Application of Statistical Techniques and Investment Appraisal
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The assignment provides an overview of statistical techniques used for effective results, as well as investment appraisal methods for assessing new project acceptance. It includes references to relevant books, journals, and online resources. The primary data collection section is also provided with specific questions (Q.1-Q.8) and answers.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS INTRODUCTION...........................................................................................................................1 TASK 1............................................................................................................................................1 A) Producing plan for data collection....................................................................................1 B) Outlining survey methodology and sampling frame.........................................................2 C) Producing questionnaire....................................................................................................2 TASK 2............................................................................................................................................4 A) Summarisation of collected data.......................................................................................4 B) Analysing survey results from respondents.......................................................................6 C) Measures of dispersion......................................................................................................6 D) Computation of percentiles, quartiles, and correlation coefficient...................................7 TASK 3............................................................................................................................................8 A) Producing graphical representation of data.......................................................................8 B) Preparing trend line graph.................................................................................................9 C) Presentation of poster.......................................................................................................9 D) Formal report to Retail Times Magazine..........................................................................9 TASK 4..........................................................................................................................................10 A) Outlining information processing tools for decision-making.........................................10 B) Producing critical path and network diagram..................................................................11 C) Implementing investment appraisal method regarding acceptance of project................12 CONCLUSION..............................................................................................................................14 REFERENCES..............................................................................................................................15
INTRODUCTION Business decision-making is useful for any company in achieving good returns yielding project and further increasing operational activities in business. Present report deals with Queensgate Shopping Centre which is a mall of UK and impact of technological innovation is used whether it increases sales of firm or not and change is initiated in consumer's shopping habits or not. Statistical analysis is made and results are interpreted thereof. Data analysis is made through garnering responses from questionnaires. In addressing this, plan for collecting data is made along with sampling techniques and respondents are used for making out primary data. Furthermore, statistical techniques such as mean, median, mode, standard deviation are used. Capital appraisal techniques will be used for evaluating project and making recommendations about the same. Investment methods such as IRR, NPV are made in relevance to cost of capital of 10 %.Moreover,informationprocessing tools are carried out so as to attain benefits and take well-structured decisions. Trend analysis is produced by taking past figures. Hence, decision-making in business plays vital role. TASK 1 A) Producing plan for data collection Data is integral part of conducting research in that way by which constructive conclusion can be drawn. For attaining valuable information, gathering data is essentially required. Present report is meant for data collection from consumers in order to ascertain whether technological up-gradation lays foundation with reference to sales. In simple words, impact of sales revenue on high-end malls prevails or not. It can be effectively attained by conducting proper research so as to find out whether increment in revenue is achieved with the help of innovative technology. Queensgate Shopping Centre which is high-end mall in UK is taken for research purpose. The data will be collected from customers for ascertaining research objective in a better way (Peng and et.al, 2016). Primary data and secondary data will be gathered for data collection so as to undertake research in effective way. These are as follows- Primary data collection 1
