Table of Contents INTRODUCTION...........................................................................................................................1 PART 1............................................................................................................................................1 Industry Review..........................................................................................................................1 PART 2............................................................................................................................................2 2.1 Statement of profit or loss.....................................................................................................2 2.2 Statement of financial position..............................................................................................4 2.3 Statement of cash Flows........................................................................................................6 PART 3............................................................................................................................................9 3.1 Investment appraisal..............................................................................................................9 3.2 Sources of fund...................................................................................................................10 CONCLUSION..............................................................................................................................11 REFERENCES..............................................................................................................................12
INTRODUCTION Financial decision making includes the process which is related to the formulation of future strategies that help the organisation in attainment of sustainable growth opportunities. It is the duty of the management of each organisation to formulate the strategies that are optimum in nature for the attainment of development in business operations. After the formulation of effective decisions, attention is provided by the management towards the analysis of financial situation and position. The different documents upon which focus is provided in this process includes balance sheet, P&L account and cash flow statements. There effective analysis help to ascertain the actual status of an organisation along with their presence in market.This is report is based upon Roast Ltd. It is an independent coffee house chain and having its operations in UK. This organisation is founded in year 2008. The main aim of this report is about consideration of different financial documents to build effective decision making (Bond, Edmans and Goldstein, 2012). This report covers various topics such as industry review, analysis of financial statements along with their attached balance sheet, cash flow and profit and loss account. Also, analysis is done in respect to the investment appraisal techniques along sources of funds. PART 1 Industry Review The beverage industry of UK is very big in nature and having significant contribution in the economy of UK. The different aspects along with information that contributes in the determination of industry situation are presented below in different points: ï‚·The overall contribution of this industry in the GDP of UK is around 3.7 billion pound in the year 2017. ï‚·In the year 2018 noticed that the overall development in beverage industry is around 7.9%. ï‚·The main organisations that have significant operations in this industry includes Costa Coffee, Starbucks, Cafe Nero, Cafe2U, Soho Coffee, AMT Coffee, Coffee republic etc (Major players in coffee house industry of UK.2019). ï‚·The best opportunity present in this industry is about expansion of business over such locations where still have no operations are established related to coffee business. This 1
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will provides an option to all the existing businesses in this sector to expand their operations and grab the opportunities present in market. ï‚·Lot of challenges are present in the beverage industry that has to be faced by the organisation operating in this sector. The first challenge about inclusion of different type of drinks in market that have direct impact over the business and market share. Secondly, the perception of consumers where they focus over consumption of healthy drinks. In this case, this will have direct impact over their operations (Carraher and Van Auken, 2013). PART 2 2.1 Statement of profit or loss Profit and loss statement is prepared by the organisation for the determination of the amount of profit and loss at the end of year. This is the part of final accounts and presented in front of the internal external stakeholders. This will have huge contribution in respect to the ascertain of actual and real information related to the profitability and position of organisation in market. This is majorly used by the different kind of personnels includes creditors, suppliers, customers, investors. It help in building their decision making ability more profound. The differentrespectiveinrespecttowhichdecisionistakenincludesprovidenceofcredit, investment, supply and buy of goods etc. Roast Ltd. is the coffee house that having its