNMENTReferencesReferences References Arnold, R., Bently, L.A., Derclaye, E. and Dinwoodie, G.B., 2017. The Legal Consequences of Brexit Through the Lens of IP Law. Bankofengland.co.uk. (2018). Bank of England Statistical Interactive Database | Interest & Exchange Rates. [online] Available at: http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/boeapps/iadb/index.asp? first=yes&SectionRequired=I&HideNums=-1&ExtraInfo=true [Accessed 27 Apr. 2018]. Barnard, C., Johnson, P., Mitchell, I., Dhingra, S., Ottaviano, G., Sampson, T., Portes, J., Forte, G., Sumption, M., Armour, J. and Vickers, J., 2017. Economic Consequences of Brexit.Oxford Review of Economic Policy,33. Baylis,J.,Smith,S.andOwens,P.eds.,2017.Theglobalizationofworldpolitics:an introduction to international relations. Oxford University Press. BBCNews.(2018).Brexit:Allyouneedtoknow.[online]Availableat: http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-32810887 [Accessed 27 Apr. 2018]. Brakman, S., Garretsen, H. and Kohl, T., 2018. Consequences of Brexit and options for a ‘Global Britain’.Papers in Regional Science,97(1), pp.55-72. Cumming, D.J. and Zahra, S.A., 2016. International business and entrepreneurship implications of Brexit.British Journal of Management,27(4), pp.687-692. Dhingra, S., Ottaviano, G.I., Sampson, T. and Reenen, J.V., 2016. The consequences of Brexit for UK trade and living standards.
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10ECONOMIC ASSIGNMENTReferencesReferences Ft.com. (2018).The EU single market: How it works and the benefits it offers. [online] Available at:https://www.ft.com/content/1688d0e4-15ef-11e6-b197-a4af20d5575e[Accessed27Apr. 2018]. Griffith, M.K., Steinberg, R.H. and Zysman, J., 2017. From great power politics to a strategic vacuum: Origins and consequences of the TPP and TTIP.Business and Politics,19(4), pp.573- 592. Guerrina, R. and Masselot, A., 2018. Walking into the footprint of EU Law: unpacking the gendered consequences of Brexit.Social Policy and Society, pp.1-12. Kierzenkowski, R., Pain, N., Rusticelli, E. and Zwart, S., 2016. The economic consequences of Brexit. Koch, T., 2016.Before a Potential Brexit: European Immigration to the United Kingdom, its Relative Benefits and Politico-Economic Implications(Doctoral dissertation). Los, B., McCann, P., Springford, J. and Thissen, M., 2017. The mismatch between local voting and the local economic consequences of Brexit.Regional Studies,51(5), pp.786-799. Musaddique, S. (2018).This is how Brexit has impacted the business world in 2017. [online] The Independent. Available at: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/brexit-economy- sterling-currency-investment-cost-impact-business-financial-banks-insurance-retail- a7695486.html [Accessed 27 Apr. 2018]. Obstfeld, M., 2016. The initial economic impact of Brexit: an update to early December 2016.Brookings Papers on Economic Activity,2016(2), pp.359-366.