It means that new data is collected which is used firstly by scholar and no previous usage is made. It can be called as fresh piece of information accumulated for the underlying purpose. It is used for attaining research in effective manner so that conclusion can be accomplished. For achieving this, 20 respondents are chosen for the purpose and will be given questionnaire to be filled up by them and responses will be attained in a timely manner. It is essentially required so that business may be able to attain whether technological advancement leads to increase on sales or not. Furthermore, this would be helpful for carrying out results in effectual manner. Secondary data collection Plan for secondary data is that researcher will use already collected information that has been used previously by other scholar. Such information can be accumulated from articles, books, journals, magazines etc. Hence, plan for data collection would be achieved through primary and secondary data. This data will be collected and information will be synchronised in a better way for making out conclusive research. The data analysis is required so that concrete results may be accomplished. B) Outlining survey methodology and sampling frame Survey methodology- Methods are to be implemented so that desired data can be collected in the best possible manner. It will provide helpful information to scholar by which aim and objectives of research can be accomplished quite effectually. In present study, online questionnaires would be provided to respondents so as to gather information in effective way. With regards to this, students of UKCBC are taken and for issuing questionnaires to them, respective mail ids will be needed. From administration department, such information would be gathered and questionnaires will be mailed to students (Sekaran and Bougie, 2016). Hence, quick and better results will be achieved. By presenting survey methodology, adequate results would be accomplished to analyse impact of technological innovation on the sales of mall. Sampling frame- Generally, large data is available in the universe which cannot be used for conducting research by taking all of information. To overcome this, sampling is considered as a better option. Sample is taken which is a representative of total population. It helps scholar to get quick results in a better way. Main advantage of using sampling frame is that additional expenditures 2
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are alleviated up to a high extent. In simple words, it is an economical method used for research and attains desired results with ease (Kahraman, Onar and Oztaysi, 2015). Simple random sampling method is used to identify and interpret results. In relation to this, 20 students are taken as a sample for directing research towards accomplishment of objectives. C) Producing questionnaire Questionnaire Demographic information Name Age Gender Q1. As per your opinion, do you think innovation helps in achieving objectives of mall? ï‚·Yes ï‚·No Q2. Do you agree that innovative techniques instantly impact sales in a positive way of Queensgate Shopping Centre? ï‚·Strongly agree ï‚·Agree ï‚·Disagree ï‚·Strongly disagree Q3. Do you agree with the fact that consumers shopping habits are largely induced by technological innovation? ï‚·Strongly agree ï‚·Agree ï‚·Disagree ï‚·Strongly disagree 3
Q4. From the following places, which do you mostly prefer for shopping? ï‚·Local Market ï‚·Malls ï‚·Showrooms ï‚·Others Q5. Do you think that post-implementation of innovative techniques, services of Queensgate Shopping Centre have been improved? ï‚·Yes ï‚·No Q6. Which among the following factor influences you to buy products from Queensgate Shopping Centre? ï‚·Cost ï‚·Discounts ï‚·Fast delivery ï‚·After sales services Q7. Do you like high-end malls for purchasing items? ï‚·Yes ï‚·No Q8. Do you think that customer's shopping habit changes due to innovation? ï‚·Strongly agree ï‚·Agree ï‚·Disagree ï‚·Strongly disagree Q9. Would like to consider your valuable suggestions for initiating more improvement in 4
products and services......... TASK 2 A) Summarisation of collected data Refer appendix 1 Respondents Doyouagreethatinnovative techniques instantly impact sales in a positive way of Queensgate Shopping Centre? Doyouagreewiththefactthat consumers shopping habits are largely induced by technological innovation? 111 211 311 411 523 611 711 811 911 1021 1111 1211 1312 5
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1421 1512 1611 1721 1811 1911 2012 Mean1.21.25 Median11 Mode11 Standard deviation0.410.55 B) Analysing survey results from respondents The two themes can be listed below- Theme 2- Impact on sales through technological innovation Statistical techniques are useful in carrying out research in effective manner. The usage of mean, median and mode helps to attain better insight about the preferences of population. All these techniques are helpful in making out useful analysis of data in the best possible way. Value of mean is 1.2 which clearly signifies that sales revenue can be increased with the help of successful implementation several new techniques. It induces customers to buy goods and eventually, sales are maximised. Median and mode both are 1 which means that technological advancement has direct impact on sales of mall. Theme 3- Shopping habits influenced by innovative techniques 6
Next theme which can be evaluated from above questionnaire that shopping habits are influenced with the help of technological changes or not. In relation to this, mean calculated is 1.25 which has mixed responses from customers. On the other hand, median value is arrived at 1 signifying that nearly around half of population is influenced by such changes. Mode is 1 implying that customer's shopping habits undergoes change because of technological innovation in Queensgate Shopping Centre. Hence, all responses from people provides that shopping habits are changed in a better way because of new advancement of technology. C) Measures of dispersion ParticularsTheme 1Theme 2 Standard deviation0.410.55 It is one of the best statistical methods for analysing relationship among variables in the best possible way. Measures of dispersion signify relationship between two variables, which can be used to assess study with much ease (Thirumalai and Senthilkumar, 2017). In relation to this, standard deviation of Theme 1 is 0.41 while Theme 2 is 0.55. This implies that mean would deviate in the future by 0.41. Moreover, Theme 2 has more standard deviation in comparison to another theme. In simple words, shopping habits change is more than impact of sales revenue in the high-end mall. D) Computation of percentiles, quartiles and correlation coefficient Calculation of Percentile ParticularsTheme 1Theme 2 Percentile 111 211 311 7
