Financial Analysis of Investment Project and Capital Structure of AMP Limited
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This report provides a financial analysis of an investment project and the capital structure of AMP Limited. It includes after-tax cash flows, payback period, net present value, and profitability index.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS Part A.........................................................................................................................................3 (i)............................................................................................................................................3 (ii)...........................................................................................................................................5 A.........................................................................................................................................5 B.........................................................................................................................................6 C.........................................................................................................................................7 (iii)..........................................................................................................................................7 Option A.............................................................................................................................7 Option B.............................................................................................................................8 Part B........................................................................................................................................10 Executive summary..............................................................................................................10 Introduction..........................................................................................................................10 Comparative analysis of WAACC and capital structure..................................................10 Financial analysis of AMP Limited.................................................................................12 Major changes held in the capital structure of AMP limited in past three years.............13 AMP Limited’s Risk analysis..........................................................................................14 Conclusion............................................................................................................................15 References................................................................................................................................16
PART A (i) After-tax cash flows Statement Showing After-tax Cash Flows for the proposed Investment project Amount in million Particulars/ Years12345678910 Sales in units16.0016.0016.0016.0016.0016.0016.0016.0016.0016.00 Sales Price per Unit1.251.281.311.341.371.401.441.471.511.54 Total Sales$20.00$20.47$20.95$21.44$21.9 5$22.46$22.99$23.53$24.08$24.65 Raw Material cost$7.00$7.00$7.00$7.00$7.00$7.00$7.00$7.00$7.00$7.00 Fixed Cost$ 5.60$5.60$5.60$5.60$5.60$5.60$5.60$5.60$5.60$5.60 Variable Cost$ 1.40$1.40$1.40$1.40$1.40$1.40$1.40$1.40$1.40$1.40 Gross Profit$ 6.00$6.47$6.95$7.44$7.95$8.46$8.99$9.53$10.08$10.65 Depreciation$ 1.95$1.95$1.95$1.95$1.95$1.95$1.95$1.95$1.95$1.95 Profit Before Tax$ 4.05$4.52$5.00$5.49$6.00$6.51$7.04$7.58$8.13$8.70 Tax (rate 30%)$ 1.22$1.36$1.50$1.65$1.80$1.95$2.11$2.27$2.44$2.61 Profit After Tax$ 2.84$3.16$3.50$3.85$4.20$4.56$4.93$5.31$5.69$6.09 Depreciation$ 1.95$1.95$1.95$1.95$1.95$1.95$1.95$1.95$1.95$1.95 Cash flow from Salvage Value$ -$-$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$5.00 Cash Flows after Tax$ 4.79$5.11$5.45$5.80$6.15$6.51$6.88$7.26$7.64$13.04 Payback period Formula lastyearwithnegativecumulativecashflow+ (absolute value of cumulative cash flow at the end year with a negative cumulative cash flow / total cashflowduringtheyearafteranegative cumulative cash flow Payback Period =3 + (4.65) / 5.80 3.8017241
