This report provides a financial analysis of The Reject Shop, including liquidity, profitability, solvency, efficiency, and market ratios. It also includes a comparison of the company's share price movement with all ordinary index.
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COmpany Selected- The Reject Shop Financial analysis of The Reject Shop Financial analysis Name of the Author University Name-
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Table of Contents Introduction.................................................................................................................................................1 Description of the Reject Shop................................................................................................................1 Core activities of the Reject Shop............................................................................................................1 Competitive advantage............................................................................................................................1 Industry...................................................................................................................................................2 Financial analysis of The Reject Shop..........................................................................................................2 Liquidity ratio...........................................................................................................................................2 Current ratio........................................................................................................................................2 Quick ratio...........................................................................................................................................3 Profitability ratio......................................................................................................................................3 Net profit margin.................................................................................................................................3 Return on equity..................................................................................................................................4 Return on assets-.................................................................................................................................4 Gross profit margin..............................................................................................................................4 Solvency ratio......................................................................................................................................4 Debt to equity......................................................................................................................................5 Efficiency ratio.........................................................................................................................................5 Creditors turnover ratio.......................................................................................................................5 Inventory Turnover ratio.....................................................................................................................6 Assets turnover ratio...........................................................................................................................6 Market ratio (General investment proposal analysis).............................................................................6 Dividend payout ratio..........................................................................................................................7 Evaluation of the key points found in this financial analysis.......................................................................7 Analysis to compare the Share price movement of Reject Shop with all ordinary index.............................7 Computation of the value of the stock of the Reject Shop Company......................................................8 Computation of the dividend growth rate of Reject Shop...................................................................9 Recommendation......................................................................................................................................10 Conclusion.................................................................................................................................................10 References.................................................................................................................................................11
Introduction With the changing business structure, every organization should use proper financial analysis tool to analysis the financial performance of company. The ratio analysis, Du Pont analysis, share price valuation analysis and top down analysis and bottom up analysis could be used to evaluate the financial performance of company. This report has been prepared on The Reject Shop Company and its financial information from the annual report has been selected. This report divulges the financial performance of company, use of dividend growth model and share price analysis of company. The ratio analysis has been selected as financial performance analysis tool to evaluate whether the company has strong and weak financial performance in business. The analysis is used to identify whether the Reject Shop Company is fundamentally financially healthy or not. Description of the Reject Shop It is an Australian discount variety store chain which is indulged in retail service and currently operates 340 stores Australia wide. This Company has increased its capital investment by 20% since last three years.It is analyzed that currently, the Reject Shop Company has decreased its share price by 61% and resulted to AUD $ 4.90. Currently, CEO of company is Ross Sudano who undertakes all the key managerial decisions and all the employees accustomed to take their actions as per the orders given by him.The revenue of company has increased to AUD $ 80 million which is 20% higher as compared to last five year data. It reflects that company has created value on its investment (The Reject Shop, 2016). Core activities of the Reject Shop The Reject Shop Company is an Australia discount variety retail store chain which provides retail activities to the people in Australia. It sales all type of goods and services from its retail stores (The Reject Shop, 2016).
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Competitive advantage The competitive advantage of company is to offer all of its retail services at least cost. It allows company to offer its retail services at very low price which resulted to creation of the cost leadership strategy in market. This allows company to strengthen the overall outcomes by grabbing more market share (The Reject Shop, 2016). Industry The Reject Shop is indulged in operating retail services and grabbed 12% retail market shares in Australian retail industry. There are several other big rivals such as Wesfarmers, Woolworths and Morrison plc who are indulged in providing the same retail services in market (The Reject Shop, 2016). Financial analysis of The Reject Shop The financial analysis of company is done to identify whether the company is financially healthy or facing high long term sustainability risk in its business. The ratio analysis as financial tool has been used to evaluate how well the Reject Shop Company has performed throughout the time (The Reject Shop, 2016). Liquidity ratio This ratio helps in analyzing the financial performance of the Reject Shop Company and its ability to pay off its short term and long term liabilities out of the available current assets. It is divided into two main parts which are given as below (The Reject Shop, 2016). Current ratio This current ratio of company has decreased by 10% in 2017 and resulted to 1.63 points in 2017. This shows how well company has reduced its investment in its current assets. It has shown that company has decreased its liquid assets which may result to endanger if company fails to meet its current and long term demand of clients (The Reject Shop, 2016).
