Performance Analysis of Commonwealth Bank Ltd and Westpac Group
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The assignment analyzes the performance of Commonwealth Bank Ltd and Westpac Group by evaluating their income statements over three years, dividend policy, and expected rate of return. The results show that Commonwealth Bank Ltd has a more volatile share price and higher return on investment compared to Westpac Group.
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Table of Contents INTRODUCTION...........................................................................................................................1 MAIN BODY...................................................................................................................................1 Q1) Operation and comparative advantages of two companies..................................................1 Q2) Comparison of performance ratio of two companies...........................................................3 Q3. Analysis of monthly share prices movements of two companies........................................5 Q4). Identification of significant factors which may affected share prices of both the companies....................................................................................................................................9 Q5). Calculation of Beta values and expected return using CAPM model...............................10 Q6)Dividend policy...................................................................................................................11 Q7 Recommendation letter.......................................................................................................12 CONCLUSION.............................................................................................................................12 REFERENCES..............................................................................................................................13
INTRODUCTION Finance is a wide term that is defined as the management of money in effective manner, it also includes activities like budgeting, investing, borrowing and lending. It is consider the actual study of money that how it is managed and its best usage to give maximum result (Ben- David, Graham and Harvey, 2013). As all the large and small business, government bodies and individual need fund to operate the finance filed is separated into three sub categories such as corporate, public and personal finance. As a large group of investment analysts the company named ABL provide recommendation in this project. Two major bank of Australia which is Commonwealth Ltd and Westpac Bank group are chosen to make recommendation for these big institutes. In this project report different Ratio, rate of return and Beta calculation are calculated to know which company may have the investment. Analysis of monthly share price of these two companies and comparison between these two bank are performed under this report. Dividend policy for both banks are discussed under this project. MAIN BODY Q1) Operation and comparative advantages of two companies. Investment analysis is the process of calculating and measuring an investments to know the exact profitability and risk associated with them. These investment studies are done to judge actual income generated from these investment and its resale value. So to provide the investment analysis, Commonwealth bank Ltd and Westpac Group bank has been analysed. Commonwealth bank Ltd Commonwealth bank Ltd is one of the largest bank of Australia that provides its Banking services in same country and other countries. It was founded under the banking act of commonwealth in 1911 and started its services to common people in 1912 (Chun-juan, 2003). The bank empowered to conduct various services majorly the two saving accounts and general banking services like, business loan, merchant services, debit and credit cards etc. In present bank has grown in a bigger unit and expand its business in almost every part of country and overseas. It has large number of employee working in the Commonwealth bank Ltd and it attract more number of shareholder because of its services and retur. In contrast, this bank isB&PB (Business and Private bank)and IB&M (International bond & Marine brokerage) that are the 1
leadingproviderofvariousfinancialservicestodifferentinstitutionalbodies,corporate companies, small and large business and various personal clients. The bank provide different financial services under corporation act 2001 such as deal in financial product those are investments and security for buyer and seller with a long and short term financial gain, it gives guidance to provide advice for financial product. Commonwealth bank Ltd provide custodial or depository services which are related to the individual or small business holding property of a registered managed investment scheme to gain huge profit. The bank develop market for all those security and investment of buyer and seller with the Australia and overseas (Fee, Hadlock and Pierce, 2013). This large bank provide a full and big range of product to their customer such as transaction services, saving and investments accounts, fund transfer and payments, Forex card facilities foreign exchange, general insurance, debt and loan securities that includes government bonds, money market instruments and margin lending facilities etc. Westpac Group Bank. The other bank which is selected for the comparison and ascertain the best bank in term of investments is Westpac bank group. This is the first and the oldest company in banking industry in Australia and one of the largest bank in New Zealand. It was founded in 1817 with its headquarters at Sydney and now has become the one of four major banking organisation in