The Future of Work: Challenges and Strategies for Emerging and Developing Economies
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This article discusses the challenges and strategies for emerging and developing economies in adapting to the future of work. It explores the impact of automation, off-shoring, and the importance of re-skilling the workforce. The need for government and business sectors to play a role in re-skilling and up-skilling the population is emphasized.
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ECONOMICS1 Future of work By (Name) Course Instructor’s Name Institutional Affiliation The City and State The Date
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ECONOMICS2 Introduction Productivity, job creation, and economic growth have historically emanated from technology and industrial revolutions though there a number of challenges that it brings about such as manual labor replacement, competencies, and up scaling skills needs among others (Shahid 2017). The number of skills once performed by labor is increasing being carried out by various technologies rendering the importance of human resources less important in most economies. The discovery of new technologies has a strong multiplier effect in increasing the level of unemployment in emerging and developing economies. It is clear that emerging economies will adversely suffer from automation (Moretti 2011). Automation is deemed as strategically relevant in cutting the operation costs and encouraging efficiency and effectiveness. Though there various substantial improvements caused by automation, various challenges are evident in the transitional stages. Wages and employment growth have been subdued by automation. This is clearly evident in the People’s Republic of China. Moreover, the idea of automation by its very nature is an unstoppable and deep force. Emerging and developing economies are likely to be adversely hurt by automation in the long run if they don’t re-skill their workforce (Blinder 2009). Cases of displacement or structural changes will be inevitable. Therefore much focus needs to be put on strategies that will enable the workforce to be effectively prepared for transitional changes caused by automation (Shafquat 2018). Social unrest, unemployment and slow levels of growth are likely to affect economies like India and China grossly given that much of its growth has been facilitated by off shoring and outsourcing programs.
ECONOMICS3 The need to enhance and put across opportunities aimed at re-skilling the workforce is deemed necessary for purposes of counteracting such challenges. It is clear that China and India have to some extent neglected vocational programs that skill the workforce and adequately have it prepared for any market change. In simple terms, the relocation of specific services or activities abroad is known as off shoring. Off shoring has been in existence as early as the period of 1950's-1970 where there existed classic multi-nationalization. Under this, location advantage together with the features of host economies guided the entry of Foreign Direct investments (Stephen 2018). The third world countries in Asia and Latin America during this period had some of the production stages such as processing and assembly relocated to them (Randy 2018). For the purpose of this paper, the focus will be on emerging countries like China and India and developing economies such as Bangladesh and the Philippines to understand the effect of automation, off-shoring and how re-skilling and up skilling the population of the economies can help eliminate or minimize the effectsof automation. Thesis statement The Government and Business sector of emerging and developing countries have a huge role to play in re-skilling and up-skilling their populations to avoid the economic and social impacts of automation. Research studies show that the concepts of off shoring are likely to be displaced by business models that have associations with automation. It is clear; a number of developed economies are now considering automation such as the use of Robotic as an alternative to off shoring in order to limit the costs of operations and at the same time produce high-quality products and
ECONOMICS4 services (Joseph 2019). A number of organizations are now returning to their home countries due to the increasing challenges associated with off shoring and enjoy the benefits of automation. It can be clearly seen that there is an approaching wave of change in artificial intelligence and intelligent automation (Accenture 2017). Meaning that there is uncoupling of the human workforce in the business sectors like financial analysis, law, accounting, software programming, and others.More each and every industry is likely to be affected by the new automation era. There are high chances that the current jobs will be destroyed and new ones created Nations with a skilled and educated workforce and relatively lower labor costs have a natural comparative advantage in off shoring given that it is a labor intensive activity. Off shoring may involve the transfer of part or all the work in another country. Other companies engage in joint ventures in the other country to effectively maximize profits by cutting down the cost levels. It is clear captive facilities and in housework is the most popular and common nature of sixty to seventy percent of the outsourced tasks(Bowles 2014). Off shoring survives in these economies have been facilitated by the It revolution which made a world a global village. Meaning that large amounts of information and data can be transferred from one country to another (Deming 2015). Thus the technology has resulted in the international division of labor which has eased offshoring activities. The other drive off shoring is the 1990's reengineering movements, standardized software platforms increased recognition and acceptance among others. It is clear that business process outsourcing from developed countries like UK, USA, Canada, Australia, and others has been at
