This article discusses the exposure to currency risk that Material Hospitalar faces in its dealing with Crosswell International and examines the methods of hedging it could engage with to protect itself from this risk. The article also evaluates the most appropriate hedging techniques for Material Hospitalar.
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INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT AND TRADE2 Question:Discuss the exposure to currency risk that Material Hospitalar faces in its dealing with Crosswell International and examine the methods of hedging it could engage with to protect itself from this risk. Introduction Material Hospitalar, a distributor of healthcare products throughout Brazil, seek to distribute Precious Diapers product manufactured by the U.S based Crosswell Company. The trade between the U.S and Brazil is denominated by the U.S dollar. Therefore, Crosswell would not be affected by currency risks. On the other hand, Material Hospitalar which would be trading in the U.S dollar hence exposing it currency risk through transactions. Currently, the exchange rate between the two currencies is 2.50 Brazilian real (R$) per U.S. dollar ($). This study is composed of two sections. The first section discusses the currency risk the Croswell is likely to be exposed to. While the second section discusses the hedging methods that Crosswell can apply to protect itself from the impact of currency risks. Transaction currency risk facing Crosswell Currency risk arises from fluctuating foreign exchange rates which affect transactions between two companies/ countries which use different currencies. The appreciation or depreciation cause gains or losses for an organisation which directly impact its profitability, market value, and net cash flow. Transaction risk occurs when a company has committed to receive or make payments of its cash flows in a foreign currency(Buckley, 2018). In the proposal, Material Hospitalar's deal with Crosswell is in U.S dollars hence the former would suffer a currency risk. Sales made in the Brazil market would be converted from Brazilian real to USD which would lead to financial losses. Transaction risk arises during the 90 days waiting period when the order has to be processed and the full payment received(Buckley, 2018). Material Hospitalar will lose if the USD (foreign currency) strengthens against the
INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT AND TRADE3 Brazilian real (home currency) or the latter weakness against the former as illustrated in the table below. Spot RateBRL Received from sales USD received after exchange Current Scenario US$1= 2.5 BRL948,156379,262.40 After 90 daysUS$1= 2.9 BRL948,156326,950.34 At the current scenario, Material Hospitalar would receive 948, 156 BRL from full sales of precious diapers in the Brazilian market. Using an exchange rate of US$1= 2.5 BRL the amount is equivalent to USD 379,262.40. The trends in the finance market show that the USD is likely to strengthen against the BRL. After 90 days, One U.S dollar is expected to trade at 2.9 BRL. Therefore, the 948,156 BRL would be equivalent to USD 326, 950.34. Material Hospitalar is likely to lose USD 52,312.06 as a result of the foreign exchange (currency) risk(Madura, Hoque, & Krishnamrti, 2018). Changes of the foreign exchange rates would exposure Material Hospitalar to transaction risks. The company is likely to lose from the unpredictable fluctuation of the exchange rates. Considering that the contract price is predetermined, there is little Material Hospitalar can do to protect its future cash flows. However, hedging refers to a technique that can be used by Material Hospitalar to minimise the probability of suffering losses as a result of exposure to transaction risks. Although hedging is used to reduce the impact of transaction risks, it won't benefit the two companies; Material Hospitalar would benefit at an expense of Crosswell(Graham, 2014).
INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT AND TRADE4 Managing currency risks Hedging can be executed through derivatives. Derivate refers to a contract used by transacting companies to secure the price of the product (s) under contract. Some of the common derivative methods used in hedging are swaps, forward and futures contracts and options. However, the two most used derivative methods are futures, forwards and options. Both the options and futures techniques are similar because they allow the parties involved to agree on a price at which a product would be bought or sold at a future date(Graham, 2014). However, the two techniques differ in the way they are applied. For example, while future hedging is highly standardised, forward hedging in flexible and comprises of non-fixed terms and conditions which can easily be negotiated. There have been constant fluctuations in the exchange rate between the USD and BRL which would give Crosswell advantage to use future over forward hedging(Johnson, 2017). a)Forward contracts Forward contracts refer to binding contracts entered by trading parties where they agree to sell/buy a product at an agreed price/ forward rate at a future specified date. In the agreement, Material Hospitalar will import precious diapers from the U.S and sell them in Brazil at a full price of 948,156 BRL. Material Hospitalar will exchange the sales into USD. The company enters a binding agreement to exchange 1USD at 2.5 BRL as a way of reducing the currency risk. Material Hospitalar would receive 379,262.40. If after 90 days the exchange rate stands at 2.9 BRL against one USD, Material Hospitalar would receive a lower amount of USD 326,950.34 which represents a loss of USD 52,312.06. However, the forward rate of 2.5 BRL per USD that was predetermined in the agreement between Material Hospitalar and the bank would protect the former against incurring the loss(Bychuk & Haughey, 2011).
