Case Study on Holding Period Returns and Total Returns to Shareholders
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This case study analyzes the holding period returns and total returns to shareholders of two companies over a five-year period. It also examines the financial ratios and performance of the companies.
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Case Study 1 1)The Holding Period Returns can be computed using the formula shown below. Holding period returns = (Pricen+1β Pricen+ Dividend)/ Pricen The closing adjusted prices as on June 30 for the two companies are given below. The dividend data for the two companies during June 30, 2013 to June 30, 2018 is shown below. Based on the above data the annual holding returns of the two stocks are indicated as follows. 2)The expected returns based on the historical performance of the stock would be average returns on the stock.
Expected Returns on Dominos Pizza Enterprises = (104.41+ 70.94+95.11-21.12+4.71)/5 = 50.81% p.a. Expected Returns on Retail Food Group = (27.05 + 30.26 + 12.40-5.13 -84.83)/5 = -4.05% 3)The total returns to shareholders needs to be computed for each company based on the formula provided. The relevant input values for Domino Pizza Enterprises are as follows. P5= $ 51, P0= $9.78, Total dividends = $3.288 Hence, total returns of shareholders (DPE) = [(51 + 3.288)/9.78]1/5-1 = 40.89% The relevant input values for Retail Food Group are as follows. P5= $ 0.54, P0= $3.1785, Total dividends = $1.1275 Hence, total returns of shareholders (DPE) = [(0.54 + 1.1275)/3.1785]1/5-1 = -12.10% 4)Based on the above computations, it is apparent that Dominos Pizza Enterprises has given significant superior returns in comparison to RFG over the last five years. The total returnof shareholders on DPE has been about 41% p.a.in comparison to negative returns of 12% p.a. on the RFG stock. 5)The relevant inputs for the two companies for the computation of the requisite rations for the 2017/2018 financial year is shown below.
The requisite financial ratios for the 2018 financial year are shown below. 6)A) Profitability β It is evident from the trends with regards to EPS growth and net profit margin that a robust performance has been seen by DPE which has managed to improve the net profit margins from 10% to more than 15% during the five year period. This is coupled with robust and consistentgrowth in EPS. On the contrary, the EPS growth for RFG has been lackluster and has witnessed major decline in 2018. Also, the profit margins have severely declined owing to which the stock price of the company has also tanked. B) Efficiency - The asset turnover ratio for RFG has shown an improving trend during the given period. This is sharply in contrast with DPE whose asset turnover ratio has declined over the same period. However, despite the decline, the asset turnover ratio continues to be superior for DPE in comparison with RFG. The deterioration in asset turnover for DPE is not on account of inefficiency in asset usage but rapid increase in assets(Brealey, Myers and Allen, 2014).
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C) Liquidity β The quick ratio for DPE has been consistent during the period and has shown major improvement in 2018 when it has managed to cross 100% which augers well for the short term liquidity of the company. On the contrary, quick ratio for RFG has been quite volatile and has shown wild swings in both directions. However, despite this it remains healthy and poses no short term liquidity threat (Petty et. al., 2016). D) Solvency - Both the leverage ratios along with net debt to equity ratio movements during the period of interest highlight that there has been increased leverage for both companies as these ratios have progressively worsened. The increased debt may be related to expansion of business. Overall the leverage seems to be higher for DPE in comparison to RFG. However, despite higher leverage DPE does not pose much insolvency risk since the business is quite robust unlike RFG which suffered a huge loss in 2018 (Damodaran, 2015). Case Study 2 Task 1 The contribution margin is defined as the sales revenue minus the variable costs. Unit sales revenue = $ 3 Unit royalty cost = (8/100)*$3 = $ 0.24 Unit ingredient cost = $0.38 Unit marketing = (5/100)*$3 = $ 0.15 Total unit variable cost = 0.24 + 0.38 + 0.15 = $ 0.77 Hence, unit contribution margin = $3 - $0.77 = $2.23 Task 2
In order to determine the amount of cupcakes required to be sold for break, the annual fixed cost needs to be determined. Annual rent = 350*52 = $ 18,300 Annual outgoings = $ 3,500 Annual wage cost = (16*8*252) + (17*8*252) = $66,528 Annual contribution of employer to superannuation of employees = (9.5/100)*66528 = $ 6,320 Total fixed costs = 18300 + 3500 + 66528 + 6320 = $94,548 Number of cupcakes to be sold for breakeven = (Total fixed costs/Unit contribution margin) = (94,548/2.23) = 42,399 Task 3 Unit contribution margin = $2.23 Annual sales of cupcakes = 144*252 = 36,288 Annual contribution margin = $2.23 *36,288 = $80,922 Annual fixed costs = $94,548 Annual loss= 94,548 β 80,922 = $ 13,626 Task 4 Year 1 Annual sales of cupcakes = 70,000 Annual contribution margin = $2.23 *70,000 = $156,100 Annual fixed costs = $94,548
Annual profit before tax = $156,100 - $94,548 = $ 61,552 Net profit after tax = $ 61,552(1-0.3) = $ 43,086 Year 2 Annual sales of cupcakes = 80,000 Annual contribution margin = $2.23 *80,000 = $178,400 Annual fixed costs = $94,548 Annual profit = $178,400 - $94,548 = $ 83,852 Net profit after tax = $ 83,852(1-0.3) = $ 58,696 Year 3 Annual sales of cupcakes = 90,000 Annual contribution margin = $2.23 *90,000 = $200,700 Annual fixed costs = $94,548 Annual profit = $200,700 - $94,548 = $ 106,152 Net profit after tax = $106,152(1-0.3) = $ 74,306 Task 5 The net cashflows for various year is summarized below. Year 0 = -$ 200,000 (Initial investment) Year 1 = $ 43,086 Year 2 = $ 58,696 Year 3 = Annual net profit + Sale proceeds = $ 74,306 + $ 150,000 = $224,306
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The cost of capital is given as 16% p.a. NPV = -200,000 + (43086/1.16) + (58696/1.162) + (224306/1.163) = $ 24,467 Task 6 Profitability Index = (PV of cash inflows)/Initial Investment = (224,467/200,000) = 1.12 Task 7 It is apparent that the NPV for the business is positive and also the profitability index is greater than 1. As a result, the given investment is financially feasible and would result in wealth creation. Owing to this, money should be put in the cupcake business (Lasher, 2017). Task 8 The given link highlights various risks associated with the cupcake business.. In order to keep these risks in check, it is essential that the pricing of the product should be kept low so that the premium over donut is not very high. Further, it would also result in lower competition. Also, in order to keep the novelty factor going, it makes sense to introduce new type of cupcakes on a periodic basis so that the customers keep coming. The above steps would ensure that the risk inherent in the cupcake business would be limited.
References Berk, J., DeMarzo, P., Harford, J., Ford, G., Mollica, V. and Finch, N. (2016)Fundamentals of corporate finance. London: Pearson Higher Education AU, pp.167 Brealey, R.A., Myers, S.C. and Allen, F. (2014)Principles of corporate finance. 2nd ed. New York: McGraw-Hill Inc, pp. 144 Damodaran, A. (2015)Applied corporate finance: A userβs manual. 3rd ed. New York: Wiley, John & Sons,pp. 135-136 Lasher, W. R., (2017)Practical Financial Management.5th ed. London:South- Western College Publisher, pp. 198 Petty, J.W., Titman, S., Keown, A., Martin, J.D., Martin, P., Burrow, M., and Nguyen, H. (2016) Financial Management, Principles and Applications.6th ed.NSW: Pearson Education, French Forest Australi, pp.176