Financial Performance Analysis of Woolworths Limited
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This report provides a detailed analysis of the financial performance of Woolworths Limited, including profitability, operational efficiency, cash management, and risk analysis.
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Running head: COMPANY PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS Company Performance Analysis Name of the Student Name of the University Author’s Note
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1COMPANY PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS Abstract The main objective of this report is the financial performance analysis of Woolworths Limitedformakingappropriateinvestmentdecision.Analysisofprofitabilityand operational efficiency is a major part of this report. After that, analysis of the cash management through the analysis of the marketable securities of Woolworths Limited is another majoraim ofthereport.This report undertakes theanalysisof provided scenario of proposed investment to determine whether the proposed project needs to be selected or not. This report also shows the major systemic as well as un-systemic risk of the company. Analysis of the dividend payout ratio is undertaken regarding Woolworths Limited.
2COMPANY PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS Table of Contents I. Introduction.....................................................................................................................3 II. Financial Analysis of Woolworths..................................................................................3 2.1 Company Description...............................................................................................3 2.2 Calculation and Analysis of Woolworth’s Ratios......................................................3 2.3 Cash Management Analysis....................................................................................6 2.4 Performing a Sensitivity Analysis.............................................................................7 2.5 Identification and Discussion of Systematic and Unsystematic Risks...................10 2.6 Identification of Divided Payout Ratio and Dividend Policy...................................10 III. Recommendation Letter.............................................................................................11 IV. Conclusion..................................................................................................................11 References.......................................................................................................................13
3COMPANY PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS I. Introduction Analyzing the financial statement of the company is an important factor to identify the financial performance and to fetch the idea of future performance of the company. As per abovereasonstheinvestors alsoanalyzes thefinancialstatementof the company to identify the present and future financial performance for the purpose of decision making process (Robinsonet al.2015). To conduct the decision making process it involves the usage of different tools which include sensitivity analysis, ratio analysis and many others. There are other kind of aspects for the decision making process includes analysis of risks, marketable securities of the company and many others (Easton and Sommers 2018). This report discusses about the analysis of the financial statement of the company which is listed with the Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) for the purpose of decision making process. The ASX listed company which is considered for this report is Woolworths Limited (Woolworths).The division of this report is provided below. The first part of the company involves the description of Woolworths. The next part of this report includes the profitability ratio and efficiency ratio of the company and analyzing the ratios from the financial statement of the company which willinturnhelpsfordecisionmaking.Thenextpartexplainsaboutthecash management of Woolworths for analyzing the marketable securities of the company. The next part includes the sensitivity analysis for the determination of the project. The next part explains the identification of the systematic and unsystematic risks. The next part talks about the dividend payout ratio and the dividend policy of the company. The last part of this report provides the recommendation and the conclusion. II. Financial Analysis of Woolworths 2.1 Company Description Woolworths Group is one of the largest companies all throughout Australia and New Zealand. The company mainly deals with retain and have presence in other kind of business like liquor retailer, gaming and poker machine operator. The company started its business way back in 1924. The company has more than 3000 stores all throughout Australia and moreover it is still counting. The company associated with more than thousands of local farmers and manufactures of the goods. The company is responsible for the 201,000 jobs for the working class. Utilizing the huge goodwill the company has gained trust of more than 29 million customers in total. The company lives up to their mission statement which states that the company will provide best convenience, value andqualityforthecustomerswhoareassociatedwiththecompany (woolworthsgroup.com.au 2019). 2.2 Calculation and Analysis of Woolworth’s Ratios In order to analyze the financial performance as well as financial position of Woolworths, the analysis of both profitability and efficiency is paramount ((Agha 2014)). The following discussion shows the profitability as well as efficiency ratio analysis of Woolworths. Profitability Analysis
