This article provides a risk and return analysis for Cochlear Ltd, including the use of the Capital Asset Pricing Model and portfolio construction. It also compares the stock's return to the market index and discusses the benefits of diversification.
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Running head: FINANCE Finance Name of the Student: Name of the University: Author’s Note:
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1BUSINESS CASE STUDIES Table of Contents In Response to Question 1...............................................................................................................2 In Response to Question 2...............................................................................................................4 In Response to Question 3...............................................................................................................5 References........................................................................................................................................7
2BUSINESS CASE STUDIES In Response to Question 1 a)The present value was determined using the formula below: Present Value Determination Future value (FV)$0 PMT$16 Number of years (n)4 Annual interest rate (r)7.0% No. of compounding periods per year (m)4 Number of periods (m x n)16 Periodic rate (r/m)1.8% Present value (PV)-$217.45 b)The growth rate in the revenue of the company for the five-year trend period was analysed as below: Growth Rate in Revenue Year012345 Revenue 1363. 71363.7 1535.52 6 1729.00 3 1946.85 7 2192.16 1 Growth Rate012.60%12.60%12.60%12.60%12.60% Total Revenue 1363. 7 1535.52 6 1729.00 3 1946.85 7 2192.16 1 2468.37 3 c)The effective annual rate for the loan for the various term period will be as follows: Effective Annual Rate (EAR) Particulars Investment A Investment B Investment C Stated annual rate (r)6.48%6.45%6.52% No. of compounding periods per year (m)43656 EAR6.64%6.66%6.70% d)The total payments that needs to be made at the end of the period for financing the entire property cost would be as follows:
3BUSINESS CASE STUDIES Finding the payment required for an Amortising loan Loan principal (PV)$829,000 Term of loan in years (n)10 Annual interest rate (r)3.8% No. of compounding (payment) periods per year (m)4 Number of periods (m x n)40 Periodic rate (r/m)1.0% Loan payment per period - $25,008.6 6 e)The yield to maturity on the bond would be around 6.1% Face value (FV or M)$100 Bond price (PV)$100.50 Coupon rate6.2% Number of years to maturity (n)8 Payment (CF, PMT or C)$6 Yield to Maturity (YTM or r)6.1% f)The amount of each coupon payment would be around $35 that would be computed with thehelpoftheannualcouponratedividedbythefrequency(semi-annual).The calculation for the same is shown below: Face value (FV or M)$1,000 Coupon rate (Semi-Annually)3.50% Number of years to maturity (n)6 Interest rate (r)3.4% Payment (CF, PMT or C)$35 Bond value (PV)$1,005.35
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4BUSINESS CASE STUDIES In Response to Question 2 a)The Capital Asset Pricing Model was applied for determining the required rate of return of the Cochlear Company.The required rate of return for both the stocks were generated by the following formula: Capital Asset Pricing Model (Re)= Risk Free Rate of Return + (Beta*(Return on Market-Risk Free Rate of Return)). The Risk free rate of return taken for the analysis of the stock was around 1.95% and the beta of the stock was determined by regressing the returns generated from the COH Stock over the ASX 200 Index. The beta for the stock was determined to be around 0.98 times and the same was determined to be somewhat positively contributed with the stock (Bhattacharyya 2016). The required rate of return for the stock was determined to be around 3.27% and the required return for the hypothetical company was determined to be around 1.68% (Aliu, Pavelkova and Dehning 2017). Cochlear LtdASX 200 Index Capital Asset Pricing ModelCapital Asset Pricing Model Beta 0.986157 6Beta-0.2 Risk Free Rate1.95%Risk Free Rate1.95% Return on Market3.29%Return on Market3.29% Required Rate of Return3.27%Required Rate of Return 1.68 % b)The portfolio was constructed by including both stocks in the form of Cochlear Ltd and Hypothetical Company. The weights given to each of the stock was around 50% for each of the stocks. The required rate of return generated by each of the stocks were taken into consideration while determining the required return of the stocks. The required rate of return of the portfolio is around 2.47% and the beta of the stock is around 0.39 times. On
5BUSINESS CASE STUDIES the basis of portfolio the risk and return for both the stocks can be modified and the same advantage can be well earned with the help of the equal weightage of stocks. PortfolioWeights Cochlear50% Hypothetical50% PortfolioReturn (%) Cochlear1.63% Hypothetical0.84% Total2.47% ParticularsBeta Portfolio0.3930788 In Response to Question 3 The risk and return analysis for the stock can be well examined with the help of the stock data given. Beta of the stock shows the sensitivity of the stock with respect to the benchmark index where the company operates similarly it also reflects the volatility of the stock (Chitra and Hemalatha 2018). CAPM:The Capital Asset Pricing Model was used for determining the required rate of return for the stock. The required rate of return shows the minimum level of return required by the stock by assessing the beta of the stock with correspondence to the return generated by the market index and in addition to the risk-free rate prevailing in the economy. It is important to trade a balance between the return generated by a stock and the risk taken by the investor for investing in a particular stock. The beta calculated for the stock was around 0.99 times implying that the movement was mostly correlated to the movement of the market index (Lalvani 2016). This was the key reason why the return required by investors and shareholders were case to the return generated by the market index. On the contrary side the beta for the selected Hypothetical
6BUSINESS CASE STUDIES Company was around -0.20 times, which shows negative correlation with the market index. The risk level was comparatively less from the Cochlear Ltd Company which was the key reason where shareholders and investors wanted a lessor amount of required rate of return from the stock (Jensen and Maheu 2018). Combining stocks in a portfolio modifies the risk return benefit giving the benefit of diversification in a portfolio. The risk return benefit from the portfolio could be well observed where the beta of the portfolio was around 0.39 times and the combined return of the portfolio was around 2.47%. It is crucial to note that with the modification in the return generated from the portfolio the risk of the portfolio also got modified allowing the investor enjoy the benefit of diversification(Ren and Dewan 2015). The return generated from the Cochlear stock for the five-year trend period was around 27% from the trend period of 2014-2019. On the contrary side when comparing the return of the stock with the return of the market index was just around 3.29%. The return was definitely higher for the Cochlear stock but the standard deviation measuring the risk of the stock was comparatively much higher. The standard deviation for the Cochlear Stock was around 25% and on the other hand side the standard deviation for the market index was around 18%. Thus it is essential to incorporate various factors and condition while assessing he risk and return factors of a stock over a trend period of time.
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7BUSINESS CASE STUDIES References Aliu, F., Pavelkova, D. and Dehning, B., 2017. Portfolio risk-return analysis: The case of the automotive industry in the Czech Republic.Journal of International Studies,10(4), pp.72-83. Bhattacharyya, T., 2016. Risk and Return Profile Analysis of Selected Mutual Fund Product of Indian Mutual Fund Industry.Available at SSRN 2812519. Chitra, V. and Hemalatha, T., 2018. Risk & return analysis of performance of mutual fund schemes in India.IJAR,4(1), pp.279-283. Jensen,M.andMaheu,J.,2018.Risk,ReturnandVolatilityFeedback:ABayesian Nonparametric Analysis.Journal of Risk and Financial Management,11(3), p.52. Lalvani, A., 2016. An Analysis of International Hedge Fund Risk and Return. Ren, F. and Dewan, S., 2015. Industry-level analysis of information technology return and risk: What explains the variation?.Journal of Management Information Systems,32(2), pp.71-103.