Business Decision Making: Analysis of Two Investment Projects
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Added on 2023/06/07
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This report analyses two investment projects for a manufacturing company in the UK, using payback period and net present value as decision-making tools. It also discusses financial and non-financial factors that could impact the projects.
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Business Decision Making
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Contents INTRODUCTION...........................................................................................................................3 Project A..........................................................................................................................................3 Payback Period........................................................................................................................4 Net Present Value....................................................................................................................4 Analysis...................................................................................................................................4 Project B..........................................................................................................................................5 Payback Period........................................................................................................................5 Net Present Value....................................................................................................................5 Analysis...................................................................................................................................6 CONCLUSION................................................................................................................................7 REFERENCES................................................................................................................................8
INTRODUCTION In any type of organization, the various methods and procedures used are relevant in decision making. The decisions made therefore are crucial for maximization of wealth and significant increase in the turnover. For such purpose the management needs to concentrate on first identifying the problem which requires immediate action and afterwards collection of material information which will help draft the cause of the problem and as a result, propose appropriate decisions (Bratasanu, 2018). In the given report, the most common and important business decision making tool is analysed through a case study which proposes a manufacturing company which operates in United Kingdom and is looking for investing in the production of synthetic leather bags, for which it has chosen the two projects for the same purpose. By understanding the importance of payback period along with related financial and non-financial factors the company can propose appropriate decision and avoid risks related to over and under investments. Furthermore, the operations performed by the management in executing and implementing the proposed decision and bringing it to life, require proper budget to be prepared and henceforth requires the management to calculate the Net Present Value of the investments and the pay-back period. Project A The company’s first option is to produce the synthetic leather bags, which will provide them with significant turnover and can help them avoid costs and irregularities in the outsourcing process whichiscurrentlyfollowed(Garg,2018).Belowmentionedistheprocessadoptedfor calculating the required decision making theories. The company made initial investments of £185,000 in the project and the Discounting Factor is 11%. (Amount in £) Year (A) Cash Flow (B) Cumulative Cash Flow (C) Present Value Factor (D)* Present Value OF Cash Flows (E) 0(185000)-1(185000) 160,000600000.90154060 268,0001280000.81255216 382,0002100000.73159942 4109,0003190000.65971831
5155,0004740000.59391915 *Present Value Factor = [1/ (1+Discount rate)No. of years] Payback Period Payback Period = {[(Original cost – C.F of previous year when cost is fulfilled)/Cost of fulfilled year] + Completed years} PBP = {[(185000 – 128000)/82000] + 3 =3.7 years Net Present Value Net Present Value = Present Value of Cash Inflow – Present Value of Cash Outflow NPV = 332964 – 185000 =£147964 Analysis The above analysis presents a clear view about the company’s position in the future, if it adopts the first option of investing £185000 for production of synthetic leather bags. The Payback period or the time period in which the company will be able to redeem its initial investment is calculated at 3.7 years and the Net present value of the same is calculated at £147964 which defines the current value of cash flows of five years compared to the investment made. Financial Factors Interest Rates- The financial factors which could affect the proposal could be the interest rate which can fluctuate, for leather synthetically produced and in return can adversely affect the company, due to its dynamic nature and inflation rates impacting the commodity industry every minute(Doménech Martínez, 2019). Labour Availability– The labour conditions and availability, which needs to be sourced for in-house production, if the company adopts Project A, need to be favourable. However, the labour for production of a newly introduced good, will require training and development process to be followed. Non-Financial Factors British Exit from European Union- The non-financial factor which can adversely affect the production process, are the “Brexit” issue or notion given to the withdrawal of United Kingdom from the European Union. With this change, the company will not apply
