Disclaimer All the content and concepts used in this deck are accurate to best of our knowledge. Any data, definitions or inspiration from the Internet have been acknowledged, wherever possible. This guide was prepared by the undergraduate student team at Consulting & Analytics Club, IIT Guwahati. If you find some discrepancy in the material, feel free to contact us atcac@iitg.ac.in Or reach out to us at:
From the Team The Consulting & Analytics Club, IIT Guwahati proudly presents our 2021 edition of the “Krack the Case” Consulting G We’ve aimed to make this an all-in-one guide to cater to all skill levels, and aid your induction into this omnipresent s We hope that the material we’ve created and curated aids you in your journey to ace consulting and PM interviews! Created by the undergraduate student team at C&A IITG, this guide draws examples from discussions, talks, and pee learning sessions organised within the club. As such, we’ve tried to recreate the bottom-up system of discussion that from the grassroots to more complex fundamentals, to make the content accessible to a wide range of skill-levels. W ensured our curated material is up to industry standards, and included the names of our sources at the end – in case wish to delve deeper. We at C&A have always strived to create communities of learners and teachers. This spirit of peer-assisted learning r both our in-house and open-to-all events, bolstering outputs through collective motivation and healthy competition. On that note, we’re thrilled to introduce to you our annualWinter Consultingcourse! Thisfree4-week consulting bootcamp has no pre-requisites, and includes projects, certification, industry webinars, and meticulously-curated con Stay tuned for this year’s reveal on our social media handles! We hope this guide is an enriching read and an invaluable resource to consulting & PM aspirants out there. Do feel fr reach out to us atcac@iitg.ac.inwith any comments, feedback, and/or corrections!
(click on the topic headings to jump to the respective t I.A Peek into Consulting II.Issue Trees and MECE Approach III.Guesstimates IV.Strategic Tools –SWOT –PESTEL –Porter’s 5 Forces –Task Environment –Value Chain Analysis –BCG Growth Matrix Contents V.Case Frameworks –Pricing Strategy –Market Entry –Profitability VI.Making Amazing Slide Decks VII. Glossary of Useful Terms VIII.A Glimpse of the PM World IX.User Personas and Research X.Case Examples Download for the best experience
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Identify Challenges of the Company and Define all complex problems Role of a Management Consultant Create and implement a structured approach towards solving the problems Understand the condition of the market and position of the company and address problems accordingly Recommend a proper elaborate action plan to solve the problem and fight the challenges Continuous Evaluation of the proposed solution and modifying it according to newer scenarios
Case Interview Mindset 1. 2. 3. 4. Understandthe case properly and ask clarifying questions to get a better look into the actual problem at hand. Analysethe case problem and construct a structured approach towards solving it. Generate relevant insightsfrom existing knowledge, initial clarifications and related concepts and frameworks. Communicatethe assumptions, insights and recommendations in a structured form.
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General Tips •Be prepared with different frameworks. Practice a few cases beforehand and stay updated on industry news. •Communication skills would be of utmost importance. While solving the case, think out loud! •Do not get stuck on calculations! Round off numbers, and use them quickly and efficiently. •Ask clarifying questions in the beginning. Asking the right questions increases chance to come up with an accurate solution. •Do not make any assumptions unless necessary, even if you do make sure to communicate with the interviewer to get them validated. •Whenever a framework is used, communicate the approach of solving the case rather than mentioning the exact framework. •Keep communicating with the interviewer to let them know of your thought process. In most cases, the interviewers will help you get back on track if they see you going in the wrong direction. •Be calm, confident and patient with your approach.
Issue Trees & MECE Approach
•Making an issue tree is essentially “Mapping”the problem •Helps in clear and structured thinking for problem solving •Aids in categorizing ideas which covers all possibilities without going deep into minute details •The issue tree and each of the sub-trees are aMECEstructure Problem Sub-Issue 2 (2) Sub-Issue 1 (1) Issue 2 Issue 1 Sub-Issue 1 (2) Sub-Issue 2 (1) Issue Tree
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•MECEstands for Mutually Exclusive and Collectively Exhaustive. •Mutually Exclusivepart means that the smaller pieces of the issue tree cannot overlap, thus creating more efficiency as no two parts overlap. Hence there isno repetition. •Collectively Exhaustivemeans creating an issue tree such that when all sub-classes are taken together it sums up the entire possibilities. This ensures that it does not miss any new ideas or possibility. •While creating MECE, one should also ensure that the sub-objects that the issue is divided into belong to the same class and one should not use too many sub-objects to make the division. •Ideally up to 3 sub-objects are desirable for each problem. MECE Approach
Identify Root cause reason. Not the symptoms Find all root cause and reasons Identify causes efficiently using hypothesis and data given in the case. Using MECE to make Issue Tree 1.Divide and Conquer Start with the root cause of problem and divide it into sub-problems keeping in mind the MECE approach. 2.Add mini MECE layers to each subsequent layers This will help to solve the problem efficiently at each layer. 3.Continue until you solve the problem
Clarifying Questions: What is the current ad revenue structure? We include full page ads in our magazine and get paid for it by the company whose ad it is. Today, we sell 1M copies. Each magazine has 100 ads. Each ad costs $50 per 1000 copies. What exactly do you mean by targeted ads? We have data on our customers based on which we would send relevant ads to them. Broadly, what are the categories based on which you want to target ads? We have premium brand ads and non-premium brand ads today. The proposal talks about sending Premium brands ads → upper class/ premium customers Non-premium brand ads → economy customers New Ad Revenue News stand Subscription Creating Issue Trees Estimate if the new targeted ad structure yields more revenue than the current one of a fashion magazine which sells m magazine in India.
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New Ad Revenue News stand Subscription Economy Customers Premium Customers •Considering basic division of News Ad revenue as: -Subscription Based -News Stand •Further division can be constructed on basis of: -Premium Customers -Economy Customers •Assuming: -Percentage of subscription = 80% -Percentage of News stand = 20% -Percentage Premium Customers = 75% -Percentage Economy Customers = 25% Creating Issue Trees
New Ad Revenue News stand Subscription Economy Customers Premium Customers Cost of ads # of ads per magazine # of magazine Cost of ads # of ads per magazine # of magazine Creating Issue Trees Now for calculating cost Cost = no of magazines * no of ads per magazine * cost of ads Hence final issue tree will look like:
Guesstimates
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Guesstimates in a Practical Context: Give an excellent rule-of-thumb A well-performed guesstimate gives a great ballpark of commodities/metrics, which may then be used to influence administrative-level decisions. Great way to perform sanity checks They may be used to verify and cross-check projections made based on real data. This introduces a layer of useful redundancy that aids in identifying invalid data, or in reinforcing the feasibility of predictions. Cheaper and quicker than surveys/censuses Gathering, cleaning and processing data is often costly in terms of money and time. While market research is essential, making educated guesstimations is the better way out in cases where time is significantly more essential than factual correctness. Fast Definition and Scope The term “guesstimate” is a portmanteau of the words “guess” and “estimate”. As such, a guesstimate question aims t candidate’s qualitative and quantitative skills, as well as capacity for thinking on-their-feet. Versatile Practical
General Approach (1/2) Identify the scope Clarify ambiguities Pinpoint users/uses Spot constraints Demand-side approaches assume an indefinite supply. (eg: mobile phone market in India) Supply-side assumes the supply is at full/adjusted capacity to meet the demand. (eg: how many COVID vaccinescanbe supplied) Does the answer need to be short? Or does it require a more granular approach? This is evident by the style of the question – whether it is asked as part of a larger case problem or separately. Ask questions! Smart questions show that you have an eye for detail. Definitions, specific details and queries about the final result can be asked here. For market sizing cases, one must find the segments the question is relevant to. Divisions like rural- urban, residential- commercial, large/small-scale can be made here. These steps should ideally be done relatively quickly. These are essential for the structure of the solution but are erroneously missed by candidates.
General Approach (2/2) Develop a structure Assume/ask Math & sanity checks Before getting down to numbers, plot a skeleton of how you want to approach the issue. Make an issue tree with a depth suitable to the scope of the problem. Don’t overcomplicate! This represents the meat of the solution. This calls for an above-average business sense and quantitative aptitude, so practice is key! Calculate, then test the answer against practical values. Making sure your answer is realistic shows that you are methodical in your approach. It also addresses some of the queries the interviewer might have. It is a good practice to confirm with the interviewer if they have any values they’d like you to use. If not, make informed assumptions about the same. Remember: rounding off numbers is a neat way to save both time and effort.