Table1: Statement showing cumulative cash flow Computation of Payback Period YearsCash Flows (In Million )Cumulative Cash Flow(In Million ) 0$(20.00)$(20.00) 1$4.79$(15.22) 2$5.11$(10.10) 3$5.45$(4.65) 4$5.80$1.15 5$6.15$7.29 6$6.51$13.80 7$6.88$20.68 8$7.26$27.94 9$7.64$35.58 10$13.04$48.62 Net present value Amount in million Particulars/ Years12345678910 Cash Flows after Tax$ 4.79$5.11$5.4 5 $5.8 0 $6.1 5 $6.5 1 $6.8 8 $7.2 6$7.64$13.04 Present Value Factor @ 20%0.8330.6940.5790.4820.40 20.3350.2790.2330.1940.162 Present Value of Cash Flows$3.99$3.55$3.1 5 $2.7 9 $2.4 7 $2.1 8 $1.9 2 $1.6 9$1.48$2.11 Total Present Value of Cash Flows$25.33 Initial Capital Outlay$20.00 Net Present Value$5.33 Profitability index Profitability IndexPresent Value of Cash Inflows / Initial investment
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25.33/20.00 1.267 (ii) A After tax cash flows Years/ Particulars12345678910 Sales in units16.8016.8016.8016.8016.8 016.8016.8016.8016.8016.80 Sales Price per Unit$1.25$1.28$1.31$1.34$1.3 7$1.40$1.44$1.47$1.51$1.54 Total Sales$21.0 0$21.49$22.0 0 $22.5 2 $23. 04 $23.5 9 $24.1 4 $24.7 1 $25.2 9 $25.8 8 Raw Material cost$7.07$7.07$7.07$7.07$7.0 7$7.07$7.07$7.07$7.07$7.07 Fixed Cost$5.60$5.60$5.60$5.60$5.6 0$5.60$5.60$5.60$5.60$5.60 Variable Cost$1.47$1.47$1.47$1.47$1.4 7$1.47$1.47$1.47$1.47$1.47 Gross Profit$6.86$7.35$7.86$8.38$8.9 0$9.45$10.0 0 $10.5 7 $11.1 5 $11.7 4 Depreciation$1.95$1.95$1.95$1.95$1.9 5$1.95$1.95$1.95$1.95$1.95 Profit Before Tax$4.91$5.40$5.91$6.43$6.9 5$7.50$8.05$8.62$9.20$9.79 Tax (rate 30%)$1.47$1.62$1.77$1.93$2.0 9$2.25$2.42$2.59$2.76$2.94 Profit After Tax$3.44$3.78$4.14$4.50$4.8 7$5.25$5.64$6.03$6.44$6.85 Depreciation$1.95$1.95$1.95$1.95$1.9 5$1.95$1.95$1.95$1.95$1.95 Cash flow fromSalvage Value $-$-$-$-$-$-$-$-$-$5.00 Cash Flows after Tax$5.39$5.73$6.09$6.45$6.8 2$7.20$7.59$7.98$8.39$13.8 0 Net present value
Amount in million Years/ Particulars/12345678910 Cash Flows after Tax$5.39$5.73$6.09$6.45$6.82$7.20$7.59$7.98$8.39$13.8 0 Present Value Factor @ 20% 0.8330.6940.5790.4820.4020.3350.2790.2330.1940.162 Present Value of Cash Flows $4.49$3.98$3.52$3.11$2.74$2.41$2.12$1.86$1.63$2.23 Total Present Value of Cash Flows$28.08 Initial Capital Outlay$20.00 Net Present Value$8.08 B After tax cash flows Particulars/ years12345678910 Sales in units15.2015.2015.2015.2015.2 0 15.2 0 15.2 0 15. 2015.2015.20 Sales Price per Unit $ 1.25$1.28$1.31$1.34$1.3 7 $1.4 0 $1.4 4 $1. 47$1.51$1.54 Total Sales $19.0 0 $19.4 5 $ 19.90 $ 20.37 $ 20.8 5 $ 21.3 4 $ 21.8 4 $ 22. 35 $ 22.88 $ 23.42 Raw Material cost $ 6.93$6.93$6.93$6.93$6.9 3 $6.9 3 $6.9 3 $6. 93$6.93$6.93 Fixed Cost $ 5.60$5.60$5.60$5.60$5.6 0 $5.6 0 $5.6 0 $5. 60$5.60$5.60 Variable Cost $ 1.33$1.33$1.33$1.33$1.3 3 $1.3 3 $1.3 3 $1. 33$1.33$1.33 Gross Profit $ 5.14$5.59$6.04$6.51$6.9 9 $7.4 8 $7.9 8 $8. 49$9.02$9.56 Depreciati on $ 1.95$1.95$1.95$1.95$1.9 5 $1.9 5 $1.9 5 $1. 95$1.95$1.95 Profit Before Tax $ 3.19$3.64$4.09$4.56$5.0 4 $5.5 3 $6.0 3 $6. 54$7.07$7.61 Tax (rate 30%) $ 0.96$1.09$1.23$1.37$1.5 1 $1.6 6 $1.8 1 $1. 96$2.12$2.28 Profit After Tax $ 2.23$2.55$2.87$3.19$3.5 3 $3.8 7 $4.2 2 $4. 58$4.95$5.33 Depreciati$$1.95$1.95$1.95$1.9$1.9$1.9$1.$1.95$1.95
on1.9555595 Cash flow fromSalva ge Value $ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$5.00 Cash Flows after Tax $ 4.18$4.50$4.82$5.14$5.4 8 $5.8 2 $6.1 7 $6. 53$6.90$ 12.28 Net present value Particulars/ years12345678910 Cash Flows after Tax$4.18$4.5 0 $4.8 2 $ 5.14 $ 5.48 $ 5.82 $ 6.17 $ 6.53$ 6.90$12.28 Present Value Factor @ 20% 0.8330.6940.5790.4820.40 20.3350.27 90.2330.1940.162 Present Value of Cash Flows$3.49$3.12$2.79$2.48$2.2 0$1.95$1.7 2$1.52$1.34$1.98 Total Present Value of Cash Flows$22.59 Initial Capital Outlay$20.00 Net Present Value$2.59 C By considering the above calculations, it can be noticed that the project should be accepted as even by consideration of decline project is generating a positive return, i.e. positive net present value. Therefore, even if the projection of cash flows are not as per expectations, the proposed investment will provide benefit to the company. (iii) In both the investment options, the life of the project is different. Therefore evaluation of both the projects will be done by considering annualised cost so that NPV of both the projects can be compared. Option A YearsOption A PresentValue Factor @ 6% DiscountedCash Flows 0$ 475,000.001.000$(475,000.00) 1$ 100,000.000.943$94,339.62
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2$ 100,000.000.890$88,999.64 3$ 100,000.000.840$83,961.93 4$ 100,000.000.792$79,209.37 5$ 100,000.000.747$74,725.82 6$ 100,000.000.705$70,496.05 Total5.917$16,732.43 Annualised YieldNPV of the Project / Cumulative Present Value Annuity Factor $16,732.43/5.917 $2827.70 Option B Option B Present Value Factor @ 6%Discounted Cash Flows $475,000.001.000$475,000.00 $80,000.000.943$75,471.70 $80,000.000.890$71,199.72 $80,000.000.840$67,169.54 $80,000.000.792$63,367.49 $80,000.000.747$59,780.65 $80,000.000.705$56,396.84 $80,000.000.665$53,204.57 $80,000.000.627$50,192.99