Calculation of Quartile ParticularsTheme 1Theme 2 Quartile 111 211 311 Calculation of Correlation Coefficient ParticularsTheme 1Theme 2 Correlation coefficient0.231 10.23 The statistical analysis has been conducted with reference to the responses received from online questionnaire issued to respondents. Three main methods of statistics such as percentile, quartile and correlation coefficient are being calculated for analysing responses regarding themes in an effective way. Quartile is calculated, which divides the data in three equal elements and perfect results can be accomplished with ease. This eases off data analysis. On the other side, percentile is computed by taking usually three bases such aspercentage on basis of 25, 50 and 75in three different elements to effectively attaining interpretation of data. While, correlation coefficient is another meaningful statistical technique used to carry out analysis with regards to correlation prevails between variables or not in the best possible manner. Generally, there are two main types of correlation such as positive and negative one. As the name suggests that, if relationship between variables is 1 then positive correlation is found. Apart from this, if value is less than 1 then negative one prevails among variables. This 8
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method is quite useful in analysing results of two variables. In above statistics, correlation coefficient is 0.23, which implies that correlation does not exist between them. Furthermore, it means that independent variables are there having no correlation (Garrido, Verbeke and Bravo, 2018). Hence, all methods help to analyse data quite effectually and drawn conclusion. TASK 3 A) Producing graphical representation of data Theme 1: Innovation helps in achieving objectives of mall ParticularsRespondents% of respondents Yes1575% No525% Total20100% As per your opinion, do you think innovation helps in achieving objectives of mall? (% of respondents)As per your opinion, do you think innovation helps in achieving objectives of mall? (% of respondents) Interpretation- It can be analysed from the above chart that 75 % of respondents believe that innovation helps in accomplishing objectives of malls. Theme 2: Innovative techniques places positive impact on the sales of Queensgate Shopping Centre 9
Do you agree that innovative techniques instantly impact sales in a positive way of Queensgate Shopping Centre?Do you agree that innovative techniques instantly impact sales in a positive way of Queensgate Shopping Centre? Interpretation- It can be analysed that positive impact can be seen on sales of Queensgate Shopping Centre. This is evident from the chart that majority of respondents have given answer in favour of the same. Theme 3: Technological innovation has an impact on the shopping habits of customers Do you agree with the fact that consumers shopping habits are largely induced by technological innovation?Do you agree with the fact that consumers shopping habits are largely induced by technological innovation? Interpretation- Above chart shows that majority of respondents believes that technological innovation has impact on consumer shopping habits. Theme 4: Malls are highly preferred by the customers for shopping Views of respondents% of respondents Local Market315% 10
Malls1050% Showrooms420% Others315% Total20100% % of respondents % of respondents Interpretation- Chart shows that people prefer to shop from malls which are the main reason of sales of company in effective manner. While, showrooms comes at second place followed by local market and others. Theme 5: post-implementation of innovative techniques, services of Queensgate Shopping Centre have been improved ParticularsRespondents% of respondents Yes1470% No630% Total20100% 11
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% of respondents % of respondents Interpretation- It can be analysed that services have been improved up to a high extent of shopping mall after implementation of innovative techniques. Theme 6: Cost and discounts are the main factor which influence customers to buy products from Queensgate Shopping Centre ParticularsRespondents% of respondents Cost735% Discounts630% Fast delivery420% After sales services315% Total20100% 12
% of respondents % of respondents Interpretation- The chart shows that costs and discounts are basic factors influencing customers to buy products and sales are increased of shopping mall. Theme 7: Customerslike high-end malls for purchasing items ParticularsRespondents% of respondents Yes1680% No420% Total20100% % of respondents % of respondents 13
Interpretation- Above chart shows that high end malls influence customers to buy products in the best possible manner. As majority of respondents have replied the same. Theme 8: customer's shopping habit changes due to innovation ParticularsRespondents% of respondents Strongly agree945% Agree735% Disagree210% Strongly disagree210% Total20100% % of respondents % of respondents Interpretation- It can be analysed that shopping habits of customers changes post implementation of innovative techniques because respondents strongly agrees with the fact. B) Preparing trend line graph Trend line on sales It can be interpreted that sales will be maximized up to a high extent. It is evident from the fact that trend line shows that in 2017, sales were 500. Figure was further increased to 700 in next financial year. It is forecasted that 920 will be achieved by firm in effective way 14