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ECONOMICS5 the highest peak in the 21st century. Business services call or call centers, Information technological applications, accounting, and finance plus engineering has been continuously off shored or outsourced to emerging economies like China and the UK. It is important to note that China and India have benefitted from rapid relocation of business activities from the developed countries like the UK and the US since the period of the early 1990s. It clears the presence of abundant technical workers, IT deregulation, IT abundance and the use of English as the main mean of communication has made India as the main benefit off shoring from UK, USA, Canada, and other developed economies when compared to other emerging countries of the world. Also, the presence of abundant workforce in developing economies like Bangladeshis and Philippineshavemadethemattractivetooffshorebusinessservicesfromdeveloped economies, developing countries like Bangladesh and the Philippines have abundant labor that is not employed in the workforce due to the limited jobs, therefore they have greatly benefitted from off shoring business services from developed economies. Henceforth off shoring is very important to emerging and developing economies given that it a source of the likelihood of most workforces particularly the fresh graduates from universities and forms of the workforce who can’t obtain employment opportunities in their respective countries. Therefore without off shoring, the emerging economies like India and China plus developing countries like the Philippines and Bangladesh are likely to be adversely affected limiting the level of economic growth and development. Hence the need to re-skill and up-skill their population to prepare them from both domestic and international trends in technology and other activities in the global economy that may affect their nature of work(Kerry 2017).
ECONOMICS6 Studies carried out show that there is an expectation of increased levels of automation at most workplaces in India higher than the APAC and global average in the coming three years. in other words, there is an expectation of a 14-27% increase in the coming three years in the overall utilization of automation by most companies in the country of India which relatively higher than the overall APAC and global average. Unemployment in India alone will increase given that over 61% of organizations will cut or hire fewer workforces given that most companies will have embraced technology (News 2016). However,atomizationwillalsohaveaneffectoncreatingnewworkandincreasing performance in a number of countries like India and China.Work relationships, talent, skills requirements will effectively be shaped by automation. It is imperative to note that, in recent times, job losses due to automation are a concern for each and every country both emerging and developing. Therefore to effectively minimize the likely negative effects of automation, there is a need for emerging countries like China and India to develop clear strategies and tactics in place to have the issue of job losses to autorotation comprehensively and effectively addressed. This can inform of a clear and adequate policy frame work. The business sector just like other sectors has also not been spared by automation. In economies like India, it is clear that Tech Mahindra, Infosys, cognoizant and other big information technology organizations have undertaken ken employee lay off to substitute the intensive labor with technology (Francesco et al 2018). When compared to traditional providers, it is clear that automation improves the level of efficiency and effectiveness. The results of high levels of productivity due to automation are
ECONOMICS7 popular to all the sectors of the economy like the nonprofit sectors, public and private. More competition has been injected in the various business processes by various initiatives like e- procurement (Rodrik, 2016). Additionally, in countries like China and China automation has been very effective in reducing chances for pretty corruption and cases of bureaucratic discretion especially in systems where there high levels of patronage. It is clear that more job opportunities are created due to increased investments emanating from the reduction of corruption tendencies (Cedefop 2016). It is very clear that off shoring has enormous or huge potential in cutting the overall costs by business by a level of around eighty percent. Production and process automation advances mean a lot to intensive labor employed in off shoring in emerging and developing economies. Lawyers and other business service providers are no longer attractive as they used to be due to automation. In developed countries like the United States, it is estimated that in the coming ten years automation will be carrying out over forty-seven percent of the tasks previously carried out by intensive labor. This means a lot of off shoring in developing and emerging economies. Countries like China and India will now be faced with negative effects of automation as most of their overall workforce will be rendered unemployed. Off shoring reduces the company costs by using cheaper labor from outside countries, However, recent studies show that automation does much it better. Meaning that technology is the most sustainable way of enhancing the levels of productivity in the economy (Eleazer and Patrick 2016). Long term and short term are the two flavors that come with workforce re-skilling. There is need for the overall workforce effectively re-skilled in the long run if it's to cope up with
