This project analyzes the financial aspects of Safa Motors Ltd's decision to switch from producing petrol and diesel vehicles to manufacturing electric vehicles. It covers financial analysis, interpretation, investment appraisal techniques, and non-financial factors impacting investment decisions.
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FINANCE FOR MANAGERS
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Table of Contents INTRODUCTION...........................................................................................................................1 TASK...............................................................................................................................................1 1. Financial analysis and interpretation.......................................................................................1 2. Strength and weakness of the different financial techniques..................................................7 3. The non financial factors may impact this investment decisions............................................8 CONCLUSION................................................................................................................................8 REFERENCES................................................................................................................................9
INTRODUCTION Finance for managers considered as an accounting techniques for managers in terms of making the monetary related plans and structure. It is important for managers to manage the financial resources as per their requirement and controlling the cost, payroll, mergers and investments (Yinzhi, 2013). There is case study of Safa motors Ltd which is a subsidiary of car manufacturingorganisationinUKisanalysinginthisreport.Financialanalysisand interpretation of investment plans, CVP analysis, break even analysis, investment appraisal techniques, discounted cash flow and forecasted cash flow defined in this context. Strength and weakness of the different financial techniques and non financial factors which impact investment decisions discussed in this report. TASK 1. Financial analysis and interpretation a) Relevant and Irrelevant cost associated with the replacement decision Safa motors Ltd is one of the multinational automotive manufacturer subsidiary in the UK. It produces passenger cars and handling 1100 people. Organisation is associated with the skilled immigrant labour form Eastern Europe to deduce the cost. Company is seeking to an replacement decision of switching form producing petrol and diesel vehicles to manufacturing electric vehicle form 2019. there was a research carried out in split parts half between the diesel and petrol which contains the cost of£250000. it is seen that 68% people are eager to buy petrol products and 21% people wants to stay with diesel cars and rest 2% people are thinking of buying electric car. Relevant cost:it is a cost which is a part of management accounting, which indicates towards the incremental and avoidable cost while decision making process (Yin, 2016). Relevant aspectwhichremainassociatedwithmanagementdecisionsandbusinessoperationsare considered in this cost. How much cash is required to utilise and implement in operations and management are considered in relevant cost. There are type of relevant cost exist in management accounting as future cash flows, avoidable cost, opportunity cost and incremental cost. As per above case study of Safa Motors Ltd the cost of research is£250000 which is considered as a relevant cost. 1
Irrelevant cost:it is the cost which do not change this is also one of the cost concept remains ineffective in terms of management decisions due to lack of relevance aspects. The balance of these cost can be positive and negative which maybe relevant for certain situation. There are type of irrelevant cost are found in organisational context such as Sunk cost, committees cost, non cash cash expenses and the general overheads. b) Forecasted annual net cash flows and profits for the next 5 years Forecasted annual net cash flow:this refer to the difference between an association's cash inflows and outflows for a specific dime period. The variation in terms of cash inflows and cash outflows are considered in this forecasted annual cash flow. Forecasted annual net cash flow is prepared on the basis of assumptions and projection (Sharma and Paul, 2015). There are major three activities considered in this approach through which an organisation can generate the cash flow which are cash flow form operating activities, cash flow from financing activities and cash flow form investing activities. Cash flow form all three activities are consolidated to get net cash inflow or outflow. NOTE:Cash flow for both the products are shown below in Appendix 1. Forecasted annual net profit:An average cumulative net profit for the specific time duration. All the expenses and income are compensated with each other to identify the profit and loss for the year. c) Forecasted total cash flow and total profit for the year Total cash flow:As per above case scenario, forecasted cash flow is prepared in respect of respect of replacement decision. Forecasted cash flow of petrol and diesel car for subsiding five years are counted as£95425000 for the year 2019 and same the remaining five years because there was no any increase and decrease recorded for upcoming five years. Forecasted cash flow statement in respect of electric car products shows following results as £191414562 for the year 2019, £235059562 for the year 2020, £280888912 for the year 2021, £329011893 for the year 2022 and £379538656 for the year 2023. Total profit:the forecasted total net profit for Petrol and diesel car products is 94145000 the five year and the forecasted profit for electric car products present following results as £189574562 for the year 2019, £233219562 for the year 2020, £279048912 for the year 2021, £327171893 for the year 2022 and £37769856 for the year 2023. NOTE:Forecasted profit and loss account for both the products are shown in appendix 2 2
