This report analyzes the financial performance of A2 Milk Company for investment purposes. It examines profitability, efficiency, cash management, sensitivity analysis, risks, and dividend payout ratio.
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Running head: COMPANY PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS Company Performance Analysis Name of the Student Name of the University Author’s Note
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2COMPANY PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS Abstract This report aims at the analysis of the financial performance of the A2 Milk Company for the investment purpose. The findings of the report show the strong profitability and efficiency position of the company. The cash management position of the company is also good and effective. The findings of the sensitivity analysis states that the proposed project should be accepted since it will be profitable. There are both systemic and un- systemic risks in A2 Milk Company. Due to not paying dividend, the dividend payout ratio of the company for the last three years is nil.
3COMPANY PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS Table of Contents I. Introduction..............................................................................................................................................4 II. Financial Analysis of A2 Milk....................................................................................................................4 2.1 Company Description........................................................................................................................4 2.2 Calculation and Analysis of Performance Ratios................................................................................4 2.3 Identification of Marketable Securities..............................................................................................8 2.4 Sensitivity Analysis.............................................................................................................................8 2.5 Systemic and Un-systemic Risks......................................................................................................11 2.6 Dividend Payout Ratio and Dividend Policy.....................................................................................12 III. Recommendation Letter.......................................................................................................................12 IV. Conclusion............................................................................................................................................13 References.................................................................................................................................................14
4COMPANY PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS I. Introduction Analysis of the financial performance of the companies is considered as a crucial tooltomeasurethecurrentfinancialperformanceandtogetanideaaboutthe company’s future performance as well (Delen, Kuzey and Uyar 2013). For the same reason, investment analysts consider analyzing financial performance of the firms as a crucial part of the investment decision-making process. The use of certain tools and techniques can be seen for this purpose such as ratio analysis of the selected company, sensitivity analysis and others. Certain other aspects need to be considered are the analysis of the risks of the companies, marketable securities and many others (Amit and Villalonga 2014). The aim of this report is the analysis of the financial performance of an ASX listed company for the purpose of investment decision-making. The considered ASX listed company isA2 Milk Company. The whole report is divided into certain sections. The first section involves the description of the selected company. The second part involves in calculating as well as analyzing certain profitability as well as efficiency ratios of A2 Milk for explaining the trend of these financial ratios. The next part undertakescashmanagementanalysisthroughtheidentificationofmarketable securities.Thenextpartinvolvesinperformingasensitivityanalysisforthe determination of the project. Identification of the systemic and unsystematic risk is the aim of the next section. The next part identifies the dividend payout ratio along with the dividend policy. The report ends with a recommendation letter and a conclusion. II. Financial Analysis of A2 Milk 2.1 Company Description A2 Milk is a public listed Australian company involves in the commercialization of intellectual property relating to A1 protein-free milk that the company sells under A2 and A2 milk brands along with other mil related products. The company was established in the year 2000 and it is headquartered at Sydney, Australia. A2 Milk Company operates in the Australian dairy industry which is considered as a strong and well-established market for the companies under this industry (thea2milkcompany.com 2019). A2 Milk Company is regarded as the successor of the A2 Corporation Limited. A2 Corporation sold its interest to A2 Australia which is considered as the inception of the A2 Milk Company. Since A2 Milk Company operates in the milk and dairy industry in Australia, the company has to face major competition in some of its key competitors such as Bellamy’sAustralia,BegaCheese,FreedomFoodsGroupandInghamsGroup (thea2milkcompany.com 2019). 2.2 Calculation and Analysis of Performance Ratios Analysis of profitability and operating efficiency can be considered as two crucial aspects for ascertaining the current financial standing and performance of A2 Milk Company.Thefollowingdiscussionshowstheanalysisofcertainratiosunder profitability and operating efficiency of A2 Milk Company. Analysis of Profitability The analysis of the profitability ratio is done with the aim to ascertain the ability of the company to generate income against all the expenses that need to incur to conduct
