Financial Analysis of Alternatives - Recommendation Memo
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This memo provides a financial analysis of three alternatives and recommends the most superior option based on NPV. It also discusses key findings, recommendations, and input assumptions.
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BUSINESS FINANCE MEMORANDUM STUDENT ID: [Pick the date]
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MEMORANDUM DATE:May 19, 2019 TO:BOARD of DIRECTORS (MNT) FROM:STUDENT NAME SUBJECT:Recommendation on the alternatives available Dear Sirs/Madams The objective of this memo is to share the findings with regards to the financial analysis of the alternatives available and recommending the most superior option. Method In order to carry out the evaluation, incremental cashflows in each of the alternatives were identified over the project duration. These incremental cashflows were then used to determine the Net Present Value (NPV) for the three mutually exclusive options. The decision rule is that the option that yields the maximum NPV should be favoured. Key Findings The key findings of the financial analysis of the three alternatives lead to the following findings. NPV of Option A is $ 10.46 million. NPV of Option B is $ 7.24 million. NPV of Option C is $ 6.07 million Recommendations In accordance with the decision rule, Option A is the most superior option as the related NPV with this alternative is the highest. This would ensure that the wealth of the shareholders are maximized. It is imperative to note that all the three alternatives are financially feasible since NPV exceeds zero but since the options are mutually exclusive, only one of the three alternatives can be accepted. However, the final decision to be taken by board must also consider the qualitative aspects that have not been considered. 2
Input Assumptions The various input related assumptions that have been made for the current analysis are outlined below. It has been assumed where not specified that the respective cashflow would occur on the last day of the concerned financial year. Any capital losses made on the sale of equipment cannot be adjusted against the assessable income and thereby the same has been discarded. It has been assumed that the factory can be rented after the project is completed. This is essential as the opportunity cost built in the model considers loss of rental revenues for only the five year period when sales would be derived from the new product. The cost of capital remains the same for the firm and also across the three options despite the differences in underlying risk level. Estimated Cash Flows The estimated incremental cash flows from Option A are as highlighted below. The estimated incremental cash flows from Option B are as highlighted below. 3
The estimated incremental cash flows from Option C are as highlighted below. Supplementary Analysis Detail The supplementary analysis for each of the three options is carried out below. Option A: Besides, other cashflows that are captured, a pivotal aspect is the opportunity cost involved as if the company does decide to move ahead with the project that the existing premises would be used for product manufacturing and thereby the rental income of the company would be adversely impacted. Since it is a revenue item which would be taxed, thereby similar treatment has been extended in the analysis as well.The computation of annual depreciation is shown below. Annual depreciation = (11/100)*($80 million - $ 15 million) = $ 7.26 million Depreciation is not an actual cash flow but still it has been considered for the given project which is on account of the lower tax outflow that would be caused and hence actual cash flow benefit would arise for the firm. Hence, it is subtracted at the beginning when tax has to be computed but is added later when tax benefit has been derived.The requisite computation with regards to working capital related cash flows is shown below. 4
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Option B: The estimated sales units have been estimated by giving a 2% hike for the sale estimates of Option A. The post-tax royalty related cash flows have been determined and the NPV has been determined considering the 15% cost of capital. Option C: The pivotal aspect with regards to cashflows is that while the patent payments are received at the beginning of the year, they would be taxed at the end of the year. Owing to this there is a lag effect which has been captured while estimating the incremental cashflows. The NPV has been determined considering the 15% cost of capital. Discussion The NPV computed is $10.46 million, $ 7.26 million and $ 6.07 million for Option A, Option B and Option C respectively. The above amounts indicate the extent of contribution to the shareholders’ wealth. Considering that Option A has the highest NPV, it makes sense for MNT to pursue this option. However, it would be worthwhile to perform uncertainty analysis for Option A using tools such as scenario analysis and sensitivity analysis. This would allow for better decision making as in Option A, the risk with regards to sales and underlying price would be borne by the company. This is not the case for Option B and Option C where the underlying risk is much lower.For instance in option C, there is outright sale of patent which implies that the risk related to product sale, realization and any competition is borne by the patent buyer. Yours Sincerely STUDENT NAME 5