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Pre-Structuring Checklist: Ambiguities •Does market size here refer to volume or value? (Ans: INR value of sofas sold in a year.) •Are single-seated armchairs included here? (Ans: By definition, no.) •Sofassoldorproduced? (Ans: Consider only the sofas sold in India.) Users/uses Sofas are, of course, needed in homes. Other possible uses are – in offices, airports, waiting lounges, cafeterias, hotels. Since India is a country with lots of households, the lion’s share of sofas is for residential purposes. (An adjustment may be applied to the final answer to account for the rest of the possible users – say 30%). Demand or Supply? Since the problem requires the value of sofassoldin a year, it is useful to assume that there is no bottleneck on supply. Thus, an approach from the demand side would be the most useful. Sample Guesstimate #1 What is the market size of sofas in India?
Structure: Sample Guesstimate #1 What is the market size of sofas in India? Sofa market size in India # of sofas sold/year Sofas replaced Total # of sofas# of households Indian population People/household Sofas/household Penetration rate Average sofa lifespan Market growth Total # of sofas Growth rate Average price/sofa Standard sofas Average cost/sofa % of market vol Premium sofas Average cost/sofa % of market vol + x x x + x x x ÷ ÷
Assumptions: We start backwards from the last level of the tree. Level 5 •Population:~125 crores, population of India •People/household: An average of5 people per householdseems like a fair estimate. •Sofas per household: Higher income households may have more than one sofa. On average, assume2 sofas/household. •Penetration rate: Consider the 30:70 split of urban:ruralpopulations in India. Let’s say this applies to households too. Assume 30% urban and 1% of rural households buy sofas. This amounts to approximately10% penetration. Level 3 •Average sofa lifespan: Assume sofas get replaced every10 yearson average. •Growth rate: Assume the sofa market grows parallel to population growth. Thus,1% market growth. •Sofa pricing: Standard sofas may costINR 20k, with a75% market volume. Premium sofas may cost 5 times as much. Sample Guesstimate #1 What is the market size of sofas in India?
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Calculations: Sample Guesstimate #1 What is the market size of sofas in India? INR 22000 crore (~USD 3 Bn) 0.55 crore/year 0.5 crore/year 5 crore sofas25 crore h.h. 125 crore 5 people/h.h 2 sofas/h.h. 10% 10 years 0.05 crore/year 5 crore sofas 1%/year INR 40,000 INR 15,000 INR 20,000 75% INR 25,000 INR 1,00,000 25% + x x x + x x ÷ ÷ x Sanity Check: Dividing the total market size by the number of households yields a spend ofINR 880 per household per year (~70/month). This is reasonable, as each household would on average only spend a little on sofas (a fairly long-term purchase). The valueUSD 3 Bnis also reasonable for a market this size.
Pre-Structuring Checklist: Ambiguities •Is any other beverage served? (Ans: Assume only coffee is served at this point.) •How is the coffee made? In a coffee maker or vending machine? (Ans: A coffee maker. Everyone makes their own cup.) Users/uses Some people are staunchly opposed to the idea of coffee. Thus some of the employees consume only tea, and the others are okay with coffee. We also note that since the coffee takes some time to prepare, the employees need to be on a break. Demand or Supply? This isn’t relevant here, however, we assume supply of coffee is limitless. This by default merits a demand-side approach. Baseline Assumptions We assume that the office building contains offices on all floors. For the sake of efficiency and cost reduction, architects will seek to make every floor uniform and thus equal numbers of employees sit on each of the floors. Additionally, each floor has a coffee maker, and employees get an hour of lunch break. Sample Guesstimate #2 Estimate the number of cups of coffee consumed in a MNC office in Mumbai on a typ
Structure: Sample Guesstimate #2 Estimate the number of cups of coffee consumed in a MNC office in Mumbai on a typ Cups of coffee consumed Coffees per floor # of breaks Breaks in 1sthalf # of hours Probability of break/hour High productivity Medium productivity Low productivity Breaks in 2ndhalf # of hours Probability of break/hour Fatigue factor # of employees/floor Coffee penetration % Number of floors + x x x x + x
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Assumptions: Level 5 •Productivity: Assume that the office has a3:2:1 proportionof high, medium, and low productivity workers respectively. Also assume that they take breaks with probabilities of0.1, 0.25, and 0.4respectively. •Fatigue factor: As the end of the working day comes closer, employees are likely to get fatigued and thus be more likely to take breaks. We assume this factor to be2– i.e. they aretwice as likelyto take a break in a given hour in the 2ndhalf. •Employees per floor:20is a fair guess for this, as this includes both full-time employees and support staff. •Coffee penetration %: The problem talks about an office environment. It is fair to assume around~50%drink coffee. •# of floors: For a MNC in Mumbai, as a conservative estimate,10 floorsis a reasonable assumption. Sample Guesstimate #2 Estimate the number of cups of coffee consumed in a MNC office in Mumbai on a typ
Calculations: Sample Guesstimate #2 Estimate the number of cups of coffee consumed in a MNC office in Mumbai on a typ 220 coffees consumed 22 coffees/floor 2.2 breaks/employee 0.6 breaks 3 hours 0.2 breaks/hour 3 6× 0.1 2 6× 0.25 1 6× 0.4 1.6 breaks 4 hours 0.2 breaks/hour 2 20 employees/floor 50% 10 floors + x x x x + x Sanity Check: Assuming the cost of a cup is INR 10, the office spends INR 2200/day on coffees, or ~INR 8 lakh/year. In an office of this scale, this is reasonable.
Pre-Structuring Checklist: Ambiguities •Does market size refer to number of users or value? •Are matrimonial sites to be included? •What is the time period for which market size is to be considered? Users/uses Almost entirely urban folk. Cheap internet access precludes certain barriers, but we are interested with users who purchase premium services. Demand or Supply? There are no constraints on the sale of premium virtual services. A demand-side approach is the obvious choice. Possible Approaches The population can be divided into buckets as per their age, gender, income situation etc. Conversion rates from free to premium accounts will likely differ according to those factors. There are multiple apps to consider, and the distribution of users across them can be analysed. It might also be worthwhile to explore the average lifetime of users on the app(s). Practice Guesstimate Estimate the size of the online dating market in India.
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Previous Year Guesstimates BCG Interviews •How many Pay-phones are there on the Island of Manhattan? •How many hotel-sized mini bottles of shampoo and conditioner are produced each year around the world? •How many people in Uganda have no access to Electricity? •How Many Mazda Dealers Are There in the U.S.? •How to Estimate the Size of Chewing Gum Market in the U.S.? •Describe how you measure the average time taken to queue at an airport check-in counter? Bain & Co. •Guesstimate the number of laptops in working condition in Delhi right now. •Calculate the number of watches that people currently own in Delhi region alone. •How many cups of tea are sold in all of India every week? •Estimate the number of flying cars that would be sold in 2025! •How Many Penguins Can Live in Antarctica?
Previous Year Guesstimates McKinsey Interviews •Estimate the colored TV sales for Flipkart during Diwali season (in India). •Estimate toll collection outside Bangalore airport (in a week on average). •Estimate the annual logistics cost for Flipkart (in India). •How much change would you find on the floor of an average mall (today)? •How many second hand wedding dresses are sold in the UK each year? Wall Street Firms •If I were to fill this room with pennies, how many pennies would fit in? •What is the size of the market for disposable diapers in China? •How many Delta Airlines planes will take off in the next hour in United States? •How many gas stations are in North America? •Estimate the annual revenue of Tropicana's orange juice division in the U.S.?
Previous Year Guesstimates Software Companies •How Many Beer Bottles Are in Circulation in the U.S.? (IBM) •In the United States, how many people are in the air right now? (IBM) •How Many Golf Balls Can Fit into a School Bus? (Google) •How Many Dogs Are There in the United States? (Google) •What Is Annual Demand for Sugar in the United States? (Applied Predictive Technologies) •Can you guess the size of the grocery market in India? (Flipkart) ZS Associates •Estimate the size of diaper market in India. •Estimate the number of traffic lights in Patiala. •How many kilograms of chicken is sold in your city per annum? •How many cricket bats are produced (in India annually)? •What is the number of mobile phones used in the world? •What is the market size of blue car in your native city? •How many cricket balls will fit into a Boeing 747? •Estimate the revenues of any outlet of Haldirams in 1 day. • •Estimate the number of ATM machines in Delhi.