operations in UK. From the analysis of the profit and loss account of the organisation ascertained that the sales attained in the year 2017 is 2022 but the figure is increased in the year 2018 and attained the figure of 2534. This represented that organisation is in growing stage and able to generate higher amount of sales in the year 2018. The direct impact of the same is ascertained over the cost of goods sold which is also increased and attain the mark of 1990 in 2018 which is just 1505 in the year 2017. The amount of gross profit is also increased in year 2018. This is determined with the help of its comparative analysis of the accounts of the year 2017. The amount of gross profit in year 2017 is 517 whereas in the year 2018 is 544. At end, profit and loss determined for 2017 and 2018 is as 36 and 81. This depicts that the profitability of organisation is high in year 2018 in comparison to 2017 (Hershey, Austin and Gutierrez, H.2015). The different ratios are calculated for the purpose of analysing the performance of organisation. All these ratios are presented below: 2
Gross profit ratio:The main purpose behind the calculation of this ratio is about determination of the relationship in between total revenues or sales and gross profit in respect to the organisation for specific period of time. This will contributes to the management of Roast Ltd. In determination of the operation of an organisation. Formula: Gross profit/Net Sales*100 Calculations for the year 2017 and 2018 are presented below: Particulars20172018 Gross profit517544 Net sales20222534 Gross profit ratio25.57%21.47% Interpretation:It is interpreted from the above calculation that gross profit ratio of the year 2017 is high in comparison to the 2018. This represents that operational performance of the organisation decreases in current year. Net profitratio:Themainpurposebehindtheusageofthisratioisaboutthe determination of amount of profit earned by the organisation in current year. The same is calculated by Roast Ltd., that provides an opportunity to the investors for building right decision- in respect to their investment within the organisation (Hirshleifer, Jian and Zhang, 2016). Formula: Net Profit/ Net Sales*100 Calculations for the year 2017 and 2018 are presented below: Particulars20172018 Net profit3681 Net sales20222534 Net profit ratio1.78%3.20% Interpretation:It is interpreted from the above calculations that net profit of Roast Ltd. Hiked in year 2018 as comparison to 2017. In year 2017 the ratio ascertained is 1.78% which goes up and attain the mark of 3.20% in 2018. This represents the ability of the organisation in respect to the providence of higher return to investors who are associate with the organisation in year 2018. 3
Operating profit ratio:The main purpose in respect to which this ratio is used includes determination of the ability to generate operating profit within some specific accounting period. In the calculation of the same, the aspect used is before interest and tax as help to attain accurate results. Formula: Operating profit/Net Sales*100 Calculations for the year 2017 and 2018 is presented below Particulars20172018 Operating profit51127 Net sales20222534 Operating profit ratio2.52%5.01% Interpretation: It is ascertained from the above calculations that Roast Ltd. Is having effective resources that help in generation of significant amount of operating profits. The ratio is increased in 2018 as comparison to 2017. This represents that organisation have capability and capacity to effectively utilise their resources to generate profits. It is determined from the above analysis that overall profitability of organisation is increases in nature as the ratio of operating and net profit depicts the growth in 2018 compared to 2017 (Lee and Lee, 2015). 2.2 Statement of financial position This is the effective statement that help the organisation in ascertainment of financial stability. This also known as balance sheet. It is generated on yearly basis and carries different type of information such as assets, equities and liabilities. The main benefit get by the external stakeholdersof the organisation such as investors and creditors. Thiswill help them in determination of organisational sustainability in market. Analysis of balance sheet depicts the actual financial position of organisation. From the analysis of the balance sheet of Roast Ltd. Ascertained that non current assets recorded in the right side of the statement are increased in 2018 as comparison to 2017 i.e. 996 in 2018 and 670 in the year 2017. It represents investment is made in exercise of buying property, plat and machinery as financial position of organisation is strengthen in current year. The 4