country. They provide a wide range of customer, different business and organization banking servicesand wealth management services. There business comprises some major key customer facing division that operates a specific function of brands such as, consumer bank, business bank, balance transfer financial group in Australia (BTFG), Westpac institutes bank (WIB) and Westpac bank in new Zealand (.Hribar and Yang, 2015). Consumer bank is responsible for sales and services to their customer with in Australia under the bank of Melbourne etc. Business bankprudent for sales and other services to micro and medium firms and other commercial consumer in Australia. It also includes specialist services like cash flow, trade, property, treasury and auto finance loans. BTFG are the provider ofserviceslikemanufactureanddistributionofinvestments,retirementproductsuchas superannuation, wealth management, private banking, margin lending as well as general and lenders ofdifferent mortgage insurances. WIB deliver financial services and product to their overseas customer through their branches and adjunct located in other countries like New Zealand, UK etc. 2
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As from the investment point of view, comparative advantage of Commonwealth Bank Ltd are more satisfying to the customer as this bank has wide range of services and the level of return and profitability is also high. The other bank Westpac Group Ltd is also one the leading bank of Australia and has some comparative advantages that reflect benefits if investment in this company. Comparison of comparative Advantages Commonwealth Bank LtdWestpac Group Bank The bank operate its some special services like Forex card , insurance such as air, water, land and general within Australia and outside that make much more profitable. Other advantages is high rate of return on investmentandfixeddepositsallow Commonwealth bank Ltd to earn more income and strong their position in the market. The bank have five customer facing division whichthroughwhichlargenumberof customer base and shareholder are attracted towards this bank. Theyareabletoprovideserviceslike retirementbenefits,videobankingetc.that develop this bank one out of four major bank (Li, 2005). Q2) Comparison of performance ratio of two companies. Performance ratio are the major source for comparing the position of both banks through which effective performance can be determined. Various key ratio which are calculated to compareareLiquidityratio,ProfitabilityRatioandcapital(leverage)ratio.Toconduct comparative analysis of these two bank annual statements of past three accounting year is taken that is 2015, 2016 and 2017. Ratio Analysis: Liquidity Ratios:These ratio are used to find out the debtor's ability to pay its current debts and their margin of safety by calculation the metrics that includes current ratio, quick ratio and cash flow ratio. Current ratio are determined by comparing the current assets and liabilities of both bank whereas Quick ratio are ascertained by measuring the quick assets and current liabilities to calculate the short term debts in any emergency. Formula201520162017 Current ratioCurrent assets/current liabilities 3
Commonwealth Bank Ltd. 0.190.170.17 WestpacGroup Ltd 0.160.130.11 From the above table it can be observed both bank have low equal short term debt paying ability. As Ideal current ratio is about 2:1 so from these report both the bank are not ideally able to pay their current debit from the amount of income generated in the three consecutive year. The current ratio for three year of commonwealth bank Ltd is 0.19:1, 0.17:1 and 0.17:1 for year respectively (Malkiel, 2013). Same of Westpac Group Ltd current ratio of three year is 0.16:1, 0.13: and 0.11 for the following year. But on comparison some how Westpac bank is more ideal to pay their debt as related to commonwealth bank. From the Analysis of both companies it was observed that none of the bank had maintained their inventory and their were no prepaid expenses so quick ratio will be same as current ratio. Profitability ratio:These ratio are calculated to assess a business firm to generate earning related to the expenses done with an accounting period. In case if the value of ratio are higher for the current year as compared to previous period that will indicate that the organisation is doing well. In respect to determine the profitability of these two bank two important ratio net profit margin and return on equity is evaluated for the three year 2017, 2016 and 2017. Net profit marginNet profit after tax/net sales*100201520162017 Commonwealth Bank Ltd. 38.0738.0939.57 Westpac Group Ltd38.8735.5137.12 Return on equityNet income/owner's equity*100 Commonwealth Bank Ltd. 17.916.3816.09 Westpac Group Ltd15.7713.3813.37 In the case of profitability ratio it can be said that both bank have good net profit margin and return on equity is also better of banks. Net profit margin of Commonwealth bank is much 4
