This article discusses the trends and changes in the oil and gas industries, focusing on the UK petroleum sector. It explores the downstream and upstream supply chain, changes in ownership structures, and the growth of hypermarkets. The article also examines the implications and impacts of these trends on the industry.
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Development in oil and gas industries 1
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TABLE OF CONTENTS Introduction.....................................................................................................................................3 Downstream supply chain of petroleum market.........................................................................4 Change in ownership structures...................................................................................................5 Growth in hypermarkets..............................................................................................................7 Exit of fuel suppliers....................................................................................................................7 Upstream supply chain of petroleum market..............................................................................9 Conclusion......................................................................................................................................9 References......................................................................................................................................11 2
ILLUSTRATION INDEX Illustration 1: UK petrol stations, number of cars registered and average number of cars per petrol station....................................................................................................................................4 Illustration 2: Number of PFS and their percentage breakdown over the years..............................7 Illustration 3: Fuel sales, number of petrol stations and average volume of fuel sold per petrol station............................................................................................................................................10 3
INDEX OF TABLES Table 1: Number of PFS by considering its ownership structure....................................................7 4
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INTRODUCTION UK retail petroleum market can bedefinedas industry that works according to sales of transportation and fuel used in transportation sector(i.e. diesel and petrol) to the business entities and consumers through petrol filling stations network of the country (Brookes, Altinay and Ringham, 2014). This sector is continuously expanding and facing severe changes in various significantaspectssuchasdemand drivers,retailers,PFSproximityand theirfunctional activities. Present study focuses on evaluation of various trends that impacts theworking of UK petroleum sector and its supply chain.For this aspect, supply chain in retail petroleum market will be discussed by considering changes occurred in this industry. Further, implications will be evaluated on the basis of UK statistics. Application of diverse trends and changes that impacts the working of UK petroleum retail market The road transport fuels markets had attained substantial growth in the last decade while there is significant reduction in the petrol filling stations. This sector had faced continuous change due to structural change driven by the market forces and variation in consumer behavior and their purchase decisions. 5
In accordance with the retail market survey, in late 1960 various petrol stations has been demolished that has impacted overall working.It is because, organizations were required to pay high fixed cost and there was low business margins. As a consequence, high volume was required to attain the break even point (Santos and Svensson, 2013). Various independent forecourts were not able to attain the desired volumes mainly at the remote locations. In addition to this, organizations have to compete with the large entities due to which they were notable to maintain competitive price in market and sell of fuel has also reduced. These factors had created various barriers for the survival of small firm and henceforth they have to exit from the market. As per the study ofEnergy Institute’s Retail Marketing Survey 2007 and 2012, the fueling position in the UK has been increased due to reduction in PFS. In present era, various firms are offering self services at the petrol station so they can make huge saving in labor costs (Shuen, Feiler and Teece, 2014). By this strategy there were able to attain cost advantage in comparison to the small petrol stations.Closure of PFS had made reduction in the storage capacity of these stations. Due to this aspect, there is detrimental impact 6 Illustration1: Ratio of cars registered and visit of cars at petrol stations (Source:Study of UK petroleum market,2012)