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5COMPANY PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS the business operations (Easton and Sommers 2018). There are three key profitability ratios that are taken into consideration for the analysis of A2 Milk Company’s profitability position; they are Gross Margin, Net Margin and Return on Capital Employed (ROCE). The detailed discussion is shows below. Table 1: Profitability Ratios (Source: As created by Author) 201620172018 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 70.00% 42.84% 47.98%50.34% 39.37% 57.37% 50.56% Profitability Ratios Gross margin Net margin Return on capital employed (ROCE) Figure 1: Trend in Profitability Ratios (Source: As created by Author) The gross margin ratio indicates towards the percentage of profit left to the companies after the payment of the production related expenses (Isberg and Pitta 2013). As per the 2018 Annual report of A2 Milk Company, cost of sales is the main operating expenses of the company as disclosed in the income statement. As per the above figure, A2 Milk Company has an increasing trend in the gross margin from 2016 to 2018 and major increase in sales can be considered as one of the major reasons for this increase. It is a positive sign for A2 Milk Company. Net margin measures the ability of the companies in generating profit after the paymentofnon-directexpenses(Khadafi,HeikalandUmmah2014).InA2Milk Company, these expenses are distribution expenses, administrative and marketing expenses and others expenses. It can be seen from the above figure that there is a
6COMPANY PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS healthy increase in the net margin of A2 Milk Company from 2016 to 2018 which can be considered as a positive indicator of the company’s profitability. Reduction in some of the major expenses like marketing expenses and increase in interest income can be considered as the key reasons for this increase. ROCE measures the ability of the companies in generating profit from the capital employed through the comparison of net operating profit to the capital employed (San and Heng 2013). As per the above figure, there is a healthy increase in ROCE in 2017 from 2016 due to the massive increase in operating profit. However, decease in this ratio can be seen in 2018 from 2017 and excess increase in current liabilities can be considered as the prime reason for this. It needs to be mentioned based on the above discussion that A2 Milk Company has an effective profitability position owing to the massive increase in both the gross margin and net profit. However, the companies is needed to develop strategies for improvising heir ROCE in the coming years since it is considered as a crucial indicator of company’s profitability. Analysis of Operating Efficiency The internal effectiveness of the business organizations in the use of their assets and liabilities can be determined through the analysis of operating efficiency. This helps in ascertaining the short and long-term company performance (Odungaet al.2013). Four key ratios areconsideredfor measuringtheoperatingefficiency of A2 Milk Company; they are Days Inventory Turnover, Days Receivable Turnover, Days Payable Turnover and Cash Conversion Cycle. These ratios are discussed below. Table 2: Operating Efficiency Ratios (Source: As created by Author)
7COMPANY PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS Days inventory turnoverDays receivables turnoverDays payables turnoverCash conversion cycle -40.00 -20.00 - 20.00 40.00 60.00 80.00 100.00 120.00 140.00 Operating Efficiency Ratios 2016 2017 2018 Figure 2: Trend in Operating Efficiency Ratios (Source: As created by Author) Day’s inventory turnover ratio measures the company’s ability in managing the inventory (Gaur and Kesavan 2015). As per the above table, days inventory turnover of A2 Milk Company has continuously decrease over the last three years. This can be considered as a desirable condition for the management of A2 Milk Company which statesthatthecompanyhasincreasedtheirefficiencyinquicklyreleasingtheir inventory. Days receivable turnover shows the efficiency of the companies in collecting their receivables (Liuet al.2013). As per the above figure, there is also a decreasing trend in this ratio for A2 Milk Company from 2016 to 2018 which indicates towards the increased efficiency of the company in collecting the dues. It implies that the company is taking less time to collect their receivables. Days payable turnover shows the company’s efficiency in paying their dues (Weil, Schipper and Francis 2013). It can be seen that days payable turnover has decreased from 2016 to 2017 and it again has increased from 2017 to 2018. The presence of less fluctuation indicates towards the strategy of A2 Milk Company in paying their creditor in timely manner for the development of effective relation between them. Cash conversion cycle measures the ability of the companies in converting their resources into cash (Yazdanfar and Öhman 2014). It can be seen from the above that A2 Milk Company has negative cash conversion cycle over the last three years which indicates that A2 Milk Company needs less time for selling its inventory and receive cash from its customers compared to the time in which the suppliers of the inventory needs to be paid. As per the above discussion, A2 Milk Company has been able in maintained their operational efficiency over the year that is beneficial from the perspectives of the company and the investors.