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the provisions led down by the custom unions, however zero tariffs and zero quotas will be applicable for trading in consumer goods. COVID-19– The pandemic has given rise to various adverse conditions for the economy, henceforth the company must address the same. The consumers who will purchase the products of the company, will significantly increase due to “stay at home” policies. However, with this pandemic, many individuals became unemployed, leading to lower purchasing power, hence, may generate lower turnover of company. Project B The company would like to earn the profits and reduce their costs of outsourcing the services incurred in the production and manufacturing of the Cloths Bags. Henceforth, the initial sum of money amounting to £182000 and the discounting rate will remain the same that is 11%. For understanding what this option is worth and in how many years will the company will be able to redeem its initial investments made are calculated as under: (Amount in £) Year (A) Cash Flow (B) Cumulative Cash Flow (C) Present Value Factor (D)* Present Value OF Cash Flows (E) 0(182000)-1(182000) 165,000650000.90158565 269,0001340000.81256028 377,0002110000.73156287 4105,0003160000.65969195 5145,0004610000.59385985 *Present Value Factor = [1/ (1+Discount rate)No. of years] Payback Period Payback Period = {[(Original cost – C.F of previous year when cost is fulfilled)/Cost of fulfilled year] + Completed years} PBP = {[(182000 – 134000)/77000] + 3 =3.62 years Net Present Value Net Present Value = Present Value of Cash Inflow – Present Value of Cash Outflow
NPV = 326060 – 182000 =£144060 Analysis The second option available for the company, is the production and manufacturing of the cloth bags, which may be able to improve their contribution towards the environment if they produce cloth bags with sustainable and eco-friendly fabrics and materials (El Nemar, 2020). The initial investments for the same is £182000, which lower than the previous project investment, also the Net Present Value for this project is £144060 and as a result the Payback period for the same is 3.62 years. As per these details, the company will be able to incur better return if they invest in the previous project. Financial Factors Tax rates-In this project the financial factors are tax rates levied, related policies to be followed and inflation conditions ahead. The tax rates which are levied on the company, will depend on the raw material, which is cloth or fabric, and the production process which will be followed. Inflation –The increase of prices of consumer goods sold within an economy, are referred to as inflation and may impact the company, with rise in the production costs of the raw materials and labour costs. Henceforth, if a surge in the demand of cloth based products, is noted, then may not be beneficial for this process. Non-Financial Factors Sustainability Impact –If the company chooses to implement and adopt this option, then they may produce clothing bags from sustainable raw materials, to lower their impact on environment. However, manufacturing a product from sustainable fabric will be more expensive and will require workers to be trained, as well as new machinery to be purchased, which is specifically made for such purpose. British Exit from E.U –As previously discussed, the exit of United Kingdom, from the European Union, will impact the consumer industry as a whole. It will impact the trading practices which were adopted earlier, with implementation of trade obstacles and barriers for cross-border transactions, which were not in force before 1 January 2021. By examination of the above analysis, the company should opt for Project A, to garner better investment value in the future, as this option reveals a better Net Present Value.
CONCLUSION From the above report, the concepts related to decision making procedures can easily be understood and the various methods adopted such as the Net Present Value and Payback period are discussed in relation to the case of S&P plc. The company will be able to make relevant decision as per the methods followed and can impact its business practices and the revenue it is currently earning (King, 2020). Furthermore, various financial and non-financial factors which could impact the workings of the company are also mentioned, so as to give an idea about the dynamic market conditions.
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REFERENCES Books and Journals Bratasanu, V., 2018. Leadership Decision-Making Processes in the Context of Data Driven Tools.Quality-Access to Success,19. Doménech Martínez, S., Campos Fernández, F.A. and Villar Collado, J., 2019. Generation expansion planning based on positive net present value. El Nemar, S., Vrontis, D. and Thrassou, A., 2020. An innovative stakeholder framework for the student-choice decision making process.Journal of Business Research,119, pp.339- 353. Garg, H. and Kumar, K., 2018. Distance measures for connection number sets based on set pair analysis and its applications to decision-making process.Applied Intelligence,48(10), pp.3346-3359. King, M. and Renedo, E.U.G.E.N.I.O., 2020. A net present value assessment of NPL's support to UK businesses.