$80,000.000.592$47,351.88 7.802$69,135.38 Annualised Yield NPV of the Project / Cumulative Present Value Annuity Factor $1,019,135.38 /7.802 $8861.59 By considering both the options, it can be noticed Annual yield of the second option is higher. Therefore, option B should be considered for the purpose of replacement.
PART B Executive summary Financial analysis is considered as the procedure of assessing business, budgets, projects and another financial related business enterprise to identify the validity and performance. It is employed to evaluate if or if not the business entity has enough profitability, solvency, stability and liquidity to ensure a monetary investment. The prevailing study is based on the financialanalysisoftheAMPlimitedtoassesstheinvolvedrisksandestimatethe performance of the company. The present study shows that the company has maintained an effective financial structure, by raising balanced equity and debt and fixing the returns of shareholders. Introduction The present study aims to evaluate and analyze the Annual Report of AMP Limited critically; so as to conduct the comparative analysis of WAACC and capital structure, as well as the study also covers the evaluation of key financial ratios of the AMP limited, to assess the financial performance of the company. Following to this, the study also intends to consider the major changes held in the capital structure of AMP limited in the past three years, with the consideration towards the material risks identified in the annual report supported by the appropriate mitigation strategies adopted by the company. Comparative analysis of WAACC and capital structure Table2: Statement showing capital structure of AMP limited AmountWeight Equity$720226% Long-term debt$2100974% Total$28211100% Table3: Statement showing WACC of AMP Ltd WeightCost of financeWeighted Cost (Costoffinance*
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weight) Equity26%9.73% Note 12.53% Long term debt74%1.95% Note 21.46% 100%3.99% Cost of equityCost of debt ℜ=(Diviendpaid/Priceofshare)+growthrateInterestcost(1−taxrate) =.29/3.22+8%*2.79%* (1-.3) =9.73%1.95% Calculation of Interest cost Interest cost/long term debt*100 585/21009 2.79% Table4: Statement showing calculation of CAPM Risk free rate of interest + beta (Return of market - Risk free rate of interest) 2.26%+ 1.47*(8.54-2.26%) =11.49% Risk free rate of interest is yield provided by Australian government bond As per the computed CAPM, return provided by company is lower than market performance. However, company is in their growth stage therefore it is expected that return rate will be increase in near future. Commonwealth bankWeightAMP LimitedWeight Equity1872623%720226% Long term debt63,71677%2100974% 82,442100%28211100%
By considering capital structure of both the companies it can be noticed that both the companies had considered similar strategy for maintaining capital structure. It is because; both the banking organisations are profit making entities therefore to ensure optimum capital cost it is viable to keep the portion of debt higher than equity. Financial analysis of AMP Limited (Source:MacroTrends, 2018) 20172016201520142013 Liquidity ratios Current ratio0.67440.6517077560.85810.8521 Solvency ratios Longterm debt 0.45950.45420.54960.51620.4781 Debt/equity ratio 0.88350.8641.24391.08860.9701 Profitability ratios Operating margin 20.58%15.67%20.99%23.43%20.1% Netprofit margin 12.30%11.23%12.83%13.19%11.91% Efficiency ratios Asset turnover ratio 0.08160.08360.08370.08240.0775 Receivable turnover ratio 2.0792.20262.30752.44042.4293 Investment ratios Returnon Equity (ROE) 24.67%22.88%20.13%21.51%16.01% Returnon Assets (ROA) 1.00%0.93%1.16%1.34%1.02% Returnon13.33%11.39%9.06%10.40%8.35%
