Economic Growth and Policy Framework of Australia (2012-2017)
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This report analyses the economic growth of Australia over the last five years (2012-2017), thereby analysing the economic policy framework of the country. The report also tries to discuss the industries which have grown in the country over the years, thereby trying to analyse the reason behind the growth of the concerned industries.
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Running head: ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT Economics Assignment Name of the Student Name of the University Author Note
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1ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT Executive Summary The economy of Australia has developed over the years and has eventually emerged as one of the most influential economies in the global scenario. The economy of the country has been known for its stability and robust performances in all the growth indicators over the years, which also include the last five years, where the parameters of economic growth have shown mixed responses. The policy framework of the government of Australia can be considered to be one of the primary contributors to the economic growth, development and overall stability of the country, especially at the times of internal as well as external turmoil in the economic scenario. The industrial aspects of the country have also been experiencing a primary shift from manufacturing to service sector expansions and a movement from low skilled labour-intensive jobs to creation of more skilled and capital-intensive jobs and businesses with the increasing innovations in technologies and increased capital investment dynamics in the country in the last five years.
2ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT Table of Contents Introduction................................................................................................................................3 Economic growth of Australia...................................................................................................4 Economic Growth Trends of Australia (2012-2017).............................................................4 GDP (Different variants) and GDP Growth Rate in Australia (2012-2017)......................5 Inflation rate in Australia (2012-2017)..............................................................................9 Consumption Expenditures (2012-2017) in Australia.....................................................10 Unemployment Rate (2012-2017) in Australia................................................................11 Economic Policy Framework of Australian Government........................................................12 Growth of Industries in Australia (2012-2017)........................................................................15 Reasons for growth of service sector industry in Australia.................................................17 Conclusion................................................................................................................................17 References................................................................................................................................19
4ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT thereby analysing the economic policy framework of the country. The report also tries to discuss the industries which have grown in the country over the years, thereby trying to analyse the reason behind the growth of the concerned industries. Economic growth of Australia As discussed above, the economy of Australia has developed visibly over the decades, with a highly developed industrial sector and a prominent service sector, which has been growing significantly over the years. Australia has over the years, emerged as a mining as well as technological giant and much of the current prosperity of the country can be attributed to the mining boom which Australia started experiencing in 2003 (Downes, Hanslow and Tulip 2014). Australia, apart from a prosperous economy also has multi-lateral and long-term trade connections with almost all the significant economies in the world in the contemporary period, which in turn also contributes to the economic growth of the country over the years (McLean 2012). Economic Growth Trends of Australia (2012-2017) The growth of an economy, in general, is measured in terms of the dynamics in the economic growth indicators like that of the Gross Domestic Product (real as well as nominal), the growth rates of GDP and also the per-capita GDP growth rate of the country and others. In case of Australia, over the last five years, the Gross National Income has grown steadily which can be shown with the help of the following figure:
5ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT Figure 1: Gross National Income (2012-2017) of Australia in AUD million (Source: Tradingeconomics.com 2018) As is evident from the above figure, the gross national income of the country has been increasing consistently, with the increase being especially prominent post 2015. GDP (Different variants) and GDP Growth Rate in Australia (2012-2017) This extremely positive pattern of growth of the Gross National Income of the country, however, does not tally fully with that of the GDP and GDP growth statistics of the country in the concerned period as can be seen from the following figure:
6ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT Figure 2: GDP (2012-2017) of Australia in USD million (Source: Tradingeconomics.com 2018) The economy of Australia, in spite of being one of the most dominant and developed economy in the global scenario, known for its economic stability and robust performance of the economic indicators over the decades, however, shows a strikingly negative trend in one of its primary economic indicators, the GDP of the country, which in turn, shows the total value of the goods and services produced within the geographical domain of the country within a particular period (Coale and Hoover 2015). The GDP of Australia, as is evident from the above figure, is seen to reduce consistently over the last few years, with the amount being 1538.19 billion USD (2012) to as low as 1204.62 billion USD in the recent periods. This in turn indicates towards a downturn in the growth of the economy of the country. This can be explained even prominently with the help of the dynamics in the growth rate of the Gross Domestic Product of the country, which can be seen as follows:
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7ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT Figure 3: Growth rate of GDP (2012-2017) in Australia (Source: Tradingeconomics.com 2018) As can be seen from the above figure, the growth rate of GDP of the country has experienced considerable fluctuations over the last five years, with the fluctuations being much more evident post 2016, as can be seen from the huge dip in the growth rate in end quarter of 2016, which was however overcame by the economy quickly in the succeeding periods (Ianchovichina and Walmsley 2012). Thus, from the above statistical evidences, it can be asserted the economy of the country, has not bee experiencing a positive trend in its GDP and GDP growth dynamics over the last few years. However, the growth of GDP alone cannot fully reflect the overall economic growth and economic well being of the population of a country at a point of time (Downes, Hanslow and Tulip 2014). The growth and development of the economy of a country also depends on the distribution of the GDP across the population of the country, which is to some extent, measured by the Per-Capita GDP of the country, which in turn indicates the average income of the members of the population of the country. In case of Australia, this can be seen from the following figure:
8ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT Figure 4: Per-capita GDP (2012-2017) of Australia (Source: Tradingeconomics.com 2018) From the above figure it can be seen that the per-capita GDP dynamics in Australia has been almost contradictory to that of the dynamics shown in the GDP and growth rate of GDP as a whole in the country, as the same is seen to be consistently increasing over the last five years. However, the per-capita GDP, being a nominal measure itself, does not act as a perfect indicator of the actual economic well-being and purchasing power of the population of the country. Thus, the consistent increase in the per-capita GDP of the country can be attributed to actual income growth of the population of the country or also to a consistently increasing price levels in the country due to the presence of high inflation. In order to remove the above-mentioned bias and to efficiently analyse the economic wellbeing of each of the citizen of Australia in the last few years, the Purchasing Power Parity adjusted GDP per-capita of the country can be observed, the concept of PPP being an actual measure of the real purchasing power of the people in the economy (McKinnon and Ohno 2016). For Australia, the same and its dynamics over the last few years, can be seen as follows:
9ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT Figure 5: Per-Capita GDP (Purchasing Power Parity Adjusted) of Australia (2012- 2017) (Source: Tradingeconomics.com 2018) Like that of the per-capita GDP, the Purchasing Power Adjusted GDP of Australia can also be seen to be increasing steadily and consistently within the period of 2012-2017, which indicates towards the fact that the economic health of the country and the individual economic well being of the citizens of the same may not be as gloomy as is asserted by the GDP and the GDP growth rate of the country alone. However, there are other economic indicators apart from GDP and its variants, which are also required to be taken into account in order to get a wholesome insight about the overall growth and performance of a country. Keeping this into consideration, the other important economic indicators of Australia and their performance and contribution to the growth of the economy of the country over the last five years, can be seen from the following section.
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10ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT Inflation rate in Australia (2012-2017) The rate of inflation in an economy shows the change in the overall price levels prevailing in the country with time. Thus, the presence of excessively high inflation rate in an economy can be considerably detrimental for the economic well being of its population in terms of their purchasing power and consumption patterns. On the other hand, the presence of extremely low inflation can also mean decrease in the economic activities and stagnation of the economy. Figure 6: Rate of inflation (2012-2017) (Source: Tradingeconomics.com 2018) As is evident from the above figure, the rate of inflation, which had been considerably high in the country, till 2014, started decreasing considerably post 2014 and is currently at a moderate level (a little higher than 2%) in 2017. This is, in its turn a positive aspect of the economic growth of the country and the steady increase in the PPP adjusted per-capita GDP can be attributed to this moderate rate of inflation in the current period (Australia 2014). This in turn, can be one of the primary reasons behind the steady growth of another growth indicator of the economy, which is the consumer expenditure over the years.
11ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT Consumption Expenditures (2012-2017) in Australia In general, the amount of consumption expenditure in the country and its dynamics shows the economic well being of the residents of the country which in turn also reflects towards the dynamics in the overall productivity in the economy of the country. Figure 7: Consumption expenditure (2012-2017) in Australia (Source: Tradingeconomics.com 2018) The steady increase in the consumption expenditure in Australia over the last five years indicates towards the presence of considerable economic well-being of the overall population of the country and also towards the increase in the industrial and commercial prospects of the country due to the induced increase in the productivity of the country, due to an increasing aggregate demand over the years (Australia 2014). Unemployment Rate (2012-2017) in Australia The economic growth of a country is also measure by the number of jobs present and the scopes of creation of new jobs in the economy as higher job scopes indicates towards moreemploymentinthecountry,whichinturnindicatestowardshighereconomic productivity of the country.
12ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT Figure 8: Unemployment rate (2012-2017) in Australia (Source: Tradingeconomics.com 2018) As is evident from the above figure, the unemploymentrate, which increased considerably till 2015, has decreased post 2015, which in turn indicates towards the creation of new jobs in the Australian economy, which in turn can be considered as one of the positive aspects of the growth dynamics of the economy of the country. Thus, from the above discussion, it can be asserted that the economy of Australia experiencedmixeddynamicsinitsdifferenteconomicindicators,withanegative performance of the GDP and GDP growth rate indicators but a comparatively impressive performance in other economic indicators. Economic Policy Framework of Australian Government The policy frameworks and the strategies taken by the government of any country play significant roles in the aspect of influencing the growth and development of the economy of the country over time. In this context, given that in spite of all odds, the economic growth of Australia is much higher than most of the other developed countries (as
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13ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT can be seen from the following figure), much of this can be attributed to the policy framework adopted by the government of the country over the last few years. Figure 9: Growth rate of major economies (2016-2017) (Source: Budget.gov.au 2018) The primary components of the economic policy framework of the country are as follows: ï‚·A pro-industry and pro-commerce outlook, which makes the business and commerce environment more favourable for growth and expansion of new industries. ï‚·The infant industries and SMEs receive considerable aid and financial support as well as protection from the government which ensures their growth over time (Butlin 2013). ï‚·The fiscal stimuli and automatic stabilizers present in the fiscal policy framework of the country are seen to be considerably efficient as can be seen from the way the
14ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT government managed to keep the economy of the country afloat even in the times of the Global Financial Crisis. ï‚·The deficit exit strategy of the government is one of the primary positive and efficient components and the government maintains the concerned framework by holding the real growth of spending to 2% per year till budget surplus is created and also by varying the nature of tax receipts naturally, which in turn helps the government to keep the economy afloat during the times of turmoil through deficit financing. ï‚·The policy framework of the government of Australia, also focusses on increasing the employment in the economy in order to increase the economic prospects of the country, which can be expected to be one of the primary reason behind the fall in the unemployment of the country in the last few years. This can be seen from the following figure which shows the sector-wise creation of jobs in the last year: Figure 10: Creation of jobs in different sectors of Australia (2017) (Source: Budget.gov.au 2018) As is evident from the above figure, that apart from the loss of mining jobs (attributed to the withering out of mining boom) and manufacturing jobs, the country
15ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT saw creation of almost 300,000 jobs in different sectors in the last year, which in turn canbeattributedtothejobcreationpoliciesoftheeconomyofthecountry (Groenewegen and McFarlane 2014). ï‚·The government of the country also has provisions for the average full-time workers in terms of prolonged low-tax periods, which clubbed with their supports to small businesses contribute in increasing the per-capita GDP and the purchasing power as well as the aggregated demand in the country as can be seen from the above discussion. ï‚·Australianpolicyframeworkinvestssignificantlyinqualityinfrastructuraland communicationchannelwhichinturnhelpsinindustrialandservicesector development of the country. Thus, from the above discussion, it can be asserted that the policy framework of Australia is considerably robust and contributes significantly in its economic growth and overall development of the country and also helps in maintaining the stability of the economy to a considerable extent, especially at times of economic turmoil. Growth of Industries in Australia (2012-2017) In the recent years, the economy of Australia has been experiencing a highly visible shift in the patterns of job creation as well as in the pattern of the type of industries which have been expanding. The country, which was previously known for its highly developed and expanding manufacturing and mining industries, in the recent period has been experiencing a fall in the share and size of those industries (Budget.gov.au 2018). On the other hand, different service related industries can be observed to be growing impressively as can be seen from the following figure:
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16ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT Figure 11: Industry-wise share of total employment in Australia over the years (Source: Rba.gov.au 2018) The increase in the growth of the different service sector industries can be explained more explicitly with the help of the following figure: Figure 12: Industry growth by skill type (Source: Rba.gov.au 2018)
17ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT From the above figures, it is evident that the different service sector industries, primarily health care services, education, professional and technological services as well as transport, mining and financial service industries have been expanding in the country while the manufacturing industry has been shrinking. Reasons for growth of service sector industry in Australia Theprimaryreasonbehindtheabove-mentionedshiftoftheeconomyfrom manufacturingindustriestoservicesectorindustriescanbeattributedtothehuge technological innovations in the country and also to the movement of the industrial sector of the economy to capital-intensive industries from the labour-intensive ones (Clerkin and Coggburn 2012). Apart from the development of industrial capital, the skill levels of the workers in the economy are also increasing as a whole, thereby empowering them to engage in the different high-skilled service sector jobs, which in turn is seen to result in the developmentofthedifferentcapital-intensiveservicesectorindustriesandaparallel shrinkage in the basic agricultural and manufacturing industries in the country in recent periods. Conclusion From the above discussion, it is evident that the economy of Australia, in the contemporary periods, has been experiencing mixed dynamics in its different economic growth indicators. While the GDP and the growth rate of the same do not show much optimism,theper-capitaGDP(bothnormalandPPPadjusted),theinflationrate, consumption expenditures as well as unemployment rates are showing favourable dynamics in the current period, thereby indicating towards a robust growth trend in the economy as a whole. Much of these dynamics in the economic growth of the country can be asserted to a robust policy framework of the government, which has developed impressively over the years. The industrial sector of the country has also been experiencing a major shift, in the
18ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT sense that that the service sector of the country has been developing immensely while the basic manufacturing and subsistence agricultural sector have been reducing, owing to the increase in the capital investments and overall skill development of the labour force as a whole in the country in the contemporary period.
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19ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT References Australia,M.,2014.CompetetoProsper:ImprovingAustralia’sglobal competitiveness.Sydney Australia. Budget.gov.au (2018). [online] Budget.gov.au. Available at: http://www.budget.gov.au/2010- 11/content/economic_statement/html/economic_statement-04.htm [Accessed 5 May 2018]. Budget.gov.au (2018).Budget 2016-17 - Sticking to our national economic plan for jobs and growth in a stronger, new and more diversified economy. [online] Budget.gov.au. Availableat:http://budget.gov.au/2016-17/content/glossies/jobs-growth/html/ [Accessed 5 May 2018]. Butlin, N.G., 2013.Investment in Australian economic development, 1861-1900. Cambridge University Press. Clerkin, R.M. and Coggburn, J.D., 2012. The dimensions of public service motivation and sector work preferences.Review of Public Personnel Administration,32(3), pp.209- 235. Coale,A.J.andHoover,E.M.,2015.Populationgrowthandeconomicdevelopment. Princeton University Press. Downes, P.M., Hanslow, K. and Tulip, P., 2014. The effect of the mining boom on the Australian economy. Dyster, B. and Meredith, D., 2012.Australia in the global economy: continuity and change. Cambridge University Press.
20ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT Groenewegen, P. and McFarlane, B., 2014.A History of Australian Economic Thought (Routledge Revivals). Routledge. Ianchovichina, E. and Walmsley, T.L. eds., 2012.Dynamic modeling and applications for global economic analysis. Cambridge University Press. McKinnon, R.I. and Ohno, K., 2016. 7 Purchasing power parity as a monetary.The Future of the International Monetary System: Change, Coordination of Instability?: Change, Coordination of Instability?, p.42. McLean, I.W., 2012.Why Australia prospered: The shifting sources of economic growth. Princeton University Press. Rba.gov.au (2018).The Changing Nature of the Australian Workforce | Speeches | RBA. [online]ReserveBankofAustralia.Availableat: https://www.rba.gov.au/speeches/2016/sp-so-2016-09-21.html[Accessed5May 2018]. Tradingeconomics.com (2018).Australia Consumer Spending | 1959-2018 | Data | Chart | Calendar.[online]Tradingeconomics.com.Availableat: https://tradingeconomics.com/australia/consumer-spending [Accessed 5 May 2018]. Tradingeconomics.com (2018).Australia GDP | 1960-2018 | Data | Chart | Calendar | Forecast|News.[online]Tradingeconomics.com.Availableat: https://tradingeconomics.com/australia/gdp [Accessed 5 May 2018]. Tradingeconomics.com (2018).Australia GDP Growth Rate | 1959-2018 | Data | Chart | Calendar|Forecast.[online]Tradingeconomics.com.Availableat: https://tradingeconomics.com/australia/gdp-growth [Accessed 5 May 2018].