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ECON1020 Country Report Cover Sheet a.Name: b.Student number: c.Allocated country:Finland d.Declaration: ☒(Tick the box by clicking it) e.Declaration: ☐(Tick the box only if it is applicable)
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1.Executive summary Finland is one of the most developed countries and member of OECD. Among the four Nordic countries, Finland holds the number one position for FDI attractiveness. During the period of 2011 to 2018, the GDP, and GDP per capita remained much higher for Finland, inflation rate showed a downward trend, however, unemployment rate demonstrated fluctuations, although it is highest in Finland among the four Nordic countries, but the performance is much better compared to the OECD average. This report provides a synopsis of the macroeconomic performance of Finland between 2011 and 2018, followed by its benchmarking to Denmark, its Nordic neighbour and another highly developed peer from the OECD. The investment attractiveness and potentiality has been discussed in the report and the environmental issues occurred due to high level of economic social developed have been highlighted also. Based on the findings, some recommendations have been provided and limitations for implementing those recommendations are also discussed.
2.Macroeconomic performance of Finland a.Economy of Finland is one of the mostly developed economies of the European continent. It is a modern mixed market economy with very high living standards, improved quality of life, high per capita income, very high level of the government services system, and dependence on international trade. Service sector constitutes around 72.7% of the Finnish economy. In the last decade, that is, 2011 onwards Finland has shown significant growth. The GDP has increased, unemployment decreased, and inflation rate (annual percentage) has shown downward trend indicating a stable growth for the country. Finland is one of the developed industrialized countries with high level of productivity (Ec.europa.eu 2019). The trend of GDP per capita at current US$, inflation rate (annual percentage) and unemployment rate in Finland for the period 2011 to 2018 (World Bank 2020) are presented in the images below. Figure1: GDP per capita (current US $), Finland, 2011 -2018 (Source: World Bank 2020)
Figure2: Inflation rate trend in Finland, 2011- 2018 (Source: World Bank 2020) Figure3: Unemployment rates in Finland, 2011 - 2018 (Source: World Bank 2020) It can be seen that all the three indicators have shown progress over the period between 2011 and 2018. GDP per capita for Finland has shown a fluctuation,
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especially, there was a sharp fall in 2015 and then gradually, the GDP per capita increased again. The inflation rate has shown a downward trend since 2011. It became lowest and negative to -0.21% in 2015 and gradually increased again since 2016. The unemployment rate showed increased and then decrease since 2015 and the unemployment rate was 7.76% in 2018. All these indicators show a trend of positive economic growth for Finland. b.The above mentioned three macroeconomic indicators are closely related and these are three major pillars of economic growth of a country. GDP refers to the monetary value of all the finished goods and services produced within the geographic boundaries of a nation during a given financial year and GDP per capita refers to the total GDP divided by the total population. Inflation rate indicates the percentage increase in the overall price level of the nation and unemployment rate indicates the percentage of eligible workforce looking for jobs but are unable to get one (Cowell, 2018). Thus, GDP indicates the economic health of a nation, and increase in GDP per capita implies growth of GDP per head; increased inflation implies increased domestic demand and growth in money supply in the economy, which also follows from fall in the unemployment rate. According to Oecd.org (a) (2019), since 2015, the GDP and GDP per capita of Finland grew steadily and high level of employment in the private sector contributed in rise in wage. Furthermore, there was growth in consumer spending and investment rebound, causing inflation to rise, were the drivers of economic growth in Finland. The CPI (annual percentage) was weaker than the countries in the euro zone. c.Finland’s economic freedom score is 74.9, which makes it 20thmost liberal nation in 2019. Structural reforms, investments and the fiscal responsibility of the government are some of the major factors that will continue to contribute in the economic growth. Public investments are higher than the private investments. There is increase in labour productivity showing a promising picture of the economy. According to the trends in GDP per capita, inflation rate and unemployment rate, it is estimated that the steady rate of growth will continue to occur. The growing labour market