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heading of current assets also shows the increment in year 2018 as compared to 2017 i.e. 299 from 120. The increase also visible in trade and receivables of Roast Ltd. as in year 2017 noticed the figure as 93 and in 2018 attained the mark of 148. The figure of cash and cash equivalent is same in year 2017 and 2018 i.e. 134. The total of right side in 2018 depicts that increment has done as compared to 2017 (Lu, Won and Cheng, 2016). While analysis is done in respect to the left side, share capital for 2018 and 2017 are same. The difference is visible in the figure of retained earnings which are increase in year 2018 up to the limit of 660 from 579 in 2017. Increase in long term borrowing within the non current liabilities that depicts the loan is taken by the organisation from the external parties. The current liabilities of the organisation is also increased and attained the mark of 583 in 2018 which was 238 in 2017. The different ratios calculated for the purpose of analysing performance of the organisation are presented below: Current ratio:Calculation of this ratio in relation to the organisation help to determine the ability to pay sorter term debts. The importance of this in respect to Roast Ltd is determined as assumption can be made that able to pay current current liabilities or not with the help of short term assets. Formula: Current assets/Current liabilities Calculation of ratio for the year 2017 and 2018 is presented below: Particulars20172018 Current assets347447 Current liabilities138308 Current ratio2.511.45 Interpretation: It is interpreted that current ratio is decreased in 2018 from the one present in 2017. This represents the low ability of organisation to pay current liabilities in year 2018. Quick ratio:The main aim behind the calculation of this ratio is about analysis of actual liquid position of company. This provides an opportunity to ascertain that enterprise have power to meet short term obligation with the aid of quick assets (Lusardi, 2012). Formula: Quick Assets/Current liabilities Calculation of quick ratio for the year 2017 and 2018 is presented below 5
Particulars20172018 Quick assets227148 Current liabilities138308 Quick ratio1.64 times0.48 times Interpretation: Fall is interpreted in quick ratio of 2018 s compared to 2017. This represents the low capability of an organisation to pay current liabilities against of their quick assets. Main reason behind this situation is no presence of cash and cash equivalent in 2018. Debt to equity ratio:The main aim of this ratio is about determination of nature funds. This depicts that external funds are used more as compared to internal. The usage of this criterion help to keep there-selves safefrom uncertainties. The low presence of this ratio represents organisation is not able to utilise outsiders liabilities properly (Mintz and Currim, 2013). Formula: Total Debts/Total Equities Calculation of the year 2017 and 2018 is presented below Particulars20172018 Total debts238583 Total equities779860 Debt to equity ratio0.310.68 Interpretation: Increment is ascertained in ratio of 2018 as compared to 2017. This depicts that the use of external funds is more in the organisation. It help in future to deal with uncertainties perfectly. Return on Capital employed ratio:This main working of this ratio is that help in determination or measuring of profitability and efficiency of using capital appropriately. It help to ascertain the ability to generate profits from capital invested. Formula: Operating Profit/Capital Employed*100 Detailed analysis of 2017 and 2018 is presented below Particulars20172018 Operating profit51127 6
Capital employed8791135 ROCE5.80%11.19% Interpretation: There is huge increase in ROCE in year 2018 as compared to 2017. This represents that higher profit is ascertained by Roast through its capital investment (Mitchell, Hammond and Utkus, 2017). Working Notes Calculation in relation of Capital Employed Particulars20172018 Total assets10171443 Less: Current liabilities138308 Capital employed8791135 2.3 Statement of cash Flows Cash flow is statements is one of the type f final accounts. The preparation of the same is mandatory to ascertain the accuracy of data recorded in other statements. Basically, cash related transactions are recorded in this i.e. inflows and outflows. This includes the assessment of three different activities such as operating, investing and financing. This help to build decision making by the stakeholders that organisation have sufficient monetary resources or not. From the analysis of the cash flow statement of Roast Ltd. Understood that in year 2018 operating profit was 127. Total amount of cash outflows ascertained from the operating activities was 24. In 2018, investing activities also represents negative balance around 358. The inflow of cash is ascertained from the financing activities in year 2018 which was 175. Overall at the end the monetary resources present in front of the organisation was in negative of 73. To analyse performance of an organisation, operating cash cycle is used. Further calculation is presented below: Operating cash cycle:It is used for the purpose of ascertaining time period required for conversion of purchased inventory inventory into monetary resources. This is also named as cash conversion cycle which help in identification of cash with organisation or not to carry on future activities (Palepu and Healy, 2013). 7
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Formula: Days of outstanding inventory+Outstanding days of sales-Outstanding days of sale Calculates in respect to operating cash flow is presented below Days inventory outstanding: ï‚·Formula:365 /inventory turnover Particulars20172018 Total days in year365365 Inventory turnover12.546.66 Days inventory outstanding29.1154.80 Days sale outstanding: ï‚·Formula:365 /receivable turnover Particulars20172018 Total days in year365365 Receivable turnover21.7417.12 Days sale outstanding16.7921.32 Days payable outstanding: ï‚·Formula:365 /payable turnover Particulars20172018 Total days in year365365 Payable turnover10.918.47 Days payable outstanding33.4643.09 Calculation of operating cash cycle: Particulars20172018 Days inventory outstanding2955 Add: Days sales outstanding1721 8
