Risks and Solutions in Mining Investment in South Africa
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This document discusses the risks associated with investment projects in South Africa, specifically in the mining industry. It also provides recommendations and solutions to mitigate and manage these risks.
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Running head: FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES Financial Derivatives Name of the Student: Name of the University: Authors Note:
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FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES Executive summary: Investment projects provide opportunities to an entity to earn significant return from such projects in the future provided that investments have been made in profitable projects. The importance of selection of appropriate investment proposals to invest is huge to the prospect of an organization. The discussion here shows that there are number of risks associated with investment projects especially if the project is to investment in a place outside the country where the entity is looking to invest for the first time. All different risks specific to the investment proposal along with country specific risks of investing in South Africa have been specifically discussed to provide the users of these document a clear idea of these risks affecting the investment proposal.
FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES Contents Executive summary:........................................................................................................................1 Contents...........................................................................................................................................2 Introduction:....................................................................................................................................3 Investment project:..........................................................................................................................3 Types of risks underlying the project:.............................................................................................4 Country risks underlying the project:..............................................................................................7 Solutions and recommendations to mitigate and manage these risks:.............................................9 Conclusion:....................................................................................................................................11 References:....................................................................................................................................12
FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES Introduction: Investment in different countries from the country of origin of an entity presents number of different risks and challenges. The political and social environment of a country is completely different from another. In addition economic environment, financial environment, operational environment and even the natural environment of a place is completely different from another. There are number of challenges such as difference in rules and regulations governing business law in a country, the cultural differences, difference in weather, difference in tax rules and others. All these must be considered by an entity before deciding on investment in a place outside the country of its origin. The purpose of this document is to discuss the risks associated with the investment project in South Africa. Investment project: A US registered multi-national company conducting mining operations with annual turnover of $0.5 billion is looking to invest in South Africa with the potential cost of investment of $125 million. The entire cost of investment is sunk cost and not recoverable as per the information provided in the document. In order to finance the project the company has decided to take a bank loan from US. The loan shall carry an annual interest rate of 8% with the expected life of the project is 10 years the loan will also be repaid during this period. As per the initial assessment by the management the company expects to earn a positive net present value of $18,607,407 from the project. However, since there are number of different risks associated with investment in a country different from the one in which an entity is based and mainly operates, a detailed discussion regarding the possible risks are explained here.
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FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES Types of risks underlying the project: The company is a mining company involved in mining operations in the US is looking to invest in gold mining project in South Africa with initial cost of $125 million. Risks specific to the project is discussed here. There are number of risks specific to the gold mining project, these are as following. Risk of employee safety and security: Mining industry has a separate safety and security standards for their employees and workings. Especially those who works in the mines and involved in mining operations directly. The risk of employee safety and security in the mines possess very credible threat to a mining company and this is true even for gold mining. The company should be careful of this risk as the safety and security of mine workers and employees must be given due importance in the overall strategy of thecompany(FormationFragmentationModelingandImpactonDraglineExcavation Performance in Surface Mining Operations, 2019). Risk of social backlash and protests: Environmental groups in all across the globe have protested against the mining activities to stop mining in different places around the globe. This is a very specific risk, associated with different types of mining including the mining in the gold sector. It is important for an entity to consider the extent of threat this risk provides to the investment proposal in South Africa. It is important to make all arrangements to deal with this risk as the risk has the potential to derail an entire investment project. Thus, the management must consider the implications of risk of protests and social back lash specific to the investment project. Environmental risk:
FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES As compared to any other types of business operations the environmental risk associated with the investment project of mining is significantly high. This is simply due to the nature of operations necessary to extract metal or other materials from mines. In case of gold mining also the effects of mining on the environmental as a whole shall be considered and necessary steps must be taken to ensure that the harmful effects of mining on the environment is reduced to minimum. The importance of environment risk in the overall mining operations in relation to the gold mining is critical to the success and failure of such investment project(Verma and Gupta, 2013). Employee health related risks: The health of the employees is again a great concern for mining industry. The employees working in the mines are exposed to number of threats that affect their health negatively. Due consideration must be given to the health risks associated with the workers and employees working in the mines. From unbearable noise to exposure to harmful chemicals within the mines, there are number of risks to the health of the employees and workers. This is specific to mining operations and must be considered by an entity while deciding to invest in mining project(Meng, 2018). The extent of mining allowed by the government in specific mines: The mining operations have number of restrictions such as maximum length up-to which mining can be carried out. The government that gives license of mining also specifies the extent of mining that must be carried out and beyond which no mining shall be allowed. An entity must assess the expected performance of the investment project by considering the extent to which mining is allowed. Based on that necessary assessment must be made before determining the business prospect of investing in the mining project.
FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES Access to energy and use of energy: The requirement of energy in mining operations is huge thus, the extent of energy required for gold mining is always an important consideration for a new mining project. The required amount of energy must be present for the mining activities to continue. Thus, it is important to take all due care before deciding whether to invest in a project that has such large requirement of energy. Thus, the risk of access to the energy is always an important consideration for an entity to take important mining decisions. Lack of energy will be extremely dangerous for an entity to operate in the mines thus, the risk of access to energy must be considered and given due importance (Michaels, 2014). In addition to access to energy the risk of making use of such energy is always present in mining operations. The risk of improper and ineffective use of energy will lead to huge amount of expenditures to continue mining operations leading to accumulation losses to the business. Regulatory risks: The risk of rules and regulations is a very genuine risk for any new business. In case of an entity starting its mining operations in a different country all together the regulatory risks associated with such operations is even more complex. Such risk must be considered and included in the overall assessment of a project. In case of gold mining there are number of rules and regulations such as the safety measures to be used within the mines, the extent of mining allowed, the pollution control equipment to be installed within and outside mines to reduce the harmful effects on the environment etc. These factors shall be considered and accounted for while deciding on the investment proposal and its suitability. License risk:
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FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES The risk of obtaining license of mining for the mining operations is another important factor to be considered while taking important decision such as investment in a new mining project. The ability to obtain license is often dependent on the past record of an entity in mining operations and its project outline. Thus, the risk of obtaining a license for mining must be considered and included while assessing the overall risk of mining. Rising costs of mining: The cost of mining is rising continuously. This is a very genuine risk to the mining business and must be given due consideration while determining the extent of risk associated with mining operations in the new investment project(Michaels, 2014). Country risks underlying the project: South Africa is a place where there have been a history issues associated with the cultural diversity, ethnicity and political instability. Though with passage of time the country has changed to be more business friendly but the specific risks associated with the mining operations in the country must be considered and given due importance. Political instability: South Africa has seen number of dictators that has ruled the country for years. However, democracy has been established in the country for years now. The political instability of past is long gone. However, while investing in a new project the management should consider even the miniscule risk of political instability in the country(Dev, 2013). Cultural and ethnic difference:
FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES As compared to US there is significant difference in culture and ethnicity in South Africa. The risk that differences present to an investment project shall also be considered and given necessary importance. Legislations and rules: The legislations and rules of business in the country along with specific legislations for mining shall be assessed and included in the assessment of overall risks associated with mining business in the country. Government interference: The level of government interference in business is different in different places. Compared to the US the governance interference in business operations in South Africa is extremely high. The risk of such government interference must be considered while assessing the overall risk of investment in the project(Samavati, 2019). Foreign exchange risk: The risk of foreign exchange exposure. Considering that the sales contract are to be set in pound sterling the risk of foreign exchange exposure is a realistic threat to the company. The impact of fluctuation in foreign exchange rate, i.e. US $ to pound sterling must be considered before taking final decision on the matter of investment in the mining project in South Africa(Durčáková, 2011). Tax rules: The taxation rules in different countries are different. It is important for a business to assess the tax implications on the revenue and profit from the business operations in a country to determine
FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES the desirability of investing in that country. Similarly, the tax rules applicable for the mining business in South Africa shall be considered and included in the assessment of business risk. Social and environmental groups in the country: The social and environmental groups in a country and its influence on business operations are another important factor to the overall assessment of an investment proposal and its desired outcome. Solutions and recommendations to mitigate and manage these risks: In order to mitigate the risks identified that are specific to the business of the mining company as well as specific to the country of operations, following solutions and recommendations shall be extremely effective. Conducting a thorough investigation of mining prospect in the area of operations: The company firstly needs to conduct a detailed investigation on the mining prospect in South Africa. This will enable the management to understand the probable outcome of investment in mining operations in the country(Turner and Gianiodis, 2017). Assessment of possible risks associated with the health and safety of employees and workers in the mines: There are number of risks to the health and safety of employees in the mines. The company should conduct a thorough assessment of all these risks and take appropriate steps such as instituting pollution control equipment within the mines, making necessary arrangements within the mines to reduce the toxic environment within the mines, making sure there is proper air flowing system within the mine, providing the employees and workers with safety gears, keeping
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0FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES paramedic system in place within and outside the mines and others. These steps will help in ensuring that the health and safety of the employees and workers are given due importance and emphasis(Voss, Witthaus and Junker, 2013). Obtaining license: Obtaining proper mining license from the government authority is important to the mining operations. Thus, the company shall firstly obtain necessary license to start mining operations in the country. Complying with the requirements of license: The company should comply with the license requirements to ensure there is no problem in renewing the license for the mining operations in the future. Complying the legislations governing mining and business operations in the country: The company should ensure that all the rules and regulations governing the mining operations and business operations in the country are complied with to avoid any penal provisions. There are number of requirements such as proper filling of required documents with appropriate governmentauthoritieson or beforethedue timeto ensurethat eachand everysingle provisio0sn of the act and legislations have been followed(Ashraf and Arshad, 2017). Using advanced and modern technology: Use of advance and modern technology will help the company to reduce the pollutions from mining operations. The company should install necessary pollution control equipment and use such measures to reduce the pollution from mining operations(Berengueres, 2018).
1FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES Stop mining before the danger level approaches: Stopping mining operations significantly earlier before the danger level approaches is essential to the safety and security of workers, employee in the mines and for the environment as a whole. Strict measures shall be used to ensure that mining operations are stopped before even the danger level approaches(Yadav and Jamal, 2016). Using capital budgeting technique: Use of capital budgeting technique shall be made to assess the profitability of the project before taking final decision of investment in the project. All the assumptions and fluctuations shall be included in computation of net present value from the investment project to determine the desirability of the project(Srithongrung, 2017). Use of forward and future rate contracts: In order to mitigate the risk of fluctuation in foreign exchange rates the company can use forward rate and future rate contracts depending on the circumstance and situation. Forward and future rate contracts will allow the company to reduce the loss on foreign exchange fluctuations. Conclusion: Taking into consideration the net present value of the investment project in South Africa of conducing gold mining, i.e. $18,607, 407 (positive) thus, there is no reason to not invest in the project. However, as mentioned earlier that all the risks associated with the investment project shall be thoroughly analyzed and included in the assessment of the project to determine the expected outcome of the project. In this case the financial implications of the project has been assessed from the net present value of the project which is positive however, other risks
2FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES mentioned here shall also be given due importance before deciding on the suitability of the proposal to invest in the project.
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3FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES References: Ashraf, B. and Arshad, S. (2017). Foreign bank subsidiaries’ risk-taking behavior: Impact of home and host country national culture.Research in International Business and Finance, 41(48), pp.318-335. Berengueres, J. (2018). Valuation of Cryptocurrency Mining Operations.Ledger, 3(7), pp.19- 274. Dev, D. (2013). A Study on Mining Industry Pollution in Chapagaon, Nepal.Environment and Pollution, 2(4), pp.7-10. Durčáková, J. (2011). Foreign Exchange Rate Regimes and Foreign. Exchange Markets in Transitive Economies.Prague Economic Papers, 20(4), pp.309-328. Formation Fragmentation Modeling and Impact on Dragline Excavation Performance in Surface Mining Operations. (2019).International Journal of Mining Science, 5(1), p.17. Meng,Q.(2018).Rethinkpotentialrisksoftoxicemissionsfromnaturalgasandoil mining.Environmental Pollution, 240(hlms), pp.848-857. Michaels,R.(2014).LetterfromtheGuestEditor:IntroductiontotheSpecialTopic: EnvironmentalandPublicHealthRisksAssociatedwithClimateChange.Environmental Practice, 16(1), pp.2-3. Samavati, M. (2019). Production Planning and Scheduling in Mining Scenarios Under IPCC Mining Systems.Computers & Operations Research, 2(2), pp.12-39.
4FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES Srithongrung, A. (2017). Capital Budgeting and Management Practices: Smoothing Out Rough Spots in Government Outlays.Public Budgeting & Finance, 38(1), pp.47-71. Verma, S. and Gupta, M. (2013). Risk assessment in mining industry.International Journal of Mining and Mineral Engineering, 4(4), p.312. Turner, T. and Gianiodis, P. (2017). Entrepreneurship Unleashed: Understanding Entrepreneurial Education outside of the Business School.Journal of Small Business Management, 56(1), pp.131-149. Voss, H., Witthaus, H. and Junker, M. (2013). Plough longwall operations under challenging geological conditions.Mining Report, 149(S1), pp.5-16. Yadav, A. and Jamal, A. (2016). A Review on the Present Scenario of Air Quality Associated with Indian Mining Operations.Environmental Quality Management, 25(3), pp.99-105.