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d) CVP analysis and the break even point and the margin of safety C-V-P analysis:it stands for cost volume and profit which is mainly used to determine how changes in cost and volume effect the operating profit and net profit. This mainly associated with enhancing the performance graph of organisation by appropriate utilisation of cost and analysing the required sales units (Philippon and Reshef, 2012). Break even analysis:BEP analysis is a graphical approach which define a point at which organisations profit remain equal to its cost. This approach also remains beneficial from decision making perspective (Ozoandet. al. 2015). Break even point is calculated in two ways as BEP in sales units = Fixed cost / contribution per unit BEP in sale price = Fixed cost / profit volume ratio Profit volume ratio = (Contribution / sales) * 100 NOTE:Calculation for break even refers appendix 3. Margin of safety:In financial accounting, the difference between the actual sales and break even sales is known as margin of safety (Fan, Wei and Xu, 2011).This is considered as a level at which minimum quantity of stock is retained by organisation in the duration of shortage of raw stock and inventories. It is calculated by following formula as Margin of sales = Actual sales -Break even sales There is a margin of safety sales is calculated as follows Margin of safety sales of Petrol and Diesel cars = (637500000 – 112210200)= £525289800 Margin of safety sales of electric car = (700000000 – 111700000) = £588300000 e) Capital investment appraisal analysis, payback period, ARR, Net present value Investment appraisal basically part of capital budgeting. Investment appraisal techniques are the tools which are used in management decisions and decision making (Coles, Lemmon and Meschke,2012).Managersusetypesofinvestmentappraisaltechniquestoevaluatethe effectiveness of investment and replacement plans. These techniques are helpful in terms of determiningbestandeffectiveinvestmentplansforbettergrowthanddevelopmentof organisation. Payback period:this is one of the method used to analyse the sustainability of capital projects in terms of deriving the functions of organisation towards sustainable growth of organisation (Ding and Wermers, 2012). This technique defines the break even point of recovering the cost of investment in upcoming years. This is calculated by adding the discounted 3
cash flow for upcoming years and the duration in which the cost of investment get recovered and known as payback period. ARR:it is considered as a rate of return which calculates the rate of return generated form the net income of the proposed capital investment. Average rate of return is a formula used to make capital cost expressed as an annual percentage. It is calculated by aggregating the net profit and average investment. Net present value:this is one of the common, simple and most approachable capital investment appraisal technique used for analysing the stability and effectiveness of investment plan. There are name suggested in this method which is mainly recognised with long term capital projects (Baker and Wurgler, 2011). Cash flow approach is mainly used under this approach in which effectiveness of capital projects are evaluated on the basis of discounted cash flow. As per above analysis it is seen that the organisation is having a positive net present value in terms of capital project proposed in respect of replacement decision. Net present value is calculated as£215485775.50 for replacement project for petrol and diesel car projects. And the internal rate of return is evaluated as 68.85%. Net present value of capital project of electric care manufacturing is calculated as - £206070355.07. the project shows negative results but the IRR present positive results in term of expanding the business at next level. NOTE:Calculations are show below in appendix 4 d) NPV sensitivity analysis by using Zero NPV techniques Zero NPV:when the net cash inflows and outflows remain equal then it is evaluated on the basis of Zero NPV (Baker, Singleton and Veit, 2011). This techniques will help to analyse the effectiveness of capital projects which shows negative reports. 2. Strength and weakness of the different financial techniques Financial techniques helps to sort the financial complications and problems and assist the management and forecasting process of organisation. With the help of financial techniques, the effectiveness and sustainable of capital projects become easy and convenient. This is mainly assist the management and decision making process. Financial interpretation as financial ratios, cash flows be able to summarised in more effective manner (Ang, Gregoriou and Lean, 2014). 4
In organisation financial forecast and analysis is essential part for better execution of financial resources. There are type of financial techniques are used to manage the financial resources and tackle the financial challenges. CVP analysis:It provide an overview and idea to managers that how much sales units to be produced to compensate the cost of organisation. There is a use of CVP analysing the break even point of petrol and diesel vehicles and electric vehicles analysed of Safa Limited. Advantages: ï‚·this is one of the effective technique used to analyse the Cost Volume and profit point in term of profitability and operating the business over the years.ï‚·This one of the basic tool to explore the business and managing the business activities. Disadvantages: ï‚·This mainly depends upon certain assumptions and classification of cost profit and sales volume. ï‚·There is a forecasted information is presented which affect the decision-making process. Payback period:this method is the method of analysing the capital expenditure projects. Advantages: ï‚·this is one of the simplest method to evaluate the sustainability of investment plans.ï‚·This helps to analyse the rate of recovering at faster rate. Disadvantages: ï‚·Level of accuracy remain low in this method. ï‚·Current value of method remain unclear in this method NPV:this presents the net present value by calculating the cumulative factor which is centralised around making strong infrastructure. Advantages: ï‚·This is simple method in various investment appraisal techniquesï‚·there is a discounting factor which provides nearest results. Disadvantages: ï‚·these techniques require high comprehensive skills to understand the critical aspects and complications. ï‚·Risk free rate remain uncertain while calculating the effectiveness of finance projects. 5