Less: Days payable outstanding3344 Operating cash cycle1332 Working notes: Inventory turnover:Cost of sales /average inventory Particulars20172018 Cost of sales15051990 Average inventory120299 Inventory turnover12.546.66 Receivable turnover:Net sales /account receivables Particulars20172018 Net sales20222534 Account receivables93148 Receivable turnover21.7417.12 Payable turnover:Cost of sales /account payable Particulars20172018 Cost of sales15051990 Account payables138235 Payable turnover10.918.47 Interpreted from the above calculation that days required to covert the purchase in cash was 13 in 2017 and 32 in 2018. This depicts more time needed in 2018 to convert purchases into cash. Dividend policy:This is the policy in which decision is taken to allocate earnings to the shareholders. Roast Ltd. Not paid any dividend in 2018. This decision is not right as earning is increased in year 2018 comparatively to 2017. This has negative impact over the interest of shareholders and resultants into decreased capital (Petersen, Kushwaha and Kumar, 2015). 9
PART 3 3.1 Investment appraisal Management Forecast:The management of Roast Ltd. Having an opinion of investment of 500 million in future. The forecasted flow of cash determined in this respect for next five years from 2017 to 2021 are 60, 112, 148, 180, 224 million pounds. This depicts the ability of an organisation regarding expectation of increment in cash flow during the five year's period. All the predictions are done on the basis of some aspects and factors. So, there achievement in actual is difficult in nature. Investment appraisal:This is the technique which is used by the organisation for the purpose of analysing the effectiveness of any specific opportunity. The different techniques that can be used by Roast Ltd to carry on the analysis along with their benefits and limitations is understood from the description provided below: Payback period:This is one of the effective technique that provides an opportunity to ascertain the time period required to recover their investments. From the analysis of the exhibit 3 ascertained that if Roast Ltd. Going to invest the amount of 500 million pounds then the same can be recovered in 4 years of time period. The different benefits and limitations associated with the same are presented below: ï‚·Benefits: This will help to take the decisions quickly as different projects evaluated simultaneously (Petersen Kushwaha and Kumar, 2015). ï‚·Limitations: Value of time is not considered under this and due to this accurate results can not be determined. Accounting rate of return:The major use of this technique is ascertained in capital budgeting. This will help to determine the rate of return on their different number of investments. From the analysis of Exhibit 3 ascertained that ARR in respect to the investment of 500 million pound will be 18%. This depicts the good return on investment. Benefits and limitations of this are mentioned below: Benefits: This will help to ascertain the amount of return get by the organisation from their investment in project. Limitations: Factor of time is not considered and this generates the results which are not trustworthy in nature. 10
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Net present value:It is calculated through subtraction of present value of cash flow from the initial investment made by company. The exhibit 3 presents the NPV for Roast Ltd, is 110 if investment made by organisation is 500 million. The different benefits and limitations of the same are defined below: Benefits: It help to get better results as time factor is considered. Limitations: Not suitable to compare in respect to the projects which are of different sizes. Analysed from the above that 500 million pound investment is sufficient as positive results are ascertained from all the techniques (Post and Byron, 2015). 3.2 Sources of fund In current scenario, it is necessary for any of the business organisation to have proper fund because it is the only major way through which business activities can be performed. While talking about the Roast Ltd, as they are planning to start their setup within the premisses of Italy where they will require huge amount of sum. By looking at the situation they are needed to find some of the ways which can help them to achieve their target. Below, some of the important sources of funding has been explained in detail with their advantages and disadvantages (Shouzhen and Su, 2015).ï‚·Bank Loan: It is one of the most suitable form of raising the fund where fund can be raised for short as well as long term period. Here, bank sets the fix time duration on which repayment is needed to be done. Even interest is charged for the time period up to which amount is used by the organisation. This are those types of payment where security is needed to be deposit by the organisation to raise the fund. For Roast Ltd it can be the suitable way which can give them the guidelines that how they are needed to do setup of their business at any of the place. Some of the advantages and disadvantage of bank loans are discussed below: â—¦Advantage:Fix amount of repayment is needed to be done on the basis of instalment system which doesn't allow to build pressure on the organisation. â—¦Disadvantage:It is one of the lengthy process to raise fund from banks where final decision are taken by banks that whether they will allow the organisation to raise funds or not. 11
