Table of Contents INTRODUCTION...........................................................................................................................1 TASK 1...........................................................................................................................................1 Overview of the mobile market in the UK...................................................................................1 TASK 2............................................................................................................................................3 Data on the usage of smartphones by Adults during 2012-2017.................................................3 TASK 3............................................................................................................................................5 Analysing of the popularity of smartphones between older customers.......................................5 TASK 4...........................................................................................................................................6 Recommendation on the expansion of the Eco-Fone to Kingston...............................................6 Recommendation on the expansion of the Eco-Fone to Kingston...............................................6 TASK 5............................................................................................................................................6 A. Calculation of Monthly costs of repayment mortgage...........................................................6 B. Logo of 8 mortgage lenders....................................................................................................7 TASK 6............................................................................................................................................7 Comparison of net taking of both shops of Eco-Fone.................................................................7 TASK 7...........................................................................................................................................8 Customer questionnaires..............................................................................................................8 TASK 8...........................................................................................................................................8 Appropriation of Poisson distribution and advise to them...........................................................8 TASK 10..........................................................................................................................................9 CONCLUSION................................................................................................................................9 TASK 9...........................................................................................................................................9 APPENDIX....................................................................................................................................10
INTRODUCTION Eco-Fone is working under the consumer electronics industry it is the Private limited company is which was founded on 18thAugust 2009 in United Kingdom.Eco – fone is a firm which deals with selling smartphones and other electronic accessories. Key employee is Mr. Michael David Bruford who is director and company secretary for the company (KUMAR, 2019). The Present report is based on brief overview about the UK mobile market. The report will cover the various forecasting methods such as line chart. Furthermore, assignmentwill analyse different featureswhich make smartphones so popular. Moreover, report will explain “ProsandConsmethod”foridentifythatcompanyshouldexpandthebusinessornot Furthermore, It will represent the logo of 8 mortgage lenders of UK calculate the repayment amount of mortgage loan and. Study will highlight the comparison the net taking between both shopsoffirm.Lastly,reportwillmeasuretheaveragevaluesfortheentitycustomers’ questionnaire. TASK 1 Overview of the mobile market in the UK Overview The success of Smart phone is increase day by day and the demand of smart phone is also increased. The sales of the smart phone is 1.5 billion annual sales, or over four million per day, Therefore, in recent times smart phone is becomes more popular the majority of people are purchase the phones. In year 2017, the penetration rate of smartphone was 85% which is lead to be enhanced by 90% in year 2020. Therefore, the industry of smart phone is increase as per the demand and needs of consumers so, the popularity is increasing with passing years. Mobile industry is considered to be international market where in this industry the level of competition ismore. By the analysing it can be described That Every day, 91 per cent of the 41 million 16 to75 year old peoples have a smartphone in the UK. Therefore, phone is the most usable device in the UK market and the mobile industry expand their business in the UK market in order to increase the sales and profitability. There are different types of consumer who use the smartphone on daily basis.Following table show the % of population and different types of age groups and their style of usages on the basis of teenagers, parents and grand parents. 1
