CHARATERISTICS OF PROJECT EVALUATION Single project assessment or assessment of mutually exclusive projects. Huge funds involved (Berman, Knight and Case, 2013). Irreversible decisions (Bierman Jr, and Smidt, 2012). Resources involved: Technology, Manpower, Time ansd Efforts.
PROJECT CHOICES Choice 1:Introduction of a new product for the low-end market. Choice 2: Expansion of market for the existing product. Above projects are mutually exclusive projects. Selection of one option would lead to the rejection of the other option.
METHODS OF EVALUATION Cash Payback Period Net Present Value Internal Rate of Return Profitability Index Accounting Rate of Return Discounted Cash Pay Back, and others.
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WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL Total average cost of different sources of capital in an entity (Brigham and Houston, 2012). Based on either market value weights or book value weights. First Step: Calculate individual source of finances. Second Step: Apply weights to the respective cost of capital.
COST OF DEBT After tax cost of debt forms the part of WACC. Cost of debt of entity Chowkidar plc: Coupon per bond (C) =4% Coupon per bond (C) =4.00 Face Value of Bond (FV) =100 t =7 Market Price (PV)=91.5 Kd = (4 + ((100-91.50)/7))/((100+91.50)/2) Kd = 0.05445729 2 Kd=5.45% Kd (after tax)=4.41%
COST OF EQUITY Various methods used: CAPM, Gordon’s Growth Model, Dividend Discount Mode, and others. Gordon Growth Model used for computing cost of equity of Chowkidar Plc. Ke (Cost of equity ) =(D *(1 + g))/ P + g Where, D=Dividend last paid G =Growth Rate P =Current market price G =4.55% Ke (Cost of equity ) = ((0.14*(1 + 4.55%)) /100) + 4.55% Ke (Cost of equity ) =4.6964% Ke =4.70%
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WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL The respective weights are multiplied with the individual cost ofcapital of different finance source.Computation of WACC Ratio of bonds =0.59 Ratio of mezzanine finance =0.4 Ratio of equity =0.1 Cost of Equity =4.70% Cost of Debt =4.41% Cost of Mezzanine Finance =8% WACC =3.93%
COMPARATIVE EVALUATION OF THE PROJECTS Varied results in varied scenarios. DescriptionOption 1Option 2 NPV WACC5903683.2839651249.67 NPV (Mezanninne Rate) -4072975.3431414781.28 IRR6.22%33% PAYBACK (YRS)5.732
SELECTION BASED ON VARIOUS TECHNIQUES DescriptionOption 1Option 2Selection NPV WACC5903683.2 8 39651249. 67 Option 1 NPV (Mezanninn e Rate) - 4072975.3 4 31414781. 28 Option 2 IRR6.22%33%Option 2 PAYBACK (YRS) 5.732Option 2
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COMPARATIVE EVALUATION OF THE PROJECTS Method used for evaluation: NPV, IRR, PAYBACK. Method considered for selection: NPV Benefits of NPV: Considers time value of money (Gὂtze, Northcott and Schuster, 2015). Gives outcome in absolute form. Disadvantages of NPV: Complex to perform (Moran, 2015). Difficult to determine cost of capital. Qualitative factors are ignored.
SHORT COMINGS OF VARIED EVALUAITON TECHNIQUES Cash Payback Period:The technique does not considers the time value of money. The method doesnot considers the cash flow that arise after the recovery of the initial costs. Does not gives efficient result in case of two projects with uneven cash flows.
SHORT COMINGS OF VARIED EVALUAITON TECHNIQUES Internal Rate of Return:There could be multiple rate of returns for a same project. The results are not in the absolute terms.
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NET PRESENT VALUE METHOD NPV Formula: NPV ==+++ …. + where: k = Rate of discounting CFi= net cash flow from year 1, CF0= Initial amount of the investment in thr project n = number of years
RECOMMENDATIONS Option 1 shows higher NPV with the WACC. Option 1 is recommended to be selected. Qualitative factors to be considered: Technological changes. Demand of products. Political and economic changes.
CONCLUSION Investment decisions are key decisions of an entity. Careful evaluation is necessitated. Different methods lead to different results. Inputs from departmental heads is essential.
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REFERENCES Berman, K., Knight. J., and Case, J. (2013)Financial Intelligence, Revised Edition: A Manager's Guide to Knowing What the Numbers Really Mean. Boston: Harvard Business Review Press, p. 212. Bierman Jr, H., and Smidt, S. (2012)The capital budgeting decision: economic analysis of investment projects. 9thed. Oxon: Routledge. Brigham, E. F., and Houston, J. F. (2012)Fundamentals of Financial Management.Boston MA: Cengage Learning. Goyat, S., and Nain, A. (2016) Methods of Evaluating Investment Proposals.International Journal of Engineering and Management Research (IJEMR), 6(5), p. 279. Gὂtze, U., Northcott, D., and Schuster, P. (2015)Investment Appraisal: Methods and Models.2nded. London: Springer. Moran, A. (2015)Managing Agile. Strategy, Implementation, Organisation and People. New York: Springer.