and growing investment in the economy are supportive of increasing private consumption. The macroeconomic policies are expected to remain supportive. However, the economic growth is forecasted to slow down to 1.1% in 2020 (Ec.europa.eu, 2019). Except for consumer spending, the other GDP components are estimated to slow down. Even if unemployment rate falls, there are shortages of skilled labour. The public finances are estimated to show larger surplus in 2020. 3.Benchmarking a.Benchmarking is necessary to evaluate the scope of a country for a particular economic activity by comparing with a standard. In other words, benchmarking refers to the process to measure the performance of an economy against the performances of other economies considered to be superior in the global economy. In economics, the internal improvement opportunities are identified through benchmarking and countries are compared on the basis of their performances and resources to evaluate further scope of improvement in the performances (Peng, 2018). This is also helpful in understanding the investment opportunities and the potential return on investment from the economy and thus, benchmarking is beneficial for investment decision making. To measure and evaluate the economic performance of Finland, Denmark, one of the most developed countries of OECD and Finland’s Nordic neighbour, can be used as benchmark. Finland holds the highest rank for being the most attractive FDI destination among the Nordic countries. For 7 consecutive years, Finland has acquired the maximum amount of FDI compared to its neighbours. Social services, health services, software, business and expert services are the major sectors that attracted around half of the total investments. In 2018, the investments increased by 2% to 194 units from 191 units in 2017, while that in Denmark was 56, down by 35%. Software was the main target for FDI which had 53 projects in 2018 (Heiskanen, 2019). Social and health services grabbed 22 projects, which made Finland to account for almost a quarter of the total investment projects across Europe. 30% of all the projects in Finland is run by FDI. Helsinki, the capital city of Finland, has 95 FDI projects compared to 32 in Copenhagen, the capital of Denmark (Heiskanen,
2019). Along with the macroeconomic performances, the social, political and technological factors are also favourable for FDI in Finland. Denmark among the OECD nations is considered as the benchmark for Finland. OECD stands for the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development. Among the OECD members, Denmark is highly developed and a high income economy. They engage in cooperation for similar type of issues (Worldpopulationreview.com 2020). Denmark and Finland both are Nordic neighbours with similar type of culture and economic set up. According to the Macroeconomic Outlook Report, Nordics – 2019, both Denmark and Finland showed economic progress in the last decade, however, Finland’s performance was more prominent (Macroeconomic Outlook Report, 2019). Among the Nordic countries, Denmark and Finland has the lowest inflation rates, and unemployment rate is highest in Finland. Thus, in such a context, it is easier to benchmark Finland to Denmark for understanding Finland’s economic performance and attractiveness for investment. b.The education, skills and subjective wellbeing in Finland are found to be the highest across all the OECD countries, and it ranks higher in respect of most of the dimensions like income, wealth, heath status, jobs, earnings, environmental quality, social connections, personal security, work-life balance, housing quality and affordability (Oecdbetterlifeindex.org, 2020). The gender gap is very low in Finland among all OECD nations. According to the report on performance comparison of all the member countries of OECD, it is seen that Finland has performed mostly better than the OECD average. For example, in 2017, in the labour market, Finland has 74.3 % employment rate, higher than the OECD average of 72.1%, in gender labour income gap in 2015, Finland has got the rank of top OECD performer with a score of 21.4%, which is again better than the OECD average of 38.1%. In 2015, Finland performed better with 21.2 USD for earnings quality, higher than the OECD average of 16.6 USD and Denmark was the top performer for earnings quality, with 29.8 USD (Oecd.org (b) 2020). The summary of the labour market performance is shown in the image below.
