This essay explores the importance of business decision making and the use of techniques like NPV and Payback period. It includes a case study of X Plc. in UK and Europe, evaluating the profitability and viability of projects. The essay also discusses financial and non-financial factors to consider in decision making.
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Table of Contents INTRODUCTION...........................................................................................................................1 MAIN BODY...................................................................................................................................1 CONCLUSION................................................................................................................................4 REFERENCES................................................................................................................................5 .........................................................................................................................................................5
INTRODUCTION Business decision making is the important aspect that includes ascertainment of different nature of information to made decisions and strategies. The importance of same is ascertained from the point that help in attainment of large amount of benefits such as high productivity, employee engagement, optimum utilisation of resources etc. The main aim of this essay is related to ascertaining investment information through use of different financial and non financial techniques (Black, 2019). The organisation considered is named as X Plc., having operations in UK and Europe. The main aim of an organisation is about attainment of growth through investing in new businesses. The aspects covered in essay includes attainment of business decisions through the use of Payback period, NPV, financial and non-financial. MAIN BODY Net preset value is the technique that help to ascertain the time period within which an organisation is able to recover their amount of investment. This is also understood as time value of money that can be gathered from the performance of any specific project. The method which is basically used to calculate NPV includes subtraction of predicted cash inflows from overall outflows of cash related to project (Collier, 2015). In the present case, NPV will going to be use for evaluation Project A and B to determine the future profitability and viability attached with the projects. Project A is Technological and B is Mechanical. Use or application of NPV provides an opportunity to determine the profitability along with the viability of project which is presented below: Formula of NPV Calculation of NPV: PROJECT A: TECHNOLOGICAL PROJECT FormulaCalculationResult Net cash flow for year 1(Cash flows) / ( 1 + r)t(8000) / (1+10%)17272.727273 1
Net cash flow for year 2(Cash flows) / ( 1 + r)t(10000) / (1+10%)28264.46281 Net cash flow for year 3(Cash flows) / ( 1 + r)t(12000) / (1+10%)39015.777611 Net cash flow for year 4(Cash flows) / ( 1 + r)t(15000) / (1+10%)410245.20183 Net cash flow for year 5(Cash flows) / ( 1 + r)t(19000) / (1+10%)511797.50514 Sum of net cash flows46595.67466 Less: initial investment20000 NPV26595.67466 PROJECT B: MECHANICAL PROJECT FormulaCalculationResult Net cash flow for year 1(Cash flows) / ( 1 + r)t(10000) / (1+10%)19090.909091 Net cash flow for year 2(Cash flows) / ( 1 + r)t(15000) / (1+10%)212396.69421 Net cash flow for year 3(Cash flows) / ( 1 + r)t(17000) / (1+10%)312772.35162 Net cash flow for year 4(Cash flows) / ( 1 + r)t(19000) / (1+10%)412977.25565 Net cash flow for year 5(Cash flows) / ( 1 + r)t(20000) / (1+10%)512418.42646 Sum of net cash flows59655.63703 Less: initial investment30000 NPV29655.63703 It is determined from the above computation that present value depicted by the project B is higher as compared to project A. The amount attained from the project B is 29655.63703 but the amount ascertained from the project A is only 26595.67466. This aspect represents that if X Plc is going to invest in project B then able to ascertain the higher amount of returns as compared to project A. So, it is advisable to the management of organisation that must going to invest in project B. Payback period also investment appraisal technique (Fry, 2019). This help to determine the time period required by an organisation to recover their actual investment from any project. In other words, the time period required to attain the situation of BEP along with attainment of significant amount of profits from their operations (Keren and Wu, 2015). The analysis of payback period of project A and B provides an opportunity to ascertain the viability along with 2
