Australian Economic Stability Analysis

This assignment analyzes the stability of the Australian economy by examining key indicators such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), unemployment rates, and inflation. It delves into historical trends, highlighting Australia's stable growth rate and relatively low inflation. The analysis also addresses concerns regarding long-term unemployment and explores the government's fiscal and monetary policies aimed at maintaining economic stability.

Running head: STABLE EQUILIBRIUM
Stable Equilibrium
Name of the Student
Name of the University
Author note

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Table of Contents
Introduction......................................................................................................................................2
Economic definition of stable equilibrium......................................................................................2
Government Intervention in market.................................................................................................3
Macroeconomic Environment and Stability....................................................................................4
Australian economy.........................................................................................................................5
GDP in Australia..........................................................................................................................5
Price level....................................................................................................................................6
Unemployment............................................................................................................................8
Conclusion.......................................................................................................................................9
References......................................................................................................................................10

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Introduction
Economic stability is utmost important for achieving a stable growth rate and a steady
path of development. The term stable equilibrium formally refers to a state where any change
from that state will automatically brings back that state. There are no needs for external forces to
ensure the stability. In microeconomics, demand and supply forces restore the equilibrium.
Aggregate demand and aggregate supply are forces work for the overall economy and determine
the state of the economy. The concern of this paper is analysis the state of stability for Australian
economy. Different indicators like GDP, unemployment, inflation level are considered for
analyzing the current state of Australian economy.
Economic definition of stable equilibrium
When microeconomics is considered, then demand and supply situation of a particular
market is considered. The equilibrium is determined where demand and supply curve match at a
point. The point of equilibrium is stable if any deviation from the point restores the point
without intervention of any external forces. In the absence of any distortion in the market, the
rational agents take decisions in such a way that will bring equilibrium (Anufriev et al, 2013).
The situation is described in the following figure.

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Figure 1: Demand, Supply and Stability
(Source: As created by Author)
Price and quantity determined by the initial equilibrium are P* and Q* respectively. This
obtained from the intersection of the demand curve (DD) and supply curve (SS). E is the
equilibrium point. If price is P1, that is above the equilibrium price then rational consumer will
demand less and suppliers will supply more leading to an excess supply in the market. Price will
decrease to the level of P* for balancing demand and supply. Consider a situation where price is
less than the equilibrium price. Suppose price is at P2. At this price, suppliers will supply less
because of low revenue prospect and buyers will demand more because of a low price.
Consequently, there will be excess demand in the market. Price needs to be adjusted to the level
of equilibrium for a balance of supply and demand. When this happens naturally in the market
then E is said as a stable equilibrium.
Government Intervention in market
Stability is not always maintained in the market. Price often fails to made true cost
benefit analysis in the market. Hence, the price mechanism does not work efficiently. In the
presence of externality, market produces outcome that is either greater or less than the optimum

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(Quadrini, 2015). In this situation, government intervenes to maintain stability and brings the
efficiency.
Macroeconomic Environment and Stability
Macroeconomics is concerned with the economy as a whole. Aggregate demand and
aggregate supply is considered here. Aggregate demand is obtained by adding the expenditures
on different components such as consumption, investment, government expense and earnings
from export less import. Aggregate supply in the economy is the total quantity supplied in the
economy. These two forces determine GDP and price level for the economy.
Figure 2: Aggregate demand and aggregate supply
(Source: as created by the Author)

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The stability of macroeconomic environment described an economy that successfully
minimizes the shocks originated in any external economies. This will ensure a sustained growth
path for the economy.
Australian economy
As far as stability for the economy is concerned, it is required to give focus on some
major macroeconomic indicators. These include real GDP growth rate, movement of the price
level, unemployment state of economy and external stability like exchange rate stability, balance
of payment account including current and capital account and include interest and exchange rate
stability.
GDP in Australia
Total production of the economy is measured using Gross Domestic Product. GDP
signifies the market value of final goods and services that is country produces in a given period.
Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), gathers data necessary for GDP computation and
published quarterly report on GDP. The term value in GDP symbolizes market value, not the
quantity (Groenewegen & McFarlane, 2014).