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Cash flow analysis:this technique help to define the cash flow position with in the business. In above case study Through this technique managers be able to evaluate and maintain the ratio of cash for execution of functions of business. Advantages: ï‚·It is useful to analyse the liquidity of organisation and actual cash position.ï‚·It reduced the discrepancy and conflicts in financial reporting. Disadvantages: ï‚·Real liquidity of organisation can not be determined by evaluate the cash floe. ï‚·Cash balance mainly associated with separate functions to perform the tasks. 3. The non financial factors may impact this investment decisions There are type of key non financial factors which affect the decision making are defined as follows; Climate issue:Organisations seek for environment friendly plants and equipments to make production and manufacturing process adequate to environment. Staff motivation:this non financial factor affect the investment plan whether the proposal should be accepted by business or not. Free consent of employees affect the investment decisions. Backbend profit:this is an another non financial factor which contains the profit earned by investing in non financial projects. This affect the mindset of managers in terms of investing the funds in existing projects. Customer's satisfaction:this is also one of the non financial aspect which affect the decision making by affecting the customer satisfaction. There is a contingent situation found always whether customers will accept the products and services with new manufacturing process and plan. Availability of manpower:this non financial factor is important in terms of meeting the targets of organisation in terms of production and manufacturing goods. Government regulation:Legislations, policies regarding the investment plans are the other non financial factors affect the decision plans. Competitor'saction:themarketpositionandcapitalstructureofcompetitive organisation is the main aspect affect the investment decision. 6
Trend:this indicates towards the elements and recent situation of market regarding the products and services. Trend is the main non financial factor which justify the effectiveness and sustainability of investment decisions. ï‚·This assists in achieving the targets of current and future legislations. ï‚·Meeting the standards set by the industry and good practise. ï‚·It improves the morale of staff, making it easier to recruit and retaining employees. ï‚·The improvement of relationship with the customers and suppliers of the company. ï‚·Dealing andanticipatingtheissuesfaced bythecompany, suchasprotectionof intellectual property and against the potential competition. ï‚·Development of the capabilities of the company, such as building up of skills of the employees and their experience in newer areas orstrengthening the management systems. ï‚·This assists in improving the brand image, relationship and reputation of the company in the market (Meaning of finance reporting and record, 2017). CONCLUSION Study of finance from manager's perspective are elaborated in above report. Relevant and irrelevant cost concept is understandable with critical evaluation and management summarised in this report. Financial interpretation of forecasted net profit and cash flow is also done in organisational context. Cost profit volume and break even analysis done after replacement decision. Evaluation of capital investment by applying different capital evaluation techniques are also defined in this report. Strength and weakness of non financial factors are also analysed in thisreport. Hownon financialfactors affect the management decision are concluded in organisational context. 7
REFERENCES Books and Journals: Yinzhi, M., 2013. Controlling Shareholders, Professional Managers and Independent Directors in the Family Enterprise Governance.Peking University Law Review.1. p.014. Yin,C.,2016.Theoptimalsizeofhedgefunds:conflictbetweeninvestorsandfund managers.The Journal of Finance.71(4). pp.1857-1894. Sharma, P. and Paul, S., 2015. Testing the skill of mutual fund managers: evidence from India.Managerial Finance.41(8). pp.806-824. Philippon, T. and Reshef, A., 2012. Wages and human capital in the US finance industry: 1909– 2006.The Quarterly Journal of Economics.127(4). pp.1551-1609. Ozo, F. K.andet. al. 2015. Corporate dividend policy in practice: the views of Nigerian financial managers.Managerial Finance.41(11). pp.1159-1175. Fan, J. P., Wei, K. J. and Xu, X., 2011. Corporate finance and governance in emerging markets: A selective review and an agenda for future research. Ding, B. and Wermers, R., 2012. Mutual fund performance and governance structure: The role of portfolio managers and boards of directors. Coles, J. L., Lemmon, M. L. and Meschke, J.F., 2012. Structural models and endogeneity in corporatefinance:Thelinkbetweenmanagerialownershipandcorporate performance.Journal of Financial Economics.103(1). pp.149-168. Baker,M.andWurgler,J.,2011.Behavioralcorporatefinance:Anupdatedsurvey(No. w17333). National Bureau of Economic Research. Baker, H. K., Singleton, J. C. and Veit, E. T., 2011.Survey research in corporate finance: bridging the gap between theory and practice. Oxford University Press. Ang, W. R., Gregoriou, G. N. and Lean, H. H., 2014. Market-timing skills of socially responsible investment fund managers: The case of North America versus Europe.Journal of Asset Management.15(6). pp.366-377. Online Meaningoffinancereportingandrecord,2017.[Online]Avalialble through<https://www.amazon.com/Finance-Managers-Harvard-Business-Essentials/dp/ 1578518768> 8
