1BUSINESS ECONOMICS Table of Contents Question 2........................................................................................................................................2 Absolute advantage and comparative advantage.........................................................................2 Terms of trade and exchange rate................................................................................................2 A demand side shock and a supply side shock............................................................................2 A trade surplus and a budget surplus...........................................................................................2 Question 3........................................................................................................................................3 Current state of Australian economy...........................................................................................3 Question 4........................................................................................................................................7 Question 5........................................................................................................................................9 Question a....................................................................................................................................9 Question b..................................................................................................................................10 Question c..................................................................................................................................10 Question d..................................................................................................................................11 Question e..................................................................................................................................12 Question 7......................................................................................................................................12 Question a..................................................................................................................................12 Question b..................................................................................................................................13 Question c..................................................................................................................................14 Question d..................................................................................................................................14 Question e..................................................................................................................................15 References......................................................................................................................................16
2BUSINESS ECONOMICS Question 2 Absolute advantage and comparative advantage The international trade theory defines absolute advantage as one country’s capacity to produce specific good at a lesser absolute cost compared to other nation. In contrast, comparative advantage is related to opportunity cost rather than absolute cost. It is one country’s capacity to produce a good with a relatively lesser opportunity cost. Terms of trade and exchange rate Terms of trade stands to signify price of export relative to price of import and presented as ratio of price of exported goods to the price of imported goods. Exchange rate defines value of domestic currency presented in terms of foreign currency (Uribe & Schmitt-Grohe, 2017). It is the ratio of value of one currency to other. A demand side shock and a supply side shock A demand side shock is the sudden event that leads to an expansion or contraction of demand causing prices to increase or decrease. Supply side shock in contrast refers to the phenomenon that results in an expansion or contraction of supply. Depending on movement of supply prices move accordingly. A trade surplus and a budget surplus Trade surplus is a representative measure of positive trade balance signifying a situation where export of a nation is more than its import. Budget surplus is the situation of having income higher than expenses in a specific time period like a fiscal year or a financial quarter (Agenor & Montiel, 2015).
3BUSINESS ECONOMICS Question 3 Current state of Australian economy Inflation 20152016201720182019 1.5 1.55 1.6 1.65 1.7 1.75 1.8 1.85 1.9 1.95 1.7 1.5 1.9 1.8 1.6 Inflation Year Rate of inflation Figure 1: Trend in inflation rate (Source: Abs.gov.au, 2019) The annual inflation rate in Australian economy in June quarter increased to 1.6 percent from accounted inflation rate of 1.3 percent in May quarter. The food inflation hits the highest along with an increase in transport prices.
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4BUSINESS ECONOMICS Unemployment 20152016201720182019 4.80 5.00 5.20 5.40 5.60 5.80 6.00 5.735.76 5.59 4.98 5.25 Unemployment Year Rate of Unemployment Figure 2: Trend in unemployment rate (Source: Abs.gov.au, 2019) Unemployment rate in recent year has increased to 5.3 percent which is higher than the market expectation rate. Number of unemployed person rose by 4100 while employment increased to 34700.
5BUSINESS ECONOMICS Economic growth rate 20152016201720182019 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.5 0.6 2.3 1.1 1.31.4 Economic growth Year Growth rate Figure 3: Trend in economic growth rate (Source: Abs.gov.au, 2019) The latest growth figures suggested that economy grew at a rate of 1.4 percent. This is below the average growth rate for factors such as China’s slow growth, low wage growth and decline in consumption expenditure.
6BUSINESS ECONOMICS Cash rate 20152016201720182019 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 2.00 1.501.501.50 0.75 Cash Rate Year Cash rate Figure 4: Trend in cash rate (Source: Rba.gov.au, 2019) Realizing a slower growth in the economy, RBA has recently dropped the cash rate to 0.75 percent from the earlier rate of 1.50 percent.
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7BUSINESS ECONOMICS Australian dollar exchange rate 20152016201720182019 0.65 0.67 0.69 0.71 0.73 0.75 0.77 0.79 0.730.72 0.78 0.71 0.67 Exchange rate Year AUD/USD Figure 5: Trend in Australian dollar exchange rate (Source: Rba.gov.au, 2019) The last accounted exchange rate between Australia dollar and USD is 0.67. This is lower than previously recorded rate of 0.71 meaning a depreciation of Australian dollar. Question 4 The main difference between Classical and Keynesian aggregate demand and aggregate supply model is the shape of aggregate supply curve. In the classical model, the aggregate supply curve is vertical because of the assumption that the economy always functions at the level of full employment (Heijdra, 2017). The aggregate supply curve in the Keynesian model however is horizontal following the assumption that the economy produces below its capacity.