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Figure 3: Australian GDP in 2016-2017
(Source: stlouisfed.org 2017)
In the last four quarters of 2016 and until the first quarter of 2017, GDP in Australia
increases steadily. This indicates stability of the economy in terms of maintaining a stable flow
of goods and services.
Price level
Movement of the price level is measured by the inflation rate in the economy. Consumer
price index is the cost of maintaining a certain standard of living in two different periods.
Inflation rate is the percentage change in the CPI. Australia overtime improves the inflation rate.
Inflation rate in Australia was less than 4% in 1970. In 1974, inflation suddenly went up to18
percent. In the phase of recession during 1990s, price level fell to 6 percent and remains there
(Plumb, Kent & Bishop, 2013). After that, monetary policy framework in Australia stabilizes the
price in Australia.

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Table 1: Consumer Price Inflation in Australia
(Source: rba.gov.au 2017)

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Unemployment
Unemployment is the state when people do not get jobs at the prevailing wage in the
market. The overall unemployment rate in the Australia though decreases though concern
remains for long-term unemployment. As recorded in 2014, 60 percent of the people employed
in the labor force are employed for less than 60 percent. 44 percents of them are employed even
for 13 week or less.
Figure 4: Unemployment rate in Australia
(Source:worldbank.org 2017 )
The Australian government uses tools of fiscal and monetary policy for maintaining
stability of the economy. Automatic stabilizers and discretionary stabilizers are used for this
purpose (aph.gov.au 2017).

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Australian Stability example in Australia
Government in Australia uses fiscal and monetary policy tools to maintain stability in the
economy. One incident that shows Australia’s success in maintaining stability is during the Great
recession in 2008. The recession originated in USA has severe impact even on several major
developed economies. At times of recession, housing price went down whereas in Australia
housing market in Australia did not tumble. The monetary authority in Australia maintains
financial stability through stable operation of banks and other financial institution. The interest
rate in Australia in this time was not affected much from this severe recession.
Conclusion
The report summarizes state of Australian economy to analyze stability of Australian
economy. Gross Domestic Product, Unemployment and inflation of the economy is considered.
Australia maintains a stable growth rate. GDP of the economy increases over time. Inflation rate
is quite stable in Australia. As per unemployment rate is concerned, overall unemployment
decreases. The decrease in unemployment is contributed from the part time jobs. Thus, the
concerns for long-term unemployment remain in Australia.

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References
Anufriev, M., Assenza, T., Hommes, C., & Massaro, D. (2013). Interest rate rules and
macroeconomic stability under heterogeneous expectations. Macroeconomic
Dynamics, 17(8), 1574-1604.
Current Price Gross Domestic Product in Australia©. (2017). Fred.stlouisfed.org. Retrieved 22
September 2017, from https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/AUSGDPNQDSMEI
Groenewegen, P., & McFarlane, B. (2014). A History of Australian Economic Thought
(Routledge Revivals). Routledge.
Measures of Consumer Price Inflation | RBA. (2017). Reserve Bank of Australia. Retrieved 22
September 2017, from http://www.rba.gov.au/inflation/measures-cpi.html
Plumb, M., Kent, C., & Bishop, J. (2013). Implications for the Australian economy of strong
growth in Asia. Reserve Bank of Australia.
Quadrini, V. (2015). The growth of emerging economies and global macroeconomic stability.
Mimeo. University of Southern California.
The tools of macroeconomic policy—a short primer – Parliament of Australia.
(2017). Aph.gov.au. Retrieved 22 September 2017, from
http://www.aph.gov.au/About_Parliament/Parliamentary_Departments/Parliamentary_Li
brary/pubs/BriefingBook44p/MacroeconomicPolicy
Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (modeled ILO estimate) | Data.
(2017). Data.worldbank.org. Retrieved 22 September 2017, from

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https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS?
end=2016&locations=AU&start=2005&view=chart