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8COMPANY PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS 2.3 Identification of Marketable Securities Marketable securities in the current assets are considered as the type of liquid assets on the balance sheet that can be easily converted into cash (Brown 2014). According to the 2018 Annual Report of A2 Milk Company, cash in hand and cash in bank and short term deposits can be considered as the marketable deposit of the companywhichvalues$340,455,000in2018and$121,020,000in2017 (thea2milkcompany.com 2019). It can be seen that there is significant increase in cash and other short-term deposits of A2 Milk Company in 2018 as compared to 2017. It needs to be mentioned that the companies use these instruments in order to earn return on case and the same aspect can be seen in A2 Milk Company. As per Note D3 of the Financial Statements of A2 Milk Company, the company earns interest on floating rates on the basis of daily bank deposit rates. It implies that these securities works as source of cash for the company which is needed for sound cash management (Brown 2014). The importance of effective cash management mechanism cannot be ignored for the companies. Increase in the amount of these marketable securities in the balance sheet reflects the strategy of A2 Milk Company to enhance the cash collection for strengthens their liquidity position and it is a crucial aspect for cash management. In addition, the maintenance of this suffificnet cash balance provides A2 Milk Company the scope to fight economic downturns along with the financial stability to make investments in the presence of suitable price. Large corporate investors can make A2 Milk Company suitable takeover target in the presence of this large cash balance which can be used in different productive manners (Kuttner and Shim 2016). 2.4 Sensitivity Analysis This section considers a situation where a project is considered by A2 Milk Company for a new product. Two different scenarios have taken into account for this; that are the normal scenario and sensitivity analysis with the same value drivers in the presence of certain changes. Normal Scenario
10COMPANY PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS Company to buy equipment worth $2,000,000 having an expected residual value of $200,000 after 4 years and it is the project’s economic life. At the end of the life of the project, the whole amount of completely recoverable. The equipment’s recoverable value is also recoverable at the end of the project’s life. The technique of Net Present Value (NPV) is used with the aim to measure the feasibility of the proposed project. NPV refers to all the future cash flows’ amount over the project’s whole life and this is discounted to the present value (Žižlavský 2014). This can be considered as a type of intrinsic valuation which is widely used through the accounting and finance in order to effectively determine the values of the business, capital projects and other aspects. Business organizations favor a higher as well as positive NPV due to the fact that it is the indication of higher profitability of the project. It can be seen from the present scenario that the proposed project has a positive NPV worth $3,034,045 and it indicates that the project is feasible for A2 Milk Company. It implies that the profitability of A2 Milk Company would increase in case the company decides to accept the project (Gallo 2014). Sensitivity Analysis The sensitivity analysis of the proposed project is done through bringing certain alterations in the value drivers. Following are the changes:
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11COMPANY PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS o10% decrease in the unit sales o10% decrease in per unit o10% increase in the variable cost per unit o10% increase in the cash fixed cost per year This revised situation also involved the application of the technique of NPV. It can be observed that the proposed project’s NPV as per the computation is $486,408 and this value is lower than the actual situation. The main reasons behind this decrease are the decline in sales volume and sales price per unit along with the increase in the fixed as well as variable expenses (French 2014). However, the NPV of the project still can be seen as positive in spite of the fall in the sales performance. This aspect indicates towards the crucial fact that the proposed project is still profitable for A2 Milk Company in the presence of positive NPV in spite of the decrease in revenue and increase in costs. To infer, it can be concluded that the project still has the feasibility for A2 Milk Company for maximizing the overall return on investment (Iooss and Lemaître 2015). 2.5 Systemic and Un-systemic Risks Systemic risk arises due to the changes in macroeconomic factors like inflation, interest rate changes and others (Brunnermeier and Oehmke 2013). Below are the systemic risks in A2 Milk Company: Foreign Currency Risk –The operations of A2 Milk Company are exposed to the foreign currency risk that arises due to the movements in the currencies of the countries like the US, the UK and Chine against the currencies of Australia and New Zealand. A2 Milk Company does not adopt any hedging strategy, but they may transfer the cash balancesontimelybasisbetweencurrenciesforthereductionofexposure (thea2milkcompany.com 2019). Equity Price Risk –A2 Milk Company is exposed to this particular risk on the listed investmentsthatareclassifiedaswellasmeasuredatfairvaluethroughother comprehensive income. The company does not hedge this risk. The management of A2 Milk Company monitors this particular risk exposure through the comparison of the movement in the quoted share price of the long-term investments (Acemoglu, Ozdaglar and Tahbaz-Salehi 2015). The association of un-systemic risk can be only being seen with the specific industry and these risks of A2 Milk Company are shown below: Product Quality –A2 Milk Company is exposed to this risk as their products may become polluted, tampered with, adulterated or unsafe consumption. These aspects could lead to the harm or injury to the customers (thea2milkcompany.com 2019). Supply Chain –The ability of the company to maintain the supply of their products can be hampered in case there is material and adverse change in the operation of one or more suppliers and reduction in the support from one of more suppliers. Increase in Competition –Since A2 Milk Company operates in a highly competitive industry, increase in competition can hamper the operation of the company, specifically issalesandotherrevenuebases.Thesearethemajorun-systemicriskinthe operations of A2 Milk Company (Decisions 2015).
