2BUSINESS FINANCE Introduction Booli Enterprise is an Australian based company located in Victoria and the company is engaged in the manufacturing of electronic goods. Major revenue generating product of the company is SSHA (smart speaker and home assistant). At present the company is selling one model for SSHA and the sales from the model are excellent. However, technological changes and limited features of the existing model the company is planning to launch new SSHA with advanced features. The main objective of this report is to analyse the investment and profitability for the new SSHA model. Techniques that will be used for analysing the project are net present value, profitability index, discounted payback period and internal rate of return. The report will also perform the analysis the sensitivity of selling price and selling quantity on NPV of the project (Brooks 2015). Answer 1 – Non-discounted payback period Payback period measures the time required for covering up the amount of initial investment for any project and the point after which the project will start earning profit. However, the payback period is just concerned about the time required for covering up the initial investment amount and does not give any importance on the project’s capability to earn profit beyond the payback period (Pasqual, Padilla and Jadotte 2013). Non-discounted payback period for the project – YearCash inflowCumulative cash flow 0$(47,025,000.00) 1$9,158,160.00$9,158,160.00 2$34,307,097.60$43,465,257.60 3$25,842,344.45$69,307,602.05 4$16,194,120.97$85,501,723.02 5$23,547,757.33$109,049,480.35
3BUSINESS FINANCE Non-discounted payback period = 2 + (47,025,000 – 43.465,257.60) / (69,307,602.05 – 43,465,257.60) = 2.14 years. Answer 2 – profitability index PI is the investment analysis tool that states whether the project shall be rejected or accepted. It takes into consideration the time value of money (Leunget al. 2014). The formula used for computing the PI is as follows – PI = PV of future cash flows / Initial investment PI = $ 77,573,881.43 / 47,025,000 = 1.65 Therefore the profitability index of the project is 1.65. Answer 3 – internal rate of return IRR is used under capital budgeting for projecting the expected profitability of any project (Gallo 2014). It is a discount rate at which the net present value of the future cash flows is equal to zero. IRR of the project for producing new SSHA model is 19.77%. Answer 4 – net present value NPV is the expected changes in the wealth of the investor taking into consideration the time value factor of money. It is the difference between the net cash inflows from the project and the initial investment required for the project. This method of analysing the project is considered as most appropriate as it considers the time value of money through using the discount rate. The NPV of the project for producing New SSHA model is $ 30,548,881.43 (Leyman and Vanhoucke 2016).
Paraphrase This Document
Need a fresh take? Get an instant paraphrase of this document with our AI Paraphraser
4BUSINESS FINANCE Answer 5 – Sensitivity analysis for price change Sensitivity analysis is used to measure the changes in the expected variables and its impact on the decision making procedure. While the sensitivity analysis is carried out importance are given on the unfavourable circumstances. The most expected factors taken into consideration in this project are the selling quantity and the selling price of the new SSHA model. Impact of changes of these variables will be measured with respect to the net present value of the project (DeFuscoet al. 2015). The process of sensitivity analysis is carried out as follows – In the 1ststep the base output and base input for the project is recognized. In the given scenario the base output is the