This report provides a financial analysis of Telstra Australia, including the valuation using free cash flow method and dividend discount model. It discusses the cost of capital, valuation model, diagnosis, and concludes with recommendations for investors.
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Financial Analysis 3 Introduction: Valuation is an analytical process in which current worth of an organization is evaluated on the basis of its market performance and historical data. Various techniques are there in order to measure the actual worth of the business (Madura, 2011). In the report, Telstra Australia’s valuation has been measured on the basis of free cash flow method and dividend discount model. The report focuses on the company’s intrinsic value and compares it with the market price to identify the investment opportunity in the business. Cost of capital: Cost of capital is the opportunity cost of which is used by the company to make particular investment. It is basically the total rate of return which would be paid by the company to its investors and the borrowers against their amount in the business. Cost of capital calculations of the company are as follows: Cost of equity: Cost of equity represents the total cost paid by the company as dividend amount to its shareholders. Below calculations explain that cost of equity of Telstra is 6.26%. Cost of Equity: CAPM model A. Risk free rate2.38% B. Market rate of return8% C. Beta0.69 D. CAPM6.26% (Bloomberg, 2019 and Yahoo Finance, 2019) Cost of debt: Cost of debt represents the total cost paid by the company as interest amount to its bondholders and debenture holders. Below calculations explain that cost of debt of Telstra is 1.59%. Cost of debt: Net finance cost ($M)631.00 Less: Tax @30%189.30 After tax cost of debt441.70 Borrowings amount27,843.00 After tax cost of debt (%)1.59% (Annual report, 2018)
Financial Analysis 4 WACC: Lastly,on the basis of cost of debt and cost of equity, WACC of the company has been measured which is as follows: Debt Ordinary SharesTotal Cost of Finance1.59%6.26% Market Weights0.340.66 WACC0.55%4.11%4.65% (Morningstar, 2018) On the basis of cost of capital calculations, it has been measured that cost of equity level of the company is quite higher along with higher weight in capital structure. It defines that with few changes in capital structure, WACC level of the company could be reduced. It further explains that the overall cost of capital of the business is quite lower than the projected return of the business and hence, the overall performance of the company is quite better. Valuation model: Valuation is an analytical process in which current worth of an organization is evaluated on the basis of its market performance and historical data. The section focuses on FCFM method and DDM method to identify the actual worth of the business. Free cash flow method: Free cash flow method represents the total cash generated by the company and it evaluates the intrinsic value of the company accordingly. Calculations explain that the FCFF of the company is $ 2734.06 million. Further, it represents that discrete cash flow growth rate of the company is 6.17%. On the basis of companies and calculated data, it has been measured that terminal cash flow of the business is $ 5276.25 million. It further represents that per share value of equity of Telstra is $ 13.14 (Appendix). Present value of terminal cash flows Terminal cash flows 5,276.25156,754.53
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Financial Analysis 5 Total value of Firm ($M)183,962.36 Less: Value of Debt27,843.00 Total value of Equity156,119.36 No of Shares Outstanding11,877.00 Per share value of value of equity13.14 (Annual report, 2018) FCFF model is applied by the investors in case of long term investment and at the time of consistent return from the stock of the business Dividend discount model: DDM valuation model bases upon the theory that an organization’s stock price is the sum of future dividend paid by the company. It evaluates the dividend growth rate and future dividend of the business to measure stock price. Calculations represent that dividend growth rate of the company is 6.09% and the intrinsic value of the company is $ 28.06 (Appendix). Dividend Discount Model Dividend expected0.40 Growth rate6.09% Discount rate4.65% Intrinsic Value28.06 (Yahoo finance, 2019) DDM model is applied by the investors in case of short term investment and at the time of consistent return from the stock of the business. Diagnosis: On the basis of valuation process of the company, it has been measured that the terminal cash flow from FCFF model is $ 5276.25 million. It further explains that total value of firm is $ 183,962.36 million. It finally concludes that the intrinsic value of the company per share is $ 13.14 whereas the market worth of stock of the company is $ 3.57 (Appendix). It explains that the stock worth of the company is undervalued in the market and hence, it is the right time for the investors to buy the stock of the company to get higher risk with less associated risk. More to it, DDM model explains that the intrinsic value of the company per share is $ 28.06 whereas the market worth of stock of the company is $ 3.57. It explains that the stock
Financial Analysis 6 worth of the company is undervalued in the market and hence, it is the right time for the investors to buy the stock of the company to get higher risk with less associated risk (Brigham & Houston, 2012). The risk associated with the stock of the company is also lesser than the market risk and competitor risk. Along with that, cost of capital of the company is also lower. It concludes that the investment into the business would be beneficial for the investors. Conclusion: On the basis of overall study, it is recommended to the investors of the company to make an investment for the long term in the company. Currently, the stock price of the company is undervalued in the market and hence, the current investment would offer great return to the investors of the company.