This report evaluates the financial performance of Roast Ltd and recommends its acquisition by Starbucks. It provides insights on industry overview, business performance analysis, investment appraisal, and sources of finance. The coffee industry in the UK has shown continuous growth and generates significant revenue.
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Financial Decision Making
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Table of Contents EXECUTIVE SUMMARY.............................................................................................................3 MAIN BODY...................................................................................................................................3 PART 1 – Industry Overview..........................................................................................................3 PART 2 – Business Performance Analysis......................................................................................5 2.1 Statement of Profits & Loss...................................................................................................5 2.2 Statement of Financial Position.............................................................................................7 2.3 Statement of Cash Flows......................................................................................................9 PART 3 – Investment Appraisal...................................................................................................10 3.1.a Management Forecast.......................................................................................................10 3.1.b Investment Appraisal Techniques.....................................................................................10 3.2 Sources of Finance...............................................................................................................11 ......................................................................................................................................................13 REFERENCES.............................................................................................................................14 APPENDIX...................................................................................................................................16
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This report summarised that Coffee industry of UK perform well or contribute in the economy through generating revenue. Main purpose of this study is to evaluate the financial performance of Roast Ltd. On the basis of the results, it has been recommend that Starbucks of UKshould acquisition Roast Ltd. All the financial statements such as Profit & Loss, Balance sheet and cash flows critically analysed or evaluate the overall performance of the company. In addition, with the help of various appraisal techniques for the investment helps in evaluating and making effective decision regarding acquisition of Roast Ltd by Starbucks. MAIN BODY PART 1 – Industry Overview In the Coffee industry, coffee is the second most traded product around $ 20 billion revenue this industry generate as well as they produce 210,325 jobs in the UK. This sector achieve the 20 years continuous sustainable growth where it grow around 7.9% for the period of 2018. Almost £ 10.1 billion coffee shop open in the UK and market size around 25,483 and average price of regular coffee is £ 2.66. There are some leading coffee operators such as Costa, Nero and Starbucks (UK's Coffee Industry,2019). One of the favourite coffee products are LATTE which is on top and second most demanded is CAPPUCCINO and third one is AMARICANO.
Illustration1: UK's Coffee Industry,2019. (Source:UK's Coffee Industry. 2019) Branded coffee shops secure the around 8.7% of growth in 2018 where it reached around 8149 stores. It is the highly revenue generated sector which helps the economy to grow as well as satisfy the consumers needs through offering quality products as well as services. Coffee industry face the various challenges as well as opportunities which required to analyse by the organizations in order to make their future strategies for the growth. Brexit negatively impact the UK coffee industry because of change in the nature of UK from the European Union which affect the role of Britain (Baker, 2018). There are some challenges such as legislation & free trade, continuation of free movement of labour, trade tariff in the UK government etc. Because of Allegra indicated Brexit, 49% of industry leaders survived which further impact their business and revenue as well. 46% are neutral and 5% reported the positive impact. It has been reported that consumer confidence affected by 69% and 87% industry leaders agreed that Brexit impact the UK's economy. There are some opportunities in the Coffee industry where these three brand of this sector such as Costa Coffee, Caffè Nero and Starbucks. They has 2655 outlets, 683 and 992 stores in the UK respectively. According to Allegra forecasting method, by 2023 coffee stores will exceed 10000 outlets in the UK market and get the 5% annual growth.
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PART 2 – Business Performance Analysis 2.1 Statement of Profits & Loss Everyorganizationhastoformulatethefinancialstatementsbyusingfinancial information of the company. It will further helps the managers to make stargates take effective decisions which helps in maximising overall revenue of the company(Barth, 2018). Business performance analysis include the evaluation of business position and the measurement of performance with previous year performance of the company. Financial statement include the profit & loss statement, Balance sheet, Cash flow etc. Profit & loss statement of the company reveal that revenue of the corporation for the period of 2017 was 2022,000 and 2534,000 for the period of 2018. Gross profit of the company which indicate the operational performance that is increases from 517,000 to 544,000. Along with this, operating profit of the company also increases from 51,000 to 127,000. At the end, profit of the company in 2017 was 36,000 and 81,000 in the 2018. It clear mentioned that Roast Ltd is in profitability condition which is most important aspect of the company. It helps in providing growth as well as success in their operational activities. With the help of ratio analysis business able to understand as well as evaluate the various aspects which is important to measure for making future strategies. Below mention calculation based on the financial informations of Roast Ltd: Gross Profit Ratio: It is the profitability ratio which represent the relationship between net sales revenue or gross profit of the company(Bentleyand Teeguarden, 2018). This tools used by the organization to measure the operational performance of the company. It helps in analysing the financial position of the business in terms of profitability. Formula: Gross profit ratio = Gross profit / Revenue * 100 Profitability Ratio2017(£ '000)2018(£ '000) Gross profit517544 Net sales20222534 Gross profit Margin25.57%21.47% From the above calculation it has been observed that gross profit of the company for the duration of2018 is 21.47% and 25.57% for 2017. Performance of the company in terms of operations has been reduces over the period of time.