8BUSINESS ECONOMICS Figure 6: Classical model In theclassicalmodel,a declineinaggregatedemandrepresentedby aleftward movement of aggregate demand curve changes equilibrium downward from E to E1.Since, the economy already operates at its potential level, there is no change in real GDP that remains at Y*. Price level drops from P* to P1. Figure 7: Keynesian model
9BUSINESS ECONOMICS In case of Keynesian model, decline in aggregate demand lowers aggregate output from Y* to Y1.The price level remains constant at P*. Classical economists believed that the economy always operate according to Say’s law stating “supply creates its own demand”. They assumed that employment and output in the economy are determined by the working of individual market (goods market, labor market and money market). As each of the markets has an in built mechanism to attain equilibrium full employment is automatically restored (Johnson, 2017). Keynes on the other hand found that full employment is a special situation. In reality, supply is larger than demand leading to involuntary unemployment. Question 5 Question a Crude oil is one main input used in many industries. If crude of price escalates, production cost in the economy increases. This lowers aggregate supply moving the AS curve left. Price level increases, real GDP and employment falls. Figure 8: Increase in crude oil price
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11BUSINESS ECONOMICS Question b If government doubles the spending on welfare and aged pensions, this will increase disposable income of household. As a result of increased income consumption increases. This raises aggregate demand and shifts the demand curve rightward (Guilmi, Gallegati & Landini, 2017). Consequently, price level, real GDP and employment increases. Figure 9: Increased in spending on welfare and aged pension Question c Depreciation of currency increases export of an economy resulting in an increase in net export. Followed by an increase in net export, aggregate demand increases and demand curve shifts outward. Finally, there is an increase in real GDP, employment and price level.
12BUSINESS ECONOMICS Figure 10: Effect of currency depreciation Question d When government halves goods and services tax on all consumer goods, there is an increase in after tax income to household. This can be used to increase consumption expenditure (Brown & Narasimhan, 2019). As consumption grows, aggregate demand rises and the demand curve shifts rightward. there is an increase in real GDP, employment and price level. Figure 11: Impact of a decline in goods and service tax
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13BUSINESS ECONOMICS Question e Rise in company taxes lowers profitability of business. This causes a decline in business investment. As a result, aggregate demand declines moving aggregate demand curve left. Contraction of aggregate demand lowers real GDP, price level and employment. Figure 12: Rise in company tax Question 7 Question a If central bank lifts interest rate within the economy, cost of borrowing increases. This reduces private investment inflicting decrease in aggregate demand. As demand contracts, real GDP decreases resulting in a decrease in employment and price level.
14BUSINESS ECONOMICS Figure 13: Effect of an increase in interest rate Question b Increase in private domestic spending expands aggregate demand. Expansion ofdemand causes demand curve to move to right (Stiglitz & Guzman, 2016). When aggregate demand increase there is an expansion of overall economic activity causing an expansion in real GDP and inflation. Figure 14: Increase in private domestic investment spending
15BUSINESS ECONOMICS Question c Increase in goods and service tax reduces disposable income of household. Consequently, consumption expenditure decreases making a tightening of aggregate demand. With a tight aggregate demand condition, economic activity contracts. This results in a deterioration in real GDP and aggregate price level. Figure 15: Increase in goods and service tax Question d Whencurrencyappreciates,thereisincreaseinpriceofexportedgoodsinthe internationalmarket.Thisreducesaggregatedemandoftheeconomy.Withdecreasein aggregate demand, the demand curve shifts to left. Consequently, real GDP contracts and price level declines.
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16BUSINESS ECONOMICS Figure 16: Impact of appreciation of currency Question e A fall in real estate price reduces wealth level of household. As wealth level decline households are less confident resulting in a fall in consumption expenditure and aggregate demand (Minford & Peel, 2019). With decline in aggregate demand real GDP, price level and employment fall. Figure 17: Impact of a decline in real estate price
17BUSINESS ECONOMICS References Abs.gov.au(2019)BrowseStatistics.Abs.gov.au.Retrieved2October2019,from https://www.abs.gov.au/browse?opendocument&ref=topBar Agenor, P. R., & Montiel, P. J. (2015).Development macroeconomics. Princeton University Press. Brown, C., & Narasimhan, S. (2019). Principles of Macroeconomics.Economics,2020, 300. Guilmi, C. D., Gallegati, M., & Landini, S. (2017). Interactive Macroeconomics.Cambridge Books. Heijdra, B. J. (2017).Foundations of modern macroeconomics. Oxford university press. Johnson, H. G. (2017).Macroeconomics and monetary theory. Routledge. Minford, P., & Peel, D. (2019).Advanced macroeconomics: a primer. Edward Elgar Publishing. Rba.gov.au (2019)Cash Rate.Reserve Bank of Australia. Retrieved 2 October 2019, from https://www.rba.gov.au/statistics/cash-rate/ Rba.gov.au (2019)Historical Data.Reserve Bank of Australia. Retrieved 2 October 2019, from https://www.rba.gov.au/statistics/historical-data.html#exchange-rates Stiglitz, J. E., & Guzman, M. (Eds.). (2016).Contemporary issues in macroeconomics: lessons from the crisis and beyond. Springer. Uribe, M., & Schmitt-Grohé, S. (2017).Open economy macroeconomics. Princeton University Press.