This document discusses portfolio management and the process of developing a strong investment portfolio. It analyzes the financial performance of Facebook Inc. and BHP Billiton Limited over the last five years.
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Running head: FINANCE PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT Finance Portfolio Management Name of the Student: Name of the University: Authors Note:
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1 FINANCE PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT Abstract: Portfolio management is the process of managing one’s investment with the objective of providing maximum amount of return on a given rate of risk. Returns in the form of interest, dividend and capital appreciation are the main concerns of investors looking to invest funds on shares, debentures, mutual funds or other such investment options. The document shows number of different stocks that are expected to provide positive returns to the investors over a long period of time. Investment in these shares are will make a strong portfolio for any investors provided there is no unexpected turn of incidents deteriorating the performances of these stocks.
3 FINANCE PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT Introduction: Portfolio management is an extremely complex task with lucrative benefits to the ones who have mastered the art of portfolio management to provide the investors best possible options to invest with the objective of earning significant return on the amount of investment. Finding out different stocks to develop a strong investment portfolio is the main purpose of preparing this document. With $100,000 in hand a strong portfolio shall be developed to maximize the amount of return on such funds with minimum amount of risk. A detailed discussion on different stocks, futures and options shall be made to ensure that the final portfolio is extremely strong from the point of view of investors. Research: As mentioned earlier that the investors look for investment options that provide regular return to the investors in the form of dividend, interest, capital appreciation or any other forms. The financial statements are the most crucial source of information about any company and its performance(Habib and Hasan, 2019). The statement of profit and loss shall help the investors or the portfolio management to assess the past performances of an organization on the basis of which decision of investment in the company can be made. Apart from the statement of profit and loss an entity also prepares statement of financial position as part of obligation to prepare annual financial statements. Statement of financial position describes the financial state and health of an entity(Kim and Im, 2017). Investors willing to invest for long term would obviously look for a financially healthy company to invest in. Thus, using the financial statements is the basic step in identifying the most desirable shares and stocks to include in the overall portfolio of an investor. Apart from that the stock exchanges where the shares of large corporations are listed also provide regular share price updates for the investors to follow the fortune of different
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4 FINANCE PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT companies. Use of the share price information from stock exchange also helps in developing portfolio. However in the long run the investors and portfolio manager would be benefited if the decision of investment is taken by assessing the financial performance and position of an organization from the financial statements of the organization(Knill, 2010). Facebook Inc.: Facebook Inc. is a multinational information technology company with its registered head office situated in the United States of America. One of the biggest companies in all across the globe Facebook has over the years increased its market capitalization rapidly. Using the statement of profit and loss of the company shall enable us to understand how the company has performed over the last five years. In order to determine whether to include the stock of Facebook in the portfolio the analysis of financial performance of the company over the years is extremely crucial. Below is the attached profit and loss statement of the company prepared from the annual reports of the company over the last five years(Kraft and Schwartz, 2014). INCOME STATEMENT OF FACEBOOK INC AllamountsareinUS$Million barring per share data 2014-122015-122016-122017-122018-12 Gross revenue12,466. 00 17,928. 00 27,638. 00 40,653. 00 55,838. 00 Less: Cost of gross revenue2,153. 00 2,867. 00 3,789. 00 5,454. 00 9,355. 00 Gross profit10,313.15,061.23,849.35,199.46,483.