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2017; Sales (Amount in £); 500 2018; Sales (Amount in £); 700 2019; Sales (Amount in £); 920 f(x) = 210 x + 286.67 R² = 0.999244712990937 Sales (Amount in £) Linear (Sales (Amount in £)) Trend line on profit Trend line graphs are useful in analyzing whether in future firm would attain good quantum of profits or not. It can be assessed that profits were 100 in 2017. It maximized to 160 in 2017 and trend line shows that profits will be maximized in next year as well. It will reach to 210 which is incredible for mall. 2017; Profit (Amount in £); 100 2018; Profit (Amount in £); 160 2019; Profit (Amount in £); 210 f(x) = 55 x + 46.67 R² = 0.997252747252747 Profit (Amount in £) Linear (Profit (Amount in £)) C) Presentation of poster 15
16 Presenting and Reporting Findings Theme 1: Innovation helps in achieving objectives of mall YesNo 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%75% 25% Theme 2: Innovative techniques places positive impact on the sales of Queensgate Shopping Centre Strongly AgreeAgree 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 80% 20% Theme 3: Technological innovation has an impact on the shopping habits of customers Strongly agreeAgreeDisagree 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 80% 15% 5% Theme 4: Malls are highly preferred by the customers for shopping Local Market MallsShowroomsOthers 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 15% 50% 20% 15% Theme 5: post-implementation of innovative techniques, services of Queensgate Shopping Centre have been improved YesNo 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 70% 30% Theme 6: Cost and discounts are the main factor whichinfluencecustomerstobuyproductsfrom Queensgate Shopping Centre CostDiscountsFast deliveryAfter sales services 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 35% 30% 20% 15% Theme 7: Customerslike high-end malls for purchasing items YesNo 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 80% 20% Theme8:customer'sshoppinghabitchangesdueto innovation Strongly agreeAgreeDisagreeStrongly disagree 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 45% 35% 10%10% Trend line on profit 201720182019 0 50 100 150 200 250 100 160 210 f(x) = 55 x + 46.6666666666667 Profit (Amount in £) Linear (Profit (Amount in £)) Trend line on sales:It can be interpreted that sales will be maximized up to a high extent. It is evident from the fact that trend line shows that in 2017, sales were 500.Figure was further increased to 700 in next financial year. It is forecasted that 920 will be achieved by firm in effective way 201720182019 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 500 700 920 f(x) = 210 x + 286.666666666667 Sales (Amount in £) Linear (Sales (Amount in £)) Discussion of primary data Statistical techniques are useful in carrying out research in effective manner. The usage of mean, median and mode helps to attain better insight about the preferences of population. All these techniques are helpful in making out useful analysis of data in the best possible way. Value of mean is 1.2 which clearly signifies that sales revenue can be increased with the help of successful implementation several new techniques. It induces customers to buy goods and eventually, sales are maximised. Median and mode both are 1 which means that technological advancement has direct impact on sales of mall. Next theme which can be evaluated from above questionnaire that shopping habits are influenced with the help of technological changes or not. In relation to this, mean calculated is 1.25 which has mixed responses from customers. On the other hand, median value is arrived at 1 signifying that nearly around half of population is influenced by such changes. Mode is 1 implyingthatcustomer'sshoppinghabitsundergoeschangebecauseoftechnological innovation in Queensgate Shopping Centre. Hence, all responses from people provides that shopping habits are changed in a better way because of new advancement of technology.
D) Formal report to Retail Times Magazine To Retail Times Magazine, UK Date: July 23, 2018 Introduction- Technological innovation is important to inject sales in effective manner. Present report deals with the fact that whether innovation impacts over sales of high-end malls or not. Queensgate Shopping Centre is taken and survey is taken from the respondents to find out effect on sales of business. Research Methodology- Research should bes carrying out in that way by which objectives can be met in the best possible manner. In accomplishing this, primary and secondary data both are carried out so that desired data can be accumulated. Primary research is taken with the help of issuing online questionnaires to respondents and asked to fill the same and duly mail it. On the other hand, secondary data is gathered from books, articles, magazines so as to attain desired information. Simple Random Sampling is used and 20 respondents are chosen to effectively conduct research and carry out goals with ease. Findings from research- The findings of this research are fruitful in the hands of Queensgate Shopping Centre with respect to overall performance. It is evident from the fact that sales are increasing up to great heights. Moreover, profits are maximising. This is possible because of technological advancement by business to accomplish goals in effectual way. Furthermore, it is also provided by trend line graphs of profits and sales that firm's performance would be increased in the future course of action. Furthermore, it will be able to garner good amount of sales and eventually profits would be achieved. Conclusion- From the above findings, it can be concluded that technological innovation plays crucial role for the company to achieve profits in effective manner. Moreover, it can be analysed that Queensgate Shopping Centre is able to garner higher profits and trends will be continuedinfutureasdepictedbytrendline.Hence,businesswouldbeprofitablein forthcoming years. 17