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ECONOMICS8 technological changes and the overall labor demand broader shifts. It is important for the new or fresh employees to have specific skills and attributes compared to their predecessors if there to serve in a highly atomized world (BCG 2011). Therefore re-skilling the workforce with various employable attributes and capabilities will enable them to survive in a complex environment It is clear as part of core competencies, new knowledge and skills will be strategically important for a number of future jobs. The workforce in developing and emerging economies needs to be equipped with specific foundations in math, technology, science, and engineering. Moreover to effectively interact with digital technology, re-skilling is vital for the workforce in emerging economies in all sectors with business inclusive. To navigate the job requirements adaptability, creativity, communication, and essentials are needed by most workforces in emerging and developing economies. In the process of developing skilling and re-skilling programs, it is important for there to be proper analysis and understanding of timing and the overall nature of change in technology and thereby design training and re-skilling programs that are very essential in addressing the effects created by automation in the labor market. It is important to realize that most of the labor in emerging and developing economies lack specific skills and attributes required for them to survive in a highly competitive and at the same time globalized business environment(McKinsey Global Institute 2016) Hence if emerging economies undertake proper policies based on benchmarking from other countries in the developed world, policy analysis and evaluation of the current strategies in place to re-skill the workforce, there is no doubt that the labor force in the third world economies will be equipped with the necessary capabilities to withstand the likely effects of technology in the labor market. Technological changes are unavoidable in the twenty-first century. Economies just need to put forward
ECONOMICS9 strategic policies that will ensure that there is adequate preparation of the workforce to meet the current labor needs(Aspen Institute 2016). It is clear a number of graduates and current employees in emerging and developing economies like India, China, Philippines and Bangladesh posse’s skills which do not match the requirements of the job market. Therefore to have any relevance in a highly digitalized global economy, up killing and re-skilling is Avery important. The economies of emerging countries need to undertake rigorous education programs and other skilling initiatives aimed at equipping and nurturing various vocational skills and capabilities among students.This has been very successful in developed countries of the world like Germany. Germany undertook a serious vocational and re-skilling program for its workforce aimed at equipping them with the necessary capabilities to survive a global economy which is being driven by technology.Most importantly is that for such up-skilling and re-skilling programs to survive, Government must at the center through injecting enough capital. Such strategic and bold decisions will automatically yield a high pay off if implemented in the developing and third world economies (Cedefop 2016). Inclusive economic growth and future opportunities for all populations in emerging and developing economies are not possible without re-skilling and upsilon. To have easy access in the labor markets, re-skilling initiatives together with lifelong learning are very important aspects. It is clear various roles are becoming increasingly redundant due to automation. Meaning that to remain relevant in Avery competitive business world the employees need to possess the necessary capabilities (Benitez 2014).
ECONOMICS10 Additionally, re-skilling is not only a role of Government but also businesses have a big role to play in enabling that employees remain relevant in the market. It vital that initiatives focusing on closing the skills gap be comprehensively undertaken by third world countries to ensure in the future there no skills challenges in the labor market Conclusion Conclusively, technology is the main driver of the global economy and a number of fundamental challenges have been occurring in the labor market. Most of the tasks in various sectors like business and services are now being done by machines and robots at a highly efficient and cost-effective manner. This means that the overall importance of intensive labor in advanced and emerging economies is slowly be eliminated. In the future cases of offshoring and outsourcing may be history as advanced economies like the USA, UK and Germany are increasing substituting the once off shored task and services with technology. To prevent emerging and developing economies to suffer from the effects of atomization much focus needs to be put on re-skilling and up-skilling of their respective workforce. Available evidence from the economy of Germany suggests that re-skilling and up-skilling has been important in preparing technological changes in the German economy and high payoffs have been attained. Hence emerging and developing economies should come on a drawing board and formulate prudent policies and procedures that will enable their workforce to be well acquitted with skills relevant to the labor market as comprehensively discussed above.