Operating Profit Ratio: It is also the part of profitability ratio which indicate that how much profit company earn from from business operations after deducting all the variable cost. This ratio represent the relationship between operating profit as well as net sales of the company. It help the managers to analyse the efficiency of company through controlling cost and other expenses. Formula: Operating profit ratio = Operating profit / Revenue * 100 Profitability Ratio2017(£ '000)2018(£ '000) Operating profit51127 Net sales20222534 Operating profit ratio2.52%5.01% From the above calculation it has been understand that in2017 operating profit margin of the company was 2.52 % and 5.01% in 2018. It indicate that business improve their operations which maximise the ability to generate high profits. It is observed that, companyreducers their operational expenses which maximise the overall operating profit of the business. Net profit Ratio: It is the final profit of the company which calculated after deducting tax. Net profit after deducting production, administration and selling & distribution cost where taxes for the period also reduces(Black,2019). It help the managers to analyse the overall profit of the company so further they build strategies accordingly. Formula: Net profit ratio = Net income / Revenue * 100 Profitability Ratio2017(£ '000)2018(£ '000) Net profit3681 Net sales20222534 Net profit ratio1.78%3.20% As mentioned in the above table, net profit of the company for the period of 2017 was 1.78% and 3.20% for the year of 2018. It represent the growth in the net profit which is profitable for the company. It further generate the more opportunities for Roast Ltd to attract investors who make their investment decisions after analysing the net profit of the company. From the overallevaluation of the company, it as beenobserved thatRoast Ltd performance was good for the period from 2017 to 2018. Net profit of the company increases
which is beneficial and it further provide the market growth. After evaluating income statement of Roast Ltd, it is recommended that Starbucks should acquire the company which provide future growth and helps in expanding their market share in the UK market. 2.2 Statement of Financial Position Statement of financial position also called balance sheet which help the owner to evaluate the performance as well as position of their business in terms of assets or liabilities of the company(Chen, 2018). This statement representnet worth which further beneficial for the shareholders of the company to evaluate the overall performance of the business. On the basis it, investors make their decisions for the future investment. On the basis of balance sheet of Roast Ltd, it has been noted that total assets of the company for the period of 2017 was 1017,000 and for 2018 it was 1443,000. current assets are 447,000 for the duration of 2018 and previously it was 347,000. On the other hand, non- current assets of the company in 2017 was 670,000 and in 2018 it was reported 996,000. Total equity of the company in the period of 2017 was 779,000 and they get hike in 2018 and remain 860,000. Current liability also increases for the period of2017 to 2018 from 138,000 to 308,000. it increases because company take bank overdraft in 2018 that is 73,000. In the long term borrowing get they huge hike from 100,000 to 275,000 from 2017 to 2018 period. Below mention calculation based on the financial information of balance sheet and it will represented below: Current Ratio: It is the liquidity ratio which is important to calculate in order to analyse the overall liquidity of the company to perform operational activities. It represent the relationship betweencurrentassetsorcurrentliabilityofthecompany(DinçerandYüksel,2018). Corporation has to ensure that business has two time of current assets in order to pay off their obligation. Formula: Current Ratio = Current assets / Current liabilities Liquidity Ratio2017(£ '000)2018(£ '000) Current Assets347447 Current Liabilities138308 Current Ratio2.51 times1.45 times
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From the above calculation it has been observed current ratio of the company for the period of 2017 was more than two times in comparison to 2018. Liquidity of the company decreases from 2.51 times to 1.45 in the duration of 2017 to 2018. Roast Ltd lost their flexibility as well as liquidity which is very essential to meet their short term obligations. Quick Ratio: This ratio indicate the short term liquidity position of the company which helps in meeting short term obligations by using most liquidating assets. It also called acid test ratio which provide the quick results or able the business to pay off their urgent liabilities. Corporation has to maintain the one of one ratio of assets and liability. It exclude the inventory of the business because it will take almost one year to generate cash from raw materiel. Formula: Quick ratio = ( Current assets – Inventory ) / Current liability Liquidity Ratio2017 (£ '000)2018 (£ '000) Quick Assets227 (347 - 120)148 (447 – 299) Current liability138308 Quick ratio1.64 Times0.48 Times Above calculation indicate that quick ratio for the period of 2017 was 1.64 times and for 2018 it was 0.48 times. Both years unable to meet the ideal ratio that is 1:1 which means they should maintain at least same level of quick assets to pay off their current liabilities. Company reduce their liquidity that is not beneficial for the company. Debt to Equity Ratio: It is financial ratio which indicate that in which proportion debt or equity used to finance the assets of the company. It shows the relationship between total dent or total equity of the organizations(Dinçer, Yüksel and Şenel, 2018). Ideal ratio is 1 to 10.5 so corporate should maintain this proportion for the effective results of the company. Formula: Debt Equity ratio = Total liability / Total shareholder's equity Financial ratio2017(£ '000)2018(£ '000) Debts238583 Equity779860 Debt to Equity Ratio0.30550.6779