Age Groups (% of UK Population)Usage Styles 16 to 18 (Teenagers) (30%)Use smartphones in a few minutes of waking up. 18 year (Teenagers) (34%)Use their mobiles within 10 minutes of waking up. 18 year (50%)Use their smartphones within 5 minutes prior of sleep 18 to 40 years (17%) (Teenagers and parents)Use their mobiles at least in every hour in a day. 16 to 19 years (12%) (Teenagers)Use their smartphones at least 100 or more than 100 times in a day. 16 to 75 years (34%) (Teenagers, parents and grand parents.) This all age group of people use their mobiles always with another activities such as eating, watching, talking or schooling, with friends etc. 16 to 75 years (12 %)Use their smartphones during watching TV and mid night. 18 to 75 years (53%)Usetheirsmartphonesduringcrossingthe road. 2
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Interpretation— from the above table, it can interpret that teenager are describes as (16 to 18) age group, parents are described as ( 40 to 50) age grumps and grand parents are described as 65 to 75 age group. Therefore, by analysing the percentage of population and usage style it can cycles describe that the People of UK is more attracted toward the phone services. Bar chart and their interpretation From the above chart, it can describe that smart phone is provided the easy work life balance to the customer. Thus, there are different work related activities which is done by the aid of smartphones. These activities are described below - Activities% in Year 2016% in year 2017 Emails41.00%37.00% Standards Calls33.00%32.00% Calender Management3.00%0% Managing my time8.00%6.00% TASK 2 Data on the usage of smartphones by Adults during 2012-2017 YearSmartphones Penetration Rates 201252.00% 3 1234 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 2016 2017 Series3
201362.00% 201470.00% 201576.00% 201681.00% 201785.00% 201890.00% 201995.00% There are different types of forecasting model such asTime-Series, Linear approach For the above linear chart, it describes the straight line which can be analysed and forecasting the relationship between independent and dependent variable. Thus, this method is not much suitable for forecasting because its only describe the straight line, that means the researcher are not clearly identify the relationship between variables (Cox, 2019). Thus, there are some reason why this method is not suitable for the forecasting and analysing such as - linear method is only describes straight relationship between variables.This is unable to prediction for seasonality or other cycles, as well as non-linearity. This methodis always devised that there is a straight relationship between variables, So it clearly defines it is the wrong in case of seasonal fluctuation relationships between variables (dependent and independent). 4 2013201420152016201720182019 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
The another disadvantage while using the linear forecasting method, in this method it defines that it includes independent data but in above chart, the data is dependent with each other, and they are not independent, Thus, forecasting the smart phone demand, this method is not suitable. Therefore, it can lead to non-suitability of linear forecasting method. Thus, Time series is another method which is suitable for forecast the smart phones demand.For the above linear chart, the forecasting and analysing is not clear so, time series forecasting helps to identify the series of data which is in the form of time order. So this method analysis the data on the basis of historical performance of the variable so, it can help to forecasting about its future. TASK 3 Analysing of the popularity of smartphones between older customers The popularity of smartphones among the older customer is increased day by day because of new trends and to make the easy work life. The modern smart phone have different types of feature which attracts the customer such as payment and booking facility. Thus, thisfeatures which are available in the modern smartphones which lead to enhance the sales and demand among the older customers whose age varies between 55 and 75 years in the year 2016-17. These features are as follows - Booking cabs Smart phone provide the various applications in their system customer can download and use which can be installed in mobile and through these applications, users or customers can order their cab or auto. This will help them in difficult situation. Facial recognition This is also one of the best system which operate under the mobile it helps to provide the better facility to older customer that they easily recognize the person by facial identification. Payment through Mobiles This is one of the best features which attracts the older customer mostly. For example, mostly older customers afraid of keeping a cash in purse. Thus, they encourage payment via mobile phone they are using smartphones and different types of payment app. These apps provide the benefits such as pay all the bills through online, recharges facilities, booking tickets and salaries through online apps available in the app store. So this all apps provide the best 5