Descriptio n FormulaTHE REJECT SHOP LTD (TRS) Cash Flow Flag Ratio Analysis 2015`20162017 Current ratio Current assets/current liabilities1.821.491.63 Quick Ratio Current assets- Inventory/current liabilities 0.350.310.26 Quick ratio The quick ratio of company has also reduced and resulted to .26 points in 2017. It is .10 points lower as compared to last three year data. This quick ratio reflects how well company has blocked its investment in its inventories. Company might face issue in meeting its current demand due to its less investment in inventories and other assets. The Reject shop needs to invest more capital in its operating asset (Penman, and Zhang, (2016). Profitability ratio The profitability ratio reveals how well company is earning from its overall sales. Net profit margin The net profit margin ratio is used to analysis the profit earning capacity of company and how much net profit rate it is driving from its sales (The Reject Shop, 2016). This reflects the Reject Shop Companyhas increased its net profit ratio 2.13 % which is 27% more as compared to last year data shown. However, this data further decreased to 1.51% in 2017. It is the clear indication that company has been facing down fall profitability and may result to high destruction in long run (The Reject Shop, 2016). Descriptio n FormulaTHE REJECT SHOP LTD (TRS) Cash Flow Flag Ratio Analysis 2015`20162017 Net Profit margin Net profit/revenues1.85%2.13%1.51% Return on equity Net profit/Equity10.37%12.59%8.89% Return on assets Net profit/ Total assets6.14%7.36%5.48%
Return on equity This is the amount of profit offered to equity shareholders out of the available earning. It is analyzed that the Reject Shop has decreased its return on equity to 8.89% in 2017 which is 2% lower as compared to last two year data (Penman, and Zhang, (2016).However, the main reason of decrease in its overall profitability is due to the negative market factors and sluggish market condition. Company should focus on following the constant dividend policies otherwise the reduced profitability will negatively impact the capital investment decisions of the investors (The Reject Shop, 2016). Return on assets- The return on assets of company has decreased 5, 49% which is 1% low if it is compared with last year data. The main reason of decrease return on assets is based on the low business efficiency and net profit (The Reject Shop, 2016). Gross profit margin The gross profit margin ratio reflects the relation between the net profits earning capacity of company and how it has increased its profitability throughout the time. It is analyzed that the Reject shop has decrease its operating profit which has also resulted to decrease in its gross profit margin to 2.1%. It has decreased by 12% since last three years. 9358617178 Solvency ratio This ratio is the key indicator to showcase whether company has managed its capital structure in effective manner. The debt to equity structure of company has been very much high which reflect that the Reject Shop Company will have high financial leverage (Talebnia, Jaberzadeh, and Salehi, 2015). Descriptio n FormulaTHE REJECT SHOP LTD (TRS) Cash Flow Flag Ratio Analysis 2015`20162017
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Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/ Equity 0.700.700.62 Gearing ratio Interest/ EBIT (0.01)(0.004)(0.004) Debt to equity The solvency ratio has shown that company has kept high debt to equity structures which will not only increase the overall financial leverage but also lower down the cost of capital of organization. It is analyzed that company should lower down its debt to equity ratio if it wants to keep its business sustainable in long run (Penman, and Zhang, (2016). Gearing ratio The gearing ratio of company has been showing the negative results which reflect that if company does not lower down its interest payment then it could face high sustainability risk in long run. The Reject Shop has been facing high financial risk which may negatively impact its business (Suzuki, 2015). Efficiency ratio The efficiency ratio shows how well company has deployed its assets or investment in its business functioning. Creditors turnover ratio It is analyzed that the creditor’s payable turnover of Reject shop has decreased which has also resulted to increase in its cash blockage. It has decreased to 23.26 times in 2017 which is 7 times lower since last three years (Phillips, Pincus, and Rego, 2013). Descriptio n FormulaTHE REJECT SHOP LTD (TRS) Cash Flow Flag Ratio Analysis 2015`20162017 Creditors payable period creditors / Total sales*36531.2922.2723.26 Inventory Turnover ratio COGS/ Sales*365 202.51209.42209.16
Asset turnover ratio Total sales/ Total assets 3.323.463.63 Inventory Turnover ratio It is evaluated that the inventory turnover of Reject shop has decreased to209 times which is already too high. However, the strategy of company to reduce its inventory turnover is very much required if it wants to lower down its cash blockage (The Reject Shop, 2016). Assets turnover ratio It is considered that the assets turnover ratio have increased due to the decrease in its investment. However, the profitability has also reduced simultaneously which might be negative indictor for the business. The Reject Shop should focus on increasing the turnover and profitability as well. Market ratio (General investment proposal analysis) The market ratio of the Reject Shop reflects how well company has created value on its investment. It is analyzed that company should focus on general investment proposal if it wants to increase its return on capital employed (Penman, and Zhang, (2016). DescriptionFormulaTHE REJECT SHOP LTD (TRS) Cash Flow Flag Ratio Analysis 2015`20162017 PE RatioMPS/EPS 53.0452.4173.13 Dividend Payout dividend payment/ Earning *100 5%6.4%10% The market price of Reject Shop has decreased to AUD $ 5 and on the basis of the same PE ratio has been computed. The PE ratio has increased due to the decrease EPS and MPS. Eventually, it will reflect negative indicator in future (The Reject Shop, 2015).