6 FINANCE PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT Earnings from continuing operations after tax 2,940. 00 3,688. 00 10,217. 00 15,934. 00 22,112. 00 Net income2,940. 00 3,688. 00 10,217. 00 15,934. 00 22,112. 00 Preferred dividend15 .00 19 .00 29 .00 14 .00 1 .00 Earningsavailabletocommon shareholders 2,925. 00 3,669. 00 10,188. 00 15,920. 00 22,111. 00 Basic EPS1 .12 1 .31 3 .56 5 .49 7 .65 Increase in EPS0 .19 2 .25 1 .93 2 .16 The profit and loss statement of Facebook Inc. from 2014 to 2018 shows the huge improvement in the financial performance of the company over the last five years. In 2014 the company earned a gross revenue of $12,466 million revenue from its business operations which increased to almost five times within four years period. In 2018 the company earned a staggering 55,838 million thus, registering an increase of $43,372 million within 4 years’ time. Gross profit of the company in 2018 has increased to $46,483 million from $10,313 million of 2014. Net income of the company has also followed the same trajectory with net income of $2,940 in 2014 has almost
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7 FINANCE PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT increased by 9 times to stand at $22,112 million in 2018(Natividad, 2013). It is only natural that such extra-ordinary performance will see a huge jump in the earnings per share of the company. Basic earnings per share of the company for 2014 was $1.12 has increased to $7.65 in 2018. The biggest plus point for the company has been its consistent improvement in every aspects of business operations. Each year since 2014 as can be seen from the above profit and loss statement of the company, the performance of the company has only improved. Whether it is the amount of revenue or gross profit or net profit or EPS the improvement has been a constant feature. The performance of Facebook stock in the stock exchange over the last five years will further help in assessing the desirability of including the stock in the overall portfolio. The screen shot below shows the share price trend over the last five years. It is clear from the graphical trend of the share prices of Facebook Inc. that the share price of the company has increased continuously over the last five years. BHP Billiton Limited:
8 FINANCE PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT An Anglo Australian company BHP Billiton Limited is one of world’s largest multinational national companies. The company is a mining, metals and petroleum Oil Company has its operations spread to different parts of the globe. Like Facebook Inc. let’s dissect the financial performance of the company with the help of its statement of profit and loss prepared from the annual reports of the company. Attached below is the profit and loss account of the company over the last five years, i.e. since 2014(O. Al-Smadi, 2018). INCOME STATEMENT OF BHO Billiton Limited AllamountsareinUS$Million barring per share data 2014-062015-062016-062017-062018-06 Gross revenue67,206.0 0 44,636. 00 30,912. 00 38,285. 00 43,638. 00 Less: Cost of gross revenue32,086.0 0 24,057. 00 18,721. 00 17,016. 00 17,204. 00 Gross profit35,120.0 0 20,579. 00 12,191. 00 21,269. 00 26,434. 00 Expenses: R&D related expenses43.0 0 13. 00 Sales, General and administrative7,662.0 0 5,607. 00 4,230. 00 4,256. 00 4,411. 00
10 FINANCE PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT Earningsavailabletocommon shareholders 13,832.0 0 1,910. 00 (6,385.0 0) 5,890. 00 3,705. 00 Earnings per share2.6 0 0. 35 (1. 20) 1. 10 0. 69 Unlike Facebook Inc. the financial performance of BHP Billiton Limited has not been consistent as is clear from the above statement. Opposite to what Facebook has achieved by continuously increasing its revenue and profits BHP Billiton has suffered decline in its revenue and profit over the last five years. In 2014 the company earned a staggering revenue of $67,206 million only to experience continuous decline over the last five years to earn $43,638 million. Gross profit of 2018 stood at $26,434 million as compared to $35,120 million in 2014. Similarly net income and earnings available to common shareholders have showed same trajectory. Compared to $13,832 million earnings available to common shareholders in 2014 the company only managed to earn $3,705 million for the common shareholders in 2018. The earnings per share (EPS) of the company in 2014 was $2.60 which again has reduced to $0.69 per share in 2018(Velez-Pareja, 2009). However, despite the fact that the performance of the company has deteriorated over the last five years still it is a desirable company simply because the company’s performance has turnaround. If the profit and loss statement of the company followed carefully it can be seen that in 2016 the performance of the company took a nose dive. The company experience lowest phase with its profit turning negative in the year 2016. The company has certainly overcome that phase to
