This assignment discusses the concepts of demand and supply in economics and their impact on ticket prices in the airline industry. It also explores the price elasticity of demand and supply for air travel.
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DEMAND AND SUPPLY1 ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT Student Name Institutional Affiliation Facilitator Course Date
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DEMAND AND SUPPLY2 Question1 a. The ticket prices will increase because of the increase in the cost of the skyrocketing fuel. When the price of the fuel goes up, the quantity will go down. Skyrocketing fuel is a complement product for the airlines. So, an increase in its prices will lead to an increase in the ticket prices for the airlines. This increase in the ticket prices will result in a decrease in demand for the airlines in the future. Having the initial price at point P0and the quantity at point Q0as shown in the diagram below, point E0is the equilibrium for the airlines demanded. When the price goes up to point P1, the quantity demanded decreases to point Q1causing the equilibrium of the airlines demanded move from E0to E1along the demand curve. Figure 1: change in Equilibrium Price and Quantity.
DEMAND AND SUPPLY3 In the above diagram, the other factors affecting demand are assumed to be constant. This is the reason why there is a movement of the equilibrium from E0to E1along the demand curve. The future expectation of the prices of the skyrocketing fuel to go up is the only determinant causing this movement of the equilibrium. The demand in the future will also decrease due to this factor of expecting the ticket prices to go up (Wang and Lai 2010, p.868). b. In the current market, the demand for airlines will increase due to the expectation of prices of the tickets to go up. This will make the airlines experience more customers (consumers) than in the future. According to the diagram below, the demand curve (D0) will shift to the right to D1 causing the equilibrium shift from point E0to E1.
DEMAND AND SUPPLY4 The quantity demanded will increase making the demand curve to shift to the right. The shift in the demand curve is caused by other factors of demand such as consumers’ income, increase in the number of the potential consumers, favorable trends and tastes of the consumers as well as consumers income. For the shift of the demand curve to occur, the prices are held constant. Question2 a. Price elasticity of demand is how the change in price of goods and services changes to affect the quantity of the goods and services demanded in the market for a given period of time (Cashin et al 2014, p.113). In the case of the ‘air travel’, if it has another close substitute, then consumers will easily switch to the other substitute in the market and the demand for the ‘air travel’ will be more elastic. If the products being transported by the consumers are necessities, then the demand will be inelastic but if they transport for luxury, then the demand tends to be elastic. Also, if the time given to make that price changes in the market is longer, the demand of the ‘air travel’ will be elastic since the consumers will have plenty time for searching an alternative. In case there are costs involving in switching to another means of transport, then air travel’s demand will be inelastic. If the ratio of income of the customers (consumers) to that they allocate to spend on the ‘air travel’ is high, then the demand for that ‘air travel’ will be more elastic (Tarasova and Tarasov 2016, p.219) b.
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DEMAND AND SUPPLY5 The elasticity of supply shows how the number of goods and services changes relate to their changes in prices in the market for a given period of time (Imps and Mejean 2015, p.43). Time is a very important factor in supply elasticity when the prices of the skyrocketing fuel go up and the producers have enough time to make expansion on the output, then the supply tends to be more elastic. Likewise, when the time is limited such that can’t allow the producers to adjust themselves on the output expansion, then supply will be relatively inelastic (Malhotra and Kumari 2016, p.94). The mobility in the factors of production tends to determine the price elasticity of supply. When the factors are easy to be changed from one use to another then the elasticity of supply of the skyrocketing fuel tends to be more elastic. Similarly, if the mobility is not easy to change the factors from one use to another then the supply of the skyrocketing fuel will be inelastic. Also, the suppliers can take advantage of the rise in prices of the fuels, then the supply becomes excess leading to the more elastic of the supply in the market. Another factor is when there is the availability of infrastructure facilities in the market for the supply to store for their products in terms of expansion, then the elasticity of supply becomes relatively elastic. If there are no facilities for storing the fuels in the airline industry, then the suppliers can’t expand their output and this leads the price in supply to be relatively inelastic (Soderbery 2015, p.1). Question3 The diagram below shows a price elasticity of demand along a linear demand curve.
DEMAND AND SUPPLY6 Figure 3. price elasticity of demand. From the diagram above, elasticities are categorized into three; elastic, inelastic and unitary. If the ratio of the percentage change in quantity and the percentage change in price is greater than one(1), then it is elastic demand. If the ratio of the percentage change in quantity and the percentage change in price is less than one(1), then it is inelastic demand. If the ratio of the percentage change in quantity and the percentage change in price is equal to one(1), then it is unit elastic (Hakim and Neaime 2014, p.1) Taking the P1 = 20, Q1 = 200, P2 = 18, Q2 = 280, P3 = 12, Q3 = 373, P4 = 10, Q4 = 600, P5 = 8 and Q5 = 680, then the coefficient of the elasticity can be calculated as follows;
DEMAND AND SUPPLY7 When the price and quantity changes from P1 (20) to P2 (18) and Q1 (200) to Q2 (280) respectively, then the coefficient of elasticity is { (280-200)/200 *100 / (18-20) /20 * 100 }= 40/10 = 4 . The coefficient is 4 which is greater than one hence at that point the price if highly elastic. Also when the price and quantity changes from P4(10) to P5 (8) and Q4 (600) to Q5 (680) respectively, then the coefficient of elasticity is; { (680-600)/600 *100 / (10-8) /10 * 100 } = 13.33/20 = - 0.6665 hence the elasticity is inelastic. In the graph above, it shows that the total revenue or expenditure is high when the demand is price unit elastic. That is the point when the coefficient of the elasticity is equal to one as shown on the graph. Representing the data above on a table and calculating the total revenue will give the following results: PriceQuantityTotal Revenue 202004000 182805040 163405440 123734476 106006000 86805440 67604560 48403360
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DEMAND AND SUPPLY8 Table 1 When the price falls and the demand is price elastic, then the reduction of the prices leads to an increase in the total revenue to the producers. Also when the demand is price inelastic, the fall in prices leads to lower the total revenue in that market. Studying the trend in the table above, the revenue increases as the price continues to fall until it reaches a point where it starts to go down. This is the point when the demand is unit elastic ( when the price is 12 and the quantity is 373). Similarly, when the prices of the fuel go up, and the consumer’s proportion to their income and what they have allocated to spending is higher, then the demand remains elastic and the revenue collection by the airline industry will increase. in case the demand for the price is inelastic, then the revenue collection will decrease due to decrease in demand after the demand curve shifting to the left (Gervais 2015, p.1152).