This case study in finance explores CS Energy's joint venture with Alinta Energy Limited for electricity production. It includes a financial analysis, qualitative and quantitative analysis, and a recommendation for government approval.
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Running head: CASE STUDY IN FINANCE Case Study in Finance Name of the Student: Name of the University: Author’s Note
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2CASE STUDY IN FINANCE Executive Summary CS Energy has entered into a joint venture arrangement with Alinta Energy Limited for electricity production. For this it requires the approval of the Government. A qualitative and quantitative analysis has been done. The development of Spreadsheet Model has been performed. Theopportunitycostsandconstructioncostswereidentified.Thescenarioanalysisand sensitivity analysis was done taking the variations in inputs and arriving at a profitable value. The Government was requested to give approval of the project.
3CASE STUDY IN FINANCE Table of Contents Introduction......................................................................................................................................4 Financial Analysis...........................................................................................................................4 Sensitive Analysis and Scenario Analysis.......................................................................................6 Qualitative and Quantitative Analysis.............................................................................................8 Recommendation.............................................................................................................................9 Letter to the Government.................................................................................................................9 Conclusion.....................................................................................................................................10 Reference list.................................................................................................................................11
4CASE STUDY IN FINANCE Introduction The financial analysis for the Project will be done based on the financial cash flow that was observed for the company. There are various parameters that can be deployed for the purpose of analysis of the undertaken project. In order to better assess the project based on the financial feasibility of the Electricity Project key tools like Net Present Value, Internal Rate of Return and other key investment tools will be used for the purpose of assessment of the undertaken project. In order to better understand the financial feasibility and assessment of the project both the quality and quantitative approaches of analysis will be conducted for the purpose of analysis. In terms of Quantitative Risk Assessment key approaches like Sensitivity Analysis of the undertaken project NPV and the associated Outcomes for the project will be undertaken for the purpose of analysis. Other relevant factors like the operating efficiency, electricity traffic price and other macro-economic factors like the inflation rate, discount rate and prevailing, tax rate will be some of the key approaches that were taken into account for the purpose of analysis. On the other hand, with the changes in the above factors and various possible outcomes for the project a scenario analysis too will be done for the undertaken project. On the other hand, qualitative data assessment for the project including the legislative barriers that the project needs to undertake, legal and regulatory compliances that needs to be well adhered will be some of the key factors that were discussed. Financial Analysis The electricity generation company, CS Energy has entered into an arrangement of joint venture with Alinta Energy Limited for supplying electricity to business and retail customers in
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5CASE STUDY IN FINANCE Queensland. The venture requires generation of new assets for development of the project. The company has analyzed substitute measures for the purpose of generation of electricity. The construction of a new nuclear power station has been proposed that will be situated on the North Stradboke Island that is under the ownership of the Government of Queensland. The benefit of this location will be the access to the requirement of sea water for the operation of the power stations. It also facilitates the cooling down of decreased uranium rods of fuel that are used for the process of electricity generation. The site has no other agricultural or viable industrial use, therefore there is no existence of opportunity cost. The main basis for the project is the development of additional generation capacity for electricity that has low cost of operation and also low levels of emissions. There is a requirement of support of additional capacity for the growth in industrial and mining activities in different locations of Queensland. The additional demand has been forecasted regarding the consumption of energy on the basis of the growing population in the areas of The Gold Coast, Sunshine Coast and Brisbane precincts. The approval by the Federal Government of Australia which has strict control measures over the distribution and usage of uranium. Especially the process of energy generation by uranium enrichment and amendment by the Commonwealth Environmental Protection and Biodiversity Conservation Act 1999 to give permission for generating electricity using nuclear power. The nuclear power station’s construction is expected to begin in 2021 and finished by year end of 2025. However, the electricity generation, commissioning and other initial operations will begin from early 2026. The operating life will be a period of 60 years. In 2085, the operations of the power station would be discontinued. The decommissioning schedule of the site and the power station would be in 2086.
6CASE STUDY IN FINANCE The construction cost forecasted and incurred for the initial 5 years for the power station was $560, 00, 00,000. The net real cash flows of the project amounted to $26,97,06,66,229.55 from 2026 to 2085 after deducting resource, operating and storage costs, depreciation allocations and taxations. The Net Present Value determined was$89,30,72,173.97.The purchase and storage cost of uranium are low as it depends on the nature of use of uranium and other major components that are associated with the working of the nuclear power station. It is a reflection of reality. The Net Present Value of the Discounted Cash flow amountsto $90,83,57,351.72that has been used to facilitate the evaluation of the project. Sensitive Analysis and Scenario Analysis The sensitivity analysis and scenario analysis on the project has been conducted using the various indicators like operating efficiency factor, the real tariff price per MW hour, the internal rate of return, inflation rate and profit index. Operating Efficiency Factor This ratio defines the output earned from the business operation and an input used for the working of the business operation. To improve the operational efficiency, the ratio of the output to its input ratio is also improved.Using different operating efficiency factors ranging from 91%- 95%, the optimum efficiency was identified at 93%.