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4COMPANY PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS The ratios considered for profitability analysis are Gross Margin, Net Margin and Return on Capital Employed (ROCE); these are discussed below. Table 1: Profitability Ratios of Woolworths (Source: As created by Author) 201620172018 -10.00% -5.00% 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 30.00% 35.00% 28.18%28.94%29.33% -4.38% 2.89%3.15% 9.30% 14.61%15.56% Profitability Ratios of Woolworths Gross margin Net margin Return on capital employed (ROCE) Figure 1: Profitability Ratios Trend in Woolworths (Source: As created by Author) Gross Margin –This particular ratio helps in ascertaining the leftover of the profit after making payments for all the expenditures that are related to production (Palia 2014). The 2018 Annual Report of Woolworths shows that its main operating expense is cost of sales. The above figure shows an increasing trend in the gross margin of Woolworths from 2016 to 2018. It increases by 2.69% from 2016 to 2017 and by 1.34% from 2017 to 2018. The main reason that has contributed towards this increasing trend in gross margin is the steady increase in the revenue of the firm. Net Margin –This is considered as a crucial profitability ratio for the companies because it measures the profit generation capability of the firms after paying the sales, administrative and other non-direct expenses of the business. It can be seen from the above that Woolworths has an increasing trend in the net profit margin from 2016 to 2017 and the company has recovered from net loss to net profit from 2016 to 2017. Its net profit margin increases by 8.86% from 2017 to 2018 which can be considered as a positive aspect for the business of Woolworths (Khadafi, Heikal and Ummah 2014). ROCE –It is regarded as one of the most important profitability ratios for the companies because it determines the companies’ profit generating capabilities from the employed
5COMPANY PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS capital. It can be seen from the above table that Woolworths has an increasing trend in ROCE from 2016 to 2018 because this ration increases by 57.09% from 2016 to 2017 and 6.50% from 2017 to 2018. The main reason for this is the increase in the operating profit of the company from 2016 to 2018 (Jenkins and Williamson 2015). On the overall basis, an increasing trend can be seen in all the above three profitability ratios of Woolworths mainly due to the increase in sales, operating profit and others. This aspect is a major positive indicator of the effective profitability position of Woolworths from 2016 to 2018. Operating Efficiency Ratios Analysis The ratios considered for measuring the operating efficiency of Woolworths are Days in Inventory Turnover, Days in Receivable Turnover, Days in Payable Turnover and Cash Conversion Cycle. These ratios are discussed below. Table 2: Efficiency Ratios of Woolworths (Source: As created by Author) Days inventory turnoverDays receivables turnoverDays payables turnoverCash conversion cycle -30.00 -20.00 -10.00 - 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 44.66 5.61 59.35 -9.08 40.91 5.00 63.58 -17.67 38.26 4.95 63.11 -19.89 Operating Efficiency Ratios of Woolworths 2016 2017 2018 Figure 2: Efficiency Ratios Trend in Woolworths (Source: As created by Author)
6COMPANY PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS DaysinInventoryTurnover–Itisconsideredasamajorefficiencyratiothat ascertains the firm’s capability in clearing their inventories through selling them. It can be seen from the above figure that there is a gradual decreasing trend in this ratio for Woolworths from 2016 to 2018; that is by 8.40% from 2016 to 2017 and 6.47% from 2017 to 2018. This can be considered as a positive financial aspect for Woolworths which indicates the increase in the company’s ability to clear their inventories in faster basis through the increase in sales. This is good for the company’s overall operating efficiency (Nallusamy, Balaji and Sundar 2017). Days in Receivable Turnover –Days in inventory receivable is considered as another major efficiency ratio for the companies that ascertain the firm’s capability in collecting the dues from its debtors on speedy basis. It is observable from the above figure that there a minor decreasing trend in this ratio for Woolworths from 2016 to 2018 that is by 10.78% from 2016 to 2017 and 1.01% from 2017 to 2018. The decrease in this indicates towards the positive fact that Woolworths has been efficient in collecting the dues from its debtors in lesser time from 2016 to 2018 which denotes the increase in operating efficiency of the firm (Mathuva 2015). Days in Payable Turnover –This is another crucial efficiency