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their efficiency. Calculation in respect to the both projects is presented below according to which decision is made by X Plc; Formula of PBP PROJECT A: TECHNOLOGICAL PROJECT YearNet cash flowCumulative Cash Flow 180008000 21000018000 31200030000 41500045000 51900064000 The initial investment for this project is £20000. Now, £18000 is recovered in Year 2 and £2000 remains unrecovered. So, Payback period = 2 + (2000/12000*12) = 2 + 2 = 2 years 2 months PROJECT B: MECHANICAL PROJECT YearNet cash flowCash Flow 11000010000 21500025000 31700042000 41900061000 52000081000 The initial investment for this project is £30000. Now, £25000 is recovered in Year 2 and £5000 remains unrecovered. So, Payback period = 2 + (5000/17000*12) = 2 + 3.52 = 2 years 3.592 months It is determined from the above ascertainment of information that the time period required to attain initial cost is 2 years and 2 months in case of project A but time required for project B is 2 years and 3.592 months which is quite similar. This means the time period required 3
to recover the investment from the both projects is quite same. Project A is much efficient as compared to project B because the few days difference is visible. These two Payback period and NPV are most common methods which are used for the purpose of investment appraisal. There are many other aspects that can be use for the purpose of evaluating profitability of projects (Kumar and Dash, 2016). These other methods are named as financial and non financial. Financial includes ascertainment of interest rates and economic growth aspects whereas non financial includes determination of stability of industry and future legislations (Zeng, Chen and Li, 2016). Interest rates are those which an organisation has to paid for ascertaining the amount of money from bank as debt. This is so because for made investments within the new organisation, X plc has to borrow the funds. It is one of the financial factor (Wang and Byrd, 2017). In UK, government is linnet towards the new businesses and total support is provided in respect to their establishment and growth. This is the reason that loans are provided at less rates so, they can survive in market. So, according to this, project B is significant to made investment as high profitability is associated with the same and availability of fund at low interest provides an opportunity to set effective amount of profit margins. The other financial factor is economic growth of nation. UK is prosperous economy so, investment in business is good option to attain growth but project B evaluated and associated with high rate of return (Wieder and Ossimitz, 2015). The two main non financial factors are industry situation and associated rules and regulations. In any industry, UK government is strict regarding quality of product and service. This would be the reason that legislations are needed to follow properly. Manufacturing industry is the one that have stability in UK and project B of Mechanical also attached with high profitability. So, investment in same is profitable in nature (Mechanical and technological industry of United Kingdom.2019). SWOT is effective tool that aid in ascertainment of strengths and weaknesses associated with project or an organisation along with determination of opportunities that can be grabbed with the effective usage of same in appropriate manner. Threats can also be overcome through usage of effective measures to overcome weaknesses. This aid in decision making about associated profitability and risk with project. 4
PESTLE analysis is macro environment analysis that help to ascertain the impact of external factors over project or an organisation. This help to identify the associated future opportunities and threats. So, aid in decision-making about profitability of project along with reduction of associated risks through adoption of proper measures. CONCLUSION It has been concluded from the above report that Pay back and NPV both are effective techniques to ascertain the viability of project. For X Plc. Investment in project B is profitable as compared to project A. Financial and non financial factors are also represents the favourable result in relation to project B. 5
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REFERENCES Books and Journals Black, K.U., 2019.Business statistics: for contemporary decision making. Wiley. Collier, P.M., 2015.Accounting for managers: Interpreting accounting information for decision making. John Wiley & Sons. Fry, G.S., 2019.Business statistics a decision-making approach. Pearson Education Limited. Keren, G. and Wu, G. eds., 2015.The Wiley-Blackwell handbook of judgment and decision making. Wiley-Blackwell. Kumar, A. and Dash, M.K., 2016. Using DEMATEL to construct influential network relation map of consumer decision-making in e-marketplace.International Journal of Business Information Systems.21(1). pp.48-72. Wang, Y. and Byrd, T.A., 2017. Business analytics-enabled decision-making effectiveness throughknowledgeabsorptivecapacityinhealthcare.JournalofKnowledge Management.21(3). pp.517-539. Wieder, B. and Ossimitz, M.L., 2015. The impact of Business Intelligence on the quality of decision making–a mediation model.Procedia Computer Science.64.pp.1163-1171. Zeng, S., Chen, J. and Li, X., 2016. A hybrid method for Pythagorean fuzzy multiple-criteria decisionmaking.InternationalJournalofInformationTechnology&Decision Making.15(02). pp.403-422. Online Mechanical and technological industry of United Kingdom.2019. [Online]. Available through: <https://www.prospects.ac.uk/jobs-and-work-experience/job-sectors/engineering-and- manufacturing/overview-of-the-engineering-and-manufacturing-sector-in-the-uk> 6