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Figure4: Labour market performance of Finland (Source: Oecd.org (b) 2020) On the other hand, the resilience in the labour market in Finland is higher than the OECD average. This can be attributed to the reason that GDP is driven by the contraction in the low labour intensive industries. Labour productivity was hampered during and after the global financial crisis, which resulted in higher unemployment. This increased 2016 onwards showing higher per capita output and that was supported by innovations and new investments. The productivity growth of labour between 2010 and 2016 is higher than the OECD average. Moreover, Finland is a market leader in innovations among the OECD countries. Figure5: Framework conditions for Finland
(Source: Oecd.org (b) 2020) The statistics regarding tax revenues show that in 2018, Finland’s total tax revenue percentage in GDP was 42.7%, taxes on the incomes and profits as a percentage of GDP was 14.9%, social security contributions as a percentage of GDP was 11.9% and percentage of taxes on the property as part of GDP was 1.4% (Oecd.org (c) 2019). Thus, it can be said that the economy of Finland has been performing moderately well in the period between 2011 and 2018 compared to other countries in OECD and therefore, it has become one of the major attractions for the foreign investors. 4.Beyond macroeconomics a.There are many issues that arise as a consequence of economic development of a country. Those can be social, political, economic, environmental or technical issues. Finland, despite having a good record of economic performance over the last decade, is facing the challenge of a big global issue of environmental sustainability. As the country has been experiencing a high level of development, the environmental issues are also increasing. Finland has a history of logging and that has significant negative effect on the native ecosystem. Logging has made around 700 forest species endangered according to a report by the World Wildlife Fund (WWF). The level of natural reserve is quite limited and decreasing number of old trees are increasing sustainability challenge for the wildlife (Smith, 2018). Apart from the forest biodiversity damage, the logging is creating pollution for the rivers, waterways and groundwater, causing vulnerability for the fresh water sources. Fertilizers from the agriculture is also adding to this problem. Nitrogen and the sulphur pollutants were much greater in Finland in the 1980s than many other European nations. The Finnish government has been implementing measures to reduce pollutants from the rivers and lakes (finland.fi, 2020).
The air pollution is also increasing in Finland. The transport and the agricultural sectors are the major sources for growing accumulation of the air pollutants in the atmosphere. The level of sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen oxides (NOx), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), lead, benzene, particulate matter, ozone, carbon monoxide (CO) and some heavy metal particles is quite high in the air, causing concerns for Finland and the sustainability. The Finnish government is taking efforts to keep most of the substances within the limits defined by the EU, however, more efforts are required to reduce the NO2 and particulate matter in the atmosphere (oecd 2016). The energy sector also contributes in the air pollution as it depends mostly on the fossil fuels (finland.fi, 2020). Furthermore, Finland has arctic regions which has very different climate along with different species of animals and plants. The Finnish government puts extra effort to preserve the pristine arctic environment. This is aimed at supporting the promotion of the sustainable initiatives for achieving the sustainable development goals in the developing countries as well as in Finland itself, and also for the Baltic Sea. The increasing pollution from the agricultural, transport and energy sectors is a growing concern for the country as increasing development results in rising demand for food, automobiles and energy. With economic growth, there is massive increase in tourism, which is also affecting the sustainability (finland.fi, 2020). This hampers the plans to achieve the sustainable development goals for Finland. 5.Recommendations a.From the above discussion, it can be said that Finland is highly suitable as an investment destination. The macroeconomic progress of the country is highly promising. The GDP per capita of Finland is one of the highest among the OECD countries and among the Nordic neighbours. This also implies a growing GDP for the country which is attractive for foreign investments. Furthermore, the inflation rate is lowest and unemployment rate is high but better in comparison to the OECD average. Thus, Finland is a good destination for investment. Based on these indicators, it can be said that the rate of return will be higher and better for the international investments.
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b.The investments can take place for overcoming the environmental issues, which is one of the major challenges of Finland at present. Initiatives must be taken to reduce the logging to save the forests and wildlife, reduce the usage of harmful chemicals in agriculture, so that the fresh water sources can be less polluted. Similarly, investments should be made in the energy sector to increase the production of renewable energy and implementation of clean and green technologies in different sectors. Dependency on the fossil fuel must be reduced for reducing air pollution. Therefore, it can be said that FDI has much greater scopes for contributing in the Finnish economy, which would not only help the nation to achieve better progress and sustainability, but would also help in the overall growth and development for the OECD countries and achieving the overall SDGs by the United Nations. c.There are some limitations for implementing the recommendations in Finland. For example, as the economic situations are changing very fast, the initiatives and investments should be highly dynamic and flexible so that the programs can adapt to the new environment and projects. Secondly, as the software and service sectors are the major attractions for Finland, thus, to deliver more services and attract more investment, they require more skilled human resources.
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