Above table indicate that debt to equity ratio increases from 0.30 to 0.67 for the period of 2017 to 2018. It represent thelong-term liquidity as well as financial position which increased and clearly mentioned in the figures. Return on Capital Equity: It is an accounting ratio which used by the organization for financial as well as valuation purpose. It also used to measure the profitability of the company after capital used(Eberhardt, Bruine de Bruin and Strough, 2019). It is calculated for the analysis which is beneficial for the investors for future investment related decisions. Formula: ROCE (Return on Capital Employed) = Operating Profit / Capital Employed Financial ratio2017(£ '000)2018(£ '000) Operating profit51127 Capital employed8791135 ROCE5.80%11.19% Above mention calculation in the table represent that ROCEof the Roast Ltd was increases for the period of 2017 to 2018 from 5.80% to 11.19%. It demonstrates that business abletoproduceenoughreturnsfromcapitalinvestment.Italsorepresentthatcompany economically perform well which is beneficial for the investors. From the overall evaluation of the company on the basis of balance sheet, it indicated that overall assets as well as liability of the business increases. Roast Ltd unable to meet their short term obligations but they are able to meet their long term obligations. 2.3 Statement of Cash Flows Cash flow statement of Roast Ltd indicate that company has to face negative cash balance that was not beneficial for the business(Foltice and Langer, 2018). Cash flow from operating activity was negative 24,000 for the period of 2018. Along with this, Cash flow from inventing activity also has negative results such as 358,000 but financing activity provide positive results with 175,000. After evaluating all the activities of cash flow statement, company generate the negative balance that is 73,000. In addition Roast Ltd pay the interest and income tax which reduces the overall balance of cash. OCC (Operating Cash Cycle): It is the kind of ratio which helps the organization to identify that how effectively business able to generate cash. It is important for the organizations to maintain the liquidity at
certain level which required to perform their operational activities in well manner. Shorter period of OCC indicate thatbusiness is efficient to generate cash and higher days will minimise the liquidity as well as flexibility(Hershfield, John and Reiff, 2018). OCC also represent that how business maintain their working capital. Formula:Operating cash cycle (OCC)= Day's Sales of Inventory + Day's Sales Outstanding – Day's payable outstanding particulars2018 (In days)2017 (In days) Day's Sales of Inventory2955 Day's Sales Outstanding1721 Day's payable Outstanding3344 Operating cash cycle (OCC)1332 Working Notes: Day's Sales Outstanding = (365/ Receivable) * Average accounts receivable Day's payable outstanding = 365 / Payable turnover Day's Sales if Inventory = (365/ Purchase) * Average inventory *Further calculation mentioned in the Appendix: PART 3 – Investment Appraisal 3.1.a Management Forecast Roast Ltd thinking about investing £ 500 million for the expansion of their business operations in the Romania. As per the given information, they forecast the returns for the period of 2017 to 2021. Contribution for the same period will be £ 60, £ 112, £ 148, £ 180 and £ 224 million. But after analysing the results of 2017 or 2018 it has been observed that, prediction of for the same period gone wrong. Gross profit margin as well as cash flow of the company for the same period is negative. So it is important for the management to re-adjust their prediction or forecast the results again. 3.1.b Investment Appraisal Techniques Payback Period: It is the time period which is expected to recover all the amount which invented by the company. In order to calculate payback period they required initial investments