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INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT AND TRADE5 The Material Hospitalar would not benefit if the USD strengthens against the BRL. For example, if the new foreign exchange rate between the USD and BRL is 2.2, the 948,156 BRL received from the dales would be equivalent to USD 430,980. Forward contracting would hinder the company from maximising its return. It should be noted that hedging is applied to offer certainty on the future cash flows; the forward contract would have served its purpose(Dafir & Gajjala, 2016). b)Currency futures The precious diapers is a product that Material Hospitalar buys from Crosswell to sell in the future market. Material Hospitalar expects to receive USD 379,262.40 in 90 days from the sales of Precious diapers. The current exchange rate is USD/ BRL 2.50. However, the importer few that the exchange rate will strengthen to USD/BRL 2.20 in three months' time. Therefore, Material Hospitalar should enter into a currency futures contract with the bank where USD would be bought at 2.50 BRL and sold at 2.20 BRL. Therefore, the Material Hospitalar would recover the loss incurred through currency risks from the profit made through the futures contract. In other words, the company would lose today to gain more in the future. Under futures contracts, hedging is determined by market factors instead of parties entering into a predetermined agreement(Bychuk & Haughey, 2011). c)Options Under option hedging, Material Hospitalar would have the power to sell or buy precious diapers in the future at a given fixed foreign exchange rate. The right to sell precious diapers as a fixed exercise price is referred to as put option while the right to buy precious diapers as a fixed exercise price is referred to a call option(Kouvelis, Dong, Boyabatli, & Li, 2011).
INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT AND TRADE6 Material Hospitalar is expecting to receive USD 379,262.40 from the sales of precious diapers in three months. If the USD strengthens against the BRL, Material Hospitalar will receive more dollars. Likewise, if USD weakens against the BRL, Material Hospitalar will receive fewer dollars. The current foreign exchange rate is USD/BRL 2.5 and the rate is expected to appreciate to USD/BRL 2.9. At USD/BRL 2.5, Material Hospitalar would receive USD 379,262.40 from the sales. At USD/BRL 2.9, Material Hospitalar would receive USD 326,950.34 from the sales. In such a case, the company would exercise the call option at a foreign exercise rate of USD/BRL 2.5 to limit the impact of currency risk(Janakiramanan, 2014). Likewise, when the USD/ BRL exchange rate depreciate to USD/BRL 2.2, Material Hospitalar would receive USD 379,262.40 at USD/BRL 2.5 and USD 430,980.00 at USD/BRL 2.2. Therefore, the company would exercise the put option at a foreign exercise rate of USD/BRL 2.2 to maximise its returns. Conclusion Material Hospitalar, a distributor of healthcare products throughout Brazil, seek to distribute Precious Diapers product manufactured by the U.S based Crosswell Company. Although Material Hospitalar is based in Brazil, it will be trading in US dollars. In other words, the company would be exchanging the amount received from BRL to USD which would expose it to transaction currency risks. However, several hedging mitigation methods have been discussed. Having conducted an evaluation of the possible hedging techniques, forward contracts, currency futures, and options have been identified as the most appropriate to be used by Material Hospitalar.
INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT AND TRADE7 References Buckley, P. J. (2018).International Business.Chicago: Oxford University Press. Bychuk, O. V., & Haughey, B. (2011).Hedging Market Exposures: Identifying and Managing Market Risks.New York: John Wiley & Sons. Dafir, S. M., & Gajjala, V. N. (2016).Fuel Hedging and Risk Management: Strategies for Airlines, Shippers and Other Consumers.New York: John Wiley & Sons. Graham, A. (2014).Hedging Currency Exposure.New York: Routledge. Janakiramanan, S. (2014).Derivatives and Risk Management.New Delhi: Pearson Education . Johnson, B. (2017).Option Strategy Hedging and Risk Management: An In-Depth Article Introducing an Interactive Analytical Framework for Hedging Option Strategy Risk. New York: Trading Insights. Kouvelis, P., Dong, L., Boyabatli, O., & Li, R. (2011).Handbook of Integrated Risk Management in Global Supply Chains.New York: John Wiley & Sons. Madura, J., Hoque, A., & Krishnamrti, C. (2018).International Financial Management. Sydney: Cengage AU.