7CASE STUDY IN FINANCE Tariff Price Rates The various tariff price rates were assumed from $83.30-$86.70 and $85 was found to be appropriate for the project. Internal Rate of Return The internal rate of return was calculated at 8.39% as the best rate for the construction and operations of the nuclear power station.This measure is used for taking a capital budgeting decision to forecast the profitability of the potential investments made in the power station. It is the rate of discounting that helps to make the net present value of cash flows to zero. Inflation Rate
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8CASE STUDY IN FINANCE The inflation rates were assumed to be from a range of 0.3%-4.3% and the maximum cost efficiency was seen at the rate of 2.3%.It reflects the overall rise in the Consumer Price Index that is calculated by the weighted average price of the different goods. The necessary rate has been incorporated and the results were analysed. A capital budgeting decision was taken incorporating various discount rates. The finance modelling of the projectdevelopedcouldbecomplicatedandlarge.Itisacomprehensiveandpowerful representation of the firm cash flows or project and structure of assets. The proper development will help it to be entirely integrated and promote easy modifications of the parameters and updates of changes in information (Iooss and Lemaître 2015). The analysis of discounted cash flow has been used for the sensitivity analysis.The effect of Net Present Value on the project has been evaluated taking into consideration the variations in important inputs that give relatively more outcomes were considered as more sensitive for the project performance. The scenario analysis was also performed taking various estimated assumptions which were considered appropriate for the project. The conduct of the scenario analysis is essential for the long term projects in which the chances of expected outcomes vary with the inputs. Qualitative and Quantitative Analysis The qualitative considerations of the project have been the impacts of risk on the business operations. These qualitative reasons could lead to a rejection of the project despite the positive Net Present Value. However, there are certain common qualitative issues faced by the project. The environmental damage or impact, safety of workers or the wider community including the mining, nuclear related activities, off shore oil rigs and construction. The product side effects such as radiation or asbestos exposure, law suits, health of customers and injury were considered
9CASE STUDY IN FINANCE for analysis. The impact and image effect on the image of the customers and overall firm. The political problems or issues like the sovereign risk linked with the international investment or overseas projects of inflow into Australia and the concerns of national interest of ownership of the sensitive classes of assets. Recommendation It is being recommended to commence the construction of the nuclear power station in Queensland to harness the resources efficiently and effectively to generate electricity. The profitable outcomes of the project were determined by conducting the sensitivity analysis and scenario analysis for the feasibility of the project. The approval by the Government is required as the natural resources like the sea water will be used. Letter to the Government To The Government Subject: Approval for the construction of project Respected Sir, This letter is to request your permission for the construction of the nuclear power station after the joint venture of CS Energy and Alinta Energy Limited regarding electricity generation. The project has been evaluated using the capital budgeting techniques and the respective profits have been estimated. Kindly, help us to proceed with the project by giving your approval as soon as possible.
10CASE STUDY IN FINANCE Thank you C S Energy Conclusion The conduct of sensitive analysis and scenario analysis has helped to take decisions regarding the construction of the nuclear power station. The internal rate of return, payback period, discounted payback period, net present value of cash flow have been determined. The government has been requested for giving approval regarding the construction and operations of the project. It is a feasible project having a life period of 60 years. The construction cost was calculated and its Net Present Value was determined. The expected electricity generated and sold were forecasted that can be used to convert the revenue generated on the basis of tariff levels of electricity and deduction of depreciation allocations, taxation and operating and storage costs to arrive at the Net Profit for the project. The discounted cash flow was measured. It will help the people of Queensland by providing electricity. It will make use of the sea water and not result in wastage or pollution of the environment. The decision regarding the effective and efficient utilisation of uranium was concluded to generate electricity at low costs. The Spreadsheet Model has been developed for this project. The qualitative assessment has been done and the issues that need attention have been highlighted.
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11CASE STUDY IN FINANCE Reference list Iooss,B.andLemaître,P.,2015.Areviewonglobalsensitivityanalysismethods. InUncertaintymanagementinsimulation-optimizationofcomplexsystems(pp.101-122). Springer, Boston, MA.