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along with cumulative inflow of cash for the period they invest(Ke,2018). Payback period of the investment is 4 years and it will analyse that company recover their initial investment that is £ 500 million in the next four years. Benefits: It is one of the easiest method of capital budgeting where management evaluate the recovery time period of their investment. Drawbacks: Sometimes it happen that, this method provide the irrelevant information because of avoiding various external factors such as inflation rate, time value etc. Net Present Value (NPV): It is the capital budgeting method which is used to evaluate as well as select the best option. It helps in selecting those options which is more profitable for the business. In context of Roast Ltd, NPV of the project is£ 110 million and the discounted rate is 5%.Positive result of NPV indicate that proposal is suitable for the organization or they can further proceed operational activities. Benefits: It is also called hit & trial method which provide accurate results and help the management to make effective decisions. Drawbacks: In this method, there is no specific amou8nt used to calculate cash flow so some times it provide unreliable findings. Accounting Rate of Return (ARR): By using this appraisal technique business able to identify that how much return they get from their investments(Lang and Presbitero, 2018). As per the given data of the project, ARR is 18% which is quite good, effective or profitable for the business to invest in this project. Business should invest in this project because it provide higher returns in comparison to expenditures. Benefits: It is used by the corporation which helps in evaluating overall return which they get after investing in any project. Drawbacks: This techniques affected due to lack of various critical factors such as cash flow not discounted, time value etc. 3.2 Sources of Finance In context of organization, they need to acquire finance from various sources in order to meet their daily operational activities. There are various sources of finance such as equity, debt, retained earning, debenture, bank loan etc. It fulfil the requirement of business related to the finance (Advantage or Disadvantage of Sources of Finance,2018.). Some of the sources discussed below along with its advantage or disadvantage:
Back Loan: It is one the most common as well as flexible source of finance which select by the organizations to satisfy their financial needs. Bank provide loan onlower rate of interest which is suitable as well as affordable for the corporation(Loibl, 2018). They provide the loan on the basis of their credit score which is based on their financial records and brand value of the company. They offer long term aswell as short term financesand charge interestrate accordingly. For the operational expansion of Roast Ltd, management required the huge amount of funding so they can prefer the bank but after analysing its advantage or disadvantage which mentioned below: Advantage: Back does not want the ownership in the organization and there was no more obligations on the landers after pay off the amount of loan. Leaders have options to take loan for the different time period select the interest rate which is not changed for the entire loan life(Nigam, Srivastava and Banwet, 2018). It is the simplest or easy way to get funds or fulfil their needs regarding finances which make them able to perform their daily basis operational activities. Business get the finance against the securities which they have to offer and the loan value also based on the value of security the deposit. Disadvantage: Organization unable to obtain loan if they does not have sustainable financial records of their business. Higher the value of loan have higher interest rate which lenders have to pay which is the biggest disadvantage of this source. Sometimes it happen that, business unable to obtain the enough finance which make business able to meet their needs regarding operations.If any case, business unable to pay their loan in given time period than they have to pay additional charges for that which make loan more costly. Retained Earnings: It is the proportion of profit which is not distributed among the shareholders but it can be used in the future for the business activity(Northwood and Rhine, 2018). It is one of the most important sources of finance that used by the organizations for fixed as well as working capital
requirement. It helps in maximising the value of shareholders or provide the huge growth as well. Roast Ltd can use this source to fulfil the requirement of operational activities. It has some advantage as well as disadvantage which discussed below: Advantage: It will increase the self dependency where business do not approach the any other institute or investors to get finance for the business. Business get the interest on their savings which become the additional income for the organizations. This source of finance also maintain the secrecy because there is no financial documents required to share with others. Organization can use the money any time for any reasons or it will take less time in the emergency cases when they required finance. Disadvantage: Managementcanmisusedtheshareholdersmoneyandtheygivencangiveany justification. No matter that it is valid or not. Capitalization or long term profit all are wasteful because retained amount they can invest further which helps in maximising their overall revenue of the company. It will promote the deployment of the funds and further demotivate the shareholders and potential investors. From the above analysis, it has be evaluated that Roast Ltd use the Bank as a source of finance and able to perform their daily basis operational activities(Triebel, Gerstenecker and Marson, 2018). At the time of expanding their business, management take loan for the required time period where they able to repay on time.