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Previous Year Guesstimates Other Consulting Firms •Estimate the average revenue of DTC buses in a day. (KPMG) •How many gallons of ice cream are sold in the United States each year? (PwC) •How Many Basketballs are Purchased by NBA Each Year? (Accenture) •How Much to Pay for the World’s Only Dinosaur? (Accenture) •Estimate the number of customers Flipkart gained due to the Big Billion Day sale. (Accenture) •How Much Paint Does It Take to Paint United Airlines’ Fleet? (Capital One) •Number of Medium size industries in Mumbai? (Deloitte) •How Many Piercings Are Done in India in a Year? (Capgemini Consulting) •What Is Market Size of Hand Knitting Yarn in the U.S.? (E.Y. Advisory) •What is Annual Demand for Natural Gas in India? (A.T. Kearney)
Strategic Tools
SWOT
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SWOT Analysis SWOT is a great tool to capture the current state of your organization, it helps in setting of objectives for strategic planning and identifying core competencies of the firm. It analyses whether or not to embark on a strategy. •Strength: 1. What is our competitive advantage? 2. What resources do we have? 3. What products are performing well? •Weakness: 1. Where can we improve? 2. What products are underperforming? 3. Where are we lacking resources? •Opportunities: 1. What technology can we use to improve operations? 2. Can we expand our core operations? 3. What new market segments can we explore? •Threats: 1. What new regulations threaten operations? 2. What do our competitors do well? 3. What consumer trends threaten business?
SWOT Analysis Example - Apple 1.Apple has established itself as a trustable brand over time, and it’s the world’s most valuable company by market value. 2.Innovation: Apple keeps to deliver a set of products that provide a better UX. 3.Apple has always identified itself as a brand that focusses on Privacy as its key value. 4.Loyal Consumer Base. StrengthWeakness OpportunityThreat 1.Expensive Product Range which acts a barrier for expanding in developing countries. 2.Closed-source components that prevents cross-device compatibility. 3.Apple Products are always known for blocking third-party repairs. 1.Expansion in AR, autonomous technologies. 2.Providing extensive streaming options for price sensitive markets. 3.Globalisation to reduce prices and escape higher tax regimes in countries. 1.Governments requesting Apple to open backdoors. 2.A number of pending lawsuits- including that against its anti-competitive practices. 3.Apple, usually known for its late-moving policies, could experience disruptions in sales due to better technologies/ products being sold by its competitors.
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PESTEL Analysis PESTEL POLITICAL Political factors such as Govt. policy, Foreign trade policy, Tax Policy, Labor Law ECONOMY Factors such as economic growth, interest rates, inflation, exchange rates, employment and how they affect your business i.e. how profitable they are. SOCIAL Keep up with the changing family demographics, cultural trends and lifestyle changes, age distribution, career attitudes, Health Consciousness TECHNOLOGICAL Includes changes in digital transformation, automation and R&D, innovation, technological awareness LEGAL Employment legislation, consumer laws, health and safety, trade regulations, copyright & patent laws ENVIRONMENT Climate, recycling procedures, carbon footprint, waste disposal, sustainability P E S T E L
Why PESTEL? •When is it best of use? •Starting a new business •Entering a new market •Entering a business with an existing company. •PESTEL Analysis helps us identify the EXTERNAL factors that affect a company or organization such as Macro- environmental factors of a general environment. •These factors affect your business and operations but the effect cannot be seen the other way round. These are generally climate, industry trends, inflation, etc. •The company has no say on these factors. But conducting a PESTEL Analysis on them gives us a better insight of the industry.
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PESTEL Analysis of POLITICAL •Need to make its stand clear about driver’s Insurance •Have to follow minimum wage rules •Have to deal with bans in many countries ECONOMICAL •Easily accessible •Affordable fare charges •Offers job opportunities, but pay may not be convincing SOCIAL •User friendly •Quick pick up •Gives better ride experience than taxis. TECHNOLOGICAL •Excellent mobile app for users •Using social media and other electronic media well for promotion LEGAL •Need to prevent ban in many countries. •Need to follow labor and employee safety laws •Copyright laws need to be looked at. ENVIRONMENTAL •Fuel usage may increase •Traffic congestion is a concern.
Porter’s 5 Forces
Why do we need Porter’s 5 Analysis ? •Understand your industry of interest. •Identify attractive vs less attractive industries/markets. •Identify opportunities and risks •How profits within an industry will be distributed •Extrapolate industry trends & anticipate changing trends Porter’s 5 Forces Points To Remember •Use this model where there are at least three competitors in the market. •Consider the impact that government has or may have on the industry. •Consider the industry lifecycle stage-earlier stages will be more turbulent. •Consider the dynamic/changing characteristics of the industry. •Avoid using the model for an individual firm; it is designed for use on an industry basis
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Porter’s Five Forces Internal Competition Threat of New Entrants Threat of SubstitutesCustomer Bargaining Power Supplier Bargaining Power ❖Industry growth ❖Quality differences ❖Brand loyalty ❖Barriers to exit ❖Number of competitors ❖Diversity of competitors ❖Switching costs ❖Barriers to entry ❖Capital requirements ❖Cumulative experience ❖Access of distribution channels ❖Number and size of suppliers ❖Uniqueness of each supplier’s product ❖Ability to substitute ❖Price sensitivity ❖Number of Customers ❖Buyer’s ability to substitute ❖Size of each customer order ❖Buyer’s information availability ❖Difference between competitors ❖Number of substitute products ❖Buyer propensity to substitute ❖Relative price performance of substitute ❖Perceived level of product differentiation ❖Switching costs
•The Task environmentincludes all the things that effect a firm’s business model including forces that come from within the company as well as from outside the company. •These depend heavily on the competitive positioning of the firm, its leadership and its goals. These factors are how the firm interacts with the external factors and are somewhat in the firm’s control. •These can be analyzed better using Porter’s 5 Forces Analysis. •The Internal Environmentis the firm . To evaluate it we consider the properties directly under its control like employees, culture and the management. •The General Environmentcan be analyzed using the PESTEL Analysis which shows us the factors which are a part of the external environment. •There is not much which the internal environment can do to change the PESTEL analysis as most factors are beyond the firm’s control. The TASK Environment
Value Chain Analysis
SUPPORT ACTIVITIES PRIMARY ACTIVITIES Firm Infrastructure Procurement Human Resource Management Technology Inbound Logistics OperationsOutbound Logistics Marketing & Sales Service Value Chain Analysis
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Value Chain Analysis - Example INFRASTRUCTURE PROCUREMENT TECHNOLOGY HUMAN RESOURCES Handles all of the procurement for its own coffee beans, which is one of its competitive advantages. Corporate Business managers & store managers help to oversee well-designed and pleasing customer service Benefits ,incentives & training programs to keep its staff motivated & efficient Free & unlimited WIFI , use of Apple’s iBeaon system apart from efficient coffee-related processes INBOUND LOGISTICSOPERATIONSOUTBOUND LOGISTICSMARKETINGSERVICES Finest quality coffee beans from producers in Latin America, Africa, and Asia. In more than 80 markets - in the form of direct company- owned or licensed stores Very little or no presence of intermediaries in product selling Superior quality products and a high level of customer service Signature retail objective of building customer loyalty through its in-store customer service
BCG Growth Matrix
What is the BCG Matrix and how is it helpful ? •The BCG matrix helps the company allocate resources and is used as an analytical tool in brand marketing, product management, strategic management, and portfolio analysis. •In this matrix we take the market share of the company on the horizontal axis and plot it against the growth rate of the industry of which the company is a part. •It helps the company to have a balanced portfolio of Question Marks, Stars and Cash Cows. Question Marks Cash Cows Stars Dogs Relative Market Share Market Growth Rate High High Low Low BCG Matrix
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•Low relative market share but high market growth rate. •Startups generally lie in this region. •Have scope for further R&D. •It not handled well may turn into Dogs. •High market share in fast growing industry, generating large cash flows. •Have maximum profitability for company •Once growth rate declines, might change into Cash Cows •Low market share and low market growth, typically produce no economic profits. •Firms want to eliminate dogs. •The money spent here can be used for other businesses or divested. •High market share in a stagnant market, thus, high profits. •Low market growth means low R&D so less investment. •Excess cash to be “MILKED.” •Displays balance and stability BCG Matrix Question MarksStars DogsCash Cows
Market Growth Rate •Amul breadis a new product with a huge possible market. •Amul Pizza Base also has a growing market •AmulIce creams, Lassi andAmul Koolare well known in the market and have growing market as well. •Amul Frozen Pizza is not a much- desired product, due to better alternatives. •Amul Cookiesis also another such product. •Amul Milkis one of the most popular brands of milk. •Amul GheeandButter have large market share but low market growth. BCG Matrix on BCG Matrix Question MarksStars Cash Cows Dogs Relative Market Share
Case Frameworks
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What is the product’s unique selling point? Step -1 How much does it cost to produce the product? Step -2 How much have the competitors priced their product at? Step -3 What are the benefits of this product to the customer? Step -4 The framework mainly involves an in-depth look into the company and its products. Different cases will involve different pricing strategies. It is usually an eliminative process, wherein we can eliminate the cost, competitive and value based branches depending on our understanding of the case. A basic approach to pricing cases consists of the following questions: USPCost PriceCompetitive AnalysisValue Pricing Strategy Framework
PRICING STRATEGY Company/ Product Company Market position/sizeGrowth Company’s position Company’s goal Market shares/maximize profits etc. Product Comparison of product with other substitutes Product USP Supply and demand Pricing frameworks Cost based Cost price/R&D Expense Profit Margin Competition based Substitutes in the market Difference in features Difference in pricing Competitors' pricing Customer inclinationsPrice elasticity Consumer loyalty Value based Benefits of the product Value of the productWillingness of customers to pay Execution ApproachPricing Strategy Framework
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Business Situation Our client, a global MedTech company, has recently developed drugs for COVID patients. The company needs your help in making strategic pricing decisions given the evolving clinical and competitor landscape.