ratio for the companies that help in determining the company’s capability in paying the dues of the creditors. According to the above figure, this particular ratio increases from 2016 to 2017 by 7.14% and then decreases from 2017 to 2018 by 0.75%. However, it can be considered as a positive aspect for Woolworths since this ratio is smaller than the days in accounts receivable (Ukaegbu 2014). Cash Conversion Cycle –This is a major operating efficiency ratio that helps in ascertaining the capability of the companies to convert different resources into cash. According to the above figure, there is an increasing trend in this ratio for Woolworths from 2016 to 2018 which indicates that the company is taking more time to convert their resources into cash (Yazdanfar and Öhman 2014). On the overall basis, it can be said that Woolworths has an effective operating efficiency position due to the presence of decreasing trend in days in inventory turnover and receivable turnover and increase in days in payable turnover. These are crucial aspects for the operating efficiency of the firm. 2.3 Cash Management Analysis Marketable securities of the current assets can be state that the current assets which are present in the balance sheet of the company can readily change into cash (Panigrahi 2013). The marketable securities of the current assets in the balance sheet of Woolworths includecashandcash equivalent,tradeandother receivableand inventories. The value of the cash and cash equivalent of Woolworths $1,273,000,000 in the year 2018 and in 2017 the value holds to be $909,000,000. It can be understood from the comparison of the value of the cash and cash equivalent between the year 2017 and 2018, that there a considerable increase in the amount from the year 2017 to 2018 (woolworthsgroup.com.au 2019). The increase in the cash and cash equivalent states that the company has some readily cash or the assets which can be converted easily during any kind of market change and in terms of shortage and also to compensate when there is a shortage of cash for the payment to the creditors. After analyzing the financial report of the annual report of the company it can be also understood that there
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7COMPANY PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS isaconsiderableincreaseintheinventoryfromtheyear2017and2018 (woolworthsgroup.com.au 2019). This indicates that the company has some serious of inventory so the company does not need to buy new inventory and hence there will be a decrease in the cost of goods sold. As per the annual report of the company bit can be also be understood that the company has seen a considerable amount of increase in the section of trade receivables. As per the financial statement of the company it is observed that the company has fetched $801,000,000 amount in 2018 and in 2017 the company fetch $$745,000,000 (woolworthsgroup.com.au 2019). It can be seen that there is a considerable increase in terms of the previous year. From the above analysis it can be stated that Woolworths have considerable amount of cash in hand which can be used by the company in different ways to increase the productivity of the company (Purnus and Bodea 2015). 2.4 Performing a Sensitivity Analysis Sensitivity Analysis In this part explains the situation where Woolworths entered into a project for developing a new product. There are two scenarios have been taken into consideration where there is normal scenario and sensitivity analysis has taken into account with the presence of certain changes.
8COMPANY PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS The reasons behind the above mentioned table is the feasibility of Woolworths in the proposed project. The above mentioned projects demand the equipment valuing $2,000,000 which has the residual value of $2,000,000after 4 years and the economic life of the project. This whole amount will be available for the recovery after the completion of the project. At the end of project’s life the value of the equipment which is recoverable after the ending of the project’s life (Tudiscaet al.2013). The Net Present Value (NPV) measurement can be done for the feasibility of the proposed projects. NPV states that the future cash flows amount over the project’s whole life and it is discounted to the present value (Pringles, Olsina and Garcés 2015). This amount can be sated as the intrinsic valuation for measuring the valuation of the project in which the company has invested. It also helps to find the project’s capital value and other aspects. Every organization analyses the NBPV value of the project and if the value is positive then the organization opts for the project as they know the projects will fetch more profit to the organization (Cucchiella, D’Adamo and Gastaldi 2015). After analyzing the present situations it can be observed that the project’s NPV valuationcomestobepositive.TheNPVvaluationoftheproposedprojectis $3,034,045. The positive value of the NPV indicates that it is feasible for Woolworths to invest in the project and it can fetch a good amount after investing in the project. So after analyzing the project and measuring the NPV Woolworths has opted for the project (Malatji, Zhang and Xia 2013).