12COMPANY PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS 2.6 Dividend Payout Ratio and Dividend Policy Table 3: Dividend Payout Ratio (Source: As created by Author) The dividend payout ratio is regarded as a crucial ration for the companies and the investors which measure the percentage of net income that a company distributes to the shareholders in the form of dividends during the year. More specifically, this ratio helps in showing the portion of profit a company decides to keep for funding the operations and the percentage of profit which is distributed to the shareholders. It needs to be mentioned that the investors have key interest in this ratio as they want to know whether the companies are distributing a sufficient percentage of net profit to the investors (Oladipupo and Okafor 2013). This situation is different in case of A2 Milk Company. It can be seen from the above table that the dividend payout ratio of A2 Milk Company is nil during the years of 2016, 2017 and 2018. At the same time, it can also be seen that the dividend per share of the company is also nil during these three years. All these aspects indicate towards the fact that A2 Milk Company has not paid dividend to their shareholders in the last three years. According to the dividend policy of the company, the holders of the fully paid ordinary shares are eligible for receiving dividends (thea2milkcompany.com 2019). The company declares the dividends on time to time basis. Since the company has not paid any dividend in the last three years, it leads to the lack of confidence among the shareholders of the company (Ajanthan 2013). III. Recommendation Letter To, Mr. Jones Smith New York, USA Date: 9thMay, 2019 Subject: Investment Recommendation Dear Sir, There are certain crucial factors that you need to consider while making the investment decision about A2 Milk Company. Assuring the best return on investment is the main intention behind this recommendation. According to the outcome of the ratio analysis, it can be said that A2 Milk Company has been able in maintaining their robust financial performance both in terms of profitability and operating efficiency. Like other companies, the presence of certain systematic as well as un-systemic risk can be seen in A2 Milk Company, but these are manageable from the company’s perspective. The presence of marketable securities makes the company a better choice for investment. However, in spite of the presence of stable dividend policy, the company has not distributed dividend in last three years. Since the majority aspects are positive, you can investment in A2 Milk Company for the maximization of return on investment.
13COMPANY PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS Yours Sincerely, XYZ Investment Analysts IV. Conclusion It can be seen from the above discussion that A2 Milk Company is a major company operating in the Australian milk and dairy industry. The above discussion shows that increase in gross margin and net margin makes the profitability position of A2 Milk Company strong while the company has stable operating efficiency. In addition, the presence of marketable securities strengthens the cash management position of A2 Milk Company which is a positive aspect. As per the outcome of the sensitivity analysis, A2 Milk Company is needed to accept the project due to the fact that it will be able in fetching positive NPV in either condition that shows that the company will be profitable from accepting the proposed project. It can also be observed from the above that the operations of A2 Milk Company are subject to both systemic as well as un-systemic risk whichthecompanyisaddressingwitheffectiveriskmanagementpoliciesand procedures. A2 Milk Company has not provided any dividend over the last three years which makes the dividend payout ratio of the company nil. These aspects need to be considered in the investment decision.