Approach & Preliminary Questions Approach We will first analyze the company, and its goals, and then make a pricing decision. For pricing, we will perform a cost-based and value-based analysis Pre-case Clarifications oWhat is the economic/demographic value of our product to the customer? Keep in mind that different customer segments will have different willingness to pay. oIs maximizing profits our primary goal? oWhat are the core competencies of the company? oWho are our main competitors and what are their strengths? Approach and Prelim Questions
Company Market PositionGrowthIncreased growth rate during COVID pandemic Company PositionEstablished Multi billion dollar company Company GoalsMaximizing profits Product Substitutes in the Market ProductionUse of older lab technologies Features Priced Lower Brand Image Product USP Fast-tracked production Innovative Lab technologies Limited COVID related drugs in the market Product supply and demand Increased Demand during the Pandemic Proposed SolutionProposed Solution
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Cost based Cost price/ R&D ExpenseR&D, Trials, Testing, Market research Profit Margin Competition based Substitutes/Alternatives in the market Difference in features Less intensive testing of products Obsolete- production Similar brand image Difference in pricingPriced lowerCompetitors' pricing Customer inclinations Price elasticityCustomers want to pay- Lower Consumer habitsTend to migrate towards lower costs Value based Benefits of our product Better accessibility Limited variety of COVID drugs available in the market. Innovative lab technologies, intensive testing. Value of our productWillingness of customers to pay Geography (demand per region) Greater in cities with more number of cases. Relevance of Product High requirement during pandemic Proposed solutionProposed Solution
ADDITIONAL PRICING FACTORS Don’t overlook opportunities for cross-selling, or up-selling, and factors such as different customer segments. QUANTITATIVE DATA Try gaining as much quantitative data as possible from the interviewer. THE COMPANY Make sure to understand the goal or objective of the company. ANTICIPATE Always anticipate the consequences of the price point you set, with respect to the market and your competitors. ASK THE RIGHT QUESTIONS As this is a very qualitative framework, aligning yourself with the interviewer is key. FINAL LOOK AT PRICING CASESFinal Look
Market Entry Framework
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•The magnitude and importance of entry decisions - encompass everything from geographic expansion to new products to diversification efforts - this calls to prompt a detailed analysis. •How do you decide what innovation to lead with, what products to offer, and what your market entry strategy should be? •Before one firm can enter a market, it is important to perform an estimate on the economical and operational feasibility of the business in that market. •To remove any bias from our analysis of entry decision, we should target the five core issues - value proposition and capabilities, the market size, competition, market share and revenue, and costs involved. Market Entry Framework
New Market Entry Vision Goals Objectives Customer Segments Needs Profiling Product Customer Expectation Current Portfolio Potential Market Company Core Assets Capabilities Resources Product Offerings Industry Competitors & Share SWOT Analysis Barriers ( including Regulatory ) Estimate of Market-Share RevenueCosts InputDistributionShared Entering Strategy YesNo From Scratch Acquisitions Alliances & JVs Market Entry Framework
PredictorDescription Size of Entry relative to Minimum Efficient Scale ( MES ) Companies that are closer to an industry’s MES upon entry are more likely to succeed. Entering below MES and then quickly scaling up is more viable when testing a market. Relatedness of the Market Entered The more related the market is to a company’s current portfolio of products / services, the greater the chance of success, but properly measuring how related is crucial. One should examine the difference between the current portfolio and the potential market. Complementary Assets Complementary assets such as marketing and distribution, are often more important factors for success, than core assets. One should perform a value chain analysis to understand the problems and risks involved at each step of the chain. Order of EntryWhile first movers have the advantage over others in some settings, this may change upon the time of entry chosen in most cases. Industry-life-cycle stage The life cycle stage of an industry is easily determined and greatly influences opportunities for success. Companies entering early in an industry’s life cycle have greater odds for success than those entering near the shakeout Degree of Technological Innovation When a high level of superior information is necessary to innovate, incumbents have a major advantage over new entrants. Innovative entrants are likely to succeed by staying small in niches that dominant players ignore rather than by expecting to compete with them as equals. Predictors Of Success
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Business Situation Our client, Paccar, is a Dutch technology company and a premier commercial vehicle manufacturer in Europe. Paccar is a worldwide quality leader in the design and manufacturing of premium light, medium and heavy-duty commercial vehicles. The company, in wake of Government of India’s newly announced Production Linked Initiative and reduced tax schemes for EVs, plans to introduce its range of electric trucks and buses in India. You have been hired to find out if they should introduce these vehicles in India.