on resilience as overall stock was reduced in the available network. However, reduction in PFS also make improvement in resilience as issue of short-term disruptions to supply. Although impact of improvement is comparative low, because on sitecapacity tends to be limited that indicates that the logistical challenges also need to be considered as critical aspect. Downstream supply chain of petroleum market UK petroleum retail market is considered as one of essential section that holds high ratio of downstream oil market. In this, businesses are referring various elements that improves supply chain and PFS system.Example of these key elements is domestic refineries, primary and secondary distribution infrastructure, vehicle tanks and PFS retailers. In this segment, there have been various changes in last 30 to 40 years. Initially in the 1960s, there was vertically integrated supply chain and thereare almost 19 refineries in the UK market(Thorogood and Younger, 2015). In addition to this, all the companies were part of PFS inclusive of organization having ownership of refining assets. However, in the year 1970 these companies had to reassess their cost based for the reduction of prices. As a consequence, there was duplication of network for the organization that does not require own distribution terminals. Through this strategy, a cost effective approach has been developed for reducing these terminals and to make optimum utilization of available resources (Neumann and von Hirschhausen, 2015). This aspect has led to development of partnerships and exchanges between oil companies. It is because; companies operating in this sector were engaged in exchange of petroleum product for reducing distribution cost. Retailing companies in this sector had also improved the distribution system of fuel products through assistance of logistic arrangements. For attaining this objective oil companies had availed ownership of fleets of road tankers and direct recruitments were done for the drivers. In addition to this, there was considerable decomposition in fuel supply chain because of rationalization of storage minerals, exit of major players from refining andoutsourcing of the network that helps in fuel distribution by road(Day, Hall and Yánez-Arancibia, 2014). As a consequence, supply chain management in retail petroleum had become more effective and efficient. Effectiveness of supply chain had assisted in reduction of spare capacity in the system through which resilience is minimized in situation of supply disruptions. 7
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Change in ownership structures It has been identified that there are three key PFS owners that operates in UK. Classification can be as follows: ï‚·Hypermarket:In this aspect, PFS owned by hypermarket is covered which have their own branded fuel(Brookes, Altinay and Ringham, 2014). Example of such entity is Tesco as they sell fuel under their own brand. ï‚·Companies:This refers to PFS leased or owned by oil companies and they are appeared through their branded mark (Kelland, 2014). For example BP is operating their own PFS under the name of company. However, these PFS are operated by retail subsidiaries or by giving it at leas or license basis. ï‚·Dealers:In this part, those PFS are covered which are neither owned by company nor by hypermarket. These PFS are operated by individual or group. In accordance with this illustration, it can be noticedthat most of PFS owner are from the big institutions and hypermarkets.This illustration shows that there are considerable variations in 8 Illustration2: Breakdowns and PFS changes over the years (Source: Study of the UK petroleum retail market, 2012)
declining of PFS by considering its ownership structure (Nejat,Gohari and Majid, 2015). This aspect can be noticed by following table: Table1: Number of PFS by considering its ownership structure Type of ownership 20042011% reduction in PFS ratio during 2004 and 2011 Instant cut down in PFS ratio during 2004 and 2011 Organization30472198-28.00%-849 Merchandiser67165301-21.00%-1415 Supermarket1104126615.00%162 Grand total108678765-19.00%-2101 According to this table there is significant decline in segment of company and dealer. Despite of this decline these segments had captured more than 80%. However, fuel sold by these segments are not in similar proportion because hypermarkets sold 39% of total volume followed by dealer and company i.e. 33% and 29% respectively(Brookes, Altinay and Ringham, 2014). These differences shows indicative of variations in the business models. In accordance with the UK statistics of 2011 hypermarket had sold 11.2 million liters of motor fuel that is four times higher in comparison to dealers and twice to company. Growth in hypermarkets Significant growth was characterized in fuel retailing in the late 1980's where objectives of PFS were established at hypermarket locations to attract maximum number of customers. Furthermore, organizations had provided various offers on fuel for increasing sales such as discountedprices(Benes,MursulaandSelody,2015).Bythesepromotionalstrategies, companieswereabletoattaingoodbenefits.Inadditiontothis,hypermarkets(ASDA, Sainsbury, Tesco and Morrisons) were able to attain better margin in comparison to margin earned by retailing entities. 9