more higher than Westpac Group Ltd in all three year that means the bank is earning more profit even if they are paying all their debts. Similarly thereturn on equity is also much high of Commonwealth Bank Ltd as compared to other bank. It shows that Commonwealth Bank Ltd have more earning against the equity they have invested in its business operation (Moffett, Stonehill and Eiteman, 2014). Leverage ratio:These ratio are calculated to assess to figure out the actual debt level incurred by a business organisation to meet its financial obligation. It is important as it provide the exact values of debt and equity to finance its operations and ascertain leverage power of an organisation. So to determine the leverage power of two bank certain ratio likeassets to equity and debt equity are calculated. Debt equityTotal debts/shareholder's equity201520162017 Commonwealth Bank Ltd. 0.240.260.3 Westpac Group Ltd3.483.23.03 Assets to equity ratio. Total assets/total equity Commonwealth Bank Ltd. 15.515.4614.49 Westpac Group Ltd15.314.4413.9 From the analysis of the two bank the two leverage ratio shows the overall performance for the three accounting year. Debt equity ratio shows the long term power of two bank and assets to equity ratio help to show the relation of assets of the bank to the part owned by their shareholder. It is clear from the table that Westpac group Ltd has more ability to pay its debt as comparedtoCommonwealthbankLtd.Howevertherelationofassetsclosely-heldby shareholder is much higher for commonwealth bank Ltd as compared to other bank. Q3. Analysis of monthly share prices movements of two companies Share are the equal part company capital that are issued to the public by public limited organisation like commonwealth bank and Westpac Bank had issued to their various shareholder 5
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at a certain price. In order to receive a portion of profit generated by companies within an accounting year. These price of share within two bank are shown by measuring and comparing against the ordinary index of share price. These index are formed of the share price for 500 of the largest companies which are listed on ASX. To show the share price of these two bank for the respected three year are shown with the help of following graphs. Graph for the accounting year 2015-16 for Commonwealth Bank Ltd. Graph for the accounting year 2015-16 for Westpac group bank 6
Thus it can be said that share price of Commonwealth Bank Ltd for accounting year 2015-16 is keeps of fluctuating but somehow it shows decreasing trends except in the mid-month of December and January. The prices of share for bank started from 85 dollar and keeps on fluctuate during the whole year and closed with 77.50 dollar and in mid goes to 85 dollar approx. Similarly the movement in share price for Westpac Group Bank are more uneven as compared to other bank. It that shows the increasing and decreasing trends in prices. For the accounting year 2015-15 prices started at32 dollar and it was best for the months August at 34 dollar and the share price ended with very lower price at 29 dollar (approx). These graph are prepared according to the ordinary index(McLean and Zhao, 2014). From the analysis it can be observed that the price of Commonwealth Bank Ltd is more correlated with ordinary index as highest decline value for their prices is equal to 70 dollar which is far better than Westpac Group bank. Graph for the accounting year 2016-17 for Commonwealth bank Ltd: 7
Graph for the accounting year 2016-17 for Westpac Group bank: From the analysis of share price of both the bank during accounting year 2017-18 it can be observed that share price are keeps on increasing. For commonwealth bank the prices shows the increasing trends meanwhile Westpac Bank also shows the same increasing trends but at the 8
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last of year their share prices started to decline and ended on 30 dollar. So it can be said that commonwealth Bank Ltd is highly correlated with ordinary index and its result are high volatility (Scholes, 2015). Graph for the accounting year 2017-18 for Westpac Group bank: Graph for the accounting year 2017-18 for Commonwealth bank Ltd: 9
From the above share prices analysis for year 2017-18 commonwealth bank shows a certain decreasing trends while share prices of other bank give uneven trends with reference to ordinary index. For Commonwealth bank share price started with 82.50 dollar and ended on 72.50 dollar which is more correlated to ordinary index of Australia and share of this bank is more highly volatile. Q4). Identification of significant factors which may affected share prices of both the companies Share price of companies keeps on changing because of many factors such as merger or acquisition, positive and negative earning forecast, unusual write-offs, macroeconomic factors , industry wide factor, significant management changes, changes in the focus of companyand impact of competitors or laws etc. Unusual write-offs:It is the deduction in the value of earning by the amount of loss incurredwithinanorganisation.Fromtheannualreportorcommonwealththereisan announcementsrelated to unusual write-offs by which share price of the bank keep on fluctuating throughout the accounting year 2015-16. Macroeconomic factors: These are those events which has direct impact the economy such as inflation and deflation, unemployment in a country and environmental policies that incur business costs and business tax. It would have a direct effect on the rate of currency of country 10
and prices of share be lowered. From the analysis of accounting report of Westpac Group Bank share price keeps on decreasing because of these macroeconomic factor during year 2017-18. Q5). Calculation of Beta values and expected return using CAPM model Beta values:It is defined as the measurement of systematic risk that is related to the security and stock are going to face at the time when compared to market situation. CAPM is the wider term and Beta is the component part which includes the calculation of the expected return of the particular investments. This calculation and measurement are done to determine the exact risk involved in the security (Ellison and Boyd, 2013). These are calculated through regression analysis through whichvarious estimation for thedifferent variable is determined. It basically help to find the typical value of the dependent variable keeps on changing to independent variable when they are fixed. It is defined as the best value of beta analysis is less or equal to 1, which means that the