Approach We will analyse each of the core values and then present a solution in line with the company’s motives. More about the PLI announced by GoI •Provides an incentive of Rs. 26,058 crores, which will be provided over a period of five years, starting 2021. Manufacturers would have to commit to set up a manufacturing facility of minimum capacity of 5GWh and ensure a minimum 60% domestic value addition within five years. •Subsequently the battery or cell manufacturer will have to achieve a domestic value addition of 25% and will have to show a minimum investment of225 crore per GWh within two years and raise it to 60% domestic value₹ addition within 5 years Market Entry Example
CustomerExpected to be receptive towards vehicles owing to incentives announced by the government. Product Company Net. Annual Revenue : $ 18.7 Bn. Paccar has substantial market presence in Europe and current portfolio include a broad range with a range of 200-300 km mileage on a single charge. Net. Annual Income : $ 1.4 Bn.Total Assets : $ 28.4 Bn. The company enjoys consistent profitability, a strong balance sheet, and excellent cash flow. Offers a wide product range consistent with global R&D divisions Industry CAGR of 48%3 Major / Existing Players, 4-5 Potential Entrants The central government has assigned 35.45 billion INR ($486 million) as incentives for the deployment of 7,090 electric buses, with support of subsidies amounting to 5 million INR ($69,000) per bus. Presently, 5,595 electric buses have been allocated to 64 cities and State Transport Unions, analysed to run over 3 billion kM without emissions from tailpipe. Initial Investments as high as INR 13,500 CroresProper infrastructure for support is missing High Exit Costs Market Entry Example
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StrengthsWeaknessesOpportunitiesThreats Technical ExpertiseLack of Infrastructure (Requires installation of ACC manufacturing capacity across India) High Dependency on Public TransportExisting players are Locally Grown and established within the sector- less operating costsEnvironmentally SustainableRapidly progressing urbanisation across India Production Linked IncentivesHigh Price of EVs (30 - 60% extra)GOI’s newly announced scheme to install charging infrastructure worth INR 20000 Cr. High use of fossil fuels Less CompetitorsCannot be used for Long Distance Transport High sunk costs and Low Demand SWOT Analysis
Verdict •It is recommended for the company to look for possibilities to enter into a JV with existing players / potential entrants, so that the company would be able to utilise existing infrastructure / share costs. They shouldn’t enter the market on its own immediately, given the existing conditions - low demand / sales for EVs and high sunk costs. Key Questions to Ask Yourselves 1.What is my distinctive value proposition, and do I have the necessary capabilities and competencies (including talent and experience in other related markets) to succeed? 2.What geographic area will I serve, what are the existing conditions, and how much demand will be there in the market? 3.What costs and economies of scale / scope will I face? 4.What sales do I expect to see for my offering? Market Entry Example
Profitability Framework
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Profitability Framework •Profitability is a ratio while profit is an absolute amount •Profit is simply the difference between revenues and costs •Profitability refers to multiple ratios like the EBIDTA Margin, Net Profit Margin, Gross Profit Margin •In essence, profitability is a measure of the efficiency of a company •Profit Margins provide a better picture of the business performance of the company Profit = Revenue - Costs *PAT = Profit After Tax
Profitability Framework Pricing Strategy: Competitive, Cost Based, Value based Customer Segmentation, Market Share, New Markets, New Products, Fixed Cost = SG & A, Rent, R&D, Depreciation, Labor(fix contracts), Marketing, Interest Variable Cost = COGS: Raw Materials, Transport, Energy, Labor SG&A : selling, general & administrative expenses COGS : cost of goods soldR&D : Research and development
Profitability Framework Fixed Cost SG & A, Rent, R&D, Depreciation, Labor(fix contracts), Marketing, Interest Variable Cost COGS: Raw Materials, Transport, Energy, Labor SG&A : selling, general & administrative expenses COGS : cost of goods soldR&D : Research and development Profit Revenue Costs Price per unit Number of units sold Fixed Cost Variable Cost Cost Per Unit Units Produced - + X X
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Profitability Framework Our client is consumer good electronics’ manufacturer (mainly kitchen appliances). Their profits have dec the last year and they want you to figure out the cause and suggest suitable remedies. Pre - case Clarifications The approach to solve any Profitability case should be: •Clarify the problem properly to understand the scope of issue, sectors it has been affecting, time duration etc. •Prepare a structure and workflow to reach a specific branch •Analyse Revenue Side and Cost side, to understand effect on net profit. •Go deeper into analysis, considering all factors affecting the specific change. •Switch Branch if it is not a big factor and try to identify root cause. Approach How much is the decline? 20% in profits Is it visible in revenue or costs? Only in revenue What are the major products company deals with? About 90% of our revenue comes from toasters. Has the price of a toaster been increased? No, its exactly same. So can I assume that the volume sold must have decreased? Yes, it would be fair. Due to one of our competitors decreasing there toaster price many middle class family shifted to that company toaster and we have seen a 22% decline in profits.
Profitability Framework Profit (20% Decline) Revenue (20% Decline) Costs (same) Price (same) Volume sold (20% decline) Fixed Cost (same) Variable Cost (same) Government Tax Raw Material Retail Outlet Transportation Customer Service Maintanence Will revisit later Our client is consumer good electronics’ manufacturer (mainly kitchen appliances). Their profits have dec the last year and they want you to figure out the cause and suggest suitable remedies.
Profitability Framework Revenue Toasters (90%) Others (10%) Unit Sold (-22%) Price (same) Unit Sold (same) Price (same) Root Cause Found Due to one of our competitors decreasing their toaster price many middle class families have shifted to that company. Our client is consumer good electronics’ manufacturer (mainly kitchen appliances). Their profits have dec the last year and they want you to figure out the cause and suggest suitable remedies.
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Consistent Storyline and flow Extensive User and Sector Research Design and Visual appeal Executive Summary + Appendix Guide to Amazing Presentations
Guide to Amazing Presentations •Story Telling is the foundation of a good slide deck. •Make the presentation into a cohesive unit, where it ceases to be individual slides or separate ideas. •Viewing your presentation as a story that has clear characters, conflict, and resolution will help generate a through line in your presentation and solidify it as a cohesive unit. On each slide, consider how the information is moving the story forward and figure out how one slide leads into another. •Try using specific tabs at the bottom or sides of the slide to depict flow. Consistent Storyline and flowExtensive User and Sector Research •As a good Consultant or Product Manager, the main aim should be to present an extensive report on user as well as sector research. It can be achieved as •Identify the problem •Correctly recognize the relevant factors •Gather the right type of information, using secondary research or surveys •Analyze the information gathered and find out insights •Make the right conclusion
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Guide to Amazing Presentations •Maintain constant formatting and margins in the entire deck. •Keep it light on text! •Try an use pictures/chart to express your data or ideas. Graphics and charts explain the insights better than words. •Keep the content directional. •Use Selective Bolding to stress upon an important term and ensure to use clear headlines for the readers’ convenience Design And Visual AppealExecutive Summary and Appendix •The executive summary slides should only be5% —10% of the entire presentation's length. Make the executive summary focused and simple by using short paragraphs or bullets and subheadings •Summarize the story by introducing the client and it’s pain points. Summarize your solution and the flow of the presentation •Highlight the key results, including 1 or 2 statistics that drive home the takeaway message. •Mention the source in the footnotes and include Appendix to show all the research, calculations and basis of insights.
Glossary of Useful Terms
Time Value of Money A sum of money today is worth more than the same sum in the future, as it can earn interest in the meantime. Aninvestment delayed, is a lost opportunity. Compounded Annual Growth Rate(CAGR) Given the amount invested today and its expected value in the future, CAGR is the rate of interestat which the investment will have to be compounded to give the expected future value Suppose an initial investment of $100 is expected to grow to $150 in 5 years. Then the CAGR is calculated as Useful Terms
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Due to the concept of time value, any cash flows in the future need to be discounted to determine their present value. Net Present Value(NPV) NPV is simply the difference between the present value of cash inflows and outflows. It is a metric used to determine whether an investment is profitable. Investments with negative NPVs are avoided. Internal Rate of Return(IRR) The internal rate of return is the discount rate which would make the NPV equal to zero. It helps to identify the annual growth rate. A high IRR is desirable for an investment. Useful Terms
Net Profit Margin It is the ratio of net profits to revenue expressed as a percentage. It represents how much of each dollar collected in revenue translates into a profit. Return on Investment(ROI) ROI indicates the total growth of an investment over a set time period. The net profit expressed as a percentage of the initial investment is the ROI. Break Even Point In accounting, it refers to the production quantity where production costs are compensated by the total production revenue Useful Terms
A Glimpse of the PM World
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A Product Manager’s role is user and product-focused. It is easy to find questions, criticism, or feedback about a product. Users are usually very vocal about issues or shortcomings they find within the product. The million-dollar question here is: how will you improve the product? A PM makes around 20-25 calls per week to identify with and fully understand the problems faced. Once they reach a deeper understanding of the issues, they work on strategising a solution to the problem. What does a PM do? AProductManager, put simply, is responsible for the development ofproductsfor a company. User Experience BusinessTech As a PM, you fall at the intersection of the 3.
What does a PM do? Source: Catherine Shy
How does one get shortlisted? *Check out our section on building amazing slide decks h A meld of inter-personal, business, and technical skills, and an ability to think on one’s toes. The Pre-requisites: •Ability to pitch to and influence people •Clear written and verbal communication •Technical and business/sales acumen •Eye-for-detail and quick-thinking •Can assume ‘ownership’ of the product Additionally, a prior PM intern, or projects showcasing your problem-solving abilities, or even managerial or decision-making experience is a plus. The Process: ResumeSlide decks/aptitude test*Interviews
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Acing PM Interviews *Find our in-depth section on guesstimates + examples, General layout: •Guesstimate* •Product/Business case study •Strategy based problem (Pertaining to a new product/market, or growth) •Metrics-based questions •Product Critique •Technical round (occasionally) -SQL-related question -Techstacks of projects on your CV
Metrics Matrix Q. What metrics will you use to track the success of your new ad campaign Basic Metrics: For measuring the success ofany productare: 1.Awareness (Discovery) 2.Acquisition 3.Conversion 4.Engagement 5.Retention 6.Monetization •Lead time before discovery •Net Promoter Score (NPS) •App Installs •Bounce rate •Click-through rate (CTR) •Traffic (organic/ads) •Click-through rate (CTR) •Retention rate •Churn rate/app uninstalls •Lifetime value (LTV) •Return on ad spending (ROAS) A.