In early 1990, there was also change in demand factors as demand of petrol was continuously decreasing whereas demand of diesel was continuously increasing. Due to this aspect, suppliers had modified their business strategies to meet the changing demand in market (Skea, 2014). For this aspect, UK refineries were mainly established for refining of petrol that is used invehicles. Moreover, the oil used in heating and power generation has also been refined. Transformation in demand mix leads to oversupply and enhanceexport of the UK and fuel importers got the opportunity for developing product pricing and positioning. With the changing trends in supply chain organization operating in this industry had modified their operational tactics for better survival. In this manner, they are able to make effective utilization of available resources in order to attain their aims and objectives in an effective manner(Day, Hall and Yánez-Arancibia, 2014). In addition to this, retail players in hypermarket are able to cope up with the market changes. Exit of fuel suppliers Fuel suppliers has been removed from the physical deliveries of fuel as it was undertaken by road hauliers as they were mainly focused on the labour disputes in the industry. Road hauliers had pressurized existing firms to cut down the pricing of the goodsat supply chain stages which may lead to various critical dispute situations(Nejat, Gohari and Majid, 2015). Exit of major organization had motivated organizations for rationalization of networks in order to satisfy demand in an effective manner. Further, import had providedan additional assistance to the UK supply system through which developments in supply can be increase as it requires diversified resources for accomplishment. 10
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In accordance with the illustration 1 it can be noticed that there is continuous change in the demand mix due to which modifications had taken place in supply chain. Further, due to increase in economic crisis there was reduction in the total volume of fuel sold (Skea, 2014). However, aspect of declining sales had been modified with the increasing efficiency in supply chain. In addition to this, there was also modification in fuel mix as proportion of diesel had significantly increased in comparison to petrol. Due to this aspect, organization operating in this industry had to make changes in their operational strategies. Companies had exported petrol to the other countries as there was oversupply of fuel in comparison to demand. With this approach, they were to attain good profit margins and availed opportunity for market pricing and positioning for further development. 11 Illustration3: Volume of Petrol sales by different petrol stations (Source: Retail market survey, 2012)
By the implementation of above described strategies, hypermarkets were able to make reduction in their prices and they had replaced traditional PFS owned by independent dealers and oil companies. Consequently, there was increase in their market share as hypermarkets were continuouslyincreasingandPFS haddeclined(Mitchell,2012). Inaccordancewiththis approach, retail companies started to focus on non-fuel retail options for increasing their convenienceexpenseandcoveringcostofoperationalfunctions.Severalcompanieshad integrated their operational functions to operate in more effective manner. For this aspect, example of Esso and Tesco express can be considered. Upstream supply chain of petroleum market Upstream supply chain of UK retail petroleum market was also modified along with the changes in downstream supply chain. Major giants such as Shell and Chervon in this industry had sold their shares to the retail network. As a consequence, there was change in ownership structure. These changes were driven mainly by the organizations through seeking higher returns in the upstream activitiesin comparison to relative downstream oil activities. Higher returns from the upstream supply chain had influenced major oil companies to divest to make exit from the market of downstream oil operations (UKCS Oil and Gas Production Projections, 2015). In this aspect, number of expansion activities has been performed at different strategic locations even refineries are not working properly.It is because; these locations are considered as a potential driver to make investment in import terminals to enhance the volume of fuel imports. Number of modifications has been madein the ownership structure due to sales aspects of refining sector. It is because; changes in UK pipelines were limited in comparison to changes in oil downstream supply chain. Organization such as BP oil UK, Wincanton, Turners had made increase in efficiencies in deliveries by making use of logistical expertise. CONCLUSION In accordance with the present study, it can be concluded that retail petroleum market in UK had undergone severe changes in last few decades. It is because, there is decrease in PFS due to which there is change in fragmentation of fuel supply chain from the downstream and upstream petroleum market. In addition to this, flexibility in supply chain has been increased in case of domestic refinery supply distributions because of penetration of imported petroleum products. By this approach, there is also improvement in security and energy resilience. 12
However, increase in import of petroleum in UK had provided exposure opportunities to international petroleum product supply chain. 13
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%20Environment%20and%20Development/1012pr_oilgas.pdf>.[Accessedon14th March 2016]. StudyofUKpetroleummarket.2012.[Online].Availablethrough <http://www.ukpia.com/docs/default-source/download/UK_Petroleum_Retail_Market_ Study_Final_Report_v3_STC.pdf?sfvrsn=0>. [Accessed on 14thMarch 2016]. UKCSOilandGasProductionProjections.2015. [Online].<https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/ file/414172/Production_prjections.pdf>. [Accessed on 14thMarch 2016]. 15