2ECONOMIC PRINCIPLES Task 6 Answer 1 Under condition of self-employment Mr. Lee earned $3500. After joining the mining company, the salary of Mr. Lee is $4000. Change∈Mr.≤e'sincome=$4000−$3500 ¿$500 As a consequence of closing down of Mr. Lee’s income, two employees were dismissed with each previously earn $1000. Loss in income due to unemployment Lostsalaries=$1000×2 ¿$2000 Instead, the employees now receive an unemployment benefit of $500. Totalunemploymentbenefit=($500×2) ¿$1000 The unemployment benefit is not a part of national income as there is no productive activity in return of these payments (Fontana and Setterfield 2016). Totalchange∈nationalincome=$500−$2000 ¿−$1500 Answer 2 Year-end inflation rate for March 2018 quarter
4ECONOMIC PRINCIPLES 20112.99 20122.20 20132.75 20141.72 20151.69 20161.48 20171.91 Answer 4 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 MarchJunSepDec 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 Year-end inflation rate Inflation rate Year Inflation rate Figure 1: Trend in Year-end inflation rate for each quarter Answer 5 GDP does not include second hand goods as the good has already been counted in GDP computation of the year in which it is originally produced (Peck 2016). Therefore, purchase of used copy of the unit textbook from the friend is not included in GDP.
5ECONOMIC PRINCIPLES Answer 6 Purchase of machinery is a part of business fixed investment and is included in the GDP. As the publisher buys a new printing machine, this adds to current year investment and hence, included in GDP. The purchase of printing machine thus increase investment in the current year resulting in an increase in GDP. Answer 7 Price in a market in determined depending on both demand and supply condition in the market. Events affecting demand or supply or both lead to a change in market price. Natural disasters are considered as supply shocks as they hamper production by destroying resources (Cowell 2018). As given in the case study, the Cycle Larry significantly hampered banana harvesting. The decline in banana harvests due to the natural reduces resulted in a shortage in the market. Given the demand, the supply shortage leads to an increase in price. This was the reason why banana price increased in June 2006 by more than 250 percent. The microeconomic impact of such natural disaster on market price has been discussed below. Figure 2: Effect of Cyclone on price of banana
6ECONOMIC PRINCIPLES Because of cyclone majority of harvested banana had been destroyed. This caused the supply curve to shift leftward from SS to S1S1.As supply contracted given the demand, equilibrium shifts from E to E1, market price at equilibrium increased to P1and available quantity fell to Q1. The event also affects one of the important macroeconomic indicators called Consumer Price Index (CPI). CPI gives an estimation of overall price level by considering a specific basket of items. Banana is included in the CPI as one item purchased in daily life (Cohn 2015). Therefore, noticeable increase in Banana price influenced CPI and hence, the inflation rate. The estimated CPI showed an increase by 0.6 percent during the same time. The occurrence of Cyclone causes an overestimation of computed CPI. Price here increase because of a sudden fall in supply keeping the demand same. This is called substitution bias in CPI where it is assumed that people continue the buy the good at higher price though actually they substitute the high priced good with some cheaper alternative (Baker 2016). Task 7 Answer 1
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7ECONOMIC PRINCIPLES Figure 4: Impact of a decline in consumer confidence (long-run) In the long run, as the economy already reaches to its potential output, the long-run supply is fixed and is given by the vertical straight line. The aggregate demand curve is downward sloping as like the short run. As consumer confidence declines, there is a fall in consumption expenditure (Sadat 2017). This causes aggregate demand curve to shift leftward to AD1.In the long run, output remains fixed at the potential level (Y*) while the price level falls. Figure 5: Impact of a decline in consumer confidence (short-run)
8ECONOMIC PRINCIPLES In contrast to long run, aggregate supply curve in the short run is upward sloping. A fall in aggregate demand due to fall in consumer confidence thus changed both aggregate output and price level. Real GDP contracts to Y1and price level declines to P1. Answer 2 An increase in interest rate due to increase in domestic price increases the cost of investment. The higher interest rate lowers consumption (as saving increases) and investment resulting in decline in aggregate demand. The aggregate demand curve shifts to the left.
9ECONOMIC PRINCIPLES Answer 3 If economic growth in other countries slows down, there is decline in income if these countries causing export demand to decline (Mitchell 2019). As export falls, there is decline in net export which shifts the aggregate demand curve inward. Answer 4 In order to examine whether the economy is likely to enter a recession, performance trend of different macroeconomic indicators should be evaluated. The major indicators in this direction include GrossDomestic Product, rate of inflation,trend in unemployment,stock market performance, position of currency, trade balance and the like. Data presenting movement of these indicators should be evaluated to examine whether the economy is experiencing a phase of economic contraction (Mankiw 2014). As the economy enters in a contraction, GDP falls due to contraction of major economic activities, unemployment increases, inflation falls and currency weakens. Overall, there is s dissatisfactory movement in major indicators.
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10ECONOMIC PRINCIPLES References Baker, D., 2016.Getting Prices Right: Debate Over the Consumer Price Index: Debate Over the Consumer Price Index. Routledge. Cohn, S.M., 2015.Reintroducing Macroeconomics: A Critical Approach: A Critical Approach. Routledge. Cowell, F., 2018.Microeconomics: principles and analysis. Oxford University Press. Fontana,G.andSetterfield,M.eds.,2016.Macroeconomictheoryandmacroeconomic pedagogy. Springer. Mankiw, N.G., 2014.Brief principles of macroeconomics. Cengage Learning. Mitchell, W., 2019.Macroeconomics. Macmillan International Higher Education. Peck, J., 2016. Macroeconomic geographies.Area Development and Policy,1(3), pp.305-322. Sadat, S.D., 2017. Rethinking Macroeconomics: An Introduction.International Journal of Economics, Management and Accounting,25(3), pp.635-639.