2 Contents Introduction................................................................................................................................3 Drivers of economic growth of USA.........................................................................................3 Growth accounting of the USA..................................................................................................4 Drivers of economic growth of UK...........................................................................................4 Growth accounting of the UK....................................................................................................5 Comparison of the drivers and growth accounting....................................................................5 Conclusion..................................................................................................................................6 Reference....................................................................................................................................7
3 Introduction Real economic growth rate measures the real progress of an economy nullifying the influence of time and inflation. The government of most of the countries of the world have a common objective to increase the real GDP growth rate of their respective countries. The real GDP growth rate of countries is not same. It depends on the type of governance and the role of the government in the economic operation of the country. The objective of this paper is to compare the drivers of real GDP growth rate for the USA and UK. The paper will dig in the forces that influence real GDP growth rate for each of the countries. Drivers of economic growth of USA The real GDP growth rate of the USA depends on the creation of the human and the physical capital.Hall (2018)stated that human capital is the pillar of the production system of the economy. The human capital that also includes the labours create the values of the production using the physical capital. Therefore, growth in the physical capital and the advancement in the human capital is a major power that provides boost to the production of the US economy. This further increases the aggregate demand for the goods and the services leading to an increase in the real GDP of the country. 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Figure 1: the technological advancement of the USA over the years (Source:Imf.org, 2020)
4 Other than that, another driver of real GDP growth rate of the USA is the advancement in the technologyofproduction.Theadvancementtechnologyofproductionincreasesthe production with the same amount of resources (Taylor and รmer, 2019). In this context it needs to be noted that technological advancement is a commonplace in the case of USA. The companies are trying out different methods of production and operation in order to increase the value of production using the same resources. Growth accounting of the USA Economic growth happens when the consumers of the market spend more on the goods and the services or the government spends in the infrastructure development.The consumersโ spending increases the demand for the goods and the services which compels the producers to produce more to in order to meet the demand. In the period of 2000 to 2018 the consumer spending of the USA increased with each passing year. Although, in 2007, the economy suffered a shock as a form of financial crisis and hence the consumer spending dropped, it bounced back immediately in the next year even though the economy was still having problems (Knoblachet al.2020). The real GDP growth rate of the country of the USA therefore, is not influenced by the consumer spending.Guptaet al.(2020)stated that in theory the consumer spending contributes to the aggregate demand that further increases the national product. However, during that period the country increased its imports compared to the export and hence the influence on the real GDP growth rate was low. Drivers of economic growth of UK The creation of the human capital has also been an important source of real GDP growth rate in case of the UK as well. The intervention of the UK government on the economic activities has been immense in the past years where it has focused significantly on developing human capital. There is a positive relationship between the investment of the government on education and the real growth rate of the country. The scatter diagram below shows that expenditure on the human capital directly influences the real GDP growth rate of the economy of the UK.
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5 500000000000010000000000000150000000000002000000000000025000000000000 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.9 5 5.1 5.2 Figure 2: The scatter diagram of real GDP and expenditure on education of UK (Source:Conference-board.org, 2020) Growth accounting of the UK The aggregate demand equation of the UK is also comprised of the same components as that of the USA. However, the main driver that contributes to the real GDP growth rate of the economy of the USA is the government expenditure. The government expenditure in case of the UK is used differently than many other countries of the world. The investment in infrastructure from the side of the government increases the productivity of the resources thereby increasing the real GDP of the economy (Sun and De, 2019). Although, other components of the aggregate demand such as the consumer expenditure also drive the real GDP growth rate of the country, they are not as significant as the government expenditure in case of the UK. Comparison of the drivers and growth accounting The different between the real GDP growth rates of the two countries are different from each other in terms of the factors that drive the growth rate. While the USA is driven by the consumers spending, the driver crucial for that of the UK is the government expenditure. Apart from that, the pattern of investment of the government is also different among the two countries. The real GDP growth rate of the USA is catered mostly by the advancement in the technology without much investment from the side of the government. On the other hand, the
6 government of the UK in the past years has significantly increased its investment in the education sector so that human capital of the country increases and contributes to the increase in the real GDP of the country. However, there is also a commonality between the two economies as well. The consumer spending in both the economies increases when there is an increase in the consumer spending. This is also the case for the UK as well; however its intensity is lesser than the influence of the government expenditure. Conclusion Therefore the real GDP growth rate of the two countries studied in the paper have different pattern. The major driver of the increase in the real GDP in case of the USA is the consumer spending owing to the advancement in the technology, whereas, the dependence of the economy of the UK is on the government expenditure. In the last 20 years, USA has focused mainly on the technological advancement that has provided the boost to the economy. The economy of the UK on the other hand has focused on the creation of the human capital spending more on the education sector.
7 Reference Conference-board.org. (2020).The Conference Board | Trusted Insights for What's Ahead. [online] Available at: https://www.conference-board.org/us/ [Accessed 4 Mar. 2020]. Gupta, R., Lau, C.K.M. and Sheng, X., 2020. Graph theory-based network analysis of regionaluncertaintiesoftheUSEconomy.PhysicaA:StatisticalMechanicsandits Applications,540, p.123064. Hall, R.E., 2018.New evidence on the markup of prices over marginal costs and the role of mega-firms in the us economy(No. w24574). National Bureau of Economic Research. Imf.org. (2020).International Monetary Fund. [online] Available at: https://www.imf.org/ [Accessed 4 Mar. 2020]. Knoblach, M., Roessler, M. and Zwerschke, P., 2020. The Elasticity of Substitution Between Capital and Labour in the US Economy: A MetaโRegression Analysis.Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics,82(1), pp.62-82. Sun, W. and De, K., 2019. Real exchange rate, monetary policy, and the US economy: Evidence from a FAVAR model.Economic Inquiry,57(1), pp.552-568. Taylor, L. and รmer, ร., 2019. Where do profits and jobs come from? Employment and distribution in the US economy.Review of Social Economy, pp.1-20.