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APPENDIX 1. Cash flow. Forecasted Cash flow For Petrol and Diesel vehicle Particulars20192020202120222023 Revenues Estimated sales over the next five years637500000637500000637500000637500000637500000 Total sales637500000637500000637500000637500000637500000 Expenses Research and development17500001750000175000017500001750000 Cost of material352500000352500000352500000352500000352500000 Cost of labour per vehicle7500000075000000750000007500000075000000 Variable overheads per vehicle8625000086250000862500008625000086250000 Manufacturing cost515500000515500000515500000515500000515500000 Less: reduction in manufacturing cost-300000-300000-300000-300000-300000 Total manufacturing cost515200000515200000515200000515200000515200000 Annual selling expenses63750006375000637500063750006375000 Annual administration expenses2050000020500000205000002050000020500000 Net cash flow9542500095425000954250009542500095425000 Forecasted net cash flow for electric vehicles Forecasted net cash flow for electric vehicles20192020202120222023 Revenues Estimated sales over the next five years700000000735000000771750000810337500850854375 Total sales700000000735000000771750000810337500850854375 Expenses Research and development3500000360500037131503824544.5 3939280.83 5 Cost of material375000000375000000375000000375000000375000000 Cost of labour per vehicle7500000075000000750000007500000075000000 9
Variable overheads per vehicle110000000110000000110000000110000000110000000 Extra component cost1450000014500000145000001450000014500000 Manufacturing cost578000000578105000578213150578324545578439281 Less: Government grants-175000000-183750000-192937500-202584375 - 212709000 Total manufacturing cost403000000394355000385275650375740170365730281 Annual selling expenses8508543885085438850854388508543885085438 Annual administration expenses2050000020500000205000002050000020500000 Net cash flow191414562235059562280888912329011893379538656 2.Net profit/loss Forecasted net profit For Petrol and Diesel vehicle Particulars20192020202120222023 Revenues Estimated sales over the next five years637500000637500000637500000637500000637500000 Total sales637500000637500000637500000637500000637500000 Expenses Research and development17500001750000175000017500001750000 Cost of material352500000352500000352500000352500000352500000 Cost of labour per vehicle7500000075000000750000007500000075000000 Variable overheads per vehicle8625000086250000862500008625000086250000 Manufacturing cost515500000515500000515500000515500000515500000 Less: reduction in manufacturing cost-300000-300000-300000-300000-300000 Total manufacturing cost515200000515200000515200000515200000515200000 Annual selling expenses63750006375000637500063750006375000 Annual administration expenses2050000020500000205000002050000020500000 Depreciation Machinery12800001280000128000012800001280000 10
Net profit and loss9414500094145000941450009414500094145000 Forecasted net profit for electric vehicles Forecasted net profit for electric vehicles20192020202120222023 Revenues Estimated sales over the next five years700000000735000000771750000810337500850854375 Total sales700000000735000000771750000810337500850854375 Expenses Research and development35000003605000371315038245453939281 Cost of material375000000375000000375000000375000000375000000 Cost of labour per vehicle7500000075000000750000007500000075000000 Variable overheads per vehicle110000000110000000110000000110000000110000000 Extra component cost1450000014500000145000001450000014500000 Manufacturing cost578000000578105000578213150578324545578439281 Less: Government grants-175000000-183750000-192937500-202584375 - 212709000 Total manufacturing cost403000000394355000385275650375740170365730281 Annual selling expenses8508543885085438850854388508543885085438 Annual administration expenses2050000020500000205000002050000020500000 Depreciation on machinery18400001840000184000018400001840000 Net profit and loss189574562233219562279048912327171893377698656 3. Break even analysis. Break even point For Petrol and Diesel vehicle Particulars2019 Revenues Estimated sales over the next five years637500000 Total sales637500000 Expenses Cost of material352500000 11
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Cost of labour per vehicle75000000 Variable overheads per vehicle86250000 Total variable cost513750000 Contribution123750000 Profit volume ratio19.41% Profit volume ratio = (123750000 / 637500000) * 100 = 19.41% Break even sales =(20500000+1280000) / 19.41% =£112210200 Break even point For Electric vehicle Particulars2019 Revenues Estimated sales over the next five years700000000 Total sales700000000 Expenses Cost of material375000000 Cost of labour per vehicle75000000 Variable overheads per vehicle110000000 Total variable cost560000000 Contribution140000000 Profit volume ratio20.00% Profit volume ratio = (140000000 / 700000000) * 100 = 20% Break even sales =(20500000+1840000) / 20% =£111700000 4. NPV Net present value of replacement project for Petrol and diesel car products yearCash outflow@12%Cash inflow Initial investment-1285000001-128500000 1954250000.892857142985200892.8571429 2954250010.797193877676072226.5625 3954250020.711780247867921631.5711552 4954250030.635518078460644314.5383352 5954250040.567426855754146709.9766548 12