Dividend payout ratio The dividend payment to its equity shareholders have increased to 10% as company wants to attract other investors who could invest their capital in its business. However, with the decrease in its profit, company still offering high dividend which might result to destruction of the business if it happens on consistent basis (Di Tella, 2017). Evaluation of the key points found in this financial analysis Following key information is found. ï‚·The Reject Shop has high financial leverage. ï‚·The profitability of company has drastically decreased. ï‚·Company might face issue in its capital investment due to its high dividend offered to shareholders. ï‚·It might negatively impact the business if company does not change in efficiency ratio. Share price (The Reject Shop, 2016). If company does not take into account its profitability and business efficiency then it will negatively impact the business growth and will also result to destruction of the organization. THE share price analysis has also reflected that company will be having negative share price as it will have downfall in the share price movement throughout the time (Marley, and Pedersen, 2015). Analysis to compare the Share price movement of Reject Shop with all ordinary index The share price movement of The Reject shop is reflecting the negative indicator for the future growth. The viability of the share price movement of company is negative and it will not only destruct the investment made by shareholders but also showing the high sustainable risk of company (Di Tella, 2017).On the other hand, the share price movement of all ordinary indexes is positive and reflects that other companies which have listed their shares on all ordinary indexes are having less fluctuation in their share price (Mudiyanselage, and Wijekoon, 2018).
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1/1/2016 3/1/2016 5/1/2016 7/1/2016 9/1/2016 11/1/2016 1/1/2017 3/1/2017 5/1/2017 7/1/2017 9/1/2017 11/1/2017 (0.60) (0.50) (0.40) (0.30) (0.20) (0.10) - 0.10 0.20 0.30 The Reject Shop Adj Close (All ordinary share index) Source:(The Reject Shop, 2016). The above give graphs reflects the share price movement of the reject shop in comparison to the share price movement of the all ordinary share index is very high and reflecting negative outcomes (Kahng, 2015).It is analyzed that share price movement of The Reject Shop is good in the starting of the 2016 after that it decreased very high due to the sluggish market factors. After that in September of the 2017 it had to face sudden share price loss which might also negatively impact the capital value of organization. On the other hand, share price movement of the all ordinary share index is reflecting the stable share price movement. It shows that the share price movement of other companies is stable as compared to the share price movement of The Reject Shop (Mwangi, and Murigu, 2015). Computation of the value of the stock of the Reject Shop Company In order to compute the share price value of company, we could use dividend growth model. This model uses the cost of capital of company, divided issued and growth rate which could be computed by using the last year dividends of the company (Robb, and Robinson, 2014). Formula to compute the share price value of shares of Reject Shop Value of the stock = D1/ KE-G
Computation of the dividend growth rate of Reject Shop Return on equity has been computed as above(The Reject Shop, 2016). ROE= 8.89% Retention ratio =90% Growth= 90%*8.8=7.04% Growth rate would be= 7.04% But as per the question dividend growth rate is 14% So we will take 14% growth rate. Cost of capital = 9% Last year dividend is .24 Value of the stock = D1/ KE-G P1= .24/9%-14% AUD $ 4.98 Therefore the market price of the stock would be AUD $ 4.98 as per the computation made under dividend growth model (Tayeh, Al-Jarrah, and Tarhini, 2015).
Recommendation ï‚·Investors should invest their capital in Reject shop for long run only if they want to increase the value of the invested capital. ï‚·There is some time when the share price of Reject shop is increasing. Therefore, investors should wisely invest their capital after considering the associated factors (The Reject Shop, 2016). ï‚·The financial leverage of Reject shop is quite high but due to high financial leverage it has maintained low cost of capital. If company increases the overall turnover then it might be higher return on capital employed available to equity shareholders. ï‚·Investing capital in short term will not be good for creating value on the investment. ï‚·The beta analysis of the share price movement reflects the changes in share price of Rejects shop is too as compared to the changes in the share price movement of Company (Uechi, et al. 2015). ï‚·The cost of capital is low but due to the low profitability, efficiency of company has gone down. Conclusion After analyzing all the detail and information of the Reject Shop Company, it could be inferred that it has been facing high loss in its business and may negatively impacted by the future growth. However, due to the negative profitability and less efficiency, it will surely lower down the business value. In context with the investors, they should be more inclined towards investing their capital in other business organization instead of investing their capital in Reject Shop. However, there are chances that in long run, if company restructures its business policies capital structure then it might increase the value of its business. In the end, it could be inferred that investors should keep their money invested in Reject Shop for long run not in short run if they want to create value on their investment.
