Brexit Referendum and Emergence of Populism in EU Economy
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This paper analyzes the EU economy that leads to the emergence of populism in this part of the world. It also discusses the reason for the Brexit referendum and the impacts of the strains on the political, social and international relations.
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1 ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT
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2 Contents Introduction................................................................................................................................3 The reason for the Brexit referendum and the emergence of populism.....................................3 Analysis of the monetary and fiscal related economic strain in the EU....................................3 Impacts of the strains on the political, social and international relations..................................4 Conclusion..................................................................................................................................5 Reference....................................................................................................................................6
3 Introduction EuropeanUnionhasbeenoneofthetorchbearersoftechnologicalandeconomic advancementinthefieldofglobaleconomy.Europeaneconomieshaveexperienced impressiveeconomicgrowthovertheyears(Aldcroft,Morewood&Stephen,2001). However, the populist viewpoint has made its way into the collaborative efforts of the European Union that resulted in the Exit of Britain from the European Union. The advocates of the Brexit stated that one of the main reasons for the Brexit referendum is the economic strain that included a rising unemployment rate in many parts of Europe after the global economic crisis of the year 2008. The objective of this paper is to present an analysis of the EU economy that leads to the emergence of populism in this part of the world. The reason for the Brexit referendum and the emergence of populism One of the biggest reasons for the Brexit referendum is the economic strain that EU was under after it experienced the blow from the severe economic crisis of the year 2008. The economy of the EU experienced a huge inequality in different parts of the continent in terms of many economic measures. For example, while the unemployment rate in the economy of Germany was around 4.2% it was 20% on an average for the southern parts of the continent. Apart from that, the economic growth in many parts of the EU also showed stagnancy in terms of economic activity.Chen, Los, McCann, Ortega‐Argilés, Thissen, & van Oort (2018) stated that the EU has failed in coming up after the blow from the financial crisis of 2008. In the wake of poor economic performance of EU, some of the countries also decided to take international immigrants in the mainstream activity of their respective economies that further hampered the performance of the EU as a whole. Another important reason for the Brexit referendum was the rise of nationalism in some countries that deviated from the moral obligation of the EU as a whole. The proponents of Brexit have stated that accepting immigrants not only pose a serious threat to the national security but it also amplifies the economic strain of the region (Whyman & Petrescu, 2017). Therefore, Britain voted in favour of exiting the cooperation in order to save its economy and sovereignty. Analysis of the monetary, fiscal and trade related economic strain in the EU The monetary and fiscal strain in the economy of the EU is the reason for the inability of this region to get out of the blow that it experienced a decade back. Southern European countries
4 such as Spain, Portugal, and Greece raised a lot of money by selling government bonds to the investors. However, post-crisis economic growth rate, in all parts of the EU including these countries have been poor which led to stagnancy in the income level of the consumers of the market. This, in turn, made it tough for the government of southern European countries to extract tax revenue that it could pay to the investors. This rising debt of these economies has also affected the other economies of the EU as well. According toLos, McCann, Springford & Thissen (2017), the reason for the lack of growth in some of the parts of EU has been the presence of low aggregate demand for goods and services owing to the stagnant income and monetary strain of the government. Therefore, there is a vicious circle of debt due to the risky investment which led to a monetary strain in many parts of the EU. Fiscal strain in this part of the world has almost followed the same channel. The investments in these countries were becoming risky just after the financial crisis of the year 2008 (Gudgin, Coutts, Gibson, & Buchanan, 2018). Again, these countries were also the one who needed capital injection the most. This high risky bond and rising debt level due to that in partnership with the stagnant economic product strained the fiscal system of these economies and EU as a whole. The impact of the fiscal strain then transferred to the trade activities among the EU nations and resulted in an trade imbalance. Impacts of the strains on the political, social and international relations The strains pertaining to the fiscal and monetary system of the EU entrenched the era of populism which increased the sense of nationalism in different parts of the continent. While southern European economies were facing trouble from rising debt level and a stagnant economy, some of the economies excelled and got out of the blow on its own. One of the biggest evidence of this inequality is the steady economic growth rate of Britain and Germany (Matti & Zhou, 2017). However, the concern remained as the poor performances of some of the countries were harming the national economic performance from the distributive aspects. While the economy of Britain grew at a steady and positive rate of 1% each year after 2010, its income inequality increased.Eichengreen (2007) noted that, after World War 2, one of the biggest achievements of the EU was equal prosperity across different countries of the EU. Thus, the economic strain affected the reputation of the EU as well. This economic strain in one part of the EU and the repercussions in other parts of Europe disturbed the societal balance as well. Britain experienced a huge difference between the incomes of a different segment of customers that led to lower aggregate demand in the UK
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5 economy. This economic imbalance despite a good performance along with the increase in interventionfrom theside of globalinstitutionspertainingto immigrationledto the emergence of populist views (Manners, 2018). Therefore, Britain refused to be a part of a strained economic cooperating that was harming its national economy. Adding to that, acceptance of immigration in some parts of the continent made the proponents believe that these moral obligations are against the interest of the nation and hence Britain voted in favour of leaving European Union on June 23, 2016. Conclusion Therefore, the cause of the Brexit referendum can be traced back to the unequal impacts of the global financial crisis of 2008. While some parts of the EU failed to cope with the low aggregate demand, some economies bounced back steadily after a couple of years. This paved the way for unequal economic performances among different economies of EU that further gave rise to the populist and nationalistic views. The strain in the EU economy in terms of the monetary and fiscal system along with the will to accept immigrants went against the national interest of Britain and resulted in the Brexit.
6 Reference Aldcroft, D.H., Morewood, & Stephen (2001). The European Economy Since, 5th Ed., London and NYC, Rutledge. Chen, W., Los, B., McCann, P., Ortega‐Argilés, R., Thissen, M., & van Oort, F. (2018). The continental divide? Economic exposure to Brexit in regions and countries on both sides of The Channel.Papers in Regional Science,97(1), 25-54. Eichengreen, B., (2007). The European Economy Since 1945, Princeton, NJ, Princeton University Press. Gudgin, G., Coutts, K., Gibson, N., & Buchanan, J. (2018). The macro-economic impact of Brexit:usingtheCBRmacro-economicmodeloftheUKeconomy (UKMOD).Journal of Self-Governance and Management Economics,6(2), 7-49. Los, B., McCann, P., Springford, J., & Thissen, M. (2017). The mismatch between local voting and the local economic consequences of Brexit.Regional Studies,51(5), 786- 799. Manners, I. (2018). Political psychology of European integration: The (re) production of identity and difference in the Brexit debate.Political Psychology,39(6), 1213-1232. Matti, J., & Zhou, Y. (2017). The political economy of Brexit: explaining the vote.Applied Economics Letters,24(16), 1131-1134. Whyman, P. B., & Petrescu, A. I. (2017).The economics of Brexit: A cost-benefit analysis of the UK’s economic relationship with the EU. Springer.