NPV and the base input is selling price. Keeping other factorslikesellingquantity,discountrateandinitialinvestmentconstant,the sensitivity of NPV with the changes in selling prices will be measured. Output value changes with the input value changes is computed Percentage change in output with percentage change in input is found out After performing the above steps the sensitivity of the output with regard to the input is found out and the sensitivity is expressed in percentage form (McAuliffe 2015). PriceNPVChanges (Price)Changes (NPV) $- 500$(15,635,004.70) 530$(8,225,825.11)30$7,409,179.59 560$(816,645.51)30$7,409,179.59 590$6,592,534.0830$7,409,179.59 620$14,001,713.6730$7,409,179.59 650$21,410,893.2730$7,409,179.59 680$28,820,072.8630$7,409,179.59 710$36,229,252.4630$7,409,179.59 740$43,638,432.0530$7,409,179.59 770$51,047,611.6430$7,409,179.59 800$58,456,791.2430$7,409,179.59 830$65,865,970.8330$7,409,179.59 860$73,275,150.4330$7,409,179.59
5BUSINESS FINANCE 890$80,684,330.0230$7,409,179.59 920$88,093,509.6130$7,409,179.59 950$95,502,689.2130$7,409,179.59 980$102,911,868.8030$7,409,179.59 1010$110,321,048.4030$7,409,179.59 1040$117,730,227.9930$7,409,179.59 1070$125,139,407.5830$7,409,179.59 1100$132,548,587.1830$7,409,179.59 1130$139,957,766.7730$7,409,179.59 1160$147,366,946.3730$7,409,179.59 1190$154,776,125.9630$7,409,179.59 1220$162,185,305.5530$7,409,179.59 1250$169,594,485.1530$7,409,179.59 1280$177,003,664.7430$7,409,179.59 1310$184,412,844.3330$7,409,179.59 40050060070080090010001100120013001400 $(50,000,000.00) $- $50,000,000.00 $100,000,000.00 $150,000,000.00 $200,000,000.00 Selling price N P V Changes in price4% Changes in NPV24% Sensitivity 555.41 % It is observed from the above presented table and graph that the output that is the NPV changes positively with the changes in the input that is the selling prices. For the changes in pricerangedfrom$500to$1310theNPVrangedfrom-$15,635,004.70to$ 184,412,844.33. For every $ 30 increase in the input there is a change of $ 7,409,179.59 in
6BUSINESS FINANCE the output. In other words, for every 4% changes in the selling price there is a 24% changes in the NPV. The sensitivity is thus comes as 555.41%. Therefore, the NPV is highly sensitive to the changes in the NPV (Baucells and Borgonovo 2013). Answer 6 - Sensitivity analysis for price change Various factors that lead to performing the sensitivity analysis are as follows – Most likely variables that have maximum impact on the decision making procedures can be recognized through the sensitivity analysis It assists in taking the corrective actions or appropriate decisions after recognising the impact of changes in the variables While the sensitivity analysis is carried out with regard to the changes in the selling quantity of the product and its impact on the project’s NPV, the output here is the NPV and the input here is the selling quantity (Iooss and Lemaître 2015). In this part, the sensitivity analysis will be carried out for changes in the selling quantity while keeping the other factors like selling price, discount rate and initial investment constant. Sales volumeNPVChanges (Quantity)Changes (NPV) $- 25000$ 22,354,148.82 50000$ 25,411,884.87250003,057,736.05 75000$ 28,469,620.92250003,057,736.05 100000$ 31,527,356.97250003,057,736.05 125000$ 34,585,093.02250003,057,736.05 150000$ 37,642,829.07250003,057,736.05 175000$ 40,700,565.12250003,057,736.05 200000$ 43,758,301.17250003,057,736.05 225000$ 46,816,037.22250003,057,736.05 250000$ 49,873,773.27250003,057,736.05 275000$ 52,931,509.32250003,057,736.05 300000$ 55,989,245.37250003,057,736.05 325000$ 59,046,981.42250003,057,736.05 350000$ 62,104,717.47250003,057,736.05
Secure Best Marks with AI Grader
Need help grading? Try our AI Grader for instant feedback on your assignments.