11 FINANCE PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT improve its performance in 2017 and 2018. The gross revenue gross, profit and earnings available to common shareholders all improved in the last two years. Thus, considering the scale of the company and its ability to improve even with such large scale operation the BHP stock is certainly worth investing in. Thus, in the long run it can be expected that the shares of BHP will provide significant return to the shareholders in the form of dividend and capital appreciation (Zaks, 2012). The above graph shows the fluctuations in share prices of the company over the last five years. The share price of BHP took tumble during 2016 and 2017 however, the company is at the path of recovery as the line of share price is moving upward. Thus, considering the share price is not at its highest this is quite the right time for the investors to invest in the shares to experience capital appreciation in the future. Alumina Limited: Another mining company Alumina Limited was formed in 2003 having it’s headquarter in Melbourne, Australia. The company is a small company however, it has significant potential as can be seen from the directors’ statement attached in the annual report. As per the annual report
12 FINANCE PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT of the company the directors have said that within next few years the company wil be able to double its earnings from business operations. The attached profit and loss statement for the last five years below shall give us fair idea about the financial performance of the company to justify the decision of investing in the shares of the company. INCOME STATEMENT OF ALLUMINA LIMITED All amounts are in US$ Million barring per share data 2014-122015- 12 2016- 12 2017-122018-12 Gross revenue- -1.00 1.002.00 Less: Cost of gross revenue- -1.00 1.002.00 Gross profit Sales, General and administrative16.0016. 00 3 6.00 17.0016.00 Interest expense17.009. 00 1 3.00 11.009.00 Other operating expenses86.00(146.0 0) (6 .00) (463.00)(924.00) Total costs and expenses119.00(121.04(435.00)(898.00)
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13 FINANCE PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT 0)3.00 Income before income taxes(119.00)121. 00 (42. 00) 436.00900.00 Provision for income taxes1.00 Other income- Net earnings from continuing operations(120.00)121. 00 (42. 00) 436.00900.00 Net earnings(120.00)121. 00 (42. 00) 436.00900.00 Earnings available to common shareholders(120.00)121. 00 (42. 00) 436.00900.00 Earnings per share(0.04 ) 0. 04 (0 .01) 0.150.31 It can be seen from the above profit and loss account of the company that each year since 2014 the financial performance of the company has improved. Net earnings from continuing business operations of the company and net income before taxes were negative in 2014 and 2016 which have increased significantly in 2017 and 2018. Compared to negative net income of $119 million in 2014 has turnaround completely in 2017 and 2018. In 2017 the company has earned positive
14 FINANCE PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT net income of $436 million and $900 million in 2018. Similarly the earnings per share of the company has improved over the years to currently stand at $0.31 in 2018. The share price trends of Alumina Limited can be understood from the following graph. Again the share of Alumina Limited has seen number of declines during 2016 and 2017 only to recover in 2018. Chorus Limited: Chorus Limited is engaged in providing communication services in Australia and New Zealand. Over the years the company’ has expanded its operations as a result it is with low share price a suitable option to invest in the shares of the company. The attached profit and loss statement of the company shall highlight the attractiveness of the company to be part of the overall portfolio. INCOME STATEMENT OF CHORUS LTD All amounts are in NZ$ Million barring per share data 2014- 06 2015- 06 2016- 06 2017- 06 2018- 06 Gross revenue96991,002.1,031.98
16 FINANCE PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT 8.006.00.00.007.00 Net earninsg from continuing operations after tax 14 8.00 9 1.00 91 .00 113. 00 8 5.00 Net income14 8.00 9 1.00 91 .00 113. 00 8 5.00 Earnings available to common shareholders14 8.00 9 1.00 91 .00 113. 00 8 5.00 Earnings per share 0.380.23 0 .23 0 .280.20 Each year since 2014 to 2017 the financialperformanceof the company has improved significantly. In 2017 the gross revenue earned by the company was NZ $1,031 million as compared to NZ $968 million in 2014. Though in 2018 the revenue of the company has decreased a bit but the company’s financial performance certainly attracts the investors to invest in the shares of the company especially considering the low share price of the company. Net earnings available to the common shareholders of the company in 2015 was NZ $91 million. This has increased to NZ $113 million in 2017. Thus, the company despite operating within the regionallimitsofAustraliaandNewZealandhasimproveditsfinancialperformance significantly over the years. With its share price quite low the company provides lucrative opportunity for the investors to invest in the shares of the company. The graph below shows the fluctuation in the share prices of the company over the last five years(Natividad, 2013).