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14COMPANY PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS References Acemoglu, D., Ozdaglar, A. and Tahbaz-Salehi, A., 2015. Systemic risk and stability in financial networks.American Economic Review,105(2), pp.564-608. Ajanthan, A., 2013. The relationship between dividend payout and firm profitability: A study of listed hotels and restaurant companies in Sri Lanka.International Journal of Scientific and Research Publications,3(6), pp.1-6. Amit, R. and Villalonga, B., 2014. Financial performance of family firms.The Sage handbook of family business, pp.157-178. Brown, C., 2014. Marketable securities: Storage or investment?.Available at SSRN 1446683. Brunnermeier, M.K. and Oehmke, M., 2013. Bubbles, financial crises, and systemic risk. InHandbook of the Economics of Finance(Vol. 2, pp. 1221-1288). Elsevier. Decisions,R.E.I.,2015.Investor-specificcostofcapitalandrenewableenergy investment decisions.Renewable Energy Finance: Powering the Future,2(3), pp.56-77. Delen, D., Kuzey, C. and Uyar, A., 2013. Measuring firm performance using financial ratios: A decision tree approach.Expert Systems with Applications,40(10), pp.3970- 3983. Easton, M. and Sommers, Z., 2018. Financial Statement Analysis & Valuation, 5e. French, S., 2014. Decision analysis.Wiley StatsRef: Statistics Reference Online. Gallo, A., 2014. A refresher on net present value.Harvard Business Review,19. Gaur, V. and Kesavan, S., 2015. The effects of firm size and sales growth rate on inventoryturnoverperformanceintheUSretailsector.InRetailSupplyChain Management(pp. 25-52). Springer, Boston, MA. Iooss, B. and Lemaître, P., 2015. A review on global sensitivity analysis methods. InUncertainty management in simulation-optimization of complex systems(pp. 101- 122). Springer, Boston, MA. Isberg, S. and Pitta, D., 2013. Using financial analysis to assess brand equity.Journal of Product & Brand Management,22(1), pp.65-78. Khadafi, M., Heikal, M. and Ummah, A., 2014. Influence analysis of return on assets (ROA), return on equity (ROE), net profit margin (NPM), debt to equity ratio (DER), and current ratio (CR), against corporate profit growth in automotive in Indonesia Stock Exchange.InternationalJournalofAcademicResearchinBusinessandSocial Sciences,4(12). Kuttner,K.N.andShim,I.,2016.Cannon-interestratepoliciesstabilizehousing markets? Evidence from a panel of 57 economies.Journal of Financial Stability,26, pp.31-44. Liu, C., O'Farrell, G., Wei, K.K. and Yao, L.J., 2013. Ratio analysis comparability between Chinese and Japanese firms.Journal of Asia Business Studies,7(2), pp.185- 199. Odunga,R.M.,Nyangweso,P.M.,Carter,D.A.andMwarumba,M.,2013.Credit Risk,“CapitalAdequacyandOperatingEfficiencyOfCommercialBanksin Kenya”.International Journal of Business and Management Invention,2(9), pp.6-12. Oladipupo,A.O.andOkafor,C.A.,2013.Relativecontributionofworkingcapital managementtocorporateprofitabilityanddividendpayoutratio:Evidencefrom Nigeria.International Journal of Business and Finance Research,3(2), pp.11-20.
15COMPANY PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS San,O.T.andHeng,T.B.,2013.FactorsaffectingtheprofitabilityofMalaysian commercial banks.African Journal of Business Management,7(8), pp.649-660. The a2 Milk Company. 2019.About us - The a2 Milk Company. [online] Available at: https://thea2milkcompany.com/about-us/ [Accessed 9 May 2019]. Thea2milkcompany.com. 2019. [online] Available at: https://thea2milkcompany.com/wp- content/uploads/3593-a2MC-Annual-Report-2018-design-31-FINAL-pages-hi.pdf [Accessed 9 May 2019]. Weil, R.L., Schipper, K. and Francis, J., 2013.Financial accounting: an introduction to concepts, methods and uses. Cengage Learning. Yazdanfar, D. and Öhman, P., 2014. The impact of cash conversion cycle on firm profitability:AnempiricalstudybasedonSwedishdata.InternationalJournalof Managerial Finance,10(4), pp.442-452. Žižlavský, O., 2014. Net present value approach: method for economic assessment of innovation projects.Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences,156, pp.506-512.