9COMPANY PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS Sensitivity Analysis The analysis of the proposed project can be done after bringing and making certain alterations in the value drivers. The changes which can be visible from the above measurement are given below: oThere are 10% decrease in unit sales oThere are steep decrease of 10% in per unit oThere are 10% increase in the variable cost oThere are 10% increase in the fixed cost per year The above mentioned situation includes the application of the NPV technique in more processed way. It can be seen that the project which the company is thinking of introducing gives the NPV value of $486,408. The above value is comparatively lower than the actual situation (Marchioni and Magni 2018). The main reasons for such low value are the decrease in sales volume and price and hence there is a considerable decrease in the sales performance of the company. Still the NPV value shows the positive value. This indicates that the project is still profitable for Woolworths. To conclude it can be said that despite in the decrease in the sales performance of the
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10COMPANY PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS company but still the company can fetch profit from and hence for Woolworths the return on investment will be much higher (Pringles, Olsina and Garcés 2015). 2.5 Identification and Discussion of Systematic and Unsystematic Risks Systematic risks is said to be risks which took place due to change in the market condition in which the company is working in. The systematic risks involve inflation, interest changes and many others. There are some systematic risks provided below: Strategy and Completion: Woolworths need to face much competition in their business. The continuous change in the customer needs the company leads to be a challenge for the company. The company created the approach of customer 1ststrategy to deal with this kind of problem (woolworthsgroup.com.au 2019). Customer and Marketplace The customer needs =is continuously evolvingas the customer are expecting to receive more convenience in the daily life. The company are successful to counter this challenge and hence able to serve their customer (woolworthsgroup.com.au 2019). Socio-political The company faces different kind of problem after thefinancialcrisis. The company continue to invest in a team who looks after such kind of problem.. Unsystematic risks are a type of risk which the company faces internally. The different types of unsystematic risks are as follows: Business Transformation The success behind the investment and investment opportunities and other changes depends on the ability of the company to handle. The company has come up with different kind of strategy for dealing with such risks. Product and Food Safety As the company doing their business in the retail industry they mostly deal with the food products. The company implements many ways to maintain the quality of the food. The company also created Supplier Excellence Program for dealing with such issue. Asset and Data Loss There are potential of facing some risks regarding the intervention in the security system and loss of data. The company has come up with Conduct and Privacy Policy. Thishelpedthecompanytosafeguardtheirdataandtheassets (woolworthsgroup.com.au 2019). 2.6 Identification of Divided Payout Ratio and Dividend Policy Investors of the companies consider the dividend payout ratio as a crucial tool for ascertaining the net income’s percentage that is distributed by the companies as dividendamongtheshareholders.Thisratioisalsocrucialforascertainingthe percentage of company’s profit that is kept aside for funding the operations of the companies (Floyd, Li and Skinner 2015). The following table shows the dividend payout ratio of Woolworths from 2016 to 2018.
11COMPANY PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS Table 3: Dividend Payout Ratios of Woolworths (Source: As created by Author) According to the above table, there is increase in the dividend payout ratio of Woolworths from 2016 to 2017 because the company had a negative dividend payout ratio in 2016. After that, this particular ratio has again decreased in the year 2018 as compared to 2017. It indicates towards the fact that Woolworths has decreased the percentage of profit in the current year for distributing as dividend and the main reason for this is the change in the dividend policy of the company in the recent years that is to increase the amount of retained earnings while decreasing the amount of dividend (Musiegaet al.2013). III. Recommendation Letter To, Harry Steve London, UK Date: 22.05.2019 Subject: Recommendation on Investment Dear Sir, I would like to recommend you to take into account some aspects at the time to make investment decision regarding Woolworths Limited since this will help you in getting best return on investment. In the last three years, Woolworths Limited has an excellent profitability position due to the increase in gross margin, net margin and ROCE. At the same time, Woolworths Limited has shown their operational efficiency by reducing both the days in inventory turnover and receivable turnover. However, the company has decided to increase their retained earnings by reducing the divided to the shareholders and it is for the business development. There are certain systemic as well as unsystematic risks that you are also required to be considered. However, on the overall basis, the company has excellent profitability as well as efficiency position that support the investment decision in Woolworths Limited. Yours Sincerely, ABC Investment Corp. IV. Conclusion The above discussion indicates towards the crucial fact that Woolworths has an effective profitability and operating efficiency position over the last three years which is a major positive factor for the company. It can also be seen from the above that the company has a better cash management position due to the presence of certain major marketable securities in current assets. It is observable from the above sensitivity
12COMPANY PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS analysis that it is required for the organization to accept the proposed project in the presence of the fact that the company will be capable of gaining positive NPV from either of the provided situations and it is the major reason that demonstrates the profitabilityofthecompanyduetotheacceptationoftheproposedproject.The presence of certain systemic as well as un-systemic risks can be seen in the business of Woolworths that the investors are required to consider at the time to make investment decisions. Lastly, the company has changed their policy to increase retained earnings due to business development by reducing the dividend distribution in the current year.