Product Critique Q. What would you change/improve in your favourite app (e.g. LinkedIn)? First Principles: Clarify.Don’t rush off into solving the problem without gaining some context. •What are the metrics to measure or quantify this improvement? •Are the changes restricted to the app or applicable for the website as well? •Are there any constraints to keep in mind? •Any business goals for the improvement? •Based on the metrics, is there any data available to corroborate our findings on what aspects to improve? Let’s assume the task is toimprove engagement on the LinkedIn mobile app by 5% over the quarter(Here, engagement refers to average # of posts created in a unit span of time). •Draft user personas of the major LinkedIn users. Prioritise 1 persona and their story. •Utilise thejob-to-be-done (JTBD) framework, i.e. retrace the consumer’s thought-process in selecting the given product to fulfil their intended job.
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Product Critique *For more on the RICE framework, click h Q. What would you change/improve in your favourite app (e.g. LinkedIn)? Solutions: Let’s say your focus group is college students. •What do college students use LinkedIn for? •What are the challenges that they might face? •What additional opportunities can be created for them on the platform? Finally, the solution(s). College students wish to share their upskilling experiences with their network. To enable them: •Set-up campus-wide communities on LinkedIn, allowing students to showcase their talents and experiences. •Create a featured editorial every week/month, featuring a selection of these communities and giving them exposure. If there are multiple solutions, prioritise them. •The RICE framework* (Reach,Impact,Confidence,Effort) helps achieve this.
User Personas and Research
1. Define your“Research Objectives”. 2. Decide the“User Base and Demographics.” -Interviewfor User Persona (ask everyone the same kind of questions) -Google Docfor User Research (should be user and product focused) •User personasare archetypical users whose goals and characteristics represent the needs of a larger group of users. •User researchis the methodic study of target users—including their needs and pain points. How to build effective User Personas and conduct User Research? User PersonaUser Research •Create 3-5 unique and detailed personas withconsistent layouts. •Emphasize user’smotivation and pain points. •Gather Dataand make sense out of it to fill in the gaps of knowledge. •Try toanswer the questionsin our Objectives. User Personas and Research
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User Persona Categories B2B or Business-to-Business Buyer Persona. •In this case, you are selling toother Businesseswhich further sell the product to customers. •Like B2C examples, the B2B buyer persona examples also focus heavily on the individual customer. The examples include more specifics like: -Where the ideal customer works, -What they do. -How they interact with their organization.
B2C or Business-to-customer buyer persona •In this case, you are sellingdirectlyto a customer in the market without any notice worthy intermediate. •You should includework detailsin a B2C buyer persona, you don’t have to share as much information about their roles and responsibilities. Instead, you can focus more on: - Who the person is in their day-to-day life. - How they make individual purchasing decisions. User Persona Categories
User research focuses on understanding: - User behaviors. - Needs. - Motivations. Methods to Analyse - Observation techniques - Task analysis - Feedback methodologies - Experiments - Surveys - Questionnaires - Interviews - Case studies Example showing User Survey on Before and After pandemic Purchasing. User Research
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Case #1 Revenue Decline (Profitability Framework) Your client is an Air Conditioner manufacturer who is facing a decline in profits. He wants you figure out the reason for the same
Clarifying Questions (1/2) Questions by IntervieweeAnswers by Interviewer Profits is a function of revenue and cost. I would like to understand which part of the function is causing a problem. We have seen decline in revenues only It would be good to know about the Company position in the market, product mix and the customer segment it targets. Do we have data on this? Yes. Company is a market leader in the AC segment. It targets upper middle class consumer. I would like to know the trend for revenues and profits for the past 2 yearsRevenue and profits have seen an overall decline of 10% I would like to break the revenue into volume and price to understand the decline in revenues That seems fair. The decline in revenues is due to fall in volumes. What will you do next? Having known this, I would like to know the geographical segments, the company is operating in. Also, is the issue company specific or industry wide The company operates primarily in Western India. The issue is specific only to the company Okay. Is our product differentiable from the products offered by the competitors in terms of features and price? The company’s product is superior in terms of quality as compared to competitors, but the price is almost comparable to them If the product is superior in quality and yet affordable and there is no industry wide issue, it should be in demand amongst the consumers. Can I therefore assume that product is unavailable in sufficient quantity ? Yes. That’s correct. In that case, company’s distribution channel needs to be analysed. Do we have data on the distribution channel of the company? Company sells its products through distributors, who then sell them to retailers and is thereby made available to consumers. I would like to assume that company is facing some problems with its distributors. Is my assumption correct? Correct. Distributors feel that the margins offered by the Company is less as compared to competitors. Hence, they distributors have gradually reduced Do we have details on the margins offered by us and by the competitors?Yes. We offer 4% margin whereas competitors offer 7% margins. How will you solve this problem
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Clarifying Questions (2/2) Questions by IntervieweeAnswers by Interviewer Can we consider increasing the margin for distributors and absorbing the increased expense in our income statement? Consider the following data and then decide: Assume that the number of units sold will be back to original levels if margin is made comparable to competitors Based on the numbers, Company made a profit of INR 40 Crs in FY 2017 and INR 36 Crs in FY 2019. In case, the price is reduced by offering margin of 7%, the revised price shall be approximately INR 17,400. The resultant profit shall be INR 34 Crs. That would mean we would be worse-off than current situation if margins are increased Yes. That would be a fair assumption. Do we have data on the number of distributors and their geographical spread along with the approximate number of retailers and their geographical spread? Currently, Company has 5 distributors. 2 distributors handle Gujarat region while remaining 3 handle Maharashtra region. There are 200 retailers in the Western region, with 50 in Gujarat and 150 in Maharashtra. All the retailers are widely spread across the two states Also, is the Company exploring any other distribution channels such as e- commerce? Company itself has minimal presence on e-commerce portals. The products are often sold by distributors on such portals ParticularsFY2017FY2019 Units Sold100,00090,000 Price to dealer18,00018,000 Expense per unit14,00014,000
Approach (1/2) Interviewee Notes •Decline is because of lesser demand from distributors on account of lower margins •Profits will decline further if comparable margins are offered to distributors •Retailers are widespread across the western region •The problem is in the lower availability of the product Case Facts •Targets upper middle class customer •Market leader in the segment •Revenue and profits have seen a decline of 10% over 2 years •Company product superior to competitors and pricing at par •Sale through distributor and retailers Observations / Suggestions •It is important to think about distribution channels which often goes unnoticed in profitability framework •It is important to understand how long the problem has been going on. In this case the problem started around 2 years ago which means that something must have changed during this period which has led to a decline in profits Your client is an Air Conditioner manufacturer who is facing a decline in profits. He wants you to figure out the reason for the same
Approach (2/2) Recommendations •Startdirect transactions with retailers by on- boarding a factoring agent to handle invoicing and collection •Start selling on Ecommerceportals directly from company. Profits RevenueCost PriceQuantity NeedAwarenessAccessibilityAffordabilityCustomer Experience Distributor ChannelMargins Your client is an Air Conditioner manufacturer who is facing a decline in profits. He wants you to figure ou reason for the same
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Case #2 Revenue Decline (Profitability Framework) Your client is a cafeteria owner who is facing a decline in profits. It wants you to figure out the reason for the same.
Clarifying Questions (1/3) Questions by IntervieweeAnswers by Interviewer Since when has the client been seeing decline in its profits? Also, do we have the magnitude of decline? The client has been seeing decline is profits for the past one year, but there has been a significant decline for the past three months. Is it only the client’s cafeteria which has seen the decline in profits or other cafeterias in the area have also seen a declines? Other cafeterias have also seen some dip in their profits but the client has been significantly impacted. Now I’d like to understand more about our client. What type of a cafeteria is it? And where exactly is it located? The client has one high-end multi-cuisine cafeteria located in a high footfall area of Agra. Due to the Taj Mahal, Agra attracts a lot tourists. I’d like to understand the type of customers that visit the cafeteria. Locals or tourists? This is a fair observation. The customers are mainly tourists and you can consider them to be international tourists. The decline in profits could be due to increase in costs or decrease in revenue or both. Do we have an idea which side the problem lies? The revenues have declined significantly, while the costs have declined marginally Since, revenues have seen a major decline, let’s first understand the reasons for its decline and then explore the cost side. A cafeteria can have multiple revenue streams including dine-in, take-away and delivery. It can offer both food and beverages including alcoholic and non-alcoholic. Is our client into all of these services. Has any one of these services observed a greater decline than others? The client only has dine-in cafeteria services and does not provide alcoholic beverages Has the average number of customers being served at the cafeteria in a day or the average amount spent per customer decreased? The average amount spent per customer has not changed but the number of customers visiting the cafeteria has decreased. Do we know if this decrease is because the client has not been able to cater to the customers willing to visit the cafeteria or the demand for the cafeteria has declined? The client has been able to cater to all the customers who have visited its cafeteria.