7BUSINESS FINANCE 050000100000150000200000250000300000350000400000 $- $10,000,000.00 $20,000,000.00 $30,000,000.00 $40,000,000.00 $50,000,000.00 $60,000,000.00 $70,000,000.00 Sales volume N P V Changes in quantity27% Changes in NPV10% Sensitivity36.83% It is observed from the above presented table and graph that the output that is the NPV changes positively with the changes in the input that is the selling quantity. For the changesinsellingquantityrangedfrom25000to350,000theNPVrangedfrom $22,354,148,82 to $62,104,717.47. For every 25000 increase in the input there is a change of $ 30,57,736.05 in the output. In other words, for every 27% changes in the selling price there is a 10% changes in the NPV. The sensitivity is thus comes as 36.83%. Therefore, the NPV is moderately sensitive to the changes in the NPV (Butleret al. 2014). Sensitivity analysis helps in taking appropriate decisions regarding the input and output variables as it gives the insights regarding how the changes in input has it impact on the output. Based on the result the analysts and the management can take appropriate decisions (Baucells and Borgonovo 2013). However, sometimes the sensitivity analysis seems ambiguous as the pessimistic level and optimistic level is depended on the user’s own
8BUSINESS FINANCE approach. Further, it changes only one variable at a time keeping other variables constant. However, in practical situation it may not be possible always (Levy 2015). Answer 7 – Conclusion It can be concluded from the above analysis that the New SSHA model shall be produced by Booli Enterprise. The reason behind the acceptability of the project is that the NPV of the project is $ 30,548,881.41, payback period is less than the projects useful life that is 2.14 years, IRR of the project is higher than the required rate of return that is 19.77%. Answer 8 – Recommendation If it is found that producing of New model for SSHA will be made in exchange of loss from other products, while calculating the NPV for new SSHA the amount of loss shall be included in the initial investment. If after including the loss the new SSHA project’s NPV comes positive then the project shall be accepted.
9BUSINESS FINANCE Reference Baucells,M.andBorgonovo,E.,2013.Invariantprobabilisticsensitivity analysis.Management Science,59(11), pp.2536-2549. Brooks, R., 2015.Financial management: core concepts. Pearson. Butler, M.P., Reed, P.M., Fisher-Vanden, K., Keller, K. and Wagener, T., 2014. Identifying parametriccontrolsanddependenciesinintegratedassessmentmodelsusingglobal sensitivity analysis.Environmental modelling & software,59, pp.10-29. DeFusco,R.A.,McLeavey,D.W.,Pinto,J.E.,Anson,M.J.andRunkle,D.E., 2015.Quantitative investment analysis. John Wiley & Sons. Gorshkov,A.S.,Rymkevich,P.P.,Nemova,D.V.andVatin,N.I.,2014.Methodof calculating the payback period of investment for renovation of building facades.Stroitel'stvo Unikal'nyh Zdanij i Sooruzenij, (2), p.82. Harrison, F. and Lock, D., 2017.Advanced project management: a structured approach. Routledge. Iooss,B.andLemaître,P.,2015.Areviewonglobalsensitivityanalysismethods. InUncertainty management in simulation-optimization of complex systems(pp. 101-122). Springer, Boston, MA. Leung, B., Springborn, M.R., Turner, J.A. and Brockerhoff, E.G., 2014. Pathway‐level risk analysis: the net present value of an invasive species policy in the US.Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment,12(5), pp.273-279.
Paraphrase This Document
Need a fresh take? Get an instant paraphrase of this document with our AI Paraphraser
10BUSINESS FINANCE Leyman, P. and Vanhoucke, M., 2016. Payment models and net present value optimization forresource-constrainedprojectscheduling.Computers&IndustrialEngineering,91, pp.139-153. Pasqual, J., Padilla, E. and Jadotte, E., 2013. Equivalence of different profitability criteria with the net present value.International Journal of Production Economics,142(1), pp.205- 210. Ross, S.A., Bianchi, R., Christensen, M., Drew, M., Westerfield, R. and Jordan, B.D., 2014.Fundamentals of Corporate Finance: Introduction to corporate finance Chapter: 2 Financial statements, taxes and cash flow PART 2 Chapter: 3 Working with financial statements Chapter: 4 Long-term financial planning and corporate growth PART 3 Chapter: 5 First principles of valuation: TVM Chapter: 6 Valuing shares and bonds PART 4 Chapter: 7 Net present value and other investment criteria Chapter: 8 Making capital investment decisions Chapter: 9 Project analysis and evaluation PART 5 Chapter: 10 Lessons .... McGraw-Hill Education (Australia). Song, Z., Li, Z., Wei, M., Lai, F. and Bai, B., 2014. Sensitivity analysis of water-alternating- CO2 flooding for enhanced oil recovery in high water cut oil reservoirs.Computers & Fluids,99, pp.93-103.