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13COMPANY PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS References Agha,H.,2014.Impactofworkingcapitalmanagementonprofitability.European Scientific Journal, ESJ,10(1). Cucchiella, F., D’Adamo, I. and Gastaldi, M., 2015. Financial analysis for investment andpolicydecisionsintherenewableenergysector.CleanTechnologiesand Environmental Policy,17(4), pp.887-904. Easton, M. and Sommers, Z., 2018. Financial Statement Analysis & Valuation, 5e. Floyd, E., Li, N. and Skinner, D.J., 2015. Payout policy through the financial crisis: The growthofrepurchasesandtheresilienceofdividends.JournalofFinancial Economics,118(2), pp.299-316. Jenkins, W. and Williamson, D., 2015.Strategic management and business analysis. Routledge. Khadafi, M., Heikal, M. and Ummah, A., 2014. Influence analysis of return on assets (ROA), return on equity (ROE), net profit margin (NPM), debt to equity ratio (DER), and current ratio (CR), against corporate profit growth in automotive in Indonesia Stock Exchange.InternationalJournalofAcademicResearchinBusinessandSocial Sciences,4(12). Malatji, E.M., Zhang, J. and Xia, X., 2013. A multiple objective optimisation model for building energy efficiency investment decision.Energy and Buildings,61, pp.81-87. Marchioni, A. and Magni, C.A., 2018. Investment decisions and sensitivity analysis: NPV-consistency of rates of return.European Journal of Operational Research,268(1), pp.361-372. Mathuva, D., 2015. The Influence of working capital management components on corporate profitability. Musiega, M.G., Alala, O.B., Douglas, M., Christopher, M.O. and Robert, E., 2013. DeterminantsOfDividendPayoutPolicyAmongNon-FinancialFirmsOnNairobi SecuritiesExchange,Kenya.Internationaljournalofscientific&Technology Research,2(10), pp.253-266. Nallusamy, S., Balaji, R. and Sundar, S., 2017. Proposed model for inventory review policy through ABC analysis in an automotive manufacturing industry. InInternational JournalofEngineeringResearchinAfrica(Vol.29,pp.165-174).TransTech Publications. Palia, A.P., 2014, January. Target profit pricing with the web-based breakeven analysis package.InDevelopmentsinBusinessSimulationandExperientialLearning: Proceedings of the Annual ABSEL conference(Vol. 35).
14COMPANY PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS Panigrahi, D., 2013. Relationship between inventory management and profitability: An empirical analysis of Indian cement companies.Asia Pacific Journal of Marketing & Management Review,2(7). Pringles,R.,Olsina,F.andGarcés,F.,2015.Realoptionvaluationofpower transmission investments by stochastic simulation.Energy Economics,47, pp.215-226. Pringles,R.,Olsina,F.andGarcés,F.,2015.Realoptionvaluationofpower transmission investments by stochastic simulation.Energy Economics,47, pp.215-226. Purnus, A. and Bodea, C.N., 2015. Financial management of the construction projects: A proposed cash flow analysis model at project portfolio level.Organization, technology & management in construction: an international journal,7(1), pp.1217-1227. Robinson, T.R., Henry, E., Pirie, W.L. and Broihahn, M.A., 2015.International financial statement analysis. John Wiley & Sons. Tudisca, S., Di Trapani, A.M., Sgroi, F., Testa, R. and Squatrito, R., 2013. Economic analysis of PV systems on buildings in Sicilian farms.Renewable and sustainable energy reviews,28, pp.691-701. Ukaegbu, B., 2014. The significance of working capital management in determining firm profitability: Evidence from developing economies in Africa.Research in International Business and Finance,31, pp.1-16. Woolworthsgroup.com.au.2019.[online]Availableat: https://www.woolworthsgroup.com.au/icms_docs/195396_annual-report-2018.pdf [Accessed 23 May 2019]. Woolworthsgroup.com.au. 2019.About Us - Woolworths Group. [online] Available at: https://www.woolworthsgroup.com.au/page/about-us [Accessed 23 May 2019]. Yazdanfar, D. and Öhman, P., 2014. The impact of cash conversion cycle on firm profitability:AnempiricalstudybasedonSwedishdata.InternationalJournalof Managerial Finance,10(4), pp.442-452.