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TASK 4 A) Outlining information processing tools for decision-making Transaction Processing Systems (TPS)- The information processing tools are required for making decisions in effectual manner. It means that database of customers can be maintained in a better way by management of Queensgate Shopping Centre to gather and analyse information. With regards to this, data can be modified and if lost then the same can be retrieved. This will be helpful for management to take enhanced decisions by effectively analysing desired information. Moreover, it will be fruitful for management to reduce costs (Zeng,Chen and Li, 2016). Decision Support Systems (DSS)- There are various problems that are required to be resolved in that way by which firm may overcome shortcomings with ease and initiate healthy operational activities. On the other hand, several problems are also there which cannot be instantly resolved. For accomplishing this, DSS is used so that business may be able to collect information and as such, problems can be solved in a better manner. It is a useful information-processing tool used to resolve complex business issues and Queensgate Shopping Centre can implement it and gain benefits quite effectually. Usually, it is used by middle-level management to take proper decisions and attain efficiency. Management Information Systems (MIS)- MIS is useful information processing tool, which is used to effectively attain clarity and efficiency in the best possible manner (Wu and Seidmann, 2018). In relation to this, MIS is utilised for collecting data with the help of computers. Furthermore, it also uses intelligent devices to gather information in effective way. Management of Queensgate Shopping Centre will be able to garner profits as desired information would be utilised and transparency could be observed. Furthermore, with the help of MIS, business will be able to attain efficiency as higher profits can be achieved with regards to information and then take relevant decisions, thereby increasing sales of firm and overall performance. 18
B) Producing critical path and network diagram Illustration1: Network diagram There are various paths in the above network diagram. Following calculated activity is the longest path which is known as critical path- 1+ 4 + 5 +7 + 9 + 10 Hence, 8 + 6 + 4 + 4 + 8 + 1 = 31 weeks would be required for project accomplishment. 19
C) Implementing investment appraisal method regarding acceptance of project 20
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Investment appraisal techniques are quite important for the purpose whether to accept project or not. The methods such as NPV and IRR are crucial in assessing attractiveness of project in the best possible manner. This provides way to firm whether investment should be made or it should be dropped. NPV is difference between cash inflows and outflows so as to find attractiveness of project in effective way. It is widely used technique as it considers time value of money (What is Net Present Value (NPV)?2018). It can be interpreted from the above calculation that NPV is calculated and amount is 7702, which is positive and should be accepted by business. The initial investment is 15000 and cash flows obtained are 22702. This implies that firm will be able to attain good quantum of returns in the future. On the other hand, IRR is computed that shows how much returns will be generated in business from investment to pay to creditors. IRR is 34.77 % which is higher and positive shows that firm will be able to achieve good returns as IRR is positive. Hence, project should be accepted for attaining effective return on investment. CONCLUSION Hereby, it can be concluded that business decision-making is crucial task so that better returns may be generated with ease. Queensgate Shopping Centre has been performing well and it is being forecasted that it will continue to achieve more sales and eventually profits will be maximised up to great heights. Furthermore, statistical techniques applied are effective for attaining desired results in an understandable manner. On the other hand, investment appraisal methods are useful in assessing regarding acceptance of new project. It helped to make perfect analysis so that better returns could be garnered by investing in higher return yielding project. Furthermore, critical path and network diagram is useful tool for taking analyse when project would be completed. 21
REFERENCES Books and Journals Garrido, F., Verbeke, W. and Bravo, C., 2018. A Robust profit measure for binary classification model evaluation.Expert Systems with Applications.92. pp.154-160. Kahraman, C., Onar, S. C. and Oztaysi, B., 2015. Fuzzy multicriteria decision-making: a literaturereview.InternationalJournalofComputationalIntelligenceSystems.8(4). pp.637-666. Peng, J. J and et.al, 2016. Simplified neutrosophic sets and their applications in multi-criteria groupdecision-makingproblems.Internationaljournalofsystemsscience.47(10). pp.2342-2358. Sekaran, U. and Bougie, R., 2016.Research methods for business: A skill building approach. John Wiley & Sons. Thirumalai, C. and Senthilkumar, M., 2017, February. An assessment framework of intuitionistic fuzzy network for C2B decision making. InElectronics and Communication Systems (ICECS), 2017 4th International Conference on(pp. 164-167). IEEE. Wu, T. and Seidmann, A., 2018. Can irrelevant benchmark information help when making business decisions underuncertainty?An empiricalinvestigation ofthenewsvendor game.Decision Support Systems. Zeng, S., Chen, J. and Li, X., 2016. A hybrid method for Pythagorean fuzzy multiple-criteria decisionmaking.InternationalJournalofInformationTechnology&Decision Making.15(02). pp.403-422. Online WhatisNetPresentValue(NPV)?.2018[Online]AvailableThrough: https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/knowledge/valuation/net-present-value-npv/ 22