ï‚·Crowdfunding:It is also one of the suitable way for organisation to raise the fund where firms mainly tries to collect the small amount of money from number of people form the market where they mainly takes the help of internet. It gives the organisation to perform their daily basis activity at a greater platform which directly helps to accomplish the goals (Ujunwa, 2012). Whenever this types of funding is needed to be done it is necessary to understand that collective efforts of friends, family and even customers plays the crucial role in it. Some of the advantages and disadvantages of crowdfunding are explained below: â—¦Advantage:It is one of those source which can allow business organisation to perform their business activity at a greater effort just because of the collective efforts of investors (Ward, 2012). â—¦Disadvantage:In some of the situation there are possibility that company might suffer as valuable information of the may leak in this respective process. In context of Roast Ltd. It I will be important for them to take the help of Bank loan to raise the fund at the time of performing their business activity within the premisses of Italy. It will allow organisation to utilise to fund properly because idea will be available for company that when they are required to do repayment of the loan which has been taken for conducting the business activity (WEBSTER, 2014.). CONCLUSION It has been concluded from the above report that financial decision making help to build effective future strategies. To made invest in nay new project must needed to analyse the opportunities prevails in the same as this will help to attain benefits. In respect to the decisions related to funding also needed to carry on various analysis with the help of ratios and other techniques. The some important techniques that help to determine the profitability of project in advance includes NPV, ARR and pay back. 12
REFERENCES Books and Journals Bond, P., Edmans, A. and Goldstein, I., 2012. The real effects of financial markets.Annu. Rev. Financ. Econ..4(1). pp.339-360. Carraher, S. and Van Auken, H., 2013. The use of financial statements for decision making by small firms.Journal of Small Business & Entrepreneurship.26(3). pp.323-336. Hershey, D. A., Austin, J. T. and Gutierrez, H. C., 2015. Financial decision making across the adult life span: Dynamic cognitive capacities and real-world competence. InAging and Decision Making(pp. 329-349). Academic Press. Hirshleifer,D.,Jian,M.andZhang,H.,2016.Superstitionandfinancialdecision making.Management Science.64(1). pp.235-252. Lee, C. F. and Lee, J. C. eds., 2015.Handbook of financial econometrics and statistics. Springer New York. Lu, Q., Won, J. and Cheng, J. C., 2016. A financial decision making framework for construction projects based on 5D Building Information Modeling (BIM).International Journal of Project Management.34(1). pp.3-21. Lusardi,A.,2012.Financialliteracyandfinancialdecision-makinginolder adults.Generations.36(2). pp.25-32. Mintz, O. and Currim, I.S., 2013. What drives managerial use of marketing and financial metrics anddoesmetricuseaffectperformanceofmarketing-mixactivities?.Journalof Marketing.77(2). pp.17-40. Mitchell, O. S., Hammond, P. B. and Utkus, S. P. eds., 2017.Financial Decision Making and Retirement Security in an Aging World. Oxford University Press. Palepu,K.G.andHealy,P.M.,2013.Businessanalysisandvaluation:Usingfinancial statements, text and cases. Petersen, J. A., Kushwaha, T. and Kumar, V., 2015. Marketing communication strategies and consumer financial decision making: The role of national culture.Journal of Marketing. 79(1). pp.44-63. Petersen, J.A., Kushwaha, T. and Kumar, V., 2015. Marketing communication strategies and consumerfinancialdecisionmaking:Theroleofnationalculture.Journalof Marketing.79(1). pp.44-63. Post, C. and Byron, K., 2015. Women on boards and firm financial performance: A meta- analysis.Academy of Management Journal.58(5). pp.1546-1571. Shouzhen, Z. and Su, C., 2015. EXTENDED VIKOR METHOD BASED ON INDUCED AGGREGATIONOPERATORSFORINTUITIONISTICFUZZYFINANCIAL DECISION MAKING.Economic Computation & Economic Cybernetics Studies & Research.49(4). 13
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Ujunwa, A., 2012. Board characteristics and the financial performance of Nigerian quoted firms.Corporate Governance: The international journal of business in society.12(5). pp.656-674. Ward, K., 2012.Strategic management accounting. Routledge. WEBSTER, A., 2014.Financial decision making under uncertainty. Academic Press. Online MajorplayersincoffeehouseindustryofUK.2019.[Online].Availablethrough: <https://www.statista.com/statistics/297863/leading-coffee-shop-chains-in-the-united- kingdom-uk-store-number/> 14