17 FINANCE PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT The above graph shows how the share prices of the company has improved over the last five years. The share price of the company has showed steep but steady rise over a long period of time. Thus, in the long run investors can expect significant capital appreciation in the value of the shares. Hence, as a small company Chorus Limited is an attractive investment option to be included in the portfolio of the investor. Quarterly Investment report: Memorandum: It has been decided that the investment shall be made on four companies’ shares, i.e. Facebook, BHP, Alumina and Chorus in the ratio of 4:3:2:1. Accordingly as on the date of 1stDecember, 2017 the number of share purchased using the total fund of $100,000 in four different companies is shown in the table below. CompaniesFaceboo k BHPAluminaChorus Investment amount40,000.30,000.20,000.10,000.
21 FINANCE PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT 01.12.2018140. 61 (8,022.84)(2 0.06) Exercise option or futures: By purchasing call and put option the holder of such option have the right and not obligation to sell particular share at a particular price on or before the due date when the put option is expiring. The call option gives the holder the right to purchase certain number of shares at a predetermined price on or before the due date. The exercise option could have been used here as the room for manipulation was significant with constant fluctuation in all four share prices have been experienced during the period from 01.12.2017 to 01.12.2018. Share trading: The investor is not a trader to trade in shares the objective behind developing the portfolio is to invest in the shares of attractive companies to earn return in the form of dividend and capital appreciation in the long run(Kraft and Schwartz, 2014). Portfolio performance: QuartersChorusAluminaBHPFacebookTotal 01.03.2018(0 .08) 1 .12 4 .53 0. 355.91 01.06.20180413.1
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22 FINANCE PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT .76.04.39970.16 01.09.20181 .32- (1 .57) (4. 17) (4 .42) 01.12.20180 .59 (5 .37) (2 .63) (8. 02) (15 .43) Net return on the portfolio(3 .78) Readdress stock selection and stances in the market: It is clearly seen in the above table that the investment portfolio has not given the desired results as the portfolio return is in negative. Thus, readdress of stock selection is natural. Detailed analysis of market movement of share prices shall be again carefully watched and suitable companies’ stocks shall be selected to earn desired return from investment in the future. Stock selection is a crucial part of investment portfolio management however, despite this there is no guarantee of earning positive return on investment portfolio as the market forces are beyond the control of individual investors. Conclusion: Taking into consideration the above discussion it is clear that the portfolio has not performed as per the expectation of the portfolio management as the net return of the portfolio has been in negative. Thus, reselection of stock is certainly the need of the hour. However it is important to note that the portfolio management does not guarantee positive return as the market
23 FINANCE PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT volatility is beyond the control of any one. However, the report makes it amply clear that there is a standard procedure that needed to be followed in selecting suitable investment options in a portfolio. But it’s still not a guarantee of providing good returns.
24 FINANCE PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT References: Habib,A.andHasan,M.(2019).BusinessStrategyandLaborInvestment Efficiency.International Review of Finance, 2(5), pp.13-21. Kim, J. and Im, C. (2017). Reported Profits And Effective Tax Rate Following Accounting Standards Changes Analysis Of Consolidated Financial Statements And Separate Financial Statements.Journal of Applied Business Research (JABR), 33(6), p.1171. Knill, A. (2010). Does Foreign Portfolio Investment Reach Small Listed Firms?.European Financial Management, 19(2), pp.251-303. Kraft,H.andSchwartz,E.(2014).CashFlowMultipliersandOptimalInvestment Decisions.European Financial Management, 21(3), pp.399-429. Natividad, G. (2013). Multidivisional Strategy and Investment Returns.Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, 22(3), pp.594-616. O.Al-Smadi,M.(2018).Determinantsofforeignportfolioinvestment:thecaseof Jordan.Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 15(1), pp.328-336. Velez-Pareja,I.(2009).GuidelinesforForecastingFinancialStatementsfromHistorical Financial Statements for Valuation Purposes (Updated).SSRN Electronic Journal, 2(3), pp.12- 21. Zaks, Y. (2012). Optimal Asset-Liability Management Investment Portfolio.SSRN Electronic Journal, 2(3), pp.12-35.
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