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References Di Tella, S., (2017). Uncertainty shocks and balance sheet recessions.Journal of Political Economy,125(6), pp.2038-2081. Kahng, L., (2015).Perspectives on the Relationship between Tax and Financial Accounting. New York: Springer Marley, S. and Pedersen, J., (2015).Accounting for Business: An Introduction. 2nded, Australia: Pearson Higher Education AU. Mudiyanselage, W. and Wijekoon, H.N., (2018).Towards the development of a financial reporting framework for Sri Lankan SMEs(Doctoral dissertation, The University of Waikato), 2nded, Australia: Pearson. Mwangi, M. and Murigu, J.W., (2015). The determinants of financial performance in general insurance companies in Kenya.European Scientific Journal, ESJ,11(1). Penman, S.H. and Zhang, X.J., (2016) Connecting book rate of return to risk and return: The information conveyed by conservative accounting. 2nded, Australia: Pearson. Phillips, J., Pincus, M. and Rego, S.O., (2013). Earnings management: New evidence based on deferred tax expense.The Accounting Review,78(2), pp.491-521. Robb, A.M. and Robinson, D.T., 2014. The capital structure decisions of new firms.The Review of Financial Studies,27(1), pp.153-179. Suzuki,T.,(2015)NationalAccounting,CorporateAccounting,andGlobal Standardization.Wiley Encyclopedia of Management,26(2), pp.188-222
Talebnia,G.,Jaberzadeh,F.andSalehi,M.,(2015)StudyInformationContentof Comprehensive income by Focusing on Firm Size.Asian Journal of Research in Banking and Finance,5(1), pp.111-118. Tayeh, M., Al-Jarrah, I.M. and Tarhini, A., (2015). Accounting vs. market-based measures of firm performance related to information technology investments.3rded, USA: Pearson TheRejectShop,(2015),Annualreport,Availableat https://www.rejectshop.com.au/aboutus/investorinformation/financialreport.,Accessedon19th September,2018, TheRejectShop,(2016),Annualreport,Availableat https://www.rejectshop.com.au/aboutus/investorinformation/financialreport.,Accessedon19th September,2018, Uechi, L., Akutsu, T., Stanley, H.E., Marcus, A.J. and Kenett, D.Y., (2015). Sector dominance ratio analysis of financial markets.Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications,421, pp.488-509.
Appendix Descriptio n THE REJECT SHOP LTD (TRS) Cash Flow Flag Financial details 2015`20162017 Revenue757.00800.00794.00 Cost of goods sold420.00459.00455.00 Gross profit336.00341.00339.00 Operating profit(247.00)(257.00)(264.00) Net profit14.0017.0012.00 Interest2.001.001.00 Inventory100.0099.0093.00 Current assets124.00125.00111.00 Receivables--- Current liabilities68.0084.0068.00 Payables36.0028.0029.00 Equity135.00135.00135.00 Total liabilities94.0095.0084.00 Total assets228.00231.00219.00 Market price5.506.606.50 Descriptio nFormula THE REJECT SHOP LTD (TRS) CashFlowFlag Ratio Analaysis 2015`20162017 Profitabilit y Net marginNet profit/revenues1.85%2.13%1.51%
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Return on equityNet profit/Equity10.37%12.59%8.89% Return on assets Net profit/ Total assets6.14%7.36%5.48% Liquidity Current ratio Current assets/current liabilities1.821.491.63 Quick Ratio Current assets- Inventory/current liabilities0.310.26 Efficiency Creditors payable period creditors / Total sales*36531.2922.2723.26 Inventory Turnover ratioCOGS/ Sales*365202.51209.42209.16 Asset turnover ratio Total sales/ Total assets3.323.463.63 Solvency Debt to Equity RatioDebt/ Equity0.700.700.62 Gearing ratioInterest/ EBIT(0.01)(0.004)(0.004) Market Ratio PE RatioMPS/EPS53.0452.4173.13 Dividend Pay-out dividend payment/ Earning *100-0.5-0.647058824-1