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REFERENCES Books & Journals Baker, A. J., 2018.Business decision making. Routledge. Barth, M. E., 2018. The future of financial reporting: insights from research.Abacus.54(1). pp.66-78. Bentley,W.R.andTeeguarden,D.E.,2018.Financialmaturity:atheoreticalreview. InEconomics of Forestry(pp. 67-78). Routledge. Black, K. U., 2019.Business statistics: for contemporary decision making. Wiley. Chen, T. Y., 2018. An outranking approach using a risk attitudinal assignment model involving Pythagorean fuzzy information and its application to financial decision making.Applied Soft Computing.71.pp.460-487. Dinçer, H. and Yüksel, S., 2018. Financial sector-based analysis of the G20 economies using the integrateddecision-makingapproachwithDEMATELandTOPSIS.InEmerging trends in banking and finance(pp. 210-223). Springer, Cham. Dinçer, H., Yüksel, S. and Şenel, S., 2018. Analyzing the global risks for the financial crisis after the great depression using comparative hybrid hesitant fuzzy decision-making models: policy recommendations for sustainable economic growth.Sustainability.10(9). p.3126. Eberhardt, W., Bruine de Bruin, W. and Strough, J., 2019. Age differences in financial decision making: T he benefits of more experience and less negative emotions.Journal of Behavioral Decision Making.32(1). pp.79-93. Foltice, B. and Langer, T., 2018. Exponential growth bias matters: Evidence and implications for financial decision making of college students in the USA.Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance.19.pp.56-63. Hershfield, H. E., John, E. M. and Reiff, J. S., 2018. Using vividness interventions to improve financial decision making.Policy Insights from the Behavioral and Brain Sciences. 5(2). pp.209-215. Ke, D., 2018. Who Wears the Pants? Gender Identity Norms and Intra-Household Financial Decision Making.Gender Identity Norms and Intra-Household Financial Decision Making (August 4, 2018). Lang, V. F. and Presbitero, A. F., 2018. Room for discretion? Biased decision-making in international financial institutions.Journal of Development Economics.130.pp.1-16. Loibl, C., 2018. 26 Living in Poverty: Understanding the Financial Behaviour of Vulnerable Groups.CENTRE FOR DECISION RESEARCH, UNIVERSITY OF LEEDS. UK.p.421. Nigam, R. M., Srivastava, S. and Banwet, D. K., 2018. Behavioral mediators of financial decision making–a state-of-art literature review.Review of Behavioral Finance.10(1). pp.2-41. Northwood, J. M. and Rhine, S. L., 2018. Use of bank and nonbank financial services: Financial decision making by immigrants and native born.Journal of Consumer Affairs.52(2). pp.317-348. Triebel, K. L., Gerstenecker, A. and Marson, D. C., 2018. Financial and medical decision- making capacity in mild cognitive impairment and dementia. Online Advantage or Disadvantage of Sources of Finance. 2018.[Online]. Available Through: <https://www.studyblue.com/notes/note/n/advantages-disadvantages-of-sources-of- finance/deck/8309037>
APPENDIX Working Notes of OCC: Payable turnover ParticularsYear 2017Year 2018 Cost of sales15051990 Account payables138235 Payable turnover10.918.47 Days inventory outstanding ParticularsYear 2017Year 2018 Total days in year365365 Inventory turnover12.546.66 Days inventory outstanding29.1154.80 Days payable outstanding ParticularsYear 2017Year 2018 Total days in year365365 Payable turnover10.918.47 Days payable outstanding33.4643.09 Inventory turnover ParticularsYear 2017Year 2018 Cost of sales15051990 Average inventory120299 Inventory turnover12.546.66 Receivable turnover ParticularsYear 2017Year 2018 Net sales20222534 Account receivables93148
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Receivable turnover21.7417.12 Days sale outstanding ParticularsYear 2017Year 2018 Total days in year365365 Receivable turnover21.7417.12 Days sale outstanding16.7921.32