Investment (ROI) By considering financial ratios of company it can be noticed that financial performance of company hasbeen improved in 2017 in comparison to 2016. However, it ishaving fluctuating over five years. Company is generating profits but they are required to stabilise their returns further liquidity of company is required to be improvised as it is lower than ideal ratio i.e. 2:1. Therefore, for better working capital management company should enhance their current assets. Investor ratios are constantly increasing which shows improvising shareholderwealthofbusinessandstabilisedefficiencyratioshows,companyhad maintained their capacity over the years to make optimum use of available assets. Major changes held in thecapitalstructure of AMP limited in past three years AMP Limited 2017Weight2016Weight2015Weight Debt2100974%524141%666444% Equity720226%746259%851956% 28211100%12703100%15183100%
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201720162015 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%74% 41%44% 26% 59%56% Capital structure DebtEquity Figure1: Major changes held in thecapitalstructure of AMP limited in past three yearsAMP Limited By considering the table, it can be articulated that in the last three years, the company is more committedtowardsequityandraisingmorefinanceforittotakebenefitofprofit stabilization. On the other hand, at present company raised consideration towards the debt and the main rationale for raising this concern is they can have more benefit of proceeds and will not be forced to offer higher shareholder returns due to the fixation of their total returns. Thus, with this decision company can have a better competitive edge and can generate profits with the maintenance of suitable financial system(Annual Report of AMP Limited, 2016). Hence, the debt raising resulted beneficial for the company, and the same step taken by the companywasmorestrategicandfuture-oriented,asthecompany’sperformanceis developing over time, thereby stabilizing profits and strengthening the financial position(Liu, 2018).
AMP Limited’s Risk analysis 20172016201520142013 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 30.00% Investment ratios Return on Equity (ROE)Return on Assets (ROA)Return on Investment (ROI) Figure2: Investment ratios showing shareholders return and wealth The management of AMP Limited is liable for the determining, detecting and managing the material risk emerging in the business (AMP Limited, 2018). In addition, the business unit teams are held liable to make decisions and execute the same in the regular business course, while mitigating the risks and the ultimate profit and loss in agreement with the strategy and appetite of risks. Further, the ERM management teams, which are led by the head of the group, are liable for developing, executing and managing the procedures to assess and overcome with the material risks while offering suitable recommendations and supervision on the business decisions based on material risks(Aven, 2015). On and on, the team also offers objective and strategic advice while giving a challenge to the decisions of the first line and offers a guarantee to the board that there is a proper alignment of the risk profile with the expectations of the board.A summarization of the key business challenges of the AMP and the material risks can be held in the report of the directors (Annual Report of AMP Limited, 2017). Further, the proper risk strategies are adopted by AMP to effectively describe the material risk and manage the Risk appetite statement, while describing the amount and risk tolerance nature in compliance with the corporate strategy. The seven determined materials risks in the annual report of AMP are:
Table5: Risks identified by AMP Limited 1.Concentration risk 2.Credit risk 3.Insurance risk 4.Liquidity risk 5.Market risk 6.Operational risk 7.Strategic risk AMP limited has classified risks in seven key material risks types which are mitigated, considered and documented to the board and reliable committees to make sure that the risk is mitigated sufficiently. The business and the group of the AMP maintains the capital targets stating their material risks inclusive of the risk appetite of the AMP, financial risks, product risks, insurance risk, and operations risk(Henisz and Zelner, 2015). The company considered risk mitigation strategies and maintained a management guide to the level of surplus capital to make a reduction in the concerned risks. Conclusion Based on the above analysis, it can be concluded that the AMP limited has maintained an effective financial structure lately, and has considered the strategy of altering capital to ensure optimum financial costs. Thus, it can be said that the company had presently implemented risk mitigation strategies to reduce risks and raise benefits.
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