Clarifying Questions (2/3) Questions by IntervieweeAnswers by Interviewer This implies that the customers visiting the cafeteria have decreased. The problem could lie in any of these parts, number of tourists visiting India or visiting Agra or visiting the client’s cafeteria The total number of tourist visiting India and % of those who visited the client’s cafeteria, both have declined. This is interesting. Let’s first look at why tourist visiting India have decreased. This decrease could be either due to a change in the International perception about India, increase in processing or their country’s economic reasons or increased availability of alterative options. With the current slowdown internationally, the international tourism market has seen a decline and India has been affected by it too. Now can you look at why the % of tourists visiting the client’s cafeteria has decreased? To understand this, I would look at the journey of the consumer from the time when it decides on which cafeteria to eat, to actually eating the meal at the cafeteria.I would like to divide the journey into three parts comprising the decision to eat food till reaching the cafeteria, the experience inside the cafeteria and the journey after leaving. Sure, please go ahead. To finalize the client’s cafeteria to eat, the customer needs to be ‘aware’ about the cafeteria. Many tourists check reviews on websites such Tripadvisor or niche food bloggers. The promotion done by cafeteria through posters and hoardings also helps. Many ask for recommendations from their friends, travel agents and from the tourist guides. The tourist will then ensure ‘affordability’. The cafeteria should be ‘accessible’. Mismatch in location from google maps, change in routes or blocks due to construction activities, difficulty in parking spaces etc. could negatively impact the tourist's decision to visit the cafeteria. Do we know is there any problem here? Yes. A few months back, the cafeteria decided to reduce the commission of the tourist guides because of which these guides have now started recommending our competitor's cafeterias to the tourists. You can now move to the next phase of the journey.
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Clarifying Questions (3/3) Questions by IntervieweeAnswers by Interviewer Interesting. This can potentially explain why the costs also decreased, but we’ll look into it later. Once, the customers reach the cafeteria, they may have to wait before their turn comes. Then they enter the cafeteria and take a seat. The seating arrangement, presentation of cutlery and other amenities will effect the overall perception. The customer places an order using a menu, where the presentation in the menu is important. Having placed the order, the waiting time, waiter’s hospitality and food quality and quantity will be important. Finally, the ambience also adds to the experience. Has there been changes in any of these? Can you look at the ambience part in more detail? What all would it entail? Sure. The ambience to a cafeteria is aided by the features inside the cafeteria like the music, fragrance, visual appeals of the paintings, the overall décor etc. The view from a cafeteria also adds to the ambience, used by roof-top cafes, sea-facing cafeterias etc. Here, a view of Taj Mahal can be an added experience to the customers. That’s great. A building construction started three months back which has blocked the view of Taj Mahal from the client's cafeteria. This has deterred many customers. Can you quickly also look at the last part of your journey? Once the customer has exited the cafeteria, she may avail a service from near the cafeteria including local shopping or visiting a sweet shop. She may have to take a transport mode to visit another place. The cafeteria may engage in loyalty programs as well. However, since tourist visits are generally a one-time visit, loyalty program doesn’t seem to be important here. Can you suggest if any of these has had any changes in recent times? Outside the cafeteria was a famous paanwaala shop which got closed due to the sad demise of its owner. This has also impacted few customers. Can you give some recommendations now?
Approach (1/2) Interviewee Notes •Since the competition is also facing decline in profits, it is likely to be an industry wide issue. But higher decline with the client suggests client specific issues as well. •Before proceeding ahead with the decrease in revenue, it is important to understand if it is a demand or supply side issue. •Specifics about the Agra city should be kept in mind to customize the arguments. Observations / Suggestions •While moving from one phase of the customer journey to another (say from pre phase to the during phase), one should confirm from the interviewer if she has covered all the aspects. This ensures that one doesn’t move back and forth the phases of the customer journey. •Structure the recommendation and do not give a laundry list of suggestions. Your client is a cafeteria owner who is facing a decline in profits. It wants you to figure out the reason for Recommendations •Since the Taj Mahal has been obstructed from view, the hotel can provide differentiated ambience with local Agra’s feel, value added services and open a paan counter to try replacing the paan shop experience. •Since there has been a decrease in offline advertising through agents, we can look at our increase in offline advertising through tie ups with hotels, maintaining good rating on food apps etc. We can have strategic ads near prominent areas in Agra.
Approach (2/2) Your client is a cafeteria owner who is facing a decline in profits. It wants you to figure out the reason for
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Case #3 Market Entry Our client is a Telecom operator. They are lookin to diversify their presence in India and wish to enter the electronic home security market. The want you to estimate potential profits and wan you to suggest how to capture a significant market share.
Clarifying Questions (1/2) Questions by IntervieweeAnswers by Interviewer What market share is significant enough for the company? In how much time they wish to achieve this target? About 5% in the first year. So our objective is to estimate potential profits along with having a strategy to achieve a 5% market share at least Correct. What are the products we’re talking of in the home security business?There is essentially one product. It’s an alarm system which is installed in the home along with sensors. Whenever someone is trying to burgle the house, the alarm goes off What part of the value chain are we looking to enter?We have not decided but generally industry players manufacture and use third parties to distribute and retail What geography are we looking to sell in?Anywhere in India where there is a market We will have to do a guesstimate to find the market size currentlyGood let’s say we do this analysis and find that the market size is 15mn household. Let’s move on from there. Just to put this number in perspective what is the market share of the largest player? The industry is highly fragmented with mainly local players. The largest player has a market share of about 5% I want to understand what drives local dominance?Well, the industry is such that majority of costs are concentrated in transportation of the fragile equipment. Lesser the distance from factory lower the cost. Since manufacturing is cheap and transportation is not, factories are set up close to markets. And, what is the growth rate of the industry?It is about 10%.
Clarifying Questions (2/2) Questions by IntervieweeAnswers by Interviewer There are two ways to enter the market, displacing existing players or taking a slice of the growing market. However, because of the fragmented nature of the industry, if we have to capture a significant market share through either path, we will need to have a competitive edge in our product. I would like to benchmark our product with competitors to see if we have an advantage. I’d like to do it on basis of price and other product parameters. We don’t have a product of our own. We plan to enter with the same type of products that already exist at the same prices. If our product is going to be the physically the same, then to capture a significant share in such a fragmented industry, can we get an edge on a)Production front leading to lowered cost and hence lower prices b)Distribution front leading to lower transportation cost and distributors favoring to push our products over competitors c)Marketing a)We don’t even have internal ability to produce this type of equipment b)Lowering transportation cost has been looked into and is difficult. Also because the market is very competitive we cannot afford to pay higher margins to distributors c)Consumers are price sensitive, do not care much about product brand. This means independently we cannot have a significant share. Then the only remaining options to capture a 5% market share are through a Joint Venture or by Acquiring existing players. For that however we would need enough capital, do we have that? Yes, we do I would like to know the price of existing products since that would be our price as well They are generally priced between Rs. 5,000-15,000. The margin earned is 10% of the revenue. There is a servicing package which is bundled. Usually Rs. 200 per month is charged, and a margin of 25% is earned in servicing. Why is there a range in price of the product? Is it due to difference in quality of product or brand? No there is no difference in quality. Each product has a main alarm system along with sensors placed in different parts of the rooms. The price increases as the no. of sensors required are more.