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services to the customer so, they download all the apps in their mobiles and use it anytime for the purpose of making payment. TASK 4 Recommendation on the expansion of the Eco-Fone to Kingston Should we expand our business to Kingston? ProsScore/ 10 ConsScore/10 Increase in marketshare Recommendationonthe 9Shortage of cash7 Increase in Customer Base9Increase in costs of training7 Increase in demand8Enhance capital requirements6 Generate high revenue8Compromised in quality8 Increase resources and stock8Increase in Costs of production7 Total Pros42Total Cons35 Average Pros8.4Average Cons7 From the above table it can be interpreted ‘pros and cons method’, that describe the advantages of company that means firm should expand their business in Kingston. Recommendation Eco-Fone firmshould expand their business in Kingston because there are different advantages such as, if firm expand their business they enhance profits, Increase in their market share which will help for to grow more in international market (Mort, 2019). Customer base and demand of product will become increase which is helpful for the company probability. TASK 5 A. Calculation of Monthly costs of repayment mortgage Asking price400000 Negotiable price350000 15 years Repayment mortgage350000 Rate of mortgage7% Debt payment[((1+0.07)^15)-1]/[0.07*(1+0.07)^15] Total amount of loan / Discounting factor1.76/0.19 9.11 350000/9.11 Total amount of loan38419.32 Repayment amount on monthly basis38419.32/12 3201.61 6
From the above calculation it can be interpreted that the repayment amount for one year is £38419.32/12 and on the basis of monthly, repayment amount for the enterprise is £3201.61 B. Logo of 8 mortgage lenders TASK 6 Comparison of net taking of both shops of Eco-Fone Given ParticularsFigure Sample40 First shop (Mean) Average100 Standard deviation20 Second shop Mean90 Standard deviation40 Assessment of Z score value Table 1 Mean value of one shop100 Mean value of second shop90 Standard deviation (one shop)20 Z score assessment(100 – 90) / 20 0.5 Table 2 Mean value of one shop100 Mean value of second shop90 Standard deviation (two shop)40 Z score assessment(100 – 90) / 40 0.25 Conclusion From the above table is can be described that Z score is define as value of alpha, where p value is become smaller than 0.05 then null hypothesis is rejected and vice versa. Therefore, In table 1 and 2 both it described that this both value is higher than 0.05 so null hypothesis is accepted. Therefore, to analysing the both table it can be described that there is no significant 7
difference in net taking of both shops. TASK 7 Customer questionnaires ValueQues 1Ques 2Ques 3Ques 4Ques 5Ques 6 Mean3.43.62.43.12.92.9 Median33.5232.52.5 Mode352222 SD1.5771.641.071.371.521.52 Range553444 Minimu m 111111 Maximu m 553444 TASK 8 Appropriation of Poisson distribution and advise to them Poisson random variable2 Mean rate of success15 Poisson probability P(X=2)0.000 Cumulative probability P(X<2)0.000 Cumulative probability P(X>2)1 Cumulative probability P(X>=2)1 From the above case, it can be predicted that appropriate Poisson Distribution increases when the event for error return can be occurred three time in a month. Henceforth. In this case event was occurred so many times in a specific period (Tourism, 2019). Here the occurrence doesn't change in any manner because it is constant. So, this method is appropriate for the given case. Advise It is advised that company should focus on their minor error returning probability. Hence, firm should maintain their current financial standards for enhance the future growth. Therefore, To minimizing the errors and problems it can be reduced probability of loss and it positively impacts on the performance of the firm that it can lead to enhance the profitability. 8
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TASK 10 CONCLUSION From the above project report it can summarize that the demand of the smart phone is increased due toused by different generation and age groups of the people. The report has describedtheforecastingmethodswhichhelpstopredictthedemandofsmartphones. Furthermore, report has explained the porn and cons method to expand the business in different market which can help to enhance the probability of the firm. Lastly, it has described various types of graphs should be bases upon the data collected by the varioussources. TASK 9 BOOKS AND JOURNALS Tourism, S.B. 2019. Canada Small Business Financing Program: Cost-Benefit Analysis–May 2019-SME research and statistics.Innovation. Mort, D. 2019.UK statistics: a guide for business users. Routledge. KUMAR, A. 2019. Applications of Statistics Tools in Business. Johnson, R.A. and Bhattacharyya, G.K.2019.Statistics: principles and methods. John Wiley & Sons. Cox, R.W. 2019.Business and the state in international relations. Routledge. Larson, R. and Farber, B. 2019.Elementary statistics. Pearson. Online Smartphonesalesboomwithover-55s.2017.[ONLINE].Availablethrough: <https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-41319684> 9