security and stock value are less volatilisable that the market condition. If the beta value are more than 1 it means that the prices of security are more volatilisable. As an investment analyst, beta value of both bank is observed from finance section of their websites. From analysis the beta value of Commonwealth Bank Ltd is 1.11 which means that the price of security and stock are more volatile that the market values. Similarly the beta value of Westpac Group Bank is observed 1.34 which is also more than the idle Beta value and this can be said that share price are more volatile than the market. More volatile means that the share price of both the banks keeps on fluctuating. Expected return:The expected rate of return is calculated to describe the profit or loss an investor or shareholder anticipate on a particular investments. Capital Asset pricing model is used to describe the relationship between the specified risk and expected return for assets specially in the organisation context. Expected return using CAPM can be calculated as: Expected returnrf+β(rm-rf) Where rfRisk free rate rmReturn on the market 11
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Calculation of expected return for Commonwealth Bank Ltd : Expected returnrf+β(rm-rf) Risk free rate5.00% Return on the market6.00% Beta1.11 Expected return5%+1.11(6%-5%) Expected return0.06 From the above analysis it has been determined that expected rate of return is 0.06 because beta value of company is more volatile. Therefore it issaid that fluctuation are highly related to the changes in the share prices. Calculation of expected return for Westpac Group Bank : Expected returnrf+β(rm-rf) Risk free rate5.00% Return on the market6.00% Beta1.34 Expected return5%+1.34(6%-5%) Expected return0.06 From the above table it can be observed that expected rate of return for Westpac bank is almost equal to that of commonwealth Bank Ltd which is 0.06. This is because the beta value for bank is much more than Idle Value of beta. Q6)Dividend policy It is known as one of the effective set ofguidelines a company used to decide after making all the payment ofdebts and other outstanding expenses of the company. the company which remain after that is been distributed among the shareholders and investors of an organisation (Dividend policy, 2017). There is certain recommendationthat investors are not associated with a company’s divided policy hence they can sell some of the portion of their portfolios of equities in case any cash requirements. Management do also have the option to sell acertain portion of their shares if they think crucial for thebenefit of the company or in order to 12
generate sufficient amount ofcapital. From the analysis of annual report of both bank it is observed that they follow regular dividend policy as banks. But Commonwealth Bank Ltd is distributing dividend every year in increasing trends. Q7 Recommendation letter As an investment analyst for both bank which are Commonwealth Bank Ltd and Westpac group Bank. Various key ratio like profitability, liquidity and leverage ratio which shows that commonwealth bank is more profitable. The share price of Commonwealth bank is also much higher and expected return is more considerable than the other bank. Share price for three year is almost high than Westpac Group Bank as there price of share is approx 85 dollar. There share price are more correlated and volatile as compared to ordinary index. CPMA also shows the expected rate of return that is quietly higher than other bank that is 0.0611 that result they are efficient and volatile. Dividend distributed by Commonwealth bank are also more and in increasing trend that are more benefited to its shareholder. CONCLUSION In the above project report, it can be concluded that investment analysts are very important from every company. The main aim of this project is to determine the performance of both the companies by evaluating the various ratio expected rate of return, dividend policy etc. from the analysis it is easy to recommend that share price of Commonwealth bank Ltdare more correlated and volatile and the return on investment are much higher than other bank. 13
REFERENCES Books and Journals: Ben-David, I., Graham, J. R and Harvey, C. R., 2013. Managerial miscalibration.The Quarterly Journal of Economics, p. qjt023. Chun-juan, W. A .N. G., 2003. A Research into the Loans for Small and Medium Enterprises [J].Yin Shan Academic Journal.5.p.019. Fee, C. E., Hadlock, C. J. and Pierce, J. R., 2013. Managers with and without style: Evidence using exogenous variation.Review of Financial Studies. 26(3). pp.567-601. Hribar, P. and Yang, H., 2015. CEO overconfidence and management forecasting.Contemporary Accounting Research. Li, P. I. N. G., 2005. Considerations on the Financing Problem of Chinese Medium and Small- sized Enterprises [J].Sci/tech Information Development & Economy.2.p.118. Malkiel, B. G., 2013. Asset management fees and the growth of finance.The Journal of Economic Perspectives. 27(2). pp.97-108. Moffett, M. H., Stonehill, A.I and Eiteman, D. K., 2014.Fundamentals of multinational finance. Pearson. Scholes, M. S., 2015.Taxes and business strategy. Prentice Hall. Ellison, N. B. and Boyd, D. M., 2013. Sociality through social network sites. InThe Oxford handbook of internet studies. McLean, R. D. and Zhao, M., 2014. The business cycle, investor sentiment, and costly external finance.The Journal of Finance.69(3). pp.1377-1409. Mian, A. R. and Sufi, A., 2018.Finance and business cycles: the credit-driven household demand channel(No. w24322). National Bureau of Economic Research. Online Dividend policy. 2017.[Online]. Avalaible through: <https://www.chegg.com/homework- help/definitions/dividend-policy-11> 14
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