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Approach (1/2) Our client is a Telecom operator. They are looking to diversify their presence in India and wish to enter th electronic home security market. They want you to estimate potential profits and want you to suggest how capture a significant market share. Market Size Estimation We can begin by first estimating profits. Profits = (Market Size) x (Market Share) x (Profit per unit) - (Investment) While analyzing market share we can see how to ensure a minimum 5% share. We’ve assumed a 70-30 Rural-Urban divide. Avg family size is take as 5 and 4 respectively for Rural and Urban families.) Next we will have to see a) How many families can afford to purchase the home safety units? b) How many families would buy them given some of them live in “high risk” and “low risk” areas A smaller % of rural families would be able to afford the equipment compared to urbanites. We will have to also see how many families in each segment need the equipment depending on degree of criminal activity and available security measures (police enforcement, building security, CCTVs) Population 1 billion Rural 700 million Urban 300 million Rural Families 140 million Urban Families 75 million
Approach (2/2) Our client is a Telecom operator. They are looking to diversify their presence in India and wish to enter th electronic home security market. They want you to estimate potential profits and want you to suggest how capture a significant market share. Profit Per Unit Estimation We can divide the 15mn households into 33% small houses requiring a unit priced at 5,000 33% medium houses requiring a unit priced at 10,000 33% large houses requiring a unit priced at 15,000 Okay. Let’s go ahead with that assumption. The average price is Rs. 10,000. We know we earn a 10% margin which will result in a Rs. 1000 profit. Apart from that we know that Rs. 200 per month is charged with a margin of 25%. What is the life of any unit? One year. Then for every unit sold we earn 200x12 = Rs.2400. At a 25% margin this means an additional Rs. 600 of profit. Hence total profit on a product is 1000+600 = 1600. Hence our expected profit = (Market size) x (Market share) x (Avg Profit per unit) = 15mn x 5% x Rs. 1600 = Rs. 120 crore Case Observations Joint venture would make sense if there is some part of the value chain where we can complement existing players, either in production, distribution or marketing/retailing so that together with our partner we have an edge. However we’ve already seen that we cannot manufacture and cannot provide any edge on distribution or marketing front.
Case #4 Market Entry The client is in the business of making anti smoking the way we have those patches and lozenges in the to curb the urge to smoke. The client wants to sell premium price. You have been hired to find out if product can be introduced in a country like Indi
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Clarifying Questions (1/3) Questions by IntervieweeAnswers by Interviewer I would like to confirm if I have understood all the critical aspects of the client’s situation. Our client is in the business of making anti- smoking pills that reduce the urge to smoke for smokers. We need to do see if the product is feasible to be launched in India and evaluate the market characteristics such as size and client’s share based on the price That’s right. Now that you’ve understood the situation well, how do you propose going about the solution? Since this is a new product launch, I would like to structure my discussion around the product characteristics (development and customization) for the Indian market and then move on to the launch (competition, distribution and promotion) part of the case This sounds fine to me. Also, please note that this product is not entirely new; it has been introduced in other countries already Ok, that experience should definitely help us. To start with, can you tell me something more about the product? How is it different? Unlike the lozenges or patches, this product is completely nicotine free - it is 5 times more effective as proved by lab results and 50% of the test results responded to the pill (which in this industry is an extremely high number thus indicating success). Moreover, it is a drug that cannot be sold over the counter – it requires a prescribed dosage given by the doctor. It is to be taken for 3 months daily, 3 times a day That is good. It gives us the advantage to position our product as superior due to the higher efficacy of treatment. I would like to know take up the competitive scenario next so that we can decide the price before determining the overall market size. That’s a fair point. So, there is no similar product in the market. Cheaper products like lozenges exist but they contain nicotine and sell for Re. 1 per unit. What are the other countries where the product has been introduced? How receptive have the customers been in those countries? The other countries have smokers who are quite similar to the Indian consumers. The product has been quite a success.
Clarifying Questions (2/3) Questions by IntervieweeAnswers by Interviewer Ok, this means that the target audience will be receptive to the product and we can assume that there is a strong market for the same. I will now proceed with the estimation of the price and market size. There are two ways that we can price a new product in a non-competitive market: Cost based and ‘willingness-to-pay’ based. In the first, I would calculate the cost to company and charge a margin on the same while in the second case; I would calculate the propensity of the consumer to pay for this drug. This would vary with my target segment chosen. Ideally, we should be able to calculate the optimal profit case by considering the trade-off in sales volume vs. price for various price points. The solution will also be influenced to an extent by the growth rates of the different target segments overall, say movement of people to upper-class from lower-middle class. Hmm… that is good. In our case, let us assume we did this and came up with Rs. 8 per unit. You think that sounds reasonable? I think a price of Rs. 8 per pill is feasible because of the lab results - people will be convinced that it is a medically prescribed drug and since it is a pre- scheduled dosage for 3 months, results are guaranteed. Ok, let’s estimate the market size assuming we decide to price it at Rs. 5 per unit. Let’s take Delhi as a base case. Population: 150 lakh. Target segment: 40% of them smoke * 20% of them would want to quit smoking * 75% can afford (Rs. 8 * 3 * 90 = Rs. 2160 drug to quit) = 9 lakh people or INR 9 * 2160 ~ INR 200 crores. Assume that this drug will reach out to 25% of the population across India (urban + rural since its effective and one-time payment to quit smoking), which means the total market is 200/150 * 0.25 * 10,000 lakh = INR 3,333 crores. Very interesting. What will drive the market growth our market share?
Clarifying Questions (3/3) Questions by IntervieweeAnswers by Interviewer The market growth rate will be affected by the sales and distribution coverage, willingness of people to quit smoking and addition of new smokers who would want to quit after sometime. We can look to capture about 80% of this market eventually, assuming no major competitor enters the market, which can be prevented by IPR support. Since this is a prescription drug, the bulk of the promotion costs in this industry are in targeting the doctors and chemists via direct sales agents or Medical Representative to convey the pros and cons for them to a) prescribe the drug and b) keep it in their pharmacies. This will drive our market share from the potential market size Good. What about the other 20%? I am assuming that the remaining 20% will comprise of smokers who are unwilling to quit smoking (10%), perceive the price to be high (5%) or are not aware of the product (5%). This percentage can decrease as we move further in the product life cycle and the product becomes well established through marketing and promotion efforts. Good. Any other costs/concerns that you would like to address? The training costs for the direct sales agents will also be critical as this is a new product and local agents would need an in-depth understanding of the product. No. of sales people can be calculated by total workload method: Assuming Doctor/Population ratio and say 3 doctors per day and repeat visits every 2 months; and Chemist/Population ratio and 3 chemists per day and repeat visits every 15 days. The supply chain will have to be considered - the warehousing, distribution network, retail chains etc. We can perform the cost benefit analysis for using middle distributors v/s direct distribution Good, I think we have covered the different aspects of the case. Thank You.
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Approach (1/2) The client is in the business of making anti smoking pills - the way we have those patches and lozenges in the m curb the urge to smoke. The client wants to sell it at a premium price. You have been hired to find out if the pro introduced in a country like India Introduce Anti Smoking Pills in India Initial InvestmentValue ChainProfit and break even point DistributionMarketingPotential RevenueCost Target MarketPrice The drug cannot be sold as OTC and would require prescription. Medical representative and direct sales agents need to be hired who can push the product to the doctors who in turn will prescribe it to the patients. Client needs to invest in training of its sales reps so that they can convince doctors with product’s value proposition CategoryNumber Projection Population Base in Delhi150 Lakhs % population who smoke % smokers to quit % quitters who can afford product 40% 20% 75% Potential Consumer Base150*0.4*0.2* 0.75 = 9 lacs
Approach (2/2) Interviewee Notes •New product launch – Anti smoking pills •Country – India •Premium product requires premium price •Product characteristics (suitability for Indian market) & Product launch (competition, distribution and promotion) •How is the product different from existing products? •What is the competitive scenario in the market •Product has already been introduced in some countries Observations / Suggestions •Client is in the business of making anti-smoking pills and wants premium price for its product •Marketing of the product can be briefly discussed since the product charges a premium price to its customers •Long term product goals and ways to improve product penetration across its lifecycle could have been discussed •Remember to use comparable from similar launches by same company or competitors Recommendations •Price point should consider both customer’s willingness to pay and product’s incremental value proposition over existing products in the market •IPR/ Patenting the drug can prevent competitors to enter market and facilitate capture of market share •Spend more on training the medical representatives and direct sales agents to push the product to the doctors who in turn will prescribe it to the patients The client is in the business of making anti smoking pills - the way we have those patches and lozenges in the m curb the urge to smoke. The client wants to sell it at a premium price. You have been hired to find out if the pro introduced in a country like India
References •Case Interview Secrets – Victor Cheng •Case In Point – Marc P. Cosentino •Guesstimation 2.0 •IIM A Case Book
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