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ECONOMICS11 References Accenture. 2017.“Harnessing Revolution: Creating the future workforce.”Accenture: 2017. Accessed viawww.accenture.com/t20170210T012359__w__/us-en/_acnmedia/PDF-40/ Accenture-StrategyHarnessing-Revolution-POV.pdf#zoom=50. Aspen Institute. 2016. “Case Study: Gap for Community Colleges.”The Aspen Institute: Skiills forAmerica’s Future. Accessed via:https://assets.aspeninstitute.org/content/uploads/files/content/docs/eop/Gap_SAF.pdf BCG. 2011. “Global Aging: How Companies Can Adapt to the New Reality.”BCG Report, Dec. 2011.Accessed via: www.bcg.com/documents/file93352.pdf. Benitez, J. 2014.“Closing the skills gap with a talent supply chain.”U.S. Chamber of CommerceFoundation: 30 Sept. 2014. Accessed via: www.uschamberfoundation.org/closing- skills-gap-talentsupply-chain. Blinder, A.S. 2009. "How many US jobs might be offshorable?",World Economics, Vol. 10/2, pp. 41-7 Bowles, J. 2014.“The computerization of European jobs”,Blog Post, Bruegel. Retrieved fromhttp://bruegel.org/2014/07/the-computerisation-of-european-jobs/. Cedefop. 2016.“Future skill needs in Europe: critical labour force trends.”Luxembourg: PublicationsOffice. Cedefop research paper; No 59. Accessed via: www.cedefop.europa.eu/en/publications-andresources/publications/5559.
ECONOMICS12 Deming, D.J. 2015. “The growing importance of social skills in the labor market”,NBER Working PaperSeries, No. 21473. Eleazer, C,.Patrick, C.2016. In the developing world, two-thirds of jobs could be lost to robots. Retrieved from https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/11/in-the-developing-world-two- thirds-of-jobs-could-be-lost-to-robots Francesco, C.,Ekkehard, E., Enzo, W. 2018.Robots worldwide: The impact of automation on employment and trade.Research Department Working Paper No. 36 Joseph, S.2019.Digital Economies:Challenges and Opportunities for Inclusive Growth. Retrieved fromhttps://www8.gsb.columbia.edu/faculty/jstiglitz/sites/jstiglitz/files/Digital%20Economies %20World%20Bank%20Presentation%202_25_2019.pdf Kerry. A. M.2017.How changes in technology andautomation will affect the labourmarket in Africa.Retrieved from http://www.gsdrc.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/Impact-of- automation-on-jobs-in-Africa.pdf McKinsey Global Institute. 2016.Independent Work: Choice, Necessity, and the Gig Economy,McKinsey&Company. Moretti, E. 2011.“Local labor markets”, in O. Ashenfelter and D. Card (Eds.), Handbook of Labor Economics, Elsevier, North Holland. News. 2016.Impact of automation on developing countries puts up to 85% of jobs at risk. Retrieved from https://www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/news/201601_Technology_at_Work_2
ECONOMICS13 Randy, L. W. 2018.Onshore vs. offshore: 8 trends driving IT support back home. Retrieved from https://www.cio.com/article/3280228/onshore-vs-offshore-8-trends-driving-it-support-back- home.html Rodrik, D. 2016. “Premature deindustrialization”,Journal of Economic Growth, Vol. 21/1, pp. 1- 33. Shafquat, R. 2018.Automation And Robotics May Squeeze Asia’s Garments Industry. Retrieved from http://www.fintechbd.com/automation-and-robotics-may-squeeze-asias-garments- industry/ Shahid, Y.2017.Automation, AI, and the Emerging Economies.Retrieved from https://www.cgdev.org/publication/automation-ai-and-emerging-economies Stephen, G. 2018.Here's how Asia can resist the rise of the robots.Retrieved from https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2018